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小米股价跌破40港元:市值降至1万亿港元 雷军成了舆论“出气筒”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 12:12
Core Viewpoint - Despite a strong financial report, Xiaomi Group's stock price continues to decline, reflecting market concerns over its smartphone business and external challenges [2][11]. Financial Performance - Xiaomi has reported impressive financial results, achieving over 100 billion yuan in revenue for four consecutive quarters [3]. - In Q3 2025, Xiaomi's revenue reached 1131.21 billion yuan, a 22.3% increase year-over-year, but a 2.4% decrease from the previous quarter [3]. - The gross profit for Q3 2025 was 259.36 billion yuan, up 37.4% from the same period last year [5]. - Operating profit for Q3 2025 was 151.1 billion yuan, a significant increase of 150.1% year-over-year, with an operating profit margin of 13.4%, the highest in recent years [7]. - Net profit for Q3 2025 was 122.56 billion yuan, up 129.5% year-over-year, while adjusted net profit was 113.11 billion yuan, an 80.9% increase year-over-year [7]. New Business Developments - Xiaomi's electric vehicle segment has shown substantial progress, achieving quarterly profitability for the first time [8]. - Revenue from the electric vehicle and AI innovation segment reached 290 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of over 199% [10]. - Over 100,000 new electric vehicles were delivered in Q3 2025, with total deliveries exceeding 260,000 units for the first three quarters [10]. Market Challenges - The smartphone business, which accounts for approximately 40% of revenue, is facing pressure from unprecedented price increases in global storage chips, impacting profit margins [11]. - Concerns about the sustainability of Xiaomi's "price for volume" strategy in the smartphone market are growing [11]. - The recent high-profile stock placement has led to concerns about share dilution, with participating institutions facing significant losses [11]. - The lack of new product catalysts has resulted in increased short-selling activity, with hedge funds significantly increasing their short positions [11]. Brand Image and Leadership Issues - Recent controversies surrounding Xiaomi's brand image and safety concerns related to its vehicles have negatively impacted investor sentiment [12][14]. - Founder Lei Jun has faced criticism, with public perception shifting from a positive image to one of controversy due to safety incidents and perceived inadequate responses [14]. - Analysts suggest that Xiaomi needs to separate its brand from Lei Jun's personal image to mitigate risks associated with negative public sentiment [14].
汽车业务首度盈利、高端化创新业务全面兑现 小米Q3业绩打破增长天花板
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-19 11:52
Core Insights - Xiaomi Group reported a record-breaking Q3 performance with revenue of 113.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter exceeding the 100 billion yuan threshold [2][3] - Adjusted net profit reached 11.3 billion yuan, surging 80.9% year-on-year, setting a historical high [2][3] - The company’s total revenue for the first three quarters reached 340.4 billion yuan, nearing last year's total, with adjusted net profit surpassing the entire previous year's figure [2][3] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was 113.1 billion yuan, up 22.3% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit at 11.3 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate [3][4] - For the first three quarters, total revenue was 340.4 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit of 32.8 billion yuan, indicating strong growth momentum [3][4] - Gross margin for Q3 reached 22.9%, reflecting a 2.5 percentage point increase year-on-year, showcasing the effectiveness of the company's product structure optimization [6] Business Segments - Revenue from the smartphone and AIoT segment was 84.1 billion yuan, with smartphone revenue at 46 billion yuan, maintaining a top-three global position for 21 consecutive quarters [3][4] - IoT and lifestyle product revenue was 27.6 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year, while internet services revenue reached 9.4 billion yuan, growing 10.8% [3][4] - The automotive and AI innovation segment generated 29 billion yuan, with electric vehicle revenue at 28.3 billion yuan, achieving a quarterly delivery record of 109,000 units [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - Xiaomi's R&D investment for Q3 was 9.1 billion yuan, a 52.1% increase year-on-year, with total investment for the first three quarters nearing 23.5 billion yuan [2][10] - The company aims to be a "contributor to industrial value" and "promoter of industrial progress," focusing on innovation rather than price competition [4][10] - The high-end strategy has shown results, with market share in the 4,000-6,000 yuan smartphone segment reaching 18.9%, a 5.6 percentage point increase year-on-year [7][11] Future Outlook - The automotive business, international expansion, and high-end strategy are expected to drive future growth [11][12] - Xiaomi has raised its 2025 delivery target for vehicles from 300,000 to 350,000 units, with some forecasts suggesting it could reach 400,000 [8][11] - The company maintains a strong cash reserve of 236.7 billion yuan, positioning itself for future growth opportunities [11][12]
汽车业务首次盈利!小米三季度净利飙涨81%创新高,卢伟冰称手机或涨价应对存储成本上升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 10:41
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group reported a significant increase in net profit for Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in its automotive and AI segments, marking a historic high for the company [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached approximately 1131.21 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter exceeding 100 billion yuan [1] - Adjusted net profit was 113 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 80.9% year-on-year, achieving a record high [1] Automotive and Innovation Segment - Revenue from the smart electric vehicle and AI innovation business segment amounted to 290 billion yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of over 199% [1] - Within this segment, smart electric vehicle revenue was 283 billion yuan, while other related income contributed 7 billion yuan [1] - This segment achieved its first-ever quarterly operating profit, with a reported operating profit of 7 billion yuan [1] Cost Management and Pricing Strategy - Xiaomi's President, Lu Weibing, indicated that the current rise in memory prices is a long-term trend, and the company has proactively secured supply agreements for 2026 to mitigate supply chain disruptions [1] - The company may consider price increases and product structure upgrades to manage cost pressures in the future [1]
小鹏汽车:未来两年将年产数千辆自动驾驶出租车消息不实
对此,21财经.南财快讯记者联系了小鹏汽车,相关部门负责人表示,公司留意到市场消息后进行了核实,发现并非源自官方披 露的数据。随后,公司与消息发布方取得联系,对方称相关内容源自一份预测分析报告,并非小鹏汽车实际生产安排,公司因 此判定上述传闻不实。 21财经.南财快讯记者查询后发现,原消息发布页内容已修改,称相关机构分析师"在一份报告中写道,在2026年至2027年期间小 鹏汽车的无人驾驶出租车年产量可能会在数千辆以内。" 此前,在11月5日的"2025小鹏科技日"上,小鹏汽车宣布将在2026年正式推出三款Robotaxi(无人驾驶出租车)车型,同时还将启动 Robotaxi试运营,并称高德将成为小鹏Robotaxi的首个全球生态合作伙伴,未来双方将共同面向全球提供Robotaxi服务,引发市 场关注。 11月19日,21财经《辟谣财知道》注意到,有市场消息称,小鹏汽车(9868.HK)将于2026-2027年每年生产数千辆自动驾驶出租 车。 11月19日,小鹏汽车港股盘中窄幅震荡,报收85.70港元/股,跌0.29%,总市值为1637亿港元。 l "M 卖4 85.850 8.50万(13) 1.00 卖3 ...
抛开舆论看小米:赚钱能力持续攀升,增长远未看到天花板
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-11-19 08:24
在二级市场,基本盘并未发生重大变化的情况下,小米遭到了对空基金的做空,股价承压。在舆论场, 雷军接受采访的长视频内容,被裁剪编织成短视频切片,被舆论质疑其"不在乎汽车安全,只追求产品 外观"。被迫之下,雷军不得不找出完整采访内容,逐个回应。 市场声音开始传出,"小米,正在进入至暗时刻。"但是,事实果真如此吗? | | 未經審核 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 截至以下日期止三個月 | | | | | | 2025年9月30日 | | 2024年9月30日 | | | | 毛利 | 毛利率 | 毛利 | 毛利率 | | | (人民幣百萬元,除非另有説明) | | | | | 手機×AIoT | 18.552.2 | 22.1 % | 17,221.0 | 20.8% | | 智能電動汽車及AI等創新業務 | 7,384.0 | 25.5% | 1.660.4 | 17.1% | | 總毛利及毛利率 | 25,936.2 | 22.9% | 18,881.4 | 20.4% | 一段时间内,小米和雷军都陷入到了疲于自证的境地。 11月18日,小米发布三季度业 ...
财报亮眼拉不动股价,小米集团股价今早跌破40港元,较6月最高点已跌超30%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 07:46
11月19日早间,小米集团(01810)股价跌破40港元,较今年6月最高点的61.45港元已跌超30%,市值 也大幅缩水。 与股价表现不同的是,前一晚11月18日,小米集团发布的业绩公告显示业绩亮眼。2025年第三季度小米 实现营收约1131.21亿元,同比增长22.3%,连续4个季度突破千亿元;经调整净利润为113亿元,创历史 新高,同比增长80.9%。 具体来看,第三季度,智能电动汽车及AI等创新业务分部收入290亿元,同比增长超199%。其中,智能 电动汽车收入283亿元,其他相关收入7亿元。小米汽车及AI(人工智能)等创新业务分部首次实现单 季度经营收益转正,实现单季经营收益7亿元。 官方数据显示,2025年1至9月,小米汽车累计交付量已超过26万辆。其中,第三季度累计交付约10.88 万辆新车,创单季度历史新高。小米集团合伙人、集团总裁卢伟冰在业绩电话会上透露,"小米汽车预 计将于本周完成全年35万辆的交付目标。" 手机业务方面,财报披露,智能手机三季度贡献收入460亿元,全球出货量达到4330万台,同比增长 0.5%,实现连续九个季度同比增长。 18日晚间,小米创办人,董事长兼CEO雷军在微博发文 ...
小米的周期对冲法:新引擎盈利,旧引擎转型
Core Insights - Xiaomi Group's Q3 2025 financial results show a total revenue of 113.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, and an adjusted net profit of 11.3 billion yuan, up 81%, marking a historical high [2][3] - The company successfully transitioned from traditional smartphone business to new growth engines, particularly in smart electric vehicles and AI, which achieved quarterly profitability for the first time [2][3] - The smartphone segment is under pressure due to rising memory costs, impacting gross margins, while the company is focusing on high-end strategies to enhance product structure and resilience [2][4] Financial Performance - Xiaomi's revenue from innovative businesses, including smart electric vehicles and AI, reached 29 billion yuan, accounting for 25.6% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 25.5% and a profit of 700 million yuan in the quarter [3][4] - The smartphone business saw a shipment of 43.3 million units, generating revenue of 45.969 billion yuan, with a gross margin dropping to 11.1% due to supply chain cost pressures [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - Xiaomi is implementing three core strategies to build long-term competitiveness: increasing R&D investment, advancing high-end strategies, and exploring new growth opportunities in global markets [2][3] - The company plans to enhance its R&D capabilities, with Q3 spending reaching 9.1 billion yuan, a 52.1% increase year-on-year, and total R&D investment expected to exceed 30 billion yuan for the year [8][9] Market Trends - The current memory price increase is driven by strong demand for HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) from AI applications, differing from previous cycles driven by mobile and laptop demand [4] - Xiaomi's IoT business generated 27.6 billion yuan in revenue, maintaining growth for seven consecutive quarters, with a gross margin of 23.9% [5][6] Operational Developments - Xiaomi has expanded its automotive sales network, with 402 stores in 119 cities in mainland China, and aims to deliver 350,000 vehicles by the end of the year [3][6] - The company has launched a new smart appliance factory in Wuhan, enhancing its production capabilities and supporting its high-end strategy [6][9] Challenges and Outlook - Despite achieving profitability in the automotive sector, challenges remain, including reduced purchase tax subsidies and increased competition expected in 2026 [9] - The smartphone segment faces ongoing pressure from rising memory costs, while the IoT business must navigate a competitive landscape and potential price wars [9]
第一创业晨会纪要-20251119
Group 1: Xiaomi Group - Xiaomi Group reported a total revenue of RMB 113.1 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3%, with a gross margin of 22.9%, marking a historical high [2] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB 11.3 billion, also a historical high, with a year-on-year increase of 80.9% [2] - The revenue from the smartphone and AIoT segment was RMB 84.1 billion, growing by 1.6% year-on-year, while the global smartphone shipment declined by 0.5% [2] - Revenue from the smart electric vehicle and AI innovation segment was RMB 29 billion, showing a significant growth of 199.2%, accounting for 25.6% of total revenue, and achieving operational profitability for the first time with a profit of RMB 700 million [2] - Overall, Xiaomi outperformed the industry in growth across its mobile, home appliance, and automotive sectors, despite uncertainties due to the weak domestic economy [2] Group 2: Baidu - Baidu's total revenue for Q3 was RMB 31.2 billion, a decrease of 7% year-on-year, with core revenue also down by 7% to RMB 24.7 billion [3] - Operating loss was RMB 15.1 billion, but after excluding long-term asset impairment, operating profit was RMB 1.1 billion [3] - Despite the overall poor performance, Baidu's AI new business revenue grew by over 50% year-on-year, reaching approximately RMB 10 billion, with intelligent cloud infrastructure revenue at RMB 4.2 billion, up 33% [3] - AI high-performance computing subscription revenue surged by 128%, and the autonomous driving service "萝卜快跑" saw orders reach 3.1 million, a year-on-year increase of 212% [3] - The rapid growth of AI applications in both the US and domestic internet companies indicates a strong long-term investment value in the AI sector [3] Group 3: Advanced Manufacturing - The demand for power batteries and energy storage batteries is driving significant increases in production plans for leading companies in 2026, with CATL's annual production guidance exceeding 1.1 TWh, a year-on-year increase of over 50% [6] - EVE Energy has raised its 2026 energy storage battery shipment target to over 100 GWh, nearly doubling the expected shipments for 2025 [6] - Guoxuan High-Tech is expected to achieve a production growth rate of 45%, while Zhongxin Innovation aims for nearly 60% growth [6] - The steady growth in domestic power battery demand and the explosive growth in the energy storage sector are activating the entire industry chain, leading to price increases in upstream raw materials like lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate [6] - The high prosperity of the lithium battery-related industry is supported by multiple factors, including the transition to renewable energy, policy support, and technological advancements [6] Group 4: Leap Motor - Leap Motor achieved revenue of RMB 19.45 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 97.3%, and turned a profit with a net profit of RMB 150 million [7] - The company's explosive growth is attributed to three main drivers: increased self-research and vertical integration in the supply chain, optimization of product structure with high-margin models, and expansion into overseas markets [7] - The management anticipates a significant profit increase in Q4 due to year-end tail effects and expected carbon credit income of RMB 500 million [7] Group 5: Consumer Sector - The mini-program gaming sector has transitioned from explosive growth to a phase of high-quality steady growth, with market revenue expected to reach RMB 39.836 billion in 2024, nearly doubling year-on-year [9] - In the first half of 2025, revenue continued to show high prosperity, reaching RMB 23.276 billion, a year-on-year increase of 40.2% [9] - The commercialization structure is continuously optimizing, with a significant cost advantage for mini-program games on iOS due to a reduced commission rate of 15% compared to the traditional 30% for apps [9] - This policy is expected to accelerate the trend of "App to Mini" and improve developer profit margins, further expanding growth opportunities in the industry [9]
小米股价跌破40港元,较6月最高点已跌超30%
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price has continued to decline, dropping over 4% to below 40 HKD, despite strong Q3 financial results, indicating persistent market sell-off sentiment [1] Financial Performance - Xiaomi reported Q3 revenue of 113.1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of revenue exceeding 100 billion RMB [1] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 reached 11.3 billion RMB, a significant year-on-year increase of 80.9%, achieving a historical high [1] - Cash and cash equivalents stood at 35.5 billion RMB, with total cash reserves of 236.7 billion RMB as of September 30, 2025 [1] Business Segments - The automotive and AI sectors emerged as key highlights, with revenue reaching 29 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of over 199%, and automotive revenue alone at 28.3 billion RMB [1] - Xiaomi delivered 108,796 new vehicles in Q3, setting a new record, and is on track to meet its annual delivery target of 350,000 vehicles [1][2] Challenges and Outlook - The company anticipates challenges in 2026 for its automotive segment, with expected declines in gross margins due to reduced purchase tax subsidies and increased competition [2] - In the smartphone segment, Q3 revenue was 46 billion RMB, with global shipments of 43.3 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [2] - Xiaomi is proactively addressing rising memory prices, which are driven by increased demand from AI applications, by securing supply agreements for 2026 and considering price adjustments [2] Market Position - Huatai Securities noted that the storage supercycle will significantly impact Xiaomi's stock price and performance in 2026 [3] - Compared to other smartphone manufacturers, Xiaomi has a strong market position in terms of global shipment volume and resilience against industry cycles, particularly in non-smartphone businesses [3]
机器人板块震荡调整,资金逆势加仓,机器人ETF易方达(159530)半日净申购达1100万份
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 05:12
截至午间收盘,国证机器人产业指数下跌1.4%,中证消费电子主题指数下跌0.7%,中证物联网主题指数下跌0.2%,中证智能电动汽车指数上涨0.02%,资金 逆势加仓,机器人ETF易方达(159530)半日净申购达1100万份。 东吴证券认为,具身智能浪潮下,人形机器人成为AI最佳载体,有望迎来10年产业大周期。从产业进展来看,2025年机器人已成功开启小规模量产,各零 部件环节加速迭代与扩产,整体产业链有望于2026年加速爆发。 该指数聚焦的AI硬件是目前 主要的智能终端品类,由业 务涉及元器件生产、整机品 牌设计及生产等消费电子相 关公司股票组成。 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 -0.7% 自 北 六 十 三 | 广 力 人 跟踪中证智能电动汽车指数 该指数聚焦的智能电动汽 车有望成为具身智能落地 的代表性方向之一,覆盖 动力系统、感知系统、决 策系统、执行系统、通讯 系统、整车生产等产业链 环节。 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 0.0% 消费电子ETF易方达 雙 跟踪中证消费电子主题指数 物联网ETF易方达 MR #3 每日经济新闻 ...