Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Volume Timing Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model uses volume-based timing signals to assess market sentiment and provide trading signals[23] - **Model Construction Process**: - The model evaluates the volume timing signals of major broad-based indices - Signals are categorized as "cautious" or "optimistic" based on volume trends - As of January 30, 2026, all major indices (e.g., SSE Composite Index, CSI 300, etc.) showed "cautious" volume timing signals[24] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a straightforward approach to gauge market sentiment but may lack granularity in capturing nuanced market dynamics[23][24] 2. Model Name: Momentum Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model identifies market sentiment by analyzing the proportion of stocks with positive returns in the CSI 300 Index over a specific period[24] - **Model Construction Process**: - The indicator is calculated as: $ \text{CSI 300 N-day Upward Stock Proportion} = \frac{\text{Number of CSI 300 stocks with positive returns over N days}}{\text{Total number of CSI 300 stocks}} $ - The indicator is smoothed using two moving averages with different window periods (N1 = 50, N2 = 35) to create a "fast line" and a "slow line" - A buy signal is generated when the fast line exceeds the slow line, and a neutral signal is generated when the fast line falls below the slow line[26][28] - **Model Evaluation**: The indicator is effective in capturing upward market opportunities but may fail to predict downturns accurately. It also tends to miss gains during prolonged market exuberance[25] 3. Model Name: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses an eight-moving-average system to assess the trend state of the CSI 300 Index and generate trading signals[32] - **Model Construction Process**: - Calculate the eight moving averages of the CSI 300 Index closing price with parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, and 233 - Assign values to the indicator based on the number of moving averages the current price exceeds: - If the price exceeds more than five moving averages, the sentiment is bullish - Generate a buy signal when the current price exceeds five moving averages[36] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a clear framework for trend analysis but may oversimplify complex market dynamics[36] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Volume Timing Model - All major indices (e.g., SSE Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, etc.) showed "cautious" volume timing signals as of January 30, 2026[24] 2. Momentum Sentiment Indicator - The CSI 300 N-day upward stock proportion indicator was above 60% as of January 30, 2026, indicating high market sentiment[25] - The fast line was above the slow line, suggesting a bullish outlook for the CSI 300 Index[26] 3. Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - The CSI 300 Index was in a "sentiment prosperity zone" as of January 30, 2026, indicating a bullish sentiment[36] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Cross-sectional Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the dispersion of returns among index constituents to assess the Alpha environment[37] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the cross-sectional volatility of index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) - Compare the recent quarter's average volatility to historical percentiles to evaluate the Alpha environment[38] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures short-term Alpha opportunities but may not fully reflect long-term trends[37] 2. Factor Name: Time-series Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the volatility of index constituents over time to assess the Alpha environment[38] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the time-series volatility of index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) - Compare the recent quarter's average volatility to historical percentiles to evaluate the Alpha environment[41] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides insights into market stability but may be less effective in highly volatile markets[38] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Cross-sectional Volatility - CSI 300: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.14%, in the 69.55th percentile of the past two years[38] - CSI 500: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.45%, in the 50.79th percentile of the past two years[38] - CSI 1000: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.61%, in the 66.93rd percentile of the past two years[38] 2. Time-series Volatility - CSI 300: Recent quarter average volatility at 0.96%, in the 57.20th percentile of the past two years[41] - CSI 500: Recent quarter average volatility at 1.22%, in the 50.79th percentile of the past two years[41] - CSI 1000: Recent quarter average volatility at 1.17%, in the 64.94th percentile of the past two years[41]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the AI Agent and 3D printing sectors, highlighting significant growth potential and investment opportunities in these areas [2][22]. Core Insights - The AI Agent field is experiencing rapid breakthroughs in ecological positioning, engineering, and personalization, with notable advancements in task completion capabilities [2][3]. - The collaboration between SiKan Technology and TuoZhu is expected to drive demand for consumer-grade 3D scanners, facilitating the growth of the 3D printing market [2][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI Agents as efficiency amplifiers, suggesting that they will enhance existing software ecosystems rather than disrupt them [17]. Summary by Sections AI Agent Developments - Recent updates in the AI Agent domain include the launch of MiniMax's desktop and "expert agent," which integrates AI into local work environments [18]. - The Clawdbot project has gained significant attention, demonstrating the feasibility of a system-level AI agent capable of executing complex workflows autonomously [4][11]. - The Kimi 2.5 release enhances agent cluster capabilities, allowing for high-level office automation and significantly reducing end-to-end processing time by up to 80% [19][23]. 3D Printing Market - The consumer-grade 3D printing market is entering a rapid expansion phase, driven by lower prices and simplified operations, with a projected growth rate of 52.5% in 2025 [22][39]. - The partnership between SiKan Technology and TuoZhu aims to develop consumer-grade 3D scanners, which will lower the entry barrier for 3D printing by enabling users to create high-precision models without extensive modeling skills [22][39]. - The report identifies key players in the 3D printing industry, including SiKan Technology and TuoZhu, as well as emerging opportunities in the consumer market [43]. Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on sectors such as digital economy leadership, AIGC applications, and new industrialization, highlighting specific companies for potential investment [22][43]. - The AI application layer's investment logic is shifting towards evaluating how AI can enhance product efficiency and user engagement, indicating a potential valuation premium for companies that can deliver reliable AI solutions [16][17].

Group 1: A-Share Market Analysis - The A-share market showed a volatile trend this week, with an average daily trading volume of 3.06 trillion, a week-on-week increase of 9.44%[6] - Major indices like the Shanghai 50 and CSI A100 recorded positive returns, while the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component indices experienced declines[6] - Value and large-cap growth sectors performed relatively well, whereas small-cap indices such as CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 saw significant drops[6] - Cyclical sectors like oil, telecommunications, coal, and non-ferrous metals outperformed, while growth sectors including computers and new energy faced larger declines[6] Group 2: Market Insights and Expectations - The A-share market displayed structural characteristics and volatility, with gold stocks experiencing a collective pullback due to fluctuations in international gold prices[6] - AI and technology growth stocks continued to attract capital, as evidenced by the strong performance of the Sci-Tech 50 index, indicating a favorable investment logic in growth sectors[6] - Short-term market conditions are expected to remain structurally volatile, with potential pullback pressures on previously strong cyclical sectors lacking sustained catalysts[7] - The upcoming period post-Spring Festival until the Two Sessions is anticipated to be a more certain upward phase for the market, suggesting strategic positioning opportunities[7] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Analysis - The Hong Kong market performed strongly this week, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.38% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.71%[8] - The Hang Seng Technology Index saw a slight decline of 1.38%, indicating volatility within the tech sector[8] - Leading sectors included energy (7.44%), real estate and construction (5.71%), and finance (5.3%), while information technology and healthcare experienced minor declines[8] Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The Hong Kong market is expected to continue its structural upward trend, supported by Fed rate cut expectations and improving sentiment in the A-share market[9] - Sustained demand for AI is likely to benefit the tech sector in Hong Kong, although investors should remain cautious of external policy uncertainties[9] - A prudent asset allocation strategy is recommended, focusing on high-dividend assets and sectors with both profitability improvement and growth potential[9] - Risks include unexpected tightening of global liquidity and complexities in market dynamics and policy changes[10]

Core Conclusions - The A-share market typically exhibits balanced performance during spring rallies, with both growth and value sectors showing gains. In the latter half of bull markets, sector differentiation tends to converge, leading to a more uniform upward trend [1][2] - Recently, previously lagging sectors such as liquor and real estate have performed well, indicating a structural convergence in the market as it enters the latter half of the bull market and spring rally [1][3] - The equity market is expected to remain stable with potential for further upward movement. A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, with a focus on technology represented by AI applications, as well as traditional assets like liquor and real estate, and upstream cyclical sectors [1][3] Historical Context - Historically, during spring rallies since 2005, both growth and value styles have performed similarly, with average maximum gains of 24.0% for growth and 23.5% for value [2][14] - The current market is still within a bull market atmosphere that began in September 2024, with significant structural differentiation observed. The latter half of bull markets typically sees a more balanced performance across sectors [2][18] Market Dynamics - The recent A-share market has shown notable sector rotation, with the performance gap between styles narrowing. Since December 17, 2025, the spring rally has gradually unfolded, supported by broad-based ETFs, flexible foreign capital, and leveraged funds [1][11] - As of January 23, 2026, the industry rotation strength in the A-share market was at a historical low of 18% over the past five years, but there has been a recent uptick, suggesting that structural rotation may be beginning [12][14] Future Outlook - The current spring rally is expected to continue, with historical comparisons indicating a potential index increase of around 20%. The maximum increase of the Shanghai Composite Index since December 17, 2025, has only been 9.8%, indicating room for growth [3][30] - Continued macroeconomic policy support is anticipated to provide a fundamental basis for market growth, with a focus on stabilizing the real estate market as indicated by recent government statements [30][31] Sector Allocation - The technology sector, particularly driven by the AI wave, remains a key focus, with expectations for the rally to expand from hardware to application sectors. Recent developments in AI applications have been notable, suggesting a shift towards practical implementations [31][32] - In addition to technology, traditional value sectors such as undervalued liquor and real estate assets are also recommended for consideration in the current market environment [31][32]

A-Share Market - The A-share market exhibited a volatile trend this week, with an average daily trading volume of 3.06 trillion, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 9.44% [6] - Major indices showed mixed performance, with large-cap indices like the Shanghai 50 and CSI A100 recording positive returns, while the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component indices experienced declines [6] - Sector performance was diverse, with cyclical and value sectors such as oil, petrochemicals, telecommunications, coal, and non-ferrous metals performing well, while growth sectors like computers, power equipment, new energy, and automobiles faced significant declines [6] - The market displayed structural characteristics and volatility, with precious metals and resource cyclical sectors initially strong but later retreating due to fluctuations in international gold prices, indicating rapid shifts in market sentiment and short-term speculative influences [6][7] - AI and technology growth stocks continued to attract capital, as evidenced by the strong performance of the Sci-Tech 50 index, supporting the investment logic in growth directions [6] Outlook for A-Share Market - The short-term outlook suggests a continuation of structural trends, but increased volatility is anticipated. Cyclical sectors that were previously strong may face correction pressures if lacking sustained catalysts [7] - With the Spring Festival approaching, the period after the festival until the Two Sessions may present a more certain upward trend, suggesting opportunities for strategic positioning post-festival [7] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market showed strong overall performance this week, with major indices rising, including a 2.38% increase in the Hang Seng Index and a 1.71% rise in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [8] - The Hang Seng Technology Index experienced a slight decline of 1.38%, indicating volatility within the technology sector [8] - Leading sectors included energy (7.44%), real estate and construction (5.71%), and finance (5.3%), while information technology and healthcare sectors saw slight declines [8] - The market exhibited complex and differentiated characteristics, with a rebound in property stocks due to rising policy expectations, while gold and non-ferrous metal stocks experienced significant fluctuations influenced by international gold price volatility [8] - Despite a slight decline in the Hang Seng Technology Index, certain AI concept stocks like Baidu and Alibaba remained active due to advancements in AI chips, highlighting the sustained appeal of AI as a long-term driver [8] Outlook for Hong Kong Market - The outlook for the Hong Kong market suggests a potential continuation of structural upward trends, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and a recovery in A-share sentiment [9] - Continued improvement in AI demand is expected to benefit the technology sector in Hong Kong, although investors should remain cautious of external policy uncertainties and consider a prudent allocation strategy, focusing on high-dividend assets and sectors with both profitability improvement and growth potential [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Views - The report highlights a continued price increase trend in the AI infrastructure supply chain, suggesting that multiple segments such as CPU and cloud services may experience simultaneous volume and price growth, benefiting related industries [8][58] - The report recommends focusing on the domestic computing power supply chain, particularly leading companies in computing chips like Cambricon and Haiguang Information, as well as domestic CPU, cloud, and AI infrastructure suppliers [8][58] Summary by Sections Market Performance - Last week, the computer sector rebounded slightly, with an overall decline of 0.25%, ranking 27th among major industries in the Yangtze River region, and accounting for 7.08% of total market turnover [2][18] Key Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of the domestic basic resource supply chain, particularly in light of ongoing price increases that are expected to benefit various segments, including computing chips and cloud services [8][58] Notable Developments - Recent updates include the IPO progress of three companies in the commercial aerospace sector, and announcements from Elon Musk regarding the Optimus humanoid robot, which is expected to be available to the public by the end of 2027 [2][23][29] - The report also notes that the full version of Tesla's FSD (Full Self-Driving) may receive regulatory approval soon, which could accelerate investment opportunities in the smart driving industry [37][41]

Group 1 - In January 2026, nearly 660 private equity firms participated in A-share company research activities, with a total of over 1700 research instances [1][2] - The computer, machinery, pharmaceutical biology, and electronics sectors were the most focused on by private equity firms, with notable fund managers like Feng Liu from Gao Yi Asset and Zhu Liang from Dan Yi Investment attending technology stock research [1][2] - Despite significant gains in the technology sector in 2025, industry trends and corporate profitability indicate that the sector has not yet reached a "bubble stage," particularly in semiconductors and AI applications [1] Group 2 - A total of 659 private equity firms covered 332 A-share companies across 28 primary industries in January 2026, with 48 companies receiving more than 10 research visits [2] - The computer industry had 30 companies receiving research with a total of 296 instances, while the machinery equipment sector had 44 companies with 228 instances [3][4] - The pharmaceutical biology and electronics sectors also saw significant research activity, each exceeding 190 instances, with the electronics sector having the highest number of companies at 48 [4] Group 3 - Notable private equity fund managers showed interest in technology, with Feng Liu attending a research event for Hikvision, focusing on AI application advancements and robotics [5] - Zhu Liang from Dan Yi Investment researched Tongfu Microelectronics, which is positioned to benefit from the rapid development of domestic AI computing chips [6] - The AI industry is viewed as a key investment theme for 2026, with a shift towards practical applications and a growing demand for general-purpose GPUs and basic semiconductor equipment [7][8]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Daming Electronics (Chongqing) Co., Ltd. has obtained a patent for an "electric support rod for car tailgates," which addresses the issue of inconvenient assembly of existing electric support rods [1] - The patent, with authorization announcement number CN223854075U, was applied for on February 2025 and falls under the automotive parts sector [1] - The design includes components such as an outer sleeve, motor housing, spring guide tube, and a rod with a screw nut, which enhances the assembly process by allowing easier installation of bearings and positioning pieces [1] Group 2 - Daming Electronics (Chongqing) Co., Ltd. was established in 2020 and is located in Chongqing, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices [1] - The company has a registered capital of 330 million RMB and has participated in 19 bidding projects, holds 33 patents, and possesses 30 administrative licenses according to Tianyancha data [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. has obtained a patent for a "display device," with the authorization announcement number CN115588369B, and the application date was October 2022 [1] - BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. was established in 1993 and is located in Beijing, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices. The registered capital is approximately 37.41 billion RMB [1] - The company has made investments in 73 enterprises and participated in 303 bidding projects, with 775 trademark records and 5000 patent records, in addition to holding 47 administrative licenses [1] Group 2 - Chengdu BOE Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2007 and is located in Chengdu, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of instruments and meters. The registered capital is approximately 2.5 billion RMB [1] - Chengdu BOE Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd. has participated in 922 bidding projects and holds 5000 patent records, along with 522 administrative licenses [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that 215 stocks have gained attention from brokerages in January, with 35 stocks experiencing a monthly increase of over 30%, indicating strong market performance and potential investment opportunities [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Among the 215 stocks, notable performers include Zhuoyi Information, which surged nearly 99%, and Dike Co., which rose nearly 83% [1]. - Other significant gainers include Baiwei Storage (over 63%), Robotech (62.61%), and Mingyang Smart Energy (60.22%) [2][3]. Group 2: Potential Stocks - Three stocks that have not yet reached their target prices include Keli Ke, with a maximum upside potential exceeding 38%, and a latest closing price of 23.88 yuan [6]. - The target price for Keli Ke is set between 31.03 and 33.17 yuan by Guosen Securities [6]. - Other stocks with potential include Chipone Technology, with a target price of 243.00 yuan, and Pruis, with a target price of 93.00 yuan [6].