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清盘率骤降至63.8%,但市场人士看涨7月!澳洲楼市短暂放缓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 06:54
尽管挂牌房源减少,但全国初步清盘率也下滑至63.8%,创下今年以来的最低水平(不含1月波动数 据),数据由Cotality(前身为CoreLogic)提供。 此前两周,全国初步清盘率均维持在70%以上。 SQM Research创始人Louis Christopher表示,假期期间买卖双方面活跃度通常较低,但他预计市场将在 本周反弹,并重拾此前由降息推动的积极势头。 由于买家和卖家在长周末"集体休市",澳洲住宅拍卖市场出现回落,全国清盘率跌至今年以来最低,打 断了近期房市回暖的节奏。 上周安排的拍卖数量大幅下降,比前一周减少了一半以上,多数州都因国王生日长周末暂停活动。 "除去1月波动期,这是悉尼今年目前为止最低的初步清盘率,"Cotality研究总监Tim Lawless 表示。 "这打破了此前拍卖市场持续升温的趋势。现在要看随着数据进一步收集,清盘率是否会上 修,或者市场在长周末过后是否迅速恢复。" 尽管市场整体放缓,悉尼仍有亮眼成交。 在西北区Eastwood,一套位于999平方米转角大地上的四房独栋住宅,在2 Wingate Avenue现场拍卖中以 401万澳元成交,吸引四位竞标者激烈争夺。 "原本 ...
楼市企稳?5月北上广深一二手住宅成交量同比都上升
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-06-04 08:07
Group 1 - In May 2025, the real estate transaction volumes in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou showed improvements compared to the same period last year [1][2] - Beijing's new residential sales reached 3,917 units, a month-on-month increase of 14.7% and a year-on-year increase of 10.52% [1] - Shanghai's second-hand housing transactions totaled 21,400 units, with a year-on-year increase of 15% despite a month-on-month decline of 8.6% [1] - Shenzhen's new residential sales were 3,162 units, reflecting a month-on-month decline of over 14% but a year-on-year increase [1] - Guangzhou's commodity residential sales reached 6,317 units, marking a month-on-month increase of 28% and a year-on-year increase of 22% [2] Group 2 - The second-hand housing market in Guangzhou saw significant growth, with 9,228 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.73% [2] - The overall trend in Guangzhou indicates a continuous year-on-year increase in commodity residential sales since October of the previous year [2] - The data for the first five months of 2025 shows that Guangzhou's second-hand housing transactions increased by 17.82% in volume and 18.5% in area compared to the same period last year [2]
上海5月楼市运行平稳 一二手住房成交量同比双增长
news flash· 2025-06-02 01:43
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai real estate market showed stable performance in May, with both new and second-hand housing transaction volumes experiencing year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In May, the total transaction volume for new and second-hand housing reached 2.23 million square meters, representing a 17% year-on-year increase [1] - The new housing market remained active, with a transaction area of 620,000 square meters, up 24% year-on-year [1] - Second-hand housing transactions hit a near three-year high, with a transaction area of 1.61 million square meters (19,000 units), marking a 14% year-on-year increase, the highest for the same period since 2022 [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Since October 2024, transaction volumes have consistently exceeded the "boom-bust line" of 15,000 units for eight consecutive months, indicating significant market liquidity [1] - Monthly transaction volumes have shown continuous positive year-on-year growth, reflecting an overall strengthening of market dynamics [1]
上海楼市大戏:老破小逆袭记与次新房的滑铁卢
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-01 20:49
Core Insights - The Shanghai second-hand housing market has experienced significant fluctuations, with a sharp decline followed by a resurgence in listings, particularly for older properties [2][4] - The market dynamics have shifted, favoring older properties over newer ones, which have seen a decline in demand and sales [2][5] Market Trends - The inventory of older properties in urban areas has decreased significantly, while newer properties in suburban areas have seen a threefold increase in listings [2] - Transaction volumes for suburban newer properties have plummeted by 60%, whereas urban older properties have only seen a decline of less than 20% [2] - The average listing price for suburban older properties has dropped by 8.7%, while urban older properties have only decreased by 4.9% [3] Rental Yields - Older properties boast a rental yield of 2.1%, significantly higher than the 1.5% yield of newer properties, making them more attractive for investors [4] Factors Driving Demand - Location is a key factor, with older properties in central areas offering better commuting options compared to suburban newer properties [5] - The total price of older properties is more accessible, with a two-bedroom unit in the inner ring available for around 3 million, which is 30% cheaper than suburban newer properties [5] - The potential for redevelopment or "拆迁" (demolition and reconstruction) adds speculative value to older properties, attracting buyers [5] Challenges for Newer Properties - Newer suburban properties are facing a lack of buyers due to unmet expectations regarding infrastructure and amenities [6] - Homeowners of newer properties are reluctant to lower prices, leading to a cycle of stagnation as buyers turn to older properties [6] - The rental yield for suburban newer properties is low at 1.2%, making them less appealing to investors [7] Market Segmentation - Urban older properties are seen as stable investments with a 19-month absorption period, while suburban newer properties have a much longer absorption period of 28 months [9][10] - Urban newer properties are caught in a dilemma between price reductions and holding out for better offers [11] - Suburban older properties have become stagnant, with homeowners resistant to price cuts [12] Recommendations - Owners of older properties are advised to maintain their properties and consider price adjustments to ensure sales within a reasonable timeframe [12] - Owners of newer properties should avoid holding out for higher prices and consider reducing prices to remain competitive [13] - Buyers are encouraged to take advantage of the current market conditions for suburban newer properties while being cautious about location and future developments [14]
5月上海一二手住房成交同比增加17%
news flash· 2025-06-01 08:18
Core Viewpoint - In May, the total transaction volume of new and second-hand housing in Shanghai increased by 17% year-on-year, indicating a robust recovery in the real estate market [1] Group 1: Transaction Volume - The total housing transaction volume in May reached 2.23 million square meters, a 17% increase compared to the same month last year [1] - New housing transactions amounted to 620,000 square meters in May, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase [1] - Second-hand housing transactions totaled 1.61 million square meters (equivalent to 19,000 units), marking a 14% increase year-on-year, the highest for the same period since 2022 [1] Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - From January to May, the transaction volume for new housing was 2.66 million square meters, up 9% year-on-year [1] - The transaction volume for second-hand housing during the same period reached 8.28 million square meters, representing a significant 38% increase year-on-year [1] - The combined transaction volume for both new and second-hand housing from January to May was 10.94 million square meters, a 30% increase year-on-year [1] Group 3: Price Index Trends - The price index for new housing has shown a continuous upward trend, with a cumulative increase of 2.0% from January to April this year [1] - The price index for second-hand housing has also generally rebounded, with a cumulative increase of 0.5% from January to April [1]
香港楼市“租转买”需求持续释放
Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong's private residential property price index reached 285.7 points in April, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.35%, ending a four-month decline [1] - The number of transactions for new residential properties in Hong Kong reached 7,439 units in the first half of the year, a 7.3% increase compared to the second half of last year, marking the highest level since the second half of 2021 [1] - The demand for two-bedroom units has been strong, with 3,606 units sold this year, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.4% [1] Group 2: Rental Market - The rental index for private residential properties in Hong Kong increased by 0.31% in April, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [2] - The average rent per square foot for private residential properties was reported at HKD 38.02 in April, up approximately 0.4% month-on-month, continuing a three-month upward trend [2] - The upcoming traditional rental peak season is expected to further drive rental prices, with an influx of mainland students seeking accommodation [2] Group 3: Government Policies - The Hong Kong government announced the removal of all property market "cooling measures," eliminating additional stamp duties on residential property transactions [2] - The government raised the property value threshold for a HKD 100 stamp duty from HKD 3 million to HKD 4 million, which is expected to benefit about 15% of property transactions, resulting in an annual revenue reduction of approximately HKD 400 million for the government [2]
珠海发布住房“以旧换新”专项补贴申报指引
Group 1 - Zhuhai's Housing "Old for New" subsidy program offers a 1% subsidy on the net purchase price of new homes, capped at 30,000 yuan, for individuals selling their old homes within the city limits, excluding certain areas and types of housing [1] - The program allows for flexibility in the sequence of selling old homes and buying new ones, with subsidies available on a "sell one, buy one" basis [1] - The initiative is part of a broader trend, with over 110 provinces and cities in China implementing more than 170 policies since 2025 to support housing purchases, including adjustments to public housing loans and increased subsidies [2] Group 2 - The "Old for New" program aims to stimulate housing consumption, reduce information asymmetry between the new and second-hand housing markets, and enhance market vitality [2] - Challenges remain in the second-hand housing market, where sellers may struggle to sell properties without significant price reductions, despite some recovery in transaction volumes [2] - The current dominant model in first-tier cities involves intermediaries assisting in the sale of old homes, with potential for state-owned enterprises to gradually adopt similar practices for acquiring second-hand homes for affordable housing [2]
房产中介说漏嘴,今明两年买房,牢记这7个字:买旧、买大、不买三
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 22:56
前几天有中介不小心说漏嘴,给出了一个超实用的七字口诀:买旧、买大、不买三。 别看只有短短七个字,他却能帮助你巧妙避开诸多购房陷阱: .01 买旧,即买大城市的核心区 2、资源稀缺更抗跌 核心区域土地资源更稀缺,这些城市心脏的土地资源,就像陈年茅台——越老越金贵。2025年成都成华区一宗地的成交,溢价高达51%。2024年北京二环 内老破小平均价格和逆势上涨2%,郊区却一路走低,跌幅高达 8%。 不管市场如果风云变幻,处于核心地段的那些房子,一直保持着稳定态势,极少受到外界因素的过多干扰。 3、拆迁机会更多 今年住建部已经明确"留改拆"三管齐推进,这一措施的落地,预示着核心区改造工作将提速。 李嘉诚曾多次强调,买房一定要看地段,核心区的房子,哪怕是老破小都比郊区的新房强。毕竟有三张王牌做强力支撑: 1、生活便利 核心区区域的房子,500米生活圈中,地铁+商超+医院+教育全覆盖,这种社区模式,不论是上学还是上班、逛街社交,都能在附近轻松搞定。 接下来,大城市核心区老房子的拆迁改造机会更大,对于老房业主来说,说不定哪天就列入拆迁实现巨额财富,比如当年广州越秀区的老房拆迁,补偿价 是当年市场价的42倍,这种机会是其他 ...
上海内环老破中卖房记
集思录· 2025-05-19 13:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the comparison between real estate investment and stock market investment, highlighting the significant returns from real estate over a 16-year period while also emphasizing the importance of individual investment capabilities and market conditions [1][2]. Summary by Sections Investment Returns - A real estate investment made in June 2009 for a total of 1.83 million (including renovation) yielded a return of 6.43 million by May 2025, resulting in a 3.5 times increase and an annualized return of approximately 8.2% [1]. - In contrast, the CSI 300 index increased from 3166 to 3874 during the same period, showing a much lower growth rate [1]. Investment Capabilities - Individual investment abilities vary, and during the period from 2009 to 2025, there were numerous high-quality investment opportunities in China, such as trusts and convertible bonds, allowing informed investors to achieve annualized returns of around 10% [2]. - The CSI 300 index does not represent the overall stock market performance; for instance, the Wind All A index rose from 2500 to 5071, more than doubling [2]. Leverage in Real Estate - Real estate allows for significant leverage, which can amplify returns during a rising market. The author reflects on the missed opportunity of leveraging more when purchasing property [2]. Emotional Value of Homeownership - The emotional value of owning a home is substantial and cannot be quantified in monetary terms. The author expresses a deep attachment to their home, despite having lived there for less than two years [3]. Selling Strategy - The article outlines a successful strategy for selling a property quickly, which includes reasonable pricing, enhancing the property's appeal through aesthetic improvements, and effective communication with real estate agents [4][5][6][8][10]. - The importance of a well-prepared promotional document and clear negotiation strategies is emphasized to facilitate a swift sale [8][9]. Market Conditions - The author notes that the current market is a buyer's market, and quick sales are advantageous to avoid prolonged holding periods that could diminish value [10][16]. Conclusion - The process of selling a home is not merely a transaction but a significant life event that carries emotional weight and memories, marking a transition to new opportunities [12][13].
悉尼土地稀缺加剧住房负担,一房产高出底价$30万成交
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-18 22:47
Group 1 - A residential property in St Marys, Sydney, sold for AUD 1.91 million, significantly exceeding the expected reserve price of AUD 300,000, indicating a strong demand in the area [1] - The property, which had not been sold for over 60 years, attracted 18 registered bidders on auction day, setting a new record for a 1,200 square meter lot in St Marys [1] - Historical context shows that property prices in the area have dramatically increased, with past sales around AUD 15,000 two decades ago, highlighting a substantial appreciation in real estate values [1] Group 2 - The property is located within walking distance of the soon-to-be-completed St Marys metro station, reflecting the strong demand for land in Sydney [3] - The new owner believes the price is justified due to future commercial developments and airport expansion plans in St Marys [3] - Sydney has been identified as the second least affordable city globally, following Hong Kong, according to the Demographia International Housing Affordability Report [3] - The Property Council's Western Sydney regional director noted a persistent gap between wages and housing costs due to insufficient housing construction to meet growing population demands [3] - It was emphasized that building more apartments could help make housing more affordable in the future, as apartments are generally cheaper than standalone houses due to higher density [3]