共同富裕是社会主义的本质要求，是中国式现代化的重要特征。"十四五"时期，浙江省杭州市作为拥有 超千万人口的特大城市，在高质量发展建设共同富裕示范区的实践中，坚定不移以"八八战略"为统领， 致力于建立促进共同富裕的体制机制，持续缩小"三大差距"，全力推进公共服务优质共享，共同富裕示 范区城市范例建设取得了明显的阶段性成效。 面向"十五五"，杭州市将锚定"人民至上"的价值坐标，以改革创新为根本动力，奋力推动浙江省高质量 发展建设共同富裕示范区取得决定性进展，力争率先呈现基本实现社会主义现代化的生动图景。 聚焦高质量发展，夯实共同富裕物质基础 高质量发展是实现共同富裕的重要前提基础。杭州市坚持稳扎稳打、守正创新，在夯实"稳"的基础上蓄 势，在激发"进"的动能中突破，以经济的系统性跃迁为共同富裕筑牢根基。"十四五"时期，杭州地区生 产总值跨越2万亿元新台阶，高端制造业强势突围，数字经济持续领跑，新兴产业蓬勃发展，创新活力 之城的发展成色不断提升。 项目建设是经济社会发展的"硬支撑"。今年1—11月，杭州市235个"千项万亿"工程累计完成投资1350亿 元，投资完成率达125.6%，54个新开工项目已全部开工建设，为经 ...

□ 胡勇 江苏省委经济工作会议指出，因地制宜发展新质生产力，深化拓展"人工智能+"，力争在人工智能赋能 产业发展上形成江苏独特优势。在"十五五"时期，发展新质生产力，核心在于科技创新，而"人工智能 +"则是这股创新浪潮中最具爆发力、渗透力和颠覆性的"关键变量"。 科学把握"人工智能+"驱动新质生产力的内涵跃迁。党的二十届四中全会强调，"加快高水平科技自立自 强，引领发展新质生产力。"要深刻理解这一论断，必须实现从"工具"到"引擎"的认知跃迁。过去十余 年，"互联网+"深刻改变了我们的生活方式，其核心逻辑是"连接"，解决的是信息不对称问题。而以人 工智能为代表的新一轮科技革命，其核心逻辑则是"赋能"与"生成"，解决的是知识创造、逻辑推理与生 产效率问题。这一转变，标志着人工智能已不再仅仅是辅助人类劳动的单一"工具"，而是演变为驱动新 质生产力发展的核心"引擎"。 始终坚持"以人为本"的终极指向。"人工智能+"的终极目的，不是为了取代人，而是为了服务人、发展 人。无论是算法推荐还是大模型应用，都必须坚持"人是目的"的伦理原则。我们要警惕技术异化带来的 风险，避免人成为算法的附庸。在推动技术发展时，要始终将人的全面 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of AI on global markets, particularly in the US, China, Hong Kong, and other Asian markets, highlighting the significant role of the AI industry chain, including sectors like chips, storage, electricity, and non-ferrous metals in driving market growth [1][5]. Core Insights and Arguments Economic Performance - The US economy showed strong growth in Q3 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter annualized GDP growth of 4.3% and a nominal growth rate exceeding 8%, with AI contributing nearly 1% to GDP [1][6]. - Consumer resilience remains strong, but a weak job market poses risks, with unemployment potentially rising to 4.8%, raising recession concerns [1][6]. Market Dynamics - The AI sector has led to a revaluation of stocks, particularly in Hong Kong, although the Hang Seng Tech Index has corrected by 15%-20% from its peak, indicating short-term volatility risks [1][5]. - The US credit cycle is expected to recover by 2026, with potential overheating risks [1][6]. Policy Impacts - Trump's policies, particularly regarding tariffs, have influenced market sentiment and economic growth, with the effective tax rate being lower than initially feared, thus having a minimal impact on inflation [1][8]. - The upcoming midterm elections may affect policy execution, particularly if the Republican Party loses control of the House [1][8]. Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's hesitant approach to interest rate cuts is seen as beneficial for sectors like real estate and manufacturing, with moderate cuts expected to stimulate demand without significantly impacting inflation [1][9]. - The new Fed chair's dovish stance may reflect in long-term rates, potentially boosting economic demand [1][9]. AI Bubble Concerns - While there are concerns about an AI bubble, current demand and investment levels do not yet reflect the extremes seen in past bubbles, suggesting that while expectations are high, they are not unsustainable at this point [1][7]. Additional Important Insights Currency and Trade - The Chinese market's growth has been primarily driven by valuation, with the tech hardware sector contributing significantly to profits. Future growth will depend on earnings rather than just valuation [1][13]. - The Chinese government is implementing supply-side policies to boost consumption, including removing restrictive measures and increasing the supply of quality goods and services [1][4][27]. Market Trends and Investment Strategies - The investment strategy for the upcoming year suggests a shift from valuation-driven to earnings-driven growth, with a focus on large-cap growth stocks and potential opportunities in cyclical sectors related to real estate [1][22][24]. - The liquidity situation in the US has improved due to the Fed's actions, which is expected to support the stock market [1][10]. Consumer Behavior and Economic Outlook - Consumer spending is expected to be affected by high base effects and declining purchasing power, with the real estate sector's downturn exacerbating consumption weakness [2][13][14]. - The outlook for the real estate market shows significant differentiation, with second-hand home prices declining while the high-end new home market remains active [1][14]. Global Investment Landscape - The global investment landscape in 2025 is expected to be bullish for most asset classes, with emerging markets like South Korea and China's ChiNext showing strong performance [3][5]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into economic performance, market dynamics, policy impacts, and future investment strategies across various sectors.

Core Insights - In the first eleven months of 2025, the total profit of large-scale industrial enterprises in China reached 66,268.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [1] By Enterprise Type - State-owned enterprises reported a total profit of 20,083.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year [4] - Shareholding enterprises achieved a total profit of 49,565.6 billion yuan, down by 0.4% [4] - Foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises saw a profit of 16,355.3 billion yuan, an increase of 2.4% [4] - Private enterprises recorded a total profit of 19,319.9 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.1% [4] By Industry Type - The manufacturing sector generated a total profit of 50,317.9 billion yuan, marking a growth of 5.0% [6] - The mining industry reported a profit of 7,896.3 billion yuan, down by 27.2% year-on-year [6] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector achieved a profit of 8,054.4 billion yuan, increasing by 8.4% [6] Key Industries - The computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry experienced a profit increase of 15.0% [7] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a profit growth of 7.5% [7] - The agricultural and sideline food processing industry grew by 4.8% [7] - The oil and natural gas extraction industry faced a profit decline of 13.6% [7] - The coal mining and washing industry suffered a significant drop of 47.3% [7] Monthly Performance - In November, the profits of large-scale industrial enterprises fell by 13.1% year-on-year [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency fundamental data from December 22, 2025, to December 28, 2025. The Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is stable, but the year - on - year increase has narrowed, and the long - short signal of interest - rate bonds has been adjusted down. Most sub - indices show changes in growth rates, including narrowing year - on - year increases or expanding decreases [9]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - The Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 129.3 points (previous value: 129.2 points), with a year - on - year increase of 6.1 points (previous value: 6.2 points), and the year - on - year increase has narrowed. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is adjusted down, with a signal factor of 3.2% (previous value: 3.4%) [9]. 3.2 Production:开工率多数回落 (Most Operating Rates Decline) - The industrial production high - frequency index is 127.8 (previous value: 127.7), with a year - on - year increase of 4.9 points (previous value: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year increase has narrowed. Operating rates such as electric furnace, polyester, semi - tire, full - tire, PTA, and PX have changed, with most showing a decline [9][11][16]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales:商品房成交面积小幅上升 (Slight Increase in Commercial Housing Transaction Area) - The commercial housing sales high - frequency index is 40.7 (previous value: 40.8), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.5 points (previous value: 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline has expanded. The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 41.4 million square meters (previous value: 34.9 million square meters), and the land premium rate of 100 large and medium - sized cities is 1.2% (previous value: 1.7%) [9][11][29]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment:石油沥青开工率回升 (Recovery of Asphalt Operating Rate) - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index is 122.0 (previous value: 122.1), with a year - on - year increase of 8.3 points (previous value: 8.5 points), and the year - on - year increase has narrowed. The operating rate of asphalt is 31.3% (previous value: 27.6%) [9][11][39]. 3.5 Export:运价指数小幅上行 (Slight Increase in Freight Rate Index) - The export high - frequency index is 143.7 (previous value: 143.7), with a year - on - year increase of 0.3 points (previous value: 0.4 points), and the year - on - year increase has narrowed. The CCFI index is 1146.7 points (previous value: 1124.7 points), and the RJ/CRB index is 300.6 points (previous value: 293.9 points) [9][11][46]. 3.6 Consumption:日均电影票房回升 (Recovery of Daily Average Movie Box Office) - The consumption high - frequency index is 121.1 (previous value: 121.1), with a year - on - year increase of 3.3 points (previous value: 3.4 points), and the year - on - year increase has narrowed. The daily average movie box office is 10,811 million yuan (previous value: 9,836 million yuan) [9][11][56]. 3.7 CPI:水果、鸡肉价格上涨 (Increase in Fruit and Chicken Prices) - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). The average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.8 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.6 yuan/kg), and the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.8 yuan/kg) [10][11][63]. 3.8 PPI:铜铝现货、原油价格上涨 (Increase in Copper, Aluminum Spot, and Crude Oil Prices) - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.1% (previous value: 0.1%). The spot settlement price of LME copper is 12,088 US dollars/ton (previous value: 11,739 US dollars/ton), the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2,916 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2,855 US dollars/ton), and the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 62 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 60 US dollars/barrel) [10][11][69]. 3.9 Transportation:客运量全面上涨 (Comprehensive Increase in Passenger Volume) - The transportation high - frequency index is 133.9 (previous value: 133.7), with a year - on - year increase of 11.0 points (previous value: 11.0 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The passenger volume of subways in first - tier cities is 3,905 million person - times (previous value: 3,863 million person - times), the highway logistics freight rate index is 1052 points (previous value: 1051 points), and the number of domestic flights is 12,353 (previous value: 12,172) [10][11][80]. 3.10 Inventory:纯碱库存小幅回落 (Slight Decline in Soda Ash Inventory) - The inventory high - frequency index is 163.7 (previous value: 163.6), with a year - on - year increase of 7.4 points (previous value: 7.4 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The inventory days of PTA are 3.6 days (previous value: 3.8 days), and the soda ash inventory is 146.9 million tons (previous value: 151.6 million tons) [10][11][87]. 3.11 Financing:地方债融资由正转负 (Local Government Bond Financing Turns Negative) - The financing high - frequency index is 245.9 (previous value: 245.2), with a year - on - year increase of 30.9 points (previous value: 30.9 points), and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged. The net financing of local government bonds is - 3200 million yuan (previous value: 28100 million yuan), and the net financing of credit bonds is 40800 million yuan (previous value: 57500 million yuan) [10][11][98].

Group 1 - The number of bankruptcy filings in the U.S. has risen to its highest level in nearly 15 years, affecting both businesses and individuals under increasing financial pressure [1][3] - Small businesses are particularly hard-hit, facing rising costs, a tight financing environment, and weakened consumer demand, leading to systemic issues across multiple industries [2][4] - The industrial sector, including manufacturing, construction, and transportation, has experienced the most significant impact, with over 70,000 jobs lost in manufacturing alone within a year [4][5] Group 2 - The non-essential consumer goods sector, such as clothing and furniture, has seen a higher number of bankruptcies compared to other industries, reflecting changes in consumer spending patterns [5] - Over 4,100 retail and dining establishments have closed in 2025, indicating a decline in industry capacity and consumer confidence [5] - The current wave of bankruptcies is becoming a normalized economic adjustment mechanism rather than a crisis event, subtly undermining the resilience of the U.S. economy through impacts on employment stability and community business vitality [5]

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——绕开光刻机"卡脖子"，中国新型芯片问世！专访北大孙仲：支撑AI训练和 具身智能，可在28纳米及以上成熟工艺量产 （记者 贾运可） 2025年1至6月份，南山控股的营业收入构成为：房地产行业占比58.87%，制造业业务占比20.54%，仓 储物流业务占比15.83%，产城综合开发业务占比3.58%，其他占比1.19%。 截至发稿，南山控股市值为77亿元。 每经AI快讯，南山控股（SZ 002314，收盘价：2.86元）12月29日晚间发布公告称，公司第七届第二十 六次董事会会议于2025年12月29日以现场会议方式召开。会议审议了《关于废止 <重大信息内部报告制 度> 的议案》等文件。 ...

External Environment - The US economy is expected to remain in an expansion phase in 2026, with a growth rate around 2.5%, exceeding its potential growth rate[2] - Inflation is a key concern for US voters, and trade relations with China are expected to stabilize temporarily before mid-term elections[2] - The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates once but could also raise rates depending on economic conditions[12] China Policy - China's macro policy will focus on quality and efficiency, avoiding large-scale stimulus while leaving room for future risks[3] - The broad fiscal deficit is projected to expand slightly to around 12.5 trillion yuan, with a deficit rate of 8.5%-9%[3] - Interest rates are expected to decrease by approximately 20 basis points, with reserve requirement ratios lowered by 25-50 basis points[3] China Economic Scenarios - **Optimistic Scenario**: Stable US-China trade relations lead to a GDP growth of over 5% and nominal growth above 4%[4] - **Neutral Scenario**: GDP growth is projected at 4.5%-5% with nominal growth around 4%, driven by a net export contribution of 1% to GDP[4] - **Cautious Scenario**: GDP growth may drop to around 4% with nominal growth at 3%, as net export contribution declines to 0.5%[4] Risks - Potential risks include lower-than-expected fiscal and monetary policy effectiveness, challenges in stabilizing the real estate market, and increased geopolitical tensions[4]

截至发稿，达瑞电子市值为82亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——绕开光刻机"卡脖子"，中国新型芯片问世！专访北大孙仲：支撑AI训练和 具身智能，可在28纳米及以上成熟工艺量产 （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，达瑞电子（SZ 300976，收盘价：61.05元）12月29日晚间发布公告称，公司第四届第七次 董事会会议于2025年12月29日在公司会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开。会议审议了《关于补选董事的 议案》等文件。 2024年1至12月份，达瑞电子的营业收入构成为：制造业占比100.0%。 ...

截至发稿，鹏欣资源市值为171亿元。 每经AI快讯，鹏欣资源（SH 600490，收盘价：7.75元）12月29日晚间发布公告称，公司第八届第十七 次董事会会议于2025年12月26日以现场结合通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于调整第八届董事会专门委 员会委员的议案》等文件。 2025年1至6月份，鹏欣资源的营业收入构成为：贸易业务占比51.07%，制造业占比48.68%，其他业务 占比0.25%。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——绕开光刻机"卡脖子"，中国新型芯片问世！专访北大孙仲：支撑AI训练和 具身智能，可在28纳米及以上成熟工艺量产 （记者 王晓波） ...