| 板块名称 | 治區� | 主力金额 | 板块名称 | 涨幅备 | 主力金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 油气开采及服务 | +4.42% | -10.27 乙 | 贵金属 | -1.79% | -4.88 7. | | 游戏 | +3.50% | +8.01 乙 | 毛发医疗 | -1.07% | -1.26 Z. | | 影视院线 | +3.09% | +13.447. | 青蒿素 | -0.97% | -7111万 | | 风电设备 | +2.96% | +4.03 7. | 兵装重组概念 | -0.95% | -2.17 亿 | | 可燃冰 | +2.77% | -4.72 Z | 机场航运 | -0.82% | +2182万 | | 电子身份证 | +2.70% | +7.60 7. | 金属锌 | -0.79% | -3.03 7. | | 快手概念 | +2.70% | +15.43 7. | 汽车服务及其他 | -0.79% | +17317 | | Web3.0 | +2.68% | +10.15 7 | 美容护理 | -0.75% ...

各位老铁，我是20年财经老司机帮主郑重。今天这市场可真是"屋漏偏逢连夜雨"——以色列和伊朗周末互炸不停，直接把布伦特原油轰到75美元/桶，黄 金也跟着窜到3444美元/盎司，这架势简直像在看《速度与激情》的原油版！作为中长线玩家，咱们得把显微镜和望远镜都用上，既要盯紧当下的避险机 会，又得看清长期的战略布局。 不过咱们也别光顾着避险，政策面的暖风还在吹。央行上周又撒了5000亿逆回购，市场流动性像"活水"一样。科技自主这条主线可不能丢，工信部的《算 力互联互通计划》正在推进，光模块龙头中际旭创、服务器巨头浪潮信息，短期被错杀反而是捡便宜的机会。消费板块也有惊喜，618大促数据超预期， 美妆龙头珀莱雅、家电巨头美的集团，业绩确定性比黄金还稳。 技术面上，原油下方72美元是强支撑，这是OPEC+减产协议的成本线，跌破的概率不大。黄金3400美元是关键心理关口，只要站稳，下一个目标就是 3750美元的历史新高。操作上别太激进，5-6成仓位拿着，30%能源军工，30%科技成长，20%消费，剩下20%现金机动。早盘要是量能破了3000亿，该加 仓就加仓；要是跌破原油72美元或者黄金3400美元，就切换到高股息模式，银行 ...

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 2025 年 06 月 15 日 中东冲突升级导致油价宽幅震荡， 关注中东局势变化 看好 ——石油化工行业周报(2025/6/9—2025/6/15) 相关研究 刘子栋 A0230523110002 liuzd@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈悦 (8621)23297818× chenyue@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 - ⚫ 中东冲突升级导致油价宽幅震荡，关注中东局势变化。在以色列对伊朗进行打击之下， 布伦特油价在 6 月 13 日盘中一度冲高至 78.5 美金/桶，创下近五年来的最大单日涨幅。 对于以伊事件的后续影响，我们认为可能存在三种可能：1）若事态可控，双方没有在现 有基础上扩大矛盾，只是进行有限的反击 ...

证券研究报告 大炼化周报：长丝价格下跌，产销增加 能源化工首席证券分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600123070007 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月15日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪】国内重点大炼化项目本周价差为2675元/吨，环比-48元/吨（环比-2%）；国外 重点大炼化项目本周价差为1063元/吨，环比-23元/吨（环比-2%）。 ◼ 【聚 酯 板 块 】本 周POY/FDY/DTY行业均价分别为 6979/7279/8200元/吨， 环比分别-57/-21/+0元/吨， POY/FDY/DTY行业周均利润为96/30/44元/吨，环比分别+8/+31/+46元/吨，POY/FDY/DTY行业库存为 16.5/21.6/28.4天，环比分别+2.7/+0.9/+1.1天，长丝开工率为89.1%，环比-0.6pct。下游方面，本周织机开工 率为61.3%，环比-1.1pct，织造企业原料 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Bezan Oil Company in Israel is continuing its refining operations, although some downstream activities have been shut down [1] Group 2 - The refining facilities of Bezan are still operational, indicating a level of resilience in the company's core operations despite external challenges [1] - The closure of certain downstream operations suggests a strategic response to current market conditions or operational constraints [1]

Group 1 - The bombing by Iran last night caused damage to the refinery and its expansion in Haifa Bay [1]

我省终止防汛防风Ⅲ级应急响应 恢复期各项工作有序进行 六月十四日，在位于洋浦经济开发区的中国石化海南炼化公司，工作人员在排查安全隐患，确保生产正 常运行。 据统计，6月10日8时至14日16时，全省有12个市县共74个乡镇(区)雨量超过200毫米，其中三亚市、陵水 黎族自治县和保亭黎族苗族自治县3个市县共3个乡镇(区)雨量超过500毫米，最大为三亚市天涯区667.9毫米。 另外，本岛四周沿海陆地普遍出现9至11级阵风，个别乡镇达13级，最大为三亚市天涯区13级(37.8米/秒)。 受台风影响，截至14日12时，我省通信基站退服647个，35kV、10kV电网线路跳闸97条，其中经抢修已 恢复63条。全省484处地质灾害隐患点中，2处出现险情，均被及时处置。 台风登陆后，省防减救灾委立即针对性部署强降雨防御工作，各相关部门紧盯重点领域风险。农业农村 部门加大渔港渔船渔排排查力度，严打"抢风头、赶风尾"等违规行为，并紧急调拨防疫物资支援乐东、东 方、琼中、五指山等4个受台风登陆影响较大的市县，指导做好灾后动物防疫工作;交通运输部门投入2000余 人次巡查保通公路，对发生崩塌和积水路段及漫水桥进行临时交通封闭管制， ...

2025年，公司将重点推进"1234"发展战略，具体规划如下："1"个根本目的解决基层急难愁盼，增进民 生福祉、提高员工生活品质和收入水平，增强员工的获得感、幸福感和安全感。"2"个增长曲线端牢能 源饭碗，巩固拓展油非"第一增长曲线"；加快转型发展，开启新能源"第二增长曲线"。"3"个发展根基 夯实筑牢从严治党、从严强企根基；夯实筑牢主责主业、攻坚创效根基夯实筑牢守正创新、转型发展根 基。"4"个发展思路锚定"综合能源+综合服务+数字经济"发展方向，坚持"油是基础、气是重点、电是趋 势、服是未来"的发展思路。 截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日，公司尚未实施本次股份购（详见 2025年 6月 4日公告编号2025-26）。后续进 展情况请关注公司在指定信息披露媒体发布的相关公告。 2024年 12月 17日发布的《关于改进和加强中央企业控股上市公司市值管理工作的若干意见》中，国资 委提出将市值管理作为一项长期战略管理行为，被纳入央企负责人考核，推动央国企更加重视市场表 现；同时，国资委也通过多种方式强化国有资产的保值增值，包括提升经营效率、加强公司治理、优化 信息披露等。泰山石油作为央企控股上市公司，积极响 ...

Group 1 - Company GuoDeWei plans to repurchase shares with a total investment of between 100 million to 150 million yuan, with a maximum repurchase price of 53 yuan per share, expecting to buy back between 1.89 million to 2.83 million shares, accounting for 0.78% to 1.17% of total share capital [1] - Company Shuangliang Energy has won a bid for the Gansu Energy Chemical Qinyang 2×660MW coal power project, with a total bid amount of 237 million yuan, representing 1.82% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [1] - Company China Pacific Insurance reported a total premium income of 227.17 billion yuan from its two subsidiaries in the first five months, with a year-on-year growth of 10.2% for its life insurance subsidiary and 0.5% for its property insurance subsidiary [1][2] Group 2 - Company LuKang Pharmaceutical has received a drug registration certificate for injectable Cefoperazone Sodium, a third-generation cephalosporin with broad-spectrum antibacterial properties [3] - Company 吉祥航空 reported a 4.97% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover in May, with a seat occupancy rate of 86.14%, up 3.70% year-on-year [4][5] - Company DuRui Pharmaceutical's subsidiary has also received a drug registration certificate for injectable Cefoperazone Sodium [6] Group 3 - Company KeLan Software announced that part of the shares held by its controlling shareholder will be auctioned, involving 5.09 million shares, accounting for 1.07% of the total share capital [7] - Company HuaCan Optoelectronics received a government subsidy of 87.84 million yuan, which is expected to positively impact the company's pre-tax profit for 2025 [8] - Company JinZhi Technology has won a bid for projects from the State Grid and China Resources New Energy, with a total bid amount of 84.41 million yuan [9] Group 4 - Company Vision China completed a capital increase for its subsidiary, raising 100 million yuan to accelerate its layout in the AI field [11] - Company Youa Co. received a profit distribution of 96.03 million yuan from its investment in Changsha Bank [13] - Company WanBangde's subsidiary obtained a patent for a deuterated compound, enhancing the chemical stability and reducing toxicity [16] Group 5 - Company DongCheng Pharmaceutical completed the enrollment of all 488 participants in the Phase III clinical trial for Fluorine-18 PSMA peptide injection, aimed at prostate cancer diagnosis [17] - Company China Merchants Expressway announced that its first phase of medium-term notes for 2024 will pay interest on July 2, 2025, with a total issuance of 2.5 billion yuan and an interest rate of 2.35% [18] - Company JinPu Titanium's subsidiary has temporarily suspended production for maintenance due to falling product prices and high production costs [20] Group 6 - Company BeiLu Pharmaceutical received a marketing authorization for Iodinated Contrast Injection in Hungary, marking another approval in the EU [22] - Company LiXing Co. obtained an overseas investment certificate for its wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore, with a total investment of 2.16 million yuan [24] - Company LangKun Technology won a garbage collection service project with a bid amount of 21.57 million yuan [26] Group 7 - Company KeRui International plans to transfer 55% of its subsidiary Tianjin ZhiRui's equity for 41.96 million yuan [28] - Company Nanjing JuLong intends to invest 130 million yuan to build a production project for special materials with an annual output of 40,000 tons [30] - Company NanShan Intelligent plans to use up to 50 million yuan of idle funds for cash management in safe and liquid financial products [32] Group 8 - Company GuangLian Aviation completed the business change registration for its subsidiary, involving the introduction of strategic investors [34] - Company XiaoFang Pharmaceutical signed a cooperation agreement to develop a new drug for hair loss treatment [36] - Company GuiZhou SanLi plans to sign a 150 million yuan technology transfer and development contract with Guangdong Pharmaceutical University [38] Group 9 - Company ST SiLong's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for Famotidine injection, used for treating upper gastrointestinal bleeding [52] - Company ZhongKe Information's executive plans to reduce holdings of up to 180,000 shares, accounting for 0.06% of total share capital [53] - Company KeLun Pharmaceutical's injectable Cefoperazone Sodium/Chloride Sodium injection received drug registration approval [54] Group 10 - Company LuXin Investment plans to transfer 10.06% of its stake in LuXin HuiJin for 203 million yuan, aiming to focus on its main business [56] - Company Western Gold plans to acquire 100% of Xinjiang MeiSheng for 1.655 billion yuan [58] - Company JinTou City Development intends to swap assets worth 5.862 billion yuan, changing its main business to urban centralized heating [60]

Group 1: Oil and Petrochemical Industry - OPEC+ is continuing to increase production, which may put pressure on oil prices. The report suggests that despite short-term bearish sentiment due to trade wars, the domestic petrochemical industry maintains a cost advantage due to improved cost structures [6][7]. - The report recommends focusing on upstream resource companies like China National Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, as oil prices are expected to recover after hitting seasonal lows in Q2 [6][7]. - The marine oil service industry is projected to maintain stable capital expenditures, with domestic reserves and production continuing to grow. Companies like CNOOC Engineering and Bohai Drilling are highlighted for their low valuations and advanced technology [7]. Group 2: Automotive Industry - Changan Automobile reported a wholesale sales volume of 224,300 units in May 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 8.47% and a year-on-year increase of 17.65%. The cumulative sales volume for the first five months of 2025 reached 1.1202 million units, up 1.00% year-on-year [8][9]. - The indirect controlling shareholder, China Ordnance Equipment Group, has received approval for a restructuring plan, which is expected to enhance Changan's strategic position and operational efficiency [10][11]. - The report anticipates significant growth in Changan's electric vehicle segment, with a projected increase in sales driven by new model launches and international expansion [9][11]. Group 3: Employment and Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls added 139,000 jobs in May 2025, slightly above expectations, but the report notes a downward revision in previous months' data, indicating potential underlying weaknesses in the labor market [12][13]. - The service sector remains the primary contributor to job growth, while the manufacturing sector shows signs of cooling, likely due to declining retail demand [14][15]. - Despite stable unemployment rates, the report highlights rising wage growth, which may complicate the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rate cuts [15]. Group 4: Macro Economic Outlook - The report expresses optimism for the recovery of the consumer services sector, technology, and cyclical leaders, suggesting a potential reversal in these areas [16][19]. - Global asset performance shows a rebound in stock markets, with commodities like oil and gold also experiencing price increases due to improved trade relations and monetary policy adjustments [16][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic indicators, including manufacturing PMI and industrial output, to gauge future economic trends [19].