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十大券商看后市|A股有望延续强势表现,风险偏好正持续回升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 01:00
Market Overview - The A-share market is currently experiencing a "systematic slow bull" trend, with expectations for continued strong performance in the domestic market due to accumulating positive factors [1][2][8] - The recent increase in margin trading balances, reaching a ten-year high, indicates a rising risk appetite among individual investors, supporting the bullish sentiment [1][15] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with strong performance potential, such as defense, robotics, and new consumption, while being cautious of short-term trading difficulties [4][6][12] - A balanced approach is recommended, maintaining current positions while waiting for mid-term opportunities, particularly in sectors benefiting from policy support and economic recovery [8][14] Sector Analysis - Key sectors to watch include pharmaceuticals, AI computing, and semiconductor industries, which are expected to show resilience and growth potential [7][10][12] - The manufacturing sector, particularly in machinery and electronics, is highlighted for its competitive edge and potential for recovery in exports [10][11] Economic Indicators - July's export data showed a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, reflecting the resilience of China's foreign trade amid a complex international environment [11] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed signs of recovery, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, indicating a gradual improvement in domestic consumption [11][12] Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations for a continuation of the bull market, although some analysts caution about potential short-term corrections due to macroeconomic factors [5][7][8] - The return of active investment strategies is noted, with a significant proportion of actively managed funds outperforming the market, indicating a shift in investor confidence [9]
侃股:两融余额重回2万亿,这次不一样
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-07 13:09
两融余额重回2万亿元高位,投资者参与热情高涨,与以往投机力量推高两融余额不同,这次是价值投 资主导的资产配置变化,投资者预期价值投资收益将会超过融资成本,如此的两融余额创新高显得很理 性。 过去股市偏投机市,两融余额从4000亿元飙升至2.27万亿元,只用了大约一年时间,市场呈现明显的抱 团炒作特征。当时的两融,投资者融资的主要目的是使用更多的资金进行投机炒作。两融余额的快速增 长,持续性很差,一旦投机行情结束,两融余额将出现快速下降。 此外,本轮杠杆资金流向具有鲜明的价值投资特征。电子行业、半导体设备、AI算力等细分领域获得 资金重点布局;生物医药行业中的创新药、医疗器械等长周期赛道也受到资金青睐。这种选择背后是投 资者清晰的价值投资逻辑,用较低的融资成本去买入并持有预期收益偏高的投资品种,以达到价值投资 收益完全覆盖融资成本的良性策略。 两融余额的理性扩张正在重塑市场生态。当前市场平均维持担保比例十分健康,这意味着投资者抗风险 能力显著增强。从资金效率看,融资资金换手率也出现快速下降,显示杠杆资金更注重长期持有而非频 繁短线交易。 新的转变带来市场稳定性的大幅提升。在股市出现调整期间,两融余额下降并不明显 ...
持续看涨
第一财经· 2025-08-06 11:01
2025.08. 06 7:6 ススコH木ドリス い」 // ]日大 ツ×シリノレバル/ 进入超买区域,短期需警惕技术性回调。 3355家上涨 1816家 涨跌停比 235.88亿元 机构调仓博弈加剧,内外资分歧显著,机构整体偏谨慎乐观,主力资金聚焦军工、AI算力等政策驱动板块,机构 在科技主线内部"高切低",内资机构加速从高位算力股撤离;散户杠杆资金活跃,题材博弈白热化,资金延续 "追热点、加杠杆"特征,散户资金集中涌入军工、机器人等概念股,推动市场风险偏好维持高位。 散户情绪 96% Σχ 用 0012 71 11 જ્રેસ 20% 足球 0 :: 2 52.29% 个股普涨格局延续,全市场超3300只个股上涨, 赚钱效应极好,军工股再度大涨,人形机器人掀起 涨停潮, PEEK材料、光刻机、汽车零部件等板块 涨幅居前,中药、西藏、旅游等板块跌幅居前。 资金情绪 主力资金净流出 139.18亿元 两市成交额 1.73万亿元 ▲ 8.6% 两市成交额放量,量价配合良好,呈现权重搭台, 中小盘扩容格局,连续第50个交易日突破1万亿 元,显示市场活跃度持续高位,若后续成交额无法 维持1.7万亿以上,可能引发技术 ...
ETF日报:随着游戏公司进入新游周期及AI+游戏的持续催化,有望实现估值提振和基本面向好,可关注游戏ETF
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-05 11:27
今日市场全天震荡走高,沪指重回3600点上方,再创年内收盘新高。沪深两市全天成交1.6万亿,相比 昨日放量975亿。盘面上,算力硬件、银行、游戏等板块走强。截至收盘,沪指涨0.96%,深成指涨 0.59%,创业板指涨0.39%,中证A500指数涨0.67%。 来源:wind 海外市场方面,昨日美股大涨,投资者在上周五抛售后寻求逢低买入(buy the dip)。因为随着非农数 据疲软,押注9月降息的概率大大增加,更宽松的货币政策有利于流动性转向资本市场。但与此同时, 部分华尔街分析师开始提示美股近期的回调风险和美国经济陷入滞涨的可能。在降息预期+经济不确定 性的背景下,投资者可关注黄金基金ETF(518800)、黄金股票ETF(517400),逢低布局以分散风 险。 AI算力板块今日领涨。海外云厂商资本开支超预期高增、AI开始对营收产生贡献,算力高景气及投资 的良性循环得到印证。投资者可通过通信ETF(515880)、创业板人工智能ETF(159388)布局相关机 会。 从产品储备来看,多家厂商均携重点产品参展ChinaJoy,如腾讯游戏(《DNF》《舞力全开》《无畏契 约》等)、网易(《遗忘之海》《命运:群 ...
中国资产吸引国际资本增配
Jing Ji Wang· 2025-08-05 05:48
Group 1 - Recent trends show a surge in international capital reallocating towards Chinese assets, with nearly 60% of sovereign wealth funds prioritizing China as an investment market [1][2] - The Korean stock market has seen significant interest from investors, with a cumulative trading volume of $57.64 billion in Chinese stocks, making it the second-largest overseas investment destination for Korean investors [2] - UBS's survey indicates that 19% of global family offices plan to increase their allocation to Chinese assets, reflecting a 3% increase from 2024 [2] Group 2 - In July, five major overseas Chinese stock ETFs attracted over $2 billion in investments, with notable growth in assets for KraneShares and iShares ETFs [3] - Sovereign wealth funds are driven to allocate to Chinese assets due to attractive local returns, diversification benefits, and expanded market access for foreign investors [3] Group 3 - The Chinese economy's recovery has exceeded market expectations, bolstered by rapid policy responses to stabilize and stimulate growth, enhancing international investor confidence [4] - China has made significant advancements in technology and innovation, leading to a re-evaluation of asset valuations by international investors [4] Group 4 - As of August 1, four A-share stocks have over 24% foreign ownership, indicating strong interest from international investors in high-quality manufacturing sectors [5] - Foreign investors are selectively targeting growth stocks based on three core criteria: competitive barriers, sustainable growth trajectories, and expanding market shares [6] Group 5 - Foreign capital is favoring high-dividend stocks and growth stocks, reflecting a dual strategy of defensive and offensive investment approaches [7] - High-dividend stocks are recognized for their stable cash flows and strong governance, while growth stocks represent long-term bets on China's economic transformation [8]
隔夜英伟达涨超3%,5G通信ETF、创业板人工智能ETF高开
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-05 02:07
追求更高弹性可关注创业板人工智能ETF(159381),跟踪创业板人工智能指数,选取创业板上市的AI 主业公司,日内涨跌幅限制为±20%。指数光模块权重超41%,前3大成分股囊括中际旭创(15.89%)、 新易盛(14.86%)、天孚通信(4.77%)三大光模块龙头。目前创业板人工智能ETF华夏(159381)年 管理费率为0.15%,托管费率为0.05%,场内综合费率在可比基金中最低。 全产业链布局可关注人工智能AIETF(515070),跟踪中证人工智能主题指数,从主板、创业板、科创 板中精选人工智能产业链个股。 5G通信ETF(515050)跟踪中证5G通信主题指数,最新规模超60亿元。深度聚焦英伟达、苹果、华为 产业链,覆盖了多个AI算力硬件、6G产业链龙头个股。其中,AI算力概念股权重超30%,光模块CPO 概念股权重占比为31%,PCB电路板概念股权重占比为15.95%。前十大权重股为:中际旭创、新易盛、 立讯精密、工业富联、中兴通讯、兆易创新、沪电股份、东山精密、歌尔股份、生益科技。【场外联 接:008086/008087】 8月5日早盘,A股算力板块高开,5G通信ETF(515050)、创业板 ...
【公募基金】市场波动放大,景气板块占优——公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.07.28-2025.08.01)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-08-04 09:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent market adjustments, with major indices mostly declining, while specific sectors like PCB and innovative pharmaceuticals continue to accelerate trends, indicating a shift in market dynamics [3][12] - The AI computing sector shows increased capital expenditure from overseas tech giants, confirming the rationality of North American computing demand, while domestic computing's self-control is seen as an inevitable trend [4][13] - The innovative pharmaceutical theme has surged significantly, with the Wind data indicating a 25.61% increase in the innovative drug index for July, driven by clinical advancements and overseas breakthroughs [14] Group 2 - As of August 1, 2025, over 91.81% of actively managed equity funds have achieved positive returns this year, with an average return of 13.50%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index [15] - The active equity fund index tracking shows varied performances, with the growth stock index rising by 0.63% and achieving a cumulative excess return of 20.58% since inception [8][12] - The pharmaceutical stock index rose by 3.48% last week, reflecting strong performance in the sector, while the consumer stock index fell by 1.78% [9][12]
把握业绩确定性较强的机会,机构最新研判来了
天天基金网· 2025-08-04 05:32
Core Viewpoints - The A-share market experienced a pullback after reaching new highs, but the core logic supporting the market's rise remains unchanged, suggesting a bullish outlook despite short-term fluctuations [1][5] - Institutions recommend focusing on sectors with clear industrial trends and less external disturbance, particularly favoring technology growth [1][4] Summary by Relevant Sections Major Events Impacting Future Investments - The People's Bank of China aims to promote rapid growth in loans to technology-oriented small and medium-sized enterprises, utilizing various monetary policy tools to ensure liquidity and match social financing with economic growth [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission has fully allocated 800 billion yuan for this year's "two new" construction projects and is set to distribute additional funds to support consumption [3] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange is working on measures to facilitate cross-border financing and optimize funding management for domestic companies listed abroad [4] Institutional Investment Perspectives - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on sectors with clear industrial trends and minimal external disturbances, particularly in technology, AI, and military industries [4] - Industrial growth drivers remain intact, with three core supporting factors for market growth: policy stability, emergence of new growth drivers, and influx of new capital [5] - China Galaxy emphasizes the importance of identifying opportunities with strong earnings certainty, especially during the concentrated disclosure period for mid-year reports [6][7] Market Trends and Sector Focus - The market is expected to experience localized hot spot rotations, with a focus on sectors benefiting from the AI technology revolution and emerging industries [7] - The consumer sector, particularly service consumption, is highlighted for its growth potential under supportive policies [7] - The equity market is advised to focus on two main themes: undervalued cyclical recovery and technology growth trends, with attention to the military and AI sectors [9][10]
定增升温!16家公募砸逾45亿,“三倍股”花落中小公募
券商中国· 2025-08-04 04:34
Core Viewpoint - The secondary market is recovering, leading to increased enthusiasm for public fund private placements, particularly among smaller fund companies focusing on this strategy [1][2]. Fund Participation and Performance - Over the past three months (from May 2 to August 1), 16 public funds participated in private placements with a total investment exceeding 4.5 billion yuan, with some projects yielding returns over 300% [2][5]. - Notably, smaller public funds have been more active in private placements compared to larger firms, with significant participation from funds like Qianhai Kaiyuan and Penghua [3][4]. - A total of 34 companies have conducted private placements in the last three months, raising over 570 billion yuan, with 31 of these companies seeing their stock prices rise, indicating a high success rate for these placements [5][6]. Growth of Supporting Financing Projects - Supporting financing projects are emerging as a new growth point in private placements, with over 40% of the disclosed projects this year being related to mergers and acquisitions [2][8]. - The "Six Guidelines for Mergers and Acquisitions" policy has encouraged companies to utilize private placements for financing, leading to an increase in such projects [7][8]. - The average returns from supporting financing projects have outperformed the overall market, making them attractive investment opportunities [8]. Sector Focus - The focus on private placements is shifting towards high-growth sectors such as semiconductors, AI computing power, and new energy, which are seen as key areas for capital investment and industry upgrades [8].
最高涨幅344% 公募参与定增热情升温
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-03 19:24
随着二级市场行情回升,公募定增热情也逐渐升温。近三个月,16家公募旗下基金参与定增的资金超过 了45亿元,参与的定增项目最高涨幅达到344%。但本轮定增中表现踊跃的不是头部公募,而是个别长 期聚焦定增策略的中小公募。 基金业内人士分析,下半年定增供需仍将保持良好趋势,可关注并购重组配套融资。数据显示,年内披 露的定增项目中,配套融资类预案占比超过40%,绝对数量和比例均超过去年全年,配套融资类项目成 为定增项目新的增长点,这类项目投资价值值得深度挖掘。 和公募定增热情上升相对应的是,A股上市公司近期持续推出定增计划,并且从最新股价来看,不少参 与其中的资金已实现浮盈。 数据显示,截至8月1日,近三个月已有34家上市公司实施定增,合计募资总额超5700亿元。如果从今年 1月1日算起,年内则有78家上市公司实施定增,合计募资规模超过6600亿元。不难发现,近三个月的定 增规模占比很高,达到86%。从8月1日最新收盘价和定增发行价格对比来看,上述34家实施定增的上市 公司,有31家股价上涨,占比超过90%。其中,有7只个股涨幅超过100%,涨幅最高的超过340%。 从基金产品层面看,参与定增的100多只基金中大多实 ...