来源 | 财经九号 作者 | 胖虎 海辰储能的崛起，本质是一场以牺牲利润为代价的规模攻坚战。其核心策略便是以低价抢占市场份额， 这种模式短期内拉动了出货量增长，却彻底打乱了企业的盈利结构与经营逻辑。 要知道，储能市场不是茶饮、出行、外卖这类市场，靠烧钱、补贴就能把对手挤出去，整个行业都是动 辄几十亿上百亿的重资产模式，玩家基本上都是巨头，这种低价策略的"零和博弈"能把谁逼下牌桌？ 就在今年9月，海辰储能在沙特市场以每千瓦时73-75美元的价格中标1GW/4GWh储能项目，不仅创下中 国以外全球市场最低价纪录，还远低于欧美行业平均水平。这种近乎"赔本赚吆喝"的定价策略，直接导 致其单位产出价值严重偏低。 2025年上半年，海辰储能出货量30GWh略高于亿纬锂能的28.7GWh，但储能业务收入仅54.5亿元，不足 后者103亿元的一半，单GWh收入1.82亿元与亿纬锂能的3.59亿元相差近一倍，跟宁德时代、天合光能 这些头部玩家就更没法比了。 | | | 截至12月31日止年度 | | 截至6月30日止六個月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2022年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guoxia Technology experienced significant volatility in its stock price shortly after its IPO, reflecting investor sentiment and market dynamics in the renewable energy sector [4][7]. Company Overview - Guoxia Technology officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 16, with its stock price peaking at 49.3 HKD per share, representing an increase of over 145% on its first trading day [4][7]. - The company operates in the renewable energy sector, specifically focusing on energy storage solutions, and has established a complete closed-loop system covering research and development, production, and delivery [4][7]. Technological Advancements - Guoxia Technology is actively exploring the integration of AI technology into its operations, aiming to extend cloud-based algorithms to physical entities [4][7]. - The company plans to implement AI robots for edge intelligent decision-making and auxiliary operations, which may enable autonomous inspections and anomaly detection in energy storage systems [4][7]. Market Performance - On December 17, the stock price of Guoxia Technology fell by 7.9%, trading at 40.34 HKD per share, with a total market capitalization of approximately 20.94 billion HKD [1][5]. - The stock reached a low of 39.16 HKD per share during the trading session, indicating a decline of over 10% at one point [1][5].

Macro Economic Group - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000 in November, exceeding the expected increase of 50,000, while October saw a decrease of 105,000 [4] - The unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%, marking a four-year high [4] - Average hourly wages in November rose by 3.5% year-on-year, slightly below the expected 3.6% [4] Industry Comprehensive Group - Apple plans to significantly expand its smartphone product line, potentially releasing at least seven new flagship models by fall 2027, including the first foldable iPhone expected in fall 2026 [9] - The investment in new energy sources is expected to maintain strong levels next year, with a focus on building smart grids and microgrids [9] - The investment opportunities in the power grid equipment industry are anticipated to grow due to increased investment in energy infrastructure [9] Advanced Manufacturing Group - The largest grid-type lithium-sodium hybrid energy storage station in China has been officially put into operation, with a total installed capacity of 400,000 kW and a green electricity ratio of 98% [12] - This energy storage system can respond to grid load fluctuations and changes in renewable energy output, marking a shift from optional to essential infrastructure for grid resilience [12] - The industry is expected to see improved profitability as the focus shifts from price competition to system service fees [12] Consumer Group - The light manufacturing sector is experiencing structural opportunities, with companies that have established overseas production capacity expected to perform well in 2025 [14] - The U.S. housing market is at a historical low, and the anticipated interest rate cuts are expected to boost housing demand, positively impacting home-related consumption [14] - The outdoor sports category is expected to benefit from the recovery of the real estate chain and consumer upgrade trends, providing growth support for related companies [14]

今天分享的是：自然资源保护协会：2025年分布式储能发展商业模式研究报告 报告共计：38页 分布式储能发展商业模式研究报告总结 在"双碳"目标推动下，分布式储能作为新型电力系统的关键环节，正快速发展。2019年至2025年前三季度，我国分布式储能累 计装机从570MW增长至3638MW，技术上以锂离子电池为主，占比92.77%，应用场景集中于工商业配储，占比68.70%，江苏、 广东、浙江等经济发达省份因峰谷价差大领跑装机规模。 国外方面，美国加州、德国、澳大利亚等国以户用储能为主，通过强有力的财税补贴、高居民电价及虚拟电厂参与电力市场推 动发展。美国有投资税收抵免和地方补贴，德国免除增值税并提供光储充补贴，澳大利亚给予税收减免，这些政策大幅降低了 初始投资，其户用储能收益稳定，可通过多种渠道获利。 国内分布式储能探索了工商业配储、分布式光伏配储等六大核心场景商业模式。工商业配储以合同能源管理为主要模式，收益 依赖峰谷价差套利；分布式光伏配储分源侧和荷侧，峰谷价差高的地区经济性更优；绿电直连项目分为并网型和离网型，广 东、浙江等地项目经济性较好；台区储能多为示范项目，以动态增容为主要用途；虚拟电厂收益来自需求 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant business development for Beijing Haibo Sichuang Technology Co., Ltd., which has signed a contract for a 15 billion yuan investment in a 500,000 kW/2 GWh independent energy storage project in Xinjiang [2][5]. Group 1: Business Development - The contract for the energy storage project was signed on December 13, with a total investment of 15 billion yuan [2]. - The project aims to establish a 500,000 kW/2 GWh grid-connected independent energy storage system [2]. Group 2: Company and Regional Commitment - Haibo Sichuang's Vice President, Zhang Meng, expressed satisfaction with Xinjiang's advantageous location and efficient business environment, indicating a commitment to expedite preliminary work for the project [4]. - The county secretary, Li Junjie, assured ongoing optimization of the business environment and comprehensive service support to ensure high-quality development for the company [5]. Group 3: Industry Context - Xinjiang's energy storage capacity has surpassed 13 GWh, with a cumulative total of 45.41 GWh, indicating significant growth in the region's energy storage capabilities [8]. - The company is also set to provide "turnkey" services for a 1.6 GWh energy storage project in Germany, showcasing its expanding international presence [8].

Core Insights - The ESIE 2026 International Energy Storage Summit and Exhibition will take place from April 1-3, 2026, in Beijing, showcasing the latest developments and opportunities in the global energy storage industry [2] - The exhibition will cover an area of 160,000 square meters, featuring over 1,000 exhibitors and sponsors, and attracting more than 5,000 companies from the energy storage supply chain [2] International Procurement Demand - The event will introduce a unique "pre-show targeted matching - on-site precise matching" model for international business connections, with multiple batches of international procurement demands already released [3] - Focus areas include the energy storage markets in Saudi Arabia and Poland, with significant interest from international buyers [3] Global Strategic Support - ESIE 2026 has received support from over 100 international organizations, with participation from representatives of more than 40 countries, including the USA, UK, Germany, and France [5] - Key international organizations involved include IRENA, IEA, and the World Bank's ESMAP, among others [6] Audience and Participation - The event is expected to attract over 200,000 professional attendees from various regions, including the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Asia, and Africa [9] - Attendees will include decision-makers from energy groups, power companies, renewable energy developers, and financial institutions [9] International Collaboration - The official German pavilion will feature leading companies and technologies, providing a platform for international cooperation and industry dialogue [11] - Over 20 international buying groups will participate, offering market research and collaboration opportunities [11] Forums and Networking - Two international forums will be held to discuss core policy impacts, featuring representatives from key international organizations and emerging market energy authorities [12] - Four international matchmaking sessions will connect global supply and demand, facilitating project introductions and investment opportunities [13] Conclusion - ESIE 2026 aims to be a comprehensive international resource platform, facilitating dialogue, technology exchange, and project implementation in the energy storage sector [17]

【环球网财经综合报道】随着全球能源转型加速，中国储能企业正迎来一波强劲的"出海"浪潮。2025年 以来，多家A股储能公司频频斩获海外大单，境外业务收入实现大幅增长，展现出在全球市场的强大竞 争力。 海外大单频现 12月16日，光伏企业天合光能公告称，其子公司与北美客户签订了1.4GWh的储能产品销售合同。这已 是自9月以来，公司第五次公布GWh级别的海外储能订单，累计新签订单量已超10GWh，较其在手订单 实现翻倍。天合光能表示，这些订单预计主要在2025至2026年交付。 阳光电源在投资者调研中透露，其海外储能市场盈利能力更具优势，2025年储能出货目标高达40- 50GWh。公司预计，2026年全球储能市场将保持40%—50%的高增速，市场格局正从点状爆发转向全 球"遍地开花"。 国轩高科也在积极拓展国际储能版图，其储能产品已成功出口至欧洲、非洲、美洲及亚太等多个地区。 数据显示，2025年上半年公司储能电池出货量已跻身全球第七。 全球市场进入高速发展期 | 证券代码:688599 | 证券简称:天合光能 公告编号:2025-127 | | --- | --- | | 转债代码:118031 | 转债简称 ...

新周期 新技术 新生态，由起点锂电、起点储能、起点研究院SPIR主办的 2025（第十届）起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆 典、2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 将于12月18-19日在深圳市维纳斯皇家酒店举办。 800+嘉宾参会，聚焦5大专场40+热门议题，深度探讨锂 电池、材料、设备、工商业储能、便携式储能、户用储能、AIDC储能电池等核心议题，前瞻解析技术突破、破题安全挑战与价值链重构。 活动主题及架构 活动名称： 2025（第十届）起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼&起点研究十周年庆典 、2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 活动主题： 新周期 新技术 新生态 活动时间： 2025年12月18-19日 活动地址： 深圳市维纳斯皇家酒店（深圳国际会展中心京基百纳店）三楼维纳斯厅（深圳市宝安区沙井镇沙井路118号） 主办单位： 起点锂电、起点储能、起点研究院 SPIR 专场冠名： 逸飞激光 合影墙独家冠名： 蓝京新能源 签到墙独家冠名： 小鲁锂电 椅背贴独家冠名： 奥鸿智能 矿泉水独家冠名： 派能科技 活动赞助及演讲单位： 惠州潼湖生态智慧区管理委员会/逸飞激光/小鲁锂电/派能 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guoxia Technology, a provider of energy storage solutions, officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 16, raising approximately HKD 783 million through its IPO, with a strong debut performance [1][3]. IPO Details - The company issued 38.93 million H-shares at an offering price of HKD 20.1, representing 7.61% of total shares post-IPO, with a net fundraising amount of approximately HKD 701 million after expenses [3]. - On its first trading day, the stock opened at HKD 38, a 89% increase from the offering price, and closed at HKD 43.8, marking a 117.91% rise, leading to a total market capitalization of approximately HKD 22.42 billion [3]. Subscription and Investor Interest - The IPO was significantly oversubscribed, with the public offering portion receiving 1,890.73 times oversubscription and the international offering portion receiving 3.63 times [5]. - Three cornerstone investors participated in the offering, collectively subscribing for HKD 74.25 million, accounting for 9.49% of the total global offering [6]. Company Overview - Founded in 2019, Guoxia Technology focuses on AI-driven renewable energy solutions, employing a dual-brand strategy with "Guoxia Technology" for domestic markets and "HANCHUESS" for international markets [6]. - The company targets large-scale energy storage projects on the grid side domestically and household and commercial storage markets internationally, with products already in several mature overseas markets [6]. Financial Performance - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with revenues increasing from RMB 142 million in 2022 to RMB 1.026 billion in 2024, and annual profits rising from RMB 24.28 million to RMB 49.12 million [7]. - For the first half of 2025, revenue reached RMB 691 million, a 659% year-on-year increase, although profits decreased to RMB 5.58 million from RMB 25.59 million in the same period last year [7]. Shareholding Structure - The founding team maintains a strong controlling position, holding 54.08% of the shares, with key figures including Chairman Feng Lizheng, CEO Zhang Xi, and President Liu Ziye, all of whom are alumni of Jiangnan University [7]. Salary Information - The total compensation for key executives in the first half of 2025 included RMB 666,000 for Feng Lizheng and RMB 1.518 million for Zhang Xi [8]. Technological Advancements - Guoxia Technology is recognized as one of the first companies in the industry to achieve cloud integration of energy storage systems, pushing AI technology from cloud algorithms to physical entities, and aims to enhance its technology development and global market presence post-IPO [9].

Core Conclusions - The report highlights the potential impact of Japan's interest rate hike on global liquidity, suggesting that while there are concerns, the actual shock may be limited due to previous adjustments in the market [7][8][9] - The medical device and healthcare sectors are expected to rebound, driven by innovation and international expansion, despite current pressures from macroeconomic factors [2][14] - The energy storage industry is poised for growth, supported by favorable policies and increasing demand, with key players identified for investment [3][18][19] Group 1: Strategy and Market Outlook - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for AH shares, with strategic allocations in government bonds and gold, while US stocks and bonds may remain volatile [1][13] - Japan's potential interest rate hike is seen as a catalyst for global liquidity concerns, but the actual impact may be mitigated by prior market adjustments and the current economic environment [7][8][9] Group 2: Medical Device and Healthcare Sector - The medical device sector is currently undervalued, with significant potential for recovery driven by innovation and government support for healthcare services [2][14] - Key areas of focus include domestic device upgrades, international market expansion, and the recovery of hospital services, with specific recommendations for investment in leading companies [14][15][16] Group 3: Energy Storage Industry - The energy storage sector is experiencing robust growth, with a projected global installed capacity of 329 GWh by 2025, reflecting an 87% year-on-year increase [19] - Key recommendations include investing in leading battery manufacturers and energy storage system providers, as demand continues to outpace supply [20][19] Group 4: Real Estate Market Analysis - The real estate market is facing challenges, with a notable decline in sales volume and prices, indicating ongoing pressure in the sector [21][22] - The report anticipates a continued low-level fluctuation in the market, with potential policy adjustments expected after the Spring Festival [23]