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【光大研究每日速递】20250711
光大证券研究· 2025-07-10 16:07
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 北方稀土公告,预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润9亿元-9.6亿元,同比增加1882.54%到 2014.71%。镨钕和镧铈价格同比上涨叠加冶炼分离等加工成本进一步降低增厚业绩。推进绿色冶炼升级改造 项目,一期进入产线联动调试收尾阶段。下游应用仍保持增长,未来稀土行业供需仍有望维持紧平衡。 (王招华/马俊)2025-07-10 您可点击今日推送内容的第2条查看 【巨化股份(600160.SH)】制冷剂高景气延续,Q2 业绩高增长 ——2025 年半年度业绩预告点评 公司发布 2025 年半年度业绩预增公告,2025 年上半年度,公司预计实现归母净利润为 19.7-21.3 亿元,同比 增长 136%-155%;其中,Q2 单季度公司预计实现归母净利润 11.6-13.2 亿元,同比增长 122%-152%,环比增 长44%-63%。 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权 ...
【北方稀土(600111.SH)】2025上半年业绩同比高增,冶炼分离及稀土金属加工成本进一步降低——25年半年度业绩预增点评
光大证券研究· 2025-07-10 16:07
Core Viewpoint - The company, Northern Rare Earth, is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by rising prices of key rare earth products and reduced processing costs [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Northern Rare Earth anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 900 million to 960 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [3]. - The average prices for key products in the first half of 2025 are projected to be 421,000 yuan/ton for praseodymium-neodymium oxide, 10,500 yuan/ton for cerium oxide, and 4,200 yuan/ton for lanthanum oxide, with year-on-year increases of 13.1%, 57.2%, and 9.8% respectively [4]. Group 2: Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced processing costs through enhanced benchmarking and operational improvements in smelting and separation processes [4][5]. Group 3: Project Development - The company is investing up to 7.8 billion yuan in a green smelting upgrade project, which is currently in the final stages of production line testing. This project will enhance the company's processing capabilities significantly [5]. - Upon completion, the project will enable the processing of 198,000 tons/year of mixed rare earth ore, with various extraction and crystallization capacities [5]. Group 4: Market Demand - The demand for rare earth materials remains strong, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, which saw production and sales growth of 45.2% and 44% respectively from January to May [6]. - New applications such as robotics and flying cars are expected to drive future growth in rare earth materials, with projected global demand for praseodymium-neodymium oxide reaching 117,000 tons and 126,900 tons in 2025 and 2026, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 9.7% and 8.4% [6].
利好突袭!深夜,暴涨!
券商中国· 2025-07-10 14:54
展望美股后市,高盛认为,美国正处于商业周期的中后期阶段,无衰退迹象且盈利增长强劲,同时降息预期仍 在。市场情绪周期正转向积极但尚未达到狂热状态,仍有上涨空间。 稀土概念股突然爆发 北京时间7月10日晚间,美股开盘后,三大指数窄幅震荡,截至22:30,道指涨0.25%,纳指跌0.42%,标普500 指数跌0.04%。 美股大型科技股多数下跌,特斯拉逆势大涨超3%,公司CEO马斯克透露,特斯拉自动驾驶出租车服务有望在1 —2个月内扩展至旧金山湾区,具体时间需视监管审批进度而定。马斯克还表示,最新发布的AI大模型Grok 4 将登陆特斯拉汽车,最晚下周上线。 美股稀土概念股集体大涨,MP Materials一度暴涨近60%,Energy Fuels大涨超15%,USA Rare Earth大涨超 13%。 一则利好消息引爆美股稀土板块。 10日晚间,美股开盘后,美股稀土概念股全线爆发,MP Materials一度暴涨近60%。消息面上,MP Materials宣 布,公司已经与美国国防部达成一项数十亿美元的协议,将新建一座稀土永磁工厂,加快美国稀土永磁供应链 的建设。 从美股市场近期的表现来看,投资者似乎对关税政策 ...
深夜,油价直线跳水!发生了什么?
证券时报· 2025-07-10 14:40
国际油价盘中直线跳水,截至发稿,NYMEX WTI原油跌超2%,ICE布油跌近2%。 突发跳水。 | < W | ICE布油 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | B.IPE | | | | | | | 68.91 | | 昨结 | 70.19 | 总手 | 16.17万 | | | -1.28 | -1.82% 开盘 | | 70.06 | 现手 | | 14 | | 最高价 | 70.48 | 持 仓 | 50.09万 | 外 盘 | 7.27万 | | | 最低价 | 68.79 | 看 ਦੇ | -8637 | 内 型 | 8.91万 | | | 分时 | 五日 | EK | 周K | 月K | 更多 | (0) | | 疊加 | | | | 均价:0.00 | | | | 71.59 | | | | 1.99% | 68.90 | 10 | | | | | | | 68.89 | 1 | | | | | | 14:21 | 68.90 | 11 | | | | | | 14:21 | 68.90 | 7 | | 70. ...
A股晚间热点 | 中美是否会在8月初进行谈判?商务部回应
智通财经网· 2025-07-10 14:23
Group 1: US-China Trade Relations - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed ongoing communication between the US and China regarding economic and trade issues, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and cooperation to stabilize bilateral relations [1] Group 2: Rare Earth Price Increase - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate to 19,109 yuan per ton (excluding tax) for Q3 2025, reflecting a 1.5% increase [2] Group 3: High Dividend Payouts - Goldman Sachs projected that by the end of 2025, Chinese listed companies will distribute a total of 3 trillion yuan in dividends, reaching a historical high, which is expected to attract more global investors [3] Group 4: Northbound Capital Inflows - Northbound capital increased by 54.8 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with total holdings reaching 2.28 trillion yuan, focusing on financial, industrial, and healthcare sectors [5] Group 5: New Stock Market Activity - The new stock market saw significant activity, with N Tongyu's first-day gain of 128.05%, leading to potential profits of up to 75,000 yuan per single lot [7] Group 6: Electricity Demand Forecast - The China Electricity Council projected a 5% to 6% year-on-year increase in national electricity consumption for 2025, driven by economic growth and macroeconomic policies [12] Group 7: Investment Opportunities in Power Sector - Analysts suggested focusing on power sector investments due to rising electricity demand from high temperatures, recommending companies like Huaneng International and China Nuclear Power [13] Group 8: Corporate Earnings Forecasts - Several companies, including Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel, are expected to report significant earnings growth, with Northern Rare Earth's price adjustment indicating a positive outlook for the sector [22][23]
大涨个股背后的共性来了
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached 3500 points, marking a 9-month high, with a trading volume of 1.52 trillion yuan, slightly down from 1.53 trillion yuan the previous day [1] - Large funds have not exited the market, but trading volume remains relatively low [1] Sector Performance - Real estate stocks have surged, with companies like Yuhua Development and Nanshan Holdings hitting the daily limit [2] - Bank stocks have also performed well, with major banks like ICBC and Bank of China reaching historical highs [3] Earnings Reports - Yuhua Development reported a significant increase in net profit, with a year-on-year growth of 632% to 784% [7] - Northern Rare Earth announced a staggering net profit increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [8] - Hongyuan Power, which has seen a price increase of over 84% in 8 trading days, reported a net profit growth of 3600.7% to 4423.07% [10] - Red Tower Securities reported a net profit increase of 45% to 55% [9] Market Trends - The strong performance of these sectors and stocks is supported by their earnings, indicating a potential shift in capital from previously overheated sectors to those with lower valuations and solid earnings [11] - Over 200 listed companies have reported earnings, with more than 60% showing positive net profit growth [12] - The majority of companies with earnings growth are from the computer, communication, and electronic equipment manufacturing industries, as well as the chemical and pharmaceutical sectors [13] Earnings Forecasts - A list of companies with significant expected profit increases includes Huayin Power (4423.07%), Xian Da Co. (2834.73%), and Tianbao Infrastructure (2329.27%) [15] - Conversely, companies like Sanmu Group and Shangwei Co. are expected to report losses, with declines of -1721.03% and -1263.41% respectively [16]
7月10日讯,美股开盘,道指、标普500指数接近平开,纳指涨0.2%。达美航空(DAL.N)大涨11%,Q2业绩超预期,同时恢复全年业绩指引。美国航空集团(AAL.O)涨7.3%,西南航空(LUV.N)涨3.4%。台积电(TSM.N)涨0.4%,Q2销售额同比增39%。稀土生产商MP Materials涨近60%,公司获美国国防部数十亿美元合作大单。
news flash· 2025-07-10 13:34
美股开盘 达美航空大涨11% 金十数据7月10日讯,美股开盘,道指、标普500指数接近平开,纳指涨0.2%。达美航空(DAL.N)大涨 11%,Q2业绩超预期,同时恢复全年业绩指引。美国航空集团(AAL.O)涨7.3%,西南航空(LUV.N)涨 3.4%。台积电(TSM.N)涨0.4%,Q2销售额同比增39%。稀土生产商MP Materials涨近60%,公司获美国 国防部数十亿美元合作大单。 ...
2025年了,为何还有人相信地产的小作文?
表舅是养基大户· 2025-07-10 13:30
Group 1 - The market showed stability in the morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining above 3500 points, but experienced volatility in the afternoon due to a widely circulated "small essay" regarding a significant real estate meeting, leading to a surge in real estate stocks, which rose over 3% [1][2] - Despite a clarification from the essay's author that it was taken out of context, the Hong Kong real estate index still closed up over 4%, indicating persistent market interest [1][2] - The sentiment around real estate meetings is questioned, with skepticism about their ability to effect substantial change by 2025, suggesting a strategy of "sell the rip" rather than holding onto real estate investments [3][4] Group 2 - Ping An Life emerged as a significant winner in the market, benefiting from its heavy investments in real estate stocks, particularly with Huaxia Happiness hitting a daily limit up, contributing to a market capitalization recovery above 1 trillion yuan [5] - The total market capitalization of major state-owned banks surpassed 10 trillion yuan, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at 2.88 trillion yuan, followed by China Construction Bank at 2.58 trillion yuan [7][8] Group 3 - The recent rally in bank stocks is primarily driven by institutional funds, with retail participation remaining low, as evidenced by the limited scale of products linked to the China Securities Bank Index, which totaled only 33 billion yuan [19][22] - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in premium income since 2022, leading to a shift in investment strategies towards high-dividend sectors like banks, as the yield on bonds has decreased [16][17] Group 4 - The upcoming earnings reports are expected to influence market trading, with companies like Northern Rare Earth projecting a net profit increase of approximately 1882.54% to 2014.71% year-on-year for the first half of the year [26][28] - The bond market experienced fluctuations due to the impact of the real estate "small essay," with the 10-year government bond showing a slight increase in response to market dynamics [31][32]
北方稀土、包钢股份均公告稀土产品涨价,前者提前涨停
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-07-10 13:22
7月10日晚间,北方稀土、包钢股份均发布公告称,两家公司拟将2025年第三季度的稀土精矿关联交易价格,调整为不含税19109元/ 吨(干量,REO=50%,下同),REO每增减1%,不含税价格增减382.18元/吨。 7月9日,北方稀土发布业绩预增公告称,公司预计2025年上半年的归母净利润为9亿元至9.6亿元,同比增长1882.54%至2014.71%; 扣非后净利润为8.8亿元到9.4亿元,同比增长5538.33%至5922.76%。 稀土价格上涨助力业绩预增 记者注意到,近一年来,北方稀土、包钢股份多次上调稀土精矿的关联交易价格。 截至7月10日收盘,北方稀土股价报27.01元/股,涨幅达10.02%,总市值为976.4亿元;包钢股份股价报1.90元/股,涨幅达4.40%,总 市值为860.5亿元。 【导读】北方稀土、包钢股份均公告稀土产品涨价,前者提前涨停 对于2025年上半年业绩预增,北方稀土在公告中提及,切实担当"两个稀土基地"建设主力军重任。 北方稀土在近期接待机构调研时表示,自2025年第一季度以来,受上游原料供应收紧以及下游消费刺激等影响,稀土市场整体活跃 度好于去年同期,对公司2025年第 ...
两大稀土巨头宣布提价
北方稀土与包钢股份此前约定,自2023年4月1日起,在稀土精矿定价公式不变的情况下,每季度首月上旬,公司经理层根据稀土精矿定价公式计算、调整稀 土精矿价格,重新签订稀土精矿供应合同或补充协议并公告。 上述研报进一步分析,需求端,新能源车、风电、家电等需求持续高增,预计短期人形机器人迎来量产,正迅速成为高性能钕铁硼的重要应用领域,目前头 部磁材企业已开始供应订单。随着需求持续增长,镨钕供需或将迎来改善。研报预计未来全球镨钕氧化物市场会出现需求缺口,镨钕价格有望持续上涨。伴 随出口逐步恢复,国内外中重稀土价差有望收敛,看好国内氧化镝、氧化铽价格上涨。 据了解,稀土是17种元素的总称,是不可再生的战略资源。根据其物理化学性质及分布情况,可分为轻稀土和中重稀土两大类。轻稀土储量较丰富且分布广 泛,而中重稀土更为稀罕且分布不均,大部分集中在中国。 (文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 7月10日晚间,国内稀土双巨头北方稀土(600111.SH)、包钢股份(600010.SH)双双公告,拟将2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为不含税19109 元/吨(干量,REO=50%,下同),REO每增减1%、不含税价格增减382 ...