Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of fund managers' perspectives and data from their Q4 2025 reports, highlighting different investment styles and strategies across various funds [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Styles - Fund managers are categorized into different investment styles, including deep value, growth value, and balanced styles, each with distinct characteristics and strategies [7][26]. - Deep value style focuses on low valuation metrics such as low P/E and P/B ratios, primarily investing in sectors like finance, real estate, and energy [9][10]. - Growth value style emphasizes companies with strong profitability and cash flow, often holding stocks for the long term, with notable managers like Zhang Kun representing this style [15][16]. - Balanced style, represented by Peter Lynch, seeks a combination of growth and valuation, looking for stocks that offer good value [27][28]. Group 2: Fund Manager Insights - Fund managers provided insights on market conditions and future expectations, with some expressing optimism about the recovery of consumer demand and housing prices [19][20]. - Adjustments in fund allocations were noted, with some managers reducing exposure to underperforming sectors while increasing investments in technology and energy-related companies [20][23]. - The overall sentiment indicates a cautious yet optimistic outlook for 2026, with expectations of improved economic conditions and potential investment opportunities in various sectors [41][54]. Group 3: Sector Focus - Specific sectors highlighted include AI, renewable energy, and consumer goods, with managers emphasizing the importance of selecting companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential [52][59]. - The article notes a trend towards increasing allocations in sectors like chemicals and machinery, reflecting a structural adjustment in response to market conditions [21][23]. - Fund managers are also paying attention to the impact of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and government policies, on investment strategies [41][56].

记者丨 程浩 编辑丨蒋韵 日前，南方财经记者从黄埔海关了解到， 2025年东莞外贸进出口规模达1.58万亿元，创历史 同期新高，重回全国第5，交出了一份沉甸甸的外贸"成绩单"。 资料图 从总量看，东莞稳住了"外贸大市"的地位。据黄埔海关统计，"十四五"期间，东莞市进出口累 计增长超2490亿元，年均增长3.5%。2025年，东莞市外贸进出口1.58万亿元，规模稳居全国 第五，较上年（下同）增长13.8%，增速位居全国外贸万亿级城市第二位。其中，出口9707.4 亿元，增长9.1%；进口6087亿元，增长22.1%。 从结构看，东莞实现了"质"的新跃升。东莞优势产品持续发力，本土品牌加速"出海"。数据显 示，2025年，东莞市出口机电产品6821.9亿元，增长12.5%，拉高出口整体增速8.5个百分点。 其中，出口电子元件、电工器材、电脑及其零部件、手机分别增长12.4%、20.1%、17.3%、 7.4%。同期，自主品牌产品出口增长15%，占东莞出口总值的15.1%。同时，以电动汽车、锂 电池、光伏产品为代表的"新三样"出口增长迅猛，成为新的外贸增长点。 从主体看，东莞激发了企业新活力。2025年，东莞市有进 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is undergoing a new wave of "delisting risk inspection" as companies disclose their 2025 annual performance forecasts, with over 20 companies already indicating potential delisting risk warnings due to financial indicators not meeting standards, major violations, or abnormal audit opinions [1][9]. Financial Indicators Not Meeting Standards - According to the latest rules from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, main board companies will trigger financial delisting risk warnings if their "net profit for the most recent accounting year is negative and operating revenue is below 300 million yuan" or if "net assets at the end of the period are negative" [2][10]. - Companies such as Bayi Steel, Shuaifeng Electric, Tianjian Technology, Yijing Optoelectronics, and Huaxia Happiness have announced that their stocks may face delisting risk warnings due to financial issues [2][10]. Specific Company Financial Issues - Bayi Steel expects its net assets to be between -1.76 billion yuan and -1.95 billion yuan by the end of 2025, which will trigger delisting risk warnings [3][11]. - Yijing Optoelectronics anticipates a net asset of -68 million to -130 million yuan for 2025, also leading to potential delisting risk warnings [3][11]. - Huaxia Happiness is expected to have negative net assets by the end of 2025, which may result in delisting risk warnings [3][11]. Revenue and Profit Shortfalls - Shuaifeng Electric forecasts a total profit loss of between -57 million and -38 million yuan for 2025, with a net profit loss of -62 million to -43 million yuan, and operating revenue expected to be between 21 million and 25 million yuan, below the 300 million yuan threshold [4][12]. - Tianjian Technology projects a total profit loss of between -170 million and -242 million yuan for 2025, with a net profit loss of -176 million to -250 million yuan, and negative operating revenue expected [4][12]. Internal Control Issues - Companies like Digital People and Tianye Co. face potential delisting risk warnings due to unresolved internal control issues highlighted in their audit reports for 2024 [5][13][14]. - Digital People received a negative opinion on its internal controls, which could lead to delisting risk warnings if similar issues persist in 2025 [5][13]. Importance of 2025 Audit Opinions - For companies already under delisting risk warnings, the audit opinions for 2025 will be critical. For instance, *ST Panda has indicated that unresolved non-standard audit opinions may lead to further delisting risks if not addressed [7][15]. - *ST Zhengping has also warned that unresolved audit issues could result in termination of listing if not rectified by the 2025 audit report [7][16].

Performance Highlights - State Grid Yingda (600517.SH) expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.75 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 46.10% to 74.69%[3] - Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH) anticipates a net profit of 4.8 billion to 5.4 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 41.76% to 59.48%[4] - Shenzhen South Circuit (002916.SZ) projects a net profit of 3.154 billion to 3.342 billion CNY, with an increase of 68% to 78%[5] - Electric Investment and Financing (000958.SZ) forecasts a net profit of 3 billion to 3.5 billion CNY, a significant rise of 187.37% to 235.26%[6] - Oriental Securities (600958.SH) expects a net profit of 5.62 billion CNY, up 67.8% year-on-year[9] Industry Trends - AI and high-end manufacturing are driving growth, with companies like Shenzhen South Circuit and Huadian Electric benefiting from AI computing upgrades[47] - Resource prices are showing differentiation, with gold, tungsten, and lithium companies like Zhongjin Gold and Xiamen Tungsten experiencing performance recovery due to strategic resource demand[48] - The financial sector is witnessing a dual trend of stability and transformation, as seen in Oriental Securities and Guotai Junan's performance amid market activity[49] - The recovery in consumer and service industries is highlighted by Wanda Film's return to profitability, indicating a rebound in content and experiential consumption[50] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing significant differentiation, with companies like Chengdu Xian Dao achieving high growth through innovation, while others like Bichang Pharmaceutical face competitive pressures[51]

2026 年 01 月 28 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 宏观资金均衡偏松，ETF 继续大幅净流出 ——流动性周报 1 月第 3 期 最近一年走势 投资要点: 相关报告 变迁？*赵阳》——2026-01-16 《流动性周报 1 月第 1 期：资金需求端缓和，两融 余额创历史新高*赵阳》——2026-01-13 《信用重启与双峰共振——2026 年海外年度策略* 袁野，赵阳》——2026-01-12 1. 本周（2026/01/19-2026/01/23，下同）宏观资金面均衡偏松，央行通 过公开市场操作开展 7 天逆回购净投放 2295 亿元。资金价格方面，短端 利率下行、长端利率下行，且长端下行幅度大于短端，期限利差走窄。 2. 股市资金供给端总体结构分化，权益基金发行显著回升，两融余额仍 在高位震荡。融资净流入较多的行业为有色金属、非银金融等，融资净流 出较多的行业有电子、计算机等。股票 ETF 净流出 3331.17 亿元，宽基 ETF 资金主要流入中证 2000、科创 200 等指数，净流出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance forecasts of various A-share listed companies, indicating significant growth in sectors driven by AI computing power, resource prices, and financial market activity, while also noting challenges faced by traditional industries [4][26][30]. Group 1: Companies with Notable Performance Growth - State Grid Yingda (600517.SH) expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.10% to 74.69%, driven by stable growth in its main business and significant investment returns from its financial sector [6]. - Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH) anticipates a net profit of 4.8 billion to 5.4 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 41.76% to 59.48%, benefiting from higher gold sales prices and improved profitability in its mining operations [6]. - Shenzhen South Circuit (002916.SZ) projects a net profit of 3.154 billion to 3.342 billion yuan, with a growth of 68% to 78%, capitalizing on AI computing upgrades and increased demand in the storage market [6]. - Dongfang Securities (600958.SH) forecasts a net profit of 5.62 billion yuan, a 67.8% increase, supported by a vibrant capital market and strong performance in its wealth management and institutional business [6]. - Chengdu Xian Dao (688222.SH) expects a net profit of 104 million to 127 million yuan, a growth of 102.50% to 147.29%, driven by stable revenue growth and improved gross margins [6]. Group 2: Companies Facing Challenges - Jinjia Co. (002191.SZ) anticipates a loss of 251.95 million to 503.90 million yuan, transitioning from profit to loss due to client structure adjustments and expected impairment provisions [20]. - Mulin Sen (002745.SZ) projects a loss of 1.5 billion to 1.1 billion yuan, also moving from profit to loss due to weak demand in the European market and increased operational costs [21]. - Tianwei Vision (002238.SZ) expects a loss of 160 million to 220 million yuan, influenced by declining rental prices in the data center market and reduced revenue from traditional cable services [23]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The technology growth narrative is clear, with companies like Shenzhen South Circuit and Huadian Co. benefiting from AI computing upgrades and high-end manufacturing demands [26]. - Resource price sensitivity is evident, with companies like Zhongjin Gold and Xiamen Tungsten experiencing performance recovery due to rising prices of strategic resources [26]. - The financial sector shows resilience and transformation, with firms like Dongfang Securities and Guotai Junan benefiting from increased market activity and strategic shifts [27]. - The recovery in consumer and service industries is highlighted by Wanda Film's return to profitability, showcasing the importance of content and experiential consumption [28]. - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing significant differentiation, with companies like Chengdu Xian Dao achieving high growth through innovation, while others face competitive pressures [29].

Core Viewpoint - Tianlu Technology announced a strategic partnership with local company Sanlipu to establish a subsidiary, Anhui Jiguang, focusing on the TAC film project, aiming to break Japan's monopoly in this sector amid current geopolitical tensions [1] Group 1 - The collaboration with Sanlipu and the establishment of Anhui Jiguang is a proactive measure to enhance domestic capabilities in the TAC film market [1] - The necessity of the TAC film project has been further emphasized due to the evolving geopolitical landscape, indicating a strategic shift towards local production [1] - The project is expected to advance more decisively with support from various industry stakeholders, highlighting a collective effort to strengthen the domestic supply chain [1]

东 兴 晨 报 东兴晨报 P1 2026 年 1 月 28 日星期三 经济要闻 1. 国税局：2025 年税务部门全年征收各项税费 33.1 万亿元。其中，未扣 除出口退税的税收收入 17.8 万亿元，同比增长 2.7%。支持科技创新和制造 业发展的主要优惠政策减税降费退税超 2.8 万亿元，有力促进新质生产力和 实体经济发展。（资料来源：同花顺） 2. 国资委：1 月 28 日，国务院国资委企业改革局局长林庆苗在国新办新 闻发布会上透露，下一步国资委将聚焦国有资本"三个集中"，以重组整合为 抓手，扎实推进国有经济布局优化和结构调整，加快建设更多世界一流企业。 国有资本"三个集中"，首先是扎实做好新央企组建和战略性重组，更加突出 中央企业在战略安全、产业引领、国计民生、公共服务等领域的支撑作用， 更好把企业做强做优做大。其次，深入推进专业化整合，支持创新能力强的 企业作为主体，开展同类业务横向整合、产业链上下游纵向整合，减少行业 内卷。再次，支持中央企业开展高质量并购，获取核心要素、抢占技术先机， 加快培育发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业。（资料来源：同花顺） 3. 国家移民管理局：2025 年，全国移民管理机构 ...

新华财经北京1月28日电（记者丁雅雯）中国贸促会28日发布的数据显示，2025年11月全球经贸摩擦指 数为101，处于高位。全球经贸摩擦措施涉及金额同比增长7.2%，环比下降2.0%。 从分项指数看，监测范围内的20个国家（地区）共发布30项进出口关税措施，发起19起贸易救济调查， 向WTO提交技术性贸易壁垒（TBT）通报和卫生与植物卫生措施（SPS）通报152项，发布进出口限制 措施12项，发布其他限制性措施212项。其中，贸易救济措施指数在五类分项措施指数中居首位。 （文章来源：新华财经） 从行业指数看，监测范围内13个主要行业中，经贸摩擦措施的冲突点聚焦于电子、医药和化工行业，其 中电子行业经贸摩擦指数居首。 中国贸促会新闻发言人王文帅指出，从国别指数看，监测范围内的20个国家（地区）中，欧盟、美国和 韩国的全球经贸摩擦指数位居前三。当月欧盟发起多项反补贴和反倾销调查，取代了美国连续16个月占 据的全球经贸摩擦措施涉及金额最多的榜首位置。 ...

王文帅表示，当月欧盟发起多项反补贴和反倾销调查，取代了美国连续16个月占据的全球经贸摩擦措施 涉及金额最多的榜首位置。 从行业指数看，监测范围内13个主要行业中，经贸摩擦措施的冲突点聚焦于电子、医药和化工行业，其 中电子行业经贸摩擦指数居首。 中新网1月28日电中国贸促会于1月28日举办新闻发布会，公布了2025年11月份全球经贸摩擦指数，数据 显示，2025年11月份的全球经贸摩擦指数继续处于高位。 中国贸促会新闻发言人王文帅介绍，从综合指数看，11月份全球经贸摩擦指数为101，处于高位。全球 经贸摩擦措施涉及金额同比增长7.2%，环比下降2.0%。从国别指数看，监测范围内的20个国家(地区) 中，欧盟、美国和韩国的全球经贸摩擦指数位居前三。 从分项指数看，监测范围内的20个国家(地区)共发布30项进出口关税措施，发起19起贸易救济调查，向 WTO提交技术性贸易壁垒(TBT)通报和卫生与植物卫生措施(SPS)通报152项，发布进出口限制措施12 项，发布其他限制性措施212项。其中，贸易救济措施指数在五类分项措施指数中居首位。 在涉华经贸摩擦方面，19个国家(地区)涉华经贸摩擦指数为101，处于高位。其中， ...