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食角新赏 | 金龙鱼、元气森林掀细分赛道新品潮,券商预报软饮行业景气度拐点向上
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-04-22 03:01
Group 1 - Yihai Kerry Golden Dragon Fish is expanding into the beverage sector with its new health brand "Jinlongyu Fengyitang," focusing on functional foods derived from natural ingredients [1] - The brand aims to address health needs through "Eastern food therapy," emphasizing the extraction of functional nutrients from plants [1] - The product lineup includes plant sterol protein drinks, in addition to previous offerings like original soy milk and brown rice soy milk [1] Group 2 - Other beverage brands are also innovating, with Yuanqi Forest launching its first sparkling wine, "Lang," featuring zero sugar, zero fat, and zero purine options [2] - Wangwang and Wanglaoji have introduced new electrolyte drinks targeting hydration needs, with specific nutritional benefits highlighted [5] - Suntory and Guanfang Shanzha Tree have released plant-based drinks incorporating hawthorn, promoting a lifestyle of relaxation and wellness [6] Group 3 - The plant beverage market is gaining attention but currently holds only about one-fourth of the market share compared to sugar-free tea, indicating a significant gap [10] - Recent data shows that plant beverages account for approximately 18% of the sales revenue of sugar-free ready-to-drink tea, maintaining a consistent ratio in market share [10] - The overall beverage industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations for improved performance as the peak season approaches [10]
黄金疯了
猫笔刀· 2025-04-21 14:11
带着老妈去承德玩了。 我以前对承德有两个印象,一个是电视广告里的承德露露,还有一个就是评上世遗的避暑山庄。 有一个著名的历史事件,就是乾隆70岁的时候邀请藏族领袖祝寿,6世班禅率领一个2000人的团队,从西藏出发前后走了1年半达到承德,受到了隆重礼 遇。祝寿活动结束后班禅去北京弘扬佛法,结果不到2个月就死于天花。 所以避暑、维系草原统治、天花防疫隔离,三大因素加在一起才促成了承德行宫的建成。也是因为先有了避暑山庄,才有了后来的承德市。 …… 睡完午觉出发,因为是淡季,景区人很少,稀稀落落。我们刚到买票处就有个导游主动询问是否需要服务,态度有些过于"上赶着",我误以为是黑导游, 后来经售票处工作人员证明是正规人员,我就买了全程陪导服务,不贵,两个小时150。 我问她为什么拉生意的时候那么着急,她说她每天只有10分钟的接客时间,看见我们的时候马上就要10分钟超时了。 承德确实比北京凉快,全年平均要低4-5度,它虽然和北京直线距离不到200公里,但中间隔了一个燕山,北京在山南,承德在山北。 同时承德紧挨着北边的草原,清朝皇帝来到这里很方便接见蒙古贵族,维持对蒙古地区的统治。 另外承德行宫在历史上还有一个功能,就是天 ...
从台商脉络探产业发展系列报告六:软饮料行业深度报告
Dongguan Securities· 2025-04-21 07:21
食品饮料行业 超配(维持) 从台商脉络探产业发展系列报告六 软饮料行业深度报告 2025 年 4 月 21 日 分析师:谢雄雄 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340523110002 电话:0769-22110925 邮箱: xiexiongxiong@dgzq.com.cn 分析师:魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340513040002 电话:0769-22119462 邮箱:whm2@dgzq.com.cn 食品饮料行业指数走势 资料来源:东莞证券研究所,同花顺 相关报告 投资要点: ◼ 风险提示:市场竞争加剧风险,食品质量安全风险,新品推广不及 预期,渠道开展不及预期,原材料价格波动风险等。 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 深 度 研 究 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 1. 我国软饮料行业概况 | 4 | | --- | --- | | 1.1 我国软饮料行业简介以及发展历程 | 4 | | 1.2 我国软饮料行业市场规模 | 5 | | 1.3 我国软饮料行业销售渠道 ...
中国市场将成外资避风港
IPO日报· 2025-04-19 07:42
星标 ★ IPO日报 精彩文章第一时间推送 最近,笔者注意到IPO日报的一篇文章颇有意思。 标题是《一个员工创造2513万元收入!46人干出个"全球第二"!就靠"东方力量"!》, 大意是,美国总统特朗普对世界各国挥舞关税大棒,阻碍 着世界贸易的正常进行,许多国家为此忧心忡忡, 与此同时,一家在中国市场仅仅打拼了数年的椰子水外资品牌IF的母公司IFBH Limitet(下称 IFBH),在只有46个员工的情况下,2024年创造出11.56亿元的营收,凭借着"全球第二"的市场份额,向香港证券交易所提交了上市申请。 制图:佘诗婕 笔者以为,IFBH的成功大概归功于以下几个因素: 1、轻资产运营模式与高效资源配置, IFBH采用轻资产模式,将生产、物流、销售全链条外 包,仅保留品牌管理、产品创新和营销推广等核心环节。 2、精准的市场定位与健康消费趋势把握, IF主打"100%天然椰子水"概念,强调零添 加、低糖低卡,与中国国内传统椰汁品牌(如椰树)形成差异化竞争,迎合了消费者对健康饮品的需求升级。 3、本土化营销与流量运营, 签约肖 战、赵露思等顶流明星,结合抖音、小红书等社交平台的KOL种草,快速提升品牌曝光度。 ...
东鹏饮料赴港IPO,被大股东多次减持,广告及推广费猛增
Ge Long Hui· 2025-04-16 11:46
国产功能饮料龙头东鹏饮料正冲击A+H上市。 格隆汇获悉,近期,东鹏饮料(集团)股份有限公司(简称"东鹏饮料")向港交所递交招股书,拟在香港主板上市, 华泰国际、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团为联席保荐人。 经过多年发,东鹏饮料(605499)已成为国内第一、全球领先的功能饮料企业,并于2021年在A股上市,2024年营收 超158亿元,但也存在依赖大单品、产品销售依赖经销商渠道等经营隐忧。同时,近几年东鹏饮料被大股东多次减持 套现的行为,也引发市场担忧。 截止今天(4月16日)下午收盘,A股东鹏饮料股价涨2.77%至275元/股,市值约1430亿元。如今中国软饮料市场情况 如何?不妨通过东鹏饮料来一探究竟。 图片来源于格隆汇 1 卖功能饮料产品,深圳南山冲出一家IPO 东鹏饮料总部位于广东省深圳市南山区,其前身东鹏实业于1994年6月注册成立,2003年10月林木勤先生及东鹏实业 其他19名员工受让东鹏实业产权,东鹏实业改制为东鹏有限,并在2018年3月改制为股份有限公司。 2021年,东鹏饮料登陆上海证券交易所上市,成为中国"能量饮料第一股",如今又要谋求A+H上市。 公司在中国能量饮料领域首创PET包装,并创新性地 ...
东鹏饮料(605499):Q1高质高增,平台化再提速
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-16 02:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][25]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 4.848 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 47.62% year-on-year [8][9]. - The company continues to expand its network rapidly, with new products being actively promoted, contributing to sales growth [8]. - The gross margin improved to 44.5%, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from lower raw material costs and economies of scale [8]. - The company is expected to maintain high growth momentum throughout the year, with new product launches likely to catalyze sales during the peak consumption season [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 15.839 billion yuan in 2024, 20.271 billion yuan in 2025, 24.501 billion yuan in 2026, and 28.184 billion yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 40.6%, 28.0%, 20.9%, and 15.0% [3][14]. - Net profit forecasts are 3.326 billion yuan for 2024, 4.519 billion yuan for 2025, 5.611 billion yuan for 2026, and 6.617 billion yuan for 2027, with growth rates of 63.1%, 35.9%, 24.2%, and 17.9% respectively [3][14]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 6.40 yuan in 2024, 8.69 yuan in 2025, 10.79 yuan in 2026, and 12.72 yuan in 2027 [3][14]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 304 yuan, with the current price at 267.58 yuan [4].
东鹏饮料:淡季势能充沛,Q1业绩超预期-20250416
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-16 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected profit growth of 35% in 2025, 27% in 2026, and 26% in 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 31x, 24x, and 19x respectively [3]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 4.848 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million RMB, up 47.62% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [2]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in various product lines, particularly during the Spring Festival, with significant increases in sales for special drinks and bottled water [2][3]. - The company is expanding its market presence outside Guangdong, with a notable increase in the number of distributors, particularly in the North China market [2]. Performance Analysis - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 44.5% and 20.2%, respectively, reflecting improvements due to lower raw material costs [3]. - Sales and management expense ratios decreased, indicating effective scale efficiencies, while sales expenses increased due to new product promotions [3]. - The company is expected to maintain high growth in Q2 2025, supported by favorable inventory levels and strong sales momentum [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are 11.263 billion RMB, 15.839 billion RMB, 20.907 billion RMB, 26.164 billion RMB, and 31.829 billion RMB, with growth rates of 32.42%, 40.63%, 32.00%, 25.14%, and 21.65% respectively [7]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.040 billion RMB, 3.327 billion RMB, 4.474 billion RMB, 5.690 billion RMB, and 7.142 billion RMB, with growth rates of 41.60%, 63.09%, 34.50%, 27.18%, and 25.50% respectively [7]. - The report highlights a strong return on equity (ROE) forecast, with figures of 32.26% in 2023 and declining to 35.89% by 2027 [7]. Market Sentiment - The report indicates a positive market sentiment with a high number of "Buy" ratings over various time frames, suggesting strong investor confidence in the company's future performance [9].
东鹏饮料20250327
2025-04-15 14:30
Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the beverage industry, specifically focusing on energy drinks and other beverage segments in China. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Leverage Reduction and Consumer Demand** The initial focus for consumers is likely to be on reducing leverage rather than immediate consumption, which may eventually lead to increased demand and consumption in the future. This trend is expected to impact various sectors, including alcoholic beverages and dining, which are prioritized over general consumer goods and snacks [1] 2. **Energy Drink Market Trends** The energy drink segment has shown a positive turnaround over the past two years, with expectations for accelerated growth moving forward. The demographic trends indicate that while the number of university graduates is at a record high, the peak will not be reached until 2038, suggesting ongoing employment pressures that may favor energy drink consumption [2] 3. **Weather Impact on Sales** The sales performance in early 2023 was influenced by colder weather in regions like East and North China. The company noted that the seasonal fluctuations in sales are more pronounced compared to previous years, but warmer weather in February has led to improved production outputs [3] 4. **Branding and Marketing Strategies** The company is transitioning its branding and marketing strategies towards enhancing single-product outputs and consumer engagement. Despite pressures, the company anticipates a strong performance during peak seasons [4] 5. **Market Underestimation of Certain Beverage Segments** The company believes that the market has underestimated the potential of certain beverage segments, particularly juice and tea, which are expected to see significant growth. These segments are characterized by lower barriers to entry compared to high-margin products like coffee and alcoholic beverages [4][5] 6. **Consumer Preferences in Lower-Tier Cities** In lower-tier cities, consumers with lower disposable incomes are gravitating towards more affordable beverage options. This trend supports the company's strategy to focus on these segments for growth [5] 7. **Cost Structure and Profitability** The company anticipates maintaining a strong profit margin, with raw materials accounting for approximately 80% of the main business costs. The profit margins are expected to exceed 7%, indicating a robust financial outlook for the year [6] 8. **Valuation and Investment Potential** The company's valuation is projected to be around 25-26 times earnings by the end of the year, which is considered attractive given the anticipated growth rates. The company is recommended as a top investment choice for April [7]
元气森林“好自在”销量领先 熬煮工艺继续领跑中式养生水市场
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-04-14 08:15
Core Insights - The "Good Zizai" brand from Yuanqi Forest leads the Chinese health water market in 2024, showcasing the company's innovative strength and strategic vision in the health beverage sector [1][2][4] Market Performance - The Chinese health water market is experiencing explosive growth, with "Good Zizai" achieving significant market share and reflecting a deep transformation in consumer demand for health beverages [2] - Since its launch in 2023, "Good Zizai" has rapidly gained popularity, achieving over 100 million yuan in sales within four months and surpassing 1 billion yuan by December 2024 [2] Consumer Trends - There is a notable increase in consumer acceptance of the "food and medicine share the same source" concept, with the health water market size growing by 350% year-on-year to reach 450 million yuan in 2023, and projected to exceed 10 billion yuan by 2028 [2] Product Innovation - "Good Zizai" differentiates itself with a unique positioning of "real ingredients + traditional brewing," using selected ingredients like goji berries and red dates, and a health formula of 0 sugar, 0 fat, and 0 calories [2][3] - The brand emphasizes quality in product development, with a focus on user insights and taste, exemplified by the rigorous selection process for ingredients [3] Brand Strategy - The packaging design of "Good Zizai" merges traditional and modern elements, resonating with young consumers and emphasizing a cultural connection to health [3] - The success of "Good Zizai" is attributed not only to its product quality but also to Yuanqi Forest's long-term commitment to innovation and quality control in the health beverage market [4]
红牛创始公司天丝集团受邀参加2025教育促进农村可持续发展能力建设国际研讨会
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-04-13 05:12
在活动现场,诗琳通公主发表主旨演讲。她重点介绍了泰国皇室基金会与中国在农业农村发展方面的系 列合作,高度评价了与北京师范大学、联合国教科文组织国际农村教育研究与培训中心在推动农村可持 续发展带头人能力提升方面取得的成果。她指出,这些深度合作将会有效促进减贫,降低经济脆弱性,全面 提升社区发展韧性和自主发展能力,实现持久繁荣与可持续发展。诗琳通公主是中泰友好交流的杰出使 者,为促进中泰两国人民相互了解,为推动中泰教育、文化、科技等领域合作作出了重要贡献。2019年被 授予中华人民共和国"友谊勋章"。今年适逢中泰建交50周年,公主来访充分体现了对中泰教育交流合作 的高度重视。在公主的关心支持下,中泰教育合作将会取得更为丰硕的成果。 作为泰国在华投资的领军企业,全球红牛品牌和"红牛"商标的创始者和所有者,天丝集团秉承"激发潜能, 共创美好未来"的企业愿景,以尽心、尽力、尽责三大支柱为战略框架,助力世界的可持续发展,为社会发 展赋能。在"尽责"方面,天丝集团积极承担企业社会责任,致力于回馈业务所在地社区,尤其关注通过教育 推动社区可持续发展。在研讨会上,天丝集团分享了其在通过教育促进农村可持续发展方面的实践与经 验。 ...