Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the municipal environmental protection sector [4]. Core Viewpoints - The industry is entering a period of stock operation with significant capital expenditure reduction, leading to positive free cash flow for companies. By the end of 2023, the national urban domestic waste harmless treatment rate reached 99.98%, and the water supply coverage rates for cities, counties, and rural areas were 99.4%, 98.3%, and 87.5% respectively, indicating a balanced urban water supply capacity [5][4]. - The decline in Hong Kong interest rates is expected to lead to a revaluation of dividend assets, particularly in public utilities such as electricity and municipal environmental protection [5][4]. - The report suggests focusing on public utility assets based on cash flow improvement expectations, dividend performance, and dividend yield as screening criteria, recommending companies such as China Everbright International, Tianjin Chuangye Environmental Protection, and others [5][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The report highlights the stable profitability of waste incineration power generation and water companies, which follow a permitted return model. The average reasonable profit level for water supply companies has been set at a net asset return rate of 8-10% since 1998 [5][4]. Cash Flow and Dividend Insights - Companies in the waste incineration and water sectors are expected to see improved cash flow as they transition to positive free cash flow. The report notes that historical issues with high accounts receivable are being addressed, with local government debt resolution expected to accelerate accounts receivable collection in 2024 [5][4]. Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their dividend rates and expected yields for 2025, including: - China Everbright International: projected dividend yield of 5.9% - Green Power Environmental: projected H-share dividend yield of 8.4% - Beikong Water Group: projected dividend yield of 6.8% - Guangdong Investment: projected dividend yield of 6.4% - Tianjin Chuangye Environmental Protection: projected H-share dividend yield of 5.6% [5][4].

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notice to promote the development of green electricity direct connection, providing strong momentum for the integration of renewable energy production and consumption [1] - The green electricity direct connection policy allows renewable energy sources like wind, solar, and biomass to supply electricity directly to single users, creating a new model for physical traceability of electricity [2] - The policy opens up collaboration opportunities between waste-to-energy projects and data centers, with a requirement for new data centers to source over 80% of their electricity from green energy [2] Group 2 - The direct connection policy is expected to shift the waste-to-energy business model from ToG (government) to ToB (business), potentially leading to a revaluation of companies in this sector [3] - Accounts receivable issues have historically impacted cash flow for waste-to-energy companies, but supplying power to data centers could improve profitability and cash flow, reducing impairment risks [3] Group 3 - Wangneng Environment, a leading company in the solid waste industry, is transforming into a green technology service provider, leveraging its waste-to-energy capacity to support the "Zero Carbon Intelligent Computing Center" project [4] - The South Taihu project, set to process 2,150 tons of waste per day and generate over 3.036 billion kWh of clean electricity annually, will significantly reduce coal consumption [4] - The project employs innovative technology to enhance thermal efficiency, doubling the power generation per ton of waste compared to industry averages [4] Group 4 - The solid waste and environmental protection industry is projected to reach a scale of 15 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating a broad market outlook for companies like Wangneng Environment [5] - Wangneng Environment is developing a differentiated path by integrating solid waste management, computing power, and smart factories, positioning itself as a comprehensive solution provider for low-carbon and intelligent transformation in traditional manufacturing [5]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Weiming Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. maintains a strong position in the waste incineration industry, with a stable credit rating of AA and a positive outlook for the next 12 to 18 months, driven by its operational scale and profitability [4][6][12]. Company Overview - The company has a leading waste incineration processing scale and strong competitive advantages in the Zhejiang province and the Yangtze River Delta region [4][12]. - Weiming Environmental has a diversified business model that includes waste incineration, equipment manufacturing, and new energy materials, with ongoing projects in these areas [17][21]. Financial Performance - Total assets are projected to grow from 203.36 billion RMB in 2022 to 287.39 billion RMB by 2025 [8]. - The company reported a net profit of 16.82 billion RMB in 2022, with expectations to increase to 27.84 billion RMB by 2025 [8]. - EBITDA is expected to rise from 24.44 billion RMB in 2022 to 38.97 billion RMB in 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency [8][23]. Operational Efficiency - The company has a high operating efficiency due to its integrated model of equipment research and project operation, leading to strong profitability and cash generation capabilities [4][12]. - The waste incineration business has maintained a gross profit margin of around 47% to 51% over the years, reflecting its competitive edge in the industry [8][18]. Investment and Growth Prospects - The company is facing significant capital expenditure pressures due to large-scale investments in new energy materials projects, with planned investments of 10.00 to 15.00 billion RMB in 2025 [15][19]. - New energy materials projects are in various stages of development, with some already in trial operation, but their operational efficiency and profitability remain uncertain [17][21]. Market Position - Weiming Environmental's market share in the waste incineration sector is significant, particularly in economically developed regions, with a focus on expanding into central and western China [12][14]. - The company has established partnerships with leading firms in the new energy materials sector, enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities [17][21].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [10] Core Views - Yongxing Co., Ltd. is the sole investment and operation entity for waste incineration power generation projects in Guangzhou, with a total operational capacity of 32,090 tons/day as of the end of 2024. The company has no ongoing construction projects, and its revenue from construction has significantly declined to 0.15 million in 2023, with no contributions expected in 2024. The quality of revenue and profit is high [3][7][25]. - The company benefits from a favorable project location, low national subsidy ratio, high calorific value, and large individual project sizes, leading to excellent cash flow performance. The cash collection ratio for 2024 is 100%, and the net cash ratio is 232% [8][13][70]. - The company operates under a government procurement service model, which is akin to perpetual operation, providing a stable revenue stream. The majority of its projects are located in Guangzhou, ensuring a steady supply of waste [13][60]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yongxing Co., Ltd. was established in 2009 and is controlled by the Guangzhou Environmental Investment Group. It focuses on waste incineration power generation and has expanded into biomass processing since 2021. The company operates 14 waste incineration projects and 4 biomass processing projects, with a total operational capacity of 32,090 tons/day for incineration and 2,590 tons/day for biomass [7][18][25]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 35.36 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.35 billion, up 2.7%. For 2024, the projected revenue is 37.65 billion, with a growth of 6.4%, and a net profit of 8.21 billion, reflecting an 11.7% increase [25][26]. Competitive Advantages - The company has several competitive advantages over its peers, including: - High-quality project locations with low national subsidy ratios and high calorific values, leading to superior cash flow performance [8][60]. - A government procurement service model that ensures stable operations and revenue [13][60]. - Strong support from its major shareholder, which guarantees sufficient waste collection and enhances operational efficiency [13][60]. - Opportunities for growth in waste processing volume due to population inflow and expansion of waste sources [13][60]. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a steady increase in net profit from 9.0 billion in 2025 to 11.0 billion in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16.0x, 14.1x, and 13.2x. The "Buy" rating reflects the company's perpetual operation characteristics and location advantages that support earnings per share growth [9][10].

Group 1 - The stock price of Yongxing Co., Ltd. (601033) closed at 16.02 yuan, down 4.93% from the previous week, with a total market value of 14.418 billion yuan, ranking 11th in the environmental governance sector [1] - The company is currently under a three-year dividend commitment made before its listing and will formulate future dividend policies based on operational performance, funding needs, and development strategies [1][2] - The company sees significant potential for waste-to-energy development in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative and in Southeast Asia, and is steadily advancing its overseas business strategy while ensuring risk control [1][4] Group 2 - The company has completed the acquisition of Xinzhou City Jiejin Power Co., Ltd. and will continue to pursue other project acquisitions, focusing on project quality, risk-reward situations, and strategic alignment [2] - The heating business is a key strategic focus for enhancing operational efficiency, with significant cost advantages and environmental benefits recognized by various government levels [2][4] - The company is actively promoting the development of its heating business and expanding its customer base while accelerating the planning and construction of heating pipelines [2]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **electric power industry** and its transition towards **high-quality development** influenced by policy document **No. 136** [1][2] - The role of **thermal power** is shifting from being the main power source to a **backup and peak regulation** role, with coal prices significantly impacting profitability [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Coal Price Impact**: The price of coal has dropped significantly, with the northern port 5,500 kcal thermal coal index reaching a low of **620 RMB/ton**. This decline has positively affected the profitability of thermal power plants [1][6] - **Performance of Power Companies**: Major thermal power companies like **Jingneng** and **Huadian** reported strong performance in Q1, with continued growth expected in Q2 despite a slight decrease in thermal power generation [1][4] - **Hydropower Performance**: Hydropower companies have also performed well due to favorable water conditions and stable electricity prices, with notable performance from the **Yalong River** in Q2 [1][4] - **Green Power Transition**: The green power sector is moving towards quality over quantity, with expectations for new installations to slow down. The focus is on improving yield rates and addressing subsidy and pricing pressures [3][5][12][13] Additional Important Content - **Capacity Pricing Mechanism**: The capacity pricing mechanism is expected to enhance revenue stability for thermal power companies, with projections indicating that the recovery of fixed costs will increase from **30%-50%** in 2024-2025 to **50%-70%** by 2026 [9][10] - **Investment Recommendations**: The call suggests focusing on large thermal power companies with high market procurement ratios and strong resilience, such as **Jingneng** and **Huadian**. Additionally, smaller projects with stable returns, like waste-to-energy projects, are also recommended [8][24][26] - **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term outlook for the thermal power sector is positive due to the multi-revenue system that enhances stability and reduces dependence on coal prices. Companies are expected to increase dividend rates as profitability stabilizes [11][24] Regional Contractual Insights - The signing of long-term contracts varies by region, influenced by supply-demand dynamics and coal price levels. For instance, Shanghai has a tight supply situation, while Jiangsu has seen an increase in new energy installations [7] Renewable Energy Challenges - The renewable energy sector faces challenges such as subsidy issues and consumption pressure, particularly in western regions where wind and solar energy utilization rates are low. The government is implementing measures to improve consumption scenarios [15][14] Conclusion - The electric power industry is undergoing significant changes driven by policy shifts and market dynamics. The focus on quality development, coupled with favorable coal prices, presents both opportunities and challenges for investors in the sector.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The national green electricity direct connection policy opens up cooperation space for waste incineration power generation and IDC [9][12] - The solid waste sector is expected to increase dividends and improve ROE through heat supply and IDC expansion [1][14] - The industry is entering a mature phase, leading to reduced capital expenditures and improved free cash flow, which enhances dividend payouts [14][17] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a decline in capital expenditures, leading to a significant improvement in free cash flow and increased dividends [14] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a trend towards cost reduction and efficiency improvements, which enhances ROE [14][15] Key Recommendations - Strongly recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., China Everbright Environment, Junxin Co., Yuehai Investment, and others [1] - Companies to watch include: Lian Tai Environmental Protection, Wangneng Environment, and Beikong Water Group [1] Policy Tracking - The green electricity direct connection policy requires new projects to have over 80% green electricity usage, which is expected to drive the integration of waste incineration power generation with data centers [12][13] - The policy aims to facilitate the supply of green electricity to high-energy-consuming industries, enhancing economic efficiency and stability [10][12] Financial Performance - The water service sector is projected to see stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [17][19] - The report highlights specific dividend payouts for companies like Junxin Co. (5.07 billion CNY), Green Power (4.18 billion CNY), and Huanlan Environment (6.52 billion CNY) for 2024 [14][17] Market Performance - The environmental protection and public utilities index rose by 3.53%, outperforming the broader market indices [50] - Notable stock performances include Yuhua Tian (up 55.7%) and Boschke (up 42.56%) [51]

华源证券近日发布大能源行业2025年第22周周报（20250602）：绿电直供业务已明确直 供线路由非电网企业建设，近期国家以及各地相关政策频出，更大概念上的源网荷储一体化 项目进展有望加快，从而使得用户侧商业模式更加丰富，电力交易、虚拟电厂、微电网等方 向值得关注。此外，类似业务模式主要还是为了提高绿电底层需求，有利于新能源设备行业 长期稳定发展，海上风电作为沿海重要的新能源资源发展有望提速。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点： 事件：国家发改委、能源局发布《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事项的通知》（以下 简称《通知》）。 绿电直连有助于绿电经济性和环境价值体现。本次政策针对对单一用户的绿电供给模 式，带来2个明显的好处：（1）可以有效降低企业的用电成本；（2）对于企业碳排放认定 有很大帮助（特别是出口型企业）。我国东南沿海出口型企业密集，绿电是该地区重要的新 能源资源，随着直供模式推广有望带动海上风电产业快速发展。 明确绿电直供在现货连续运行区域可反送电网，提高绿电直供模式经济性。以往源网荷 储一体化项目为了降低公共电网调峰压力，通常对自用电比例都有较高要求且不允许反送电 网。《通知》在要求自用电比例不低于 ...

泰达环保作为天津市重点国企天津泰达投资控股有限公司(以下简称"泰达控股")的下属单位，是国内垃 圾焚烧发电领域的领军企业，运营着多个垃圾焚烧发电项目，在环保产业有着重要影响力。然而，受多 种因素影响，经营和财务面临较大压力，资产负债率上升、财务费用增加，融资难题亟待解决。 中国银河资产有关负责人表示，面对泰达环保的困境，银河资产迅速行动。一是通过市场化债转股助力 企业降杠杆。及时向泰达环保增资4亿元，定向置换其高成本债务，帮助其有效压降资产负债率，提升 流动性和融资能力，缓解财务负担，为企业可持续发展注入活力。二是助力公司治理结构优化升级。银 河资产成为泰达环保第三大股东，向泰达环保派驻董事，构筑起"产业+金融"的资本结构，推动其公司 治理机制实现从"行政主导"向"市场化决策"转型，为企业稳健发展奠定了坚实的制度基础。三是协同兄 弟机构合力赋能实体经济。在实施债转股之后，银河证券创新设计结构化融资方案，助力泰达环保成功 发行天津市国资系统首单碳中和绿色债券，积极践行绿色金融，促进低碳转型。此外，还在股权合作、 收购并购、资金募集等多方面与泰达控股开展广泛业务对接，全方位支持企业发展。后续，银河资产将 进一步发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant merger and acquisition activity in the waste-to-energy sector, particularly focusing on the privatization of Yuefeng Environmental by Hanlan Environment, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and market positioning in a competitive landscape [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The waste incineration power generation industry is transitioning from expansion to efficiency, with leading companies focusing on operational quality and resource optimization [3][6]. - Yuefeng Environmental operates 35 waste incineration projects with a daily processing capacity of 52,540 tons, primarily in Guangdong province, indicating a strong regional presence [2][6]. - The industry is experiencing a consolidation phase, with major players like Hanlan Environment pursuing acquisitions to enhance their competitive edge and operational scale [3][4]. Group 2: Merger and Acquisition Details - Hanlan Environment announced a plan to privatize Yuefeng Environmental, with shareholder and court approvals obtained, and the delisting from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange expected on June 2 [1][2]. - The acquisition is seen as a strategic move to capitalize on market opportunities and improve operational efficiency amid a shrinking growth space in the industry [3][4]. - The merger is projected to position Hanlan Environment among the top three in the waste treatment sector in terms of scale, enhancing its market leadership [3][6]. Group 3: Operational Synergies and Innovations - The merger is anticipated to foster collaborative innovation and resource optimization, creating a more competitive environmental service model [6][7]. - Both companies have demonstrated strong performance in green certificate issuance, with Hanlan Environment holding over 11 million green certificates and Yuefeng Environmental approximately 7.89 million [7]. - The integration of advanced technologies and management practices is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability in the waste management sector [6][10]. Group 4: Market Expansion and Future Strategies - The industry is exploring new markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, where waste management practices are evolving, and opportunities for waste-to-energy projects are increasing [8][9]. - Companies are diversifying their operations beyond traditional waste incineration to include collaborative treatment of various waste types, enhancing their service offerings [9][10]. - The shift towards becoming "urban green energy hubs" is evident, with companies aiming to maximize energy production from waste while meeting increasing environmental standards [10].