另有消息称，派特鲜生首店也将于11月25日关闭。而客服也表示，关店是总部的决定，其他店后续都会关。 去年3月，侯毅卸任盒马CEO后，于同年11月创立派特鲜生，切入宠物鲜食赛道，目标做宠物领域的盒马鲜生。 光鲜的背景，也让派特鲜生快速拿到融资，今年2月首店开业，半年快速开了十多家店，并计划2025年在上海开设100家门店。 然而，仅过去半年派特鲜生被爆出线下折戟的动态。 据多家媒体报道，大众点评App显示，派特鲜生在上海开设的18家门店中，有7家显示「暂停营业」或「歇业关闭」。 据了解，该项目最初定位为新零售连锁店，主打现制现售鲜食、冷藏鲜食及宠物用品。 也是派侯毅2024年3月卸任盒马CEO后的首个创业项目，上半年因「宠物麻辣烫」事件爆红网络。 此外，其在2025年5月获2500万美元天使轮融资，创了宠物行业纪录。 线下折戟的原因，分析认为是宠物鲜食需冷链配送，现制模式推高运营成本，但消费频次低且市场教育不足。 柴狗夫斯基©️ 作者|小柴贰号 编辑｜谭松 值得注意的是，这些门店中部分门店开业仅3个多月便停业。 侯毅随后也确认了这个消息，因线下门店经营压力大，计划到今年12月中旬关闭所有「派特鲜生」门店，但会保 ...

Core Insights - The "pet economy" has emerged as a significant consumer sector in China, driven by changing family structures and consumption concepts, with a market size projected to reach 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 7.5% year-on-year growth [1][2] - The emotional bond between pets and owners is a key driver of this economic growth, as pets are increasingly viewed as family members and emotional companions [1][4] Group 1: Market Growth and Trends - The number of urban pets (dogs and cats) in China is expected to exceed 120 million by 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] - The "pet economy" encompasses a full industry chain, including food, medical care, and equipment, reflecting a shift towards "humanization" of pets, where spending on pets parallels that of children [2] - The industry has attracted significant investment, leading to a more complete and specialized supply chain, from food development to medical and funeral services [2] Group 2: Emotional and Social Factors - The rise of single-person households and empty-nesters has created a demand for emotional companionship, with pets fulfilling this role [1][2] - The "pet economy" is characterized by strong anti-cyclical properties, as consumers are less likely to reduce spending on pets during economic downturns due to the emotional bonds formed [2] Group 3: Challenges and Concerns - The rapid growth of the "pet economy" has led to potential issues, including the creation of consumer bubbles driven by marketing tactics that prioritize profit over genuine pet needs [3] - Conflicts in public spaces due to pet ownership, such as issues related to leash laws and cleanliness, have become more common [3] - The lack of standardized regulations in the pet care industry, particularly in medical and grooming services, raises concerns about service quality and safety [3] Group 4: Future Directions - The "pet economy" represents a new form of emotional consumption, reflecting modern lifestyles and the need for responsible pet ownership [4] - There is a call for improved legislation and industry regulation, as well as public education on responsible pet care, to ensure the sustainable growth of the "pet economy" [4]

Core Insights - The "pet economy" has emerged as a significant consumer sector in China, projected to reach a market size of 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [1][2] - The emotional connection between pets and their owners drives diverse consumer demands, as pets are increasingly viewed as family members and emotional companions [1][4] Group 1: Market Growth and Trends - The number of urban pets (dogs and cats) in China is expected to exceed 120 million by 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 2.1% [1] - The "pet economy" encompasses a full industry chain, including food, medical care, and equipment, driven by the emotional value pets provide [1][2] - The trend of "humanization" of pets is evident, with many young couples shifting their parenting investments from children to pets, leading to a rise in premium pet products and services [2] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The growth of the pet population has led to a complete industry chain, attracting significant investment and resulting in a more specialized and professional market [2] - The pet economy is considered to be resilient and anti-cyclical, as consumers are unlikely to reduce spending on pets even during economic downturns [2] Group 3: Challenges and Concerns - The rapid growth of the pet economy has led to potential issues, including the creation of consumer bubbles driven by marketing tactics that promote unnecessary products [3] - Conflicts in public spaces due to pet ownership, such as issues related to leash laws and cleanliness, have become more common [3] - The lack of standardized regulations in the pet industry, particularly in medical and grooming services, raises concerns about service quality and safety [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The pet economy represents a new form of emotional consumption, reflecting modern lifestyles and the need for emotional connections [4] - There is a call for improved legislation and industry regulation, as well as promoting responsible pet ownership to ensure a sustainable future for the pet economy [4]

Core Viewpoint - The pet economy is highlighted as a new growth driver for the Sanshui District's economic development, with a target to achieve a total revenue and investment of 3 billion yuan each by 2027 [1][4]. Group 1: Economic Development Goals - The Sanshui District aims to leverage its current pet industry scale of 1.3 billion yuan and nearly 200 market entities to focus on the collaborative development of the entire pet economy industry chain [1][4]. - The district plans to achieve a dual target of 3 billion yuan in total revenue and investment in the pet economy by 2027 [1][4]. Group 2: Strategic Development Plans - The district will implement a "dual-axis linkage, all-region development" spatial layout, focusing on different areas for specific pet industry segments, such as pet food, pet medicine, and pet cleaning products [4]. - Key areas for development include the establishment of various pet-themed IP zones and bases, such as the "exotic pet industry cluster" and "pet-friendly experience areas" [4]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Investment Initiatives - The district will enhance pet-friendly facilities, including communities, parks, and hotels, and introduce pet tourism services [5]. - A pet industry investment fund will be established, along with specialized credit and leasing services to support the sector [5]. - The district plans to host annual pet carnivals and competitions to build a national brand for pet events and exhibitions [5].

Group 1 - Hainan's new duty-free policy generated over 500 million yuan in sales during its first week, with a year-on-year increase of 34.86% in shopping amount and 3.37% in visitor numbers [1] - The first store of the high-end fragrance brand "Wenxian" opened in Wuxi, featuring a design that integrates local culture and aesthetics [3] - Shanghai Tang opened its first store in South China, showcasing a blend of innovative design and traditional Eastern aesthetics [5] Group 2 - The world's first humanoid robot-themed retail flagship store opened in Shenzhen, featuring interactive robots and a futuristic design [7] - SHEIN opened its first physical store in Paris, with plans to expand to six more locations in France by the end of November [10] - LVMH plans to open several new flagship stores in Beijing in December, marking a significant expansion in the Chinese market [12][13] Group 3 - CPE Yuanfeng acquired an 83% stake in Burger King China, with plans to expand the number of stores from approximately 1,250 to over 4,000 by 2035 [14] - Luckin Coffee's major shareholder is considering a bid for Costa Coffee, which is currently valued at around 1 billion pounds [17] - Haidilao's pizza brand "Xiao Hai Ai Zha" opened its first store in Xi'an, with plans for further expansion [21] Group 4 - Pet food brand "Pet & Fresh" is closing all its stores, with several already marked as closed or paused [22][24] - Sam's Club opened its 60th store in China, located in Yangzhou [26] - Walmart announced a leadership change, appointing John Furner as the new CEO effective February 2026 [27][29] Group 5 - Chaohe Suan NB is expanding nationwide, recruiting for various positions across multiple provinces [31] - JD.com is set to open its first discount supermarket in Beijing, with an area of approximately 5,000 square meters [32] - Richemont reported a 5% increase in total sales, with a significant 17% growth in sales from its four major jewelry brands in the second quarter [33][34] Group 6 - Gao Xin Retail reported a revenue of 30.502 billion yuan for the first half of the fiscal year, with plans to renovate over 200 stores before the next fiscal year [35]

11月17日，侯毅正式对外回应称，因门店经营压力超出预期，计划于今年12月中旬关闭所有线下门店， 仅保留线上业务。 这个"风口"上的创业项目仅维持了10个月。 今年2月，派特鲜生在上海长宁区开出第一家门店，以宠物鲜食为核心业务，还覆盖宠物零食、主粮和 保健品品类，一度被市场寄予"宠物版盒马"的厚望。 彼时，派特鲜生以多店齐开的节奏在上海快速布局，门店选址多集中在核心商场，品牌调性与盒马接 近，且宣称与盒马共用供应链。侯毅则在品牌启动大会上喊出未来要开100家门店、从上海走向全国的 扩张计划。 宠物行业的发展潜力叠加侯毅在零售行业的影响力，使该项目一度备受资本追捧。半年前，派特鲜生宣 布完成2500万美元（约1.78亿元）天使轮融资，成为近年宠物行业天使轮融资金额最大的项目。 盒马创始人侯毅创办的宠物鲜食门店"派特鲜生"近期被曝将在年底全部关停。 有创始团队光环加持、又踩中风口行业的派特鲜生，何以至此？ "经营压力大"是侯毅给出的直接原因，但许多养宠人士对这个结果并不意外，甚至有消费者直言，派特 鲜生给人的感觉是"只是想做宠物行业的生意，但又没有解决真实的需求"。 从行业发展阶段来看，尽管中国宠物行业增速较快， ...

Economic Overview - In 2024, China's GDP is projected to grow by 5.0%, with per capita disposable income increasing by 5.3%[3] - National spending on "other goods and services" is expected to rise by 10.8% year-on-year, with pet consumption significantly outpacing broader categories[3] Pet Market Growth - The total market size of the pet industry in China is anticipated to reach 528.8 billion yuan in 2024, with pet food accounting for nearly half of this market[6] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the pet food sector from 2020 to 2024 is projected at 7.11%[6] Consumer Demographics - The Z generation (ages 18-30) contributes over 60% of pet consumption, with over half of new pet owners being born after 2000[1] - The elderly population (65 years and older) has increased to 15.4%, indicating a growing market for emotional companionship through pets[1] Brand Dynamics - Domestic brands now hold 70% of the top 20 market positions in pet food, with the top five local brands accounting for 11.2% of the market share[1] - The market concentration remains low, with the top three brands holding only 29.5% of the market share, compared to 54.2% in the U.S.[1] Online Sales Trends - E-commerce accounts for 67.5% of pet food sales in China, significantly higher than Japan (26.2%) and the U.S. (37.2%) in 2024[1] - Platforms like Xiaohongshu and Douyin are pivotal in driving consumer engagement and sales conversion, with Douyin contributing over 50% of weekly GMV for pet food[1] Health and Technology Trends - There is a notable shift towards health-oriented pet food, with 57.3% of consumers preferring products that promote digestion[1] - Smart pet products, such as automated feeders and odor eliminators, have seen sales growth exceeding 100% during promotional periods[1]

Core Viewpoint - In October, the pig farming industry experienced a significant increase in the number of pigs slaughtered, leading to a sharp decline in pork prices due to oversupply and weakened demand [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In October, 14 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 17.2 million pigs, representing a month-on-month increase of 23.20% and a year-on-year increase of 25.85% [1][2]. - Major companies such as Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and New Hope reported slaughter increases of 26.97%, 17.07%, and 20.87% respectively [1][2]. - The total number of market pigs slaughtered by these companies was approximately 15.4 million, with a month-on-month increase of 23.96% and a year-on-year increase of 24.58% [2]. Group 2: Price Dynamics - The increase in slaughter volume has led to a significant drop in pork prices, with most listed companies reporting a price decline of over 10% month-on-month and over 30% year-on-year [2]. - The average weight of slaughtered pigs increased to 126.27 kg, up by 1.09 kg month-on-month, indicating a trend towards heavier pigs being brought to market [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The current weak prices for both fattened pigs and piglets, alongside policy-driven factors, suggest that the pig farming industry may initiate a capacity reduction phase [4]. - The price of fattened pigs has fallen below 12 yuan per kg, while weaned piglet prices are around 200 yuan per head, indicating a phase of overall industry losses [4]. - Historical trends suggest that when both fattened and piglet prices are low, the industry is likely to undergo market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to benefit from recent policies and market dynamics that promote capacity reduction, enhancing long-term performance for companies like Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and others [5]. - The recovery in pig inventory is anticipated to boost demand for feed and veterinary products, benefiting companies in the downstream supply chain [5]. - The agricultural sector is showing positive trends with rising grain prices, presenting investment opportunities in large-scale agricultural companies [5].

牧业大周期：行业大反转预计在即。1）牛肉与牛奶双品种有望反转：国内 肉牛产能去化级别或及 2019 年猪周期，2025 年已迎来价格拐点，后续 有望持续上涨至 2027 年。国内原奶价格已累计下跌近 4 年，持续亏损 带来产能出清压力，同时肉奶比价已至历史高位，后续有望推动奶牛淘 汰加快，实现"肉奶共振"。2）国内与国外两个市场协同涨价：海外牛 肉价格在主产区减产推动下，已进入上行周期，叠加进口调控，未来国 内进口牛肉预计量减价增。原奶进口方面，全球奶粉持续去库，景气重 回上行通道，目前进口大包粉已失去性价比，后续在国内产能收缩和进 口减量共同推动下，国内原奶供需格局预计改善，价格有望迎来修复。 猪禽养殖链：弱化周期，强化龙头。未来投资将从注重周期节奏转向公司管 理内核，从重视资本开支转向现金流创造。1）生猪：官方产能调控将加速 头部企业现金流快速好转，并有望转型为红利标的，在全行业产能收缩 的背景下，龙头的成本优势有望明显提高，强者恒强。2）禽养殖：供给 波动幅度有限，行情有望随需求复苏，龙头企业凭借单位超额收益优势 有望实现更高现金流分红回报。3）饲料：畜禽养殖工业化加深，产业分 工明确，饲料龙头凭借技术 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary sector, including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and others [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in mid-to-high-end consumption and increased focus on high-dividend A/H stocks, which has driven attention to sub-sectors within discretionary consumption [1][4]. - Various sub-sectors have shown different performance trends, with overseas sportswear leading the gains, followed by luxury goods and domestic sportswear [4][12]. Performance Review by Sub-Sector - **Weekly Performance**: Overseas sportswear increased by 6.8%, luxury goods by 5.2%, and domestic sportswear by 3.8%. In contrast, the pet sector saw a decline of 5.8% [4][12]. - **Monthly Performance**: The gambling sector led with an 8.4% increase, while domestic cosmetics experienced a significant decline of 14.3% [12]. - **Year-to-Date Performance**: The gold and jewelry sector outperformed with a 137.2% increase, while overseas sportswear saw a decline of 21.5% [12]. Sub-Sector Analysis - **Overseas Sportswear**: Notable gains driven by strong Q3 FY25 earnings, particularly in EMEA and Asia-Pacific regions, alleviating market concerns [6][15]. - **Luxury Goods**: Companies like Samsonite and Burberry reported better-than-expected earnings, boosting market confidence [6][15]. - **Domestic Sportswear**: OEM companies confirmed growth expectations for 2026 orders, contributing to positive stock performance [6][15]. - **Gold and Jewelry**: The sector benefited from rising international gold prices and favorable tax regulations in Hong Kong and Macau [8][15]. - **Pet Sector**: Experienced a decline post Double Eleven sales, with increased competition among brands [15]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that most sub-sectors are trading below their historical five-year average P/E ratios, suggesting potential undervaluation [9][16]. - **Projected P/E Ratios for 2025**: - Overseas sportswear: 29.1x (55% of historical average) - Domestic sportswear: 14.8x (78% of historical average) - Gold and jewelry: 23.8x (45% of historical average) - Luxury goods: 27.0x (49% of historical average) [9][16].