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不再逃离北上广,年轻人花200万抄底“老破小”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 09:42
曾经喊出"逃离北上广"的年轻人,正转身用另一种方式"安家"。 机构最新数据显示,在北京、上海等一线城市的二手房市场中,总价200万元以下的低总价房源正成为 交易"主力",其中北京该价位段成交占比高达57.19%,上海也达到48.72%。 一线城市低总价"老破小"成交占比提升,背后是随着房价持续调整,曾经要"掏空六个钱包"的房子,如 今年轻人踮踮脚也可能够得到,二手房市场已成为极致刚需的"蓄水池"。 具体来看,北京总价200万元以下房源成交占比,已达到了57.19%,而且刚需客群集中度仍在持续上 升,10月成交占比同环比增长1.81个百分点、4.67个百分点。 再以上海为例,2025年10月,上海总价200万元以内房源成交套数占比为48.72%,环比上升2.16个百分 点,同比上升8.93个百分点,市场份额有进一步扩大的趋势。 二百万左右的"老破小",为何成为一线城市二手房的成交主力? 中指研究院指数研究部总经理曹晶晶告诉第一财经,总价200万~300万区间房源,多对应60~80平方米 的刚需户型,刚好契合首次在京置业的年轻群体需求。 "一方面,刚步入职场的年轻人资金有限,这类房源的购房门槛较低,不会造成过大经 ...
越来越多人热衷租房,广州多楼盘租金回报率超2%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 19:20
重点城市租金回报率持续上升 过去一年,国内房价与房租进入同步调整周期,但两者调整幅度有差异,推动各地租金回报率持续攀 升,总体年回报水平已突破2%。 近两月,广州热门板块的回报率提升尤为显著。新快报记者走访发现,1月,广州房地产中介协会重点 监测的21个热门楼盘中,仅1个楼盘租金回报率超2%;而到了9月、10月,超五成监测楼盘的租金回报 率超过2%。以番禺的广州雅居乐花园为例,今年1月租金回报率为1.12%至1.32%,到了10月,攀升至 2.04%至2.24%,回报率接近翻倍增长。 放眼全国,受益于住房租赁需求的刚性支撑,近两年重点城市租金下跌幅度相对平缓,租金房价比持续 改善。中指监测数据显示,9月,50个重点城市租金房价比均值达2.21%,较2023年初低点提升0.23个百 分点,较去年同期提升0.09个百分点。 对此,克而瑞广佛区域首席分析师肖文晓表示:"几年前房价尚处高位时,一线城市的租金回报率普遍 不足1.5%。如今,广州租金回报率重回2%以上具有重要市场信号意义。"他指出,尽管国际通行的合理 租售比对应回报率为3.3%以上,但在全球面临深刻的经济转型、利率持续走低的背景下,这一标准亦 需动态审视 ...
如何看待香港住宅市场今年的表现︱重阳问答
重阳投资· 2025-11-21 07:33
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong residential market is showing signs of recovery in 2023, with increased transaction volumes and rising prices after a period of decline [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - From January to October 2023, the transaction volume of private residential properties in Hong Kong increased by 21% year-on-year [2]. - The private residential price index in Hong Kong saw a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in September 2023, marking the first positive change since 2022 [2]. - The Hong Kong City Leading Index is improving, indicating a continued trend of rising transaction volumes and prices in the residential market [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Price Recovery - The recovery in residential prices is attributed to rental yields surpassing mortgage rates, with the difference exceeding 4% at its peak [3]. - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and a decline in Hibor rates, new residential mortgage rates fell below rental yields for the first time since 2022 [3]. - As of August 2023, the new mortgage rate was 3.4%, still lower than the current rental yield of 3.7%, enhancing the attractiveness of purchasing homes [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The change in supply and demand dynamics is fundamental to the stabilization of the Hong Kong property market, driven by an influx of talent and international students [4]. - Over 270,000 talent visas were issued in 2023 and 2024, doubling the annual issuance compared to 2021, with 90% of applicants from mainland China [4]. - The number of international students in Hong Kong increased by nearly 80% for the 2024 academic year compared to 2022, contributing to housing demand [4]. - The rental index for private residential properties has risen over 15% since its low in January 2023, indicating a shift towards a supply-demand imbalance [4].
地产观潮丨租金回报率持续回升“买房收租”是否划算?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-20 12:54
由此可见,目前一线城市和其他重点城市的租金回报率已经超过大型银行1年期甚至3年期的定期存款利 率。此外,记者在深圳市场走访时发现,不仅是传统的商务公寓,越来越多普通住宅的租金回报率也远 远超过大型银行定期存款利率,甚至直逼房贷利率。 "如果下个月这房子再卖不出去,我就会'售改租',现在的情况跟过去不同,收租金可能比存银行理财 合适。"家住深圳市福田八卦岭片区的张女士有一套两居室正在出售,为了方便客户看房,他特意将房 子空置了两个月。她告诉记者,当前该小区同户型的房价已经从最高峰的500万元左右跌至210万元左 右,目前月租还能达到4600元左右,租金回报率达到2.6%左右。"210万元还不是短时间内能成交的价 格,目前深圳首套房贷利率为3.05%。如果房价继续小幅下跌,租金回报率就直逼房贷利率了。"张女 士表示,"在不着急用钱的前提下,身边越来越多的业主朋友都宁愿继续当'房东'。" 在存贷利率"双降"的背景下,租金回报率一直是市场热议的话题。 近日,记者走访发现,除了传统的商务公寓,一些普通住宅的租金回报率也持续上升,甚至直逼房贷利 率。越来越多手里有房的业主和购房者都在思考:继续当房东收租金还是将房子降价出 ...
租金回报率持续回升“买房收租”是否划算?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-20 12:27
在存贷利率"双降"的背景下,租金回报率一直是市场热议的话题。 近日,记者走访发现,除了传统的商务公寓,一些普通住宅的租金回报率也持续上升,甚至直逼房贷利 率。越来越多手里有房的业主和购房者都在思考:继续当房东收租金还是将房子降价出手?"买房收 租"是否划算? 租金回报率不断回升 近日,国家统计局发布的《2025年10月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况》数据显示,四大一 线城市的新房市场只有上海保持同比增长,涨幅为0.3%,北京、广州和深圳分别下降0.1%、0.8%和 0.7%。二手房市场方面,全国70个大中城市无一城环比、同比出现价格上涨。 与房价的表现不同,麟评居住大数据研究院监测数据显示,2025年上半年重点50城租金回报率已经达到 2.08%。中指研究院提供的数据显示,截至今年10月北上广深四个一线城市的租金回报率分别为 1.52%、1.73%、1.68%、1.52%。而在今年4月,上述数据分别为1.49%、1.68%、1.63%、1.49%。 由此可见,目前一线城市和其他重点城市的租金回报率已经超过大型银行1年期甚至3年期的定期存款利 率。此外,记者在深圳市场走访时发现,不仅是传统的商务公寓, ...
地产观潮丨租金回报率持续回升“买房收租”是否划算?
证券时报· 2025-11-20 12:14
在存贷利率"双降"的背景下,租金回报率一直是市场热议的话题。 近日,记者走访发现,除了传统的商务公寓,一些普通住宅的租金回报率也持续上升,甚至直逼房贷利率。越来越多手里有房的业主和购房者都在思考:继续当房 东收租金还是将房子降价出手?"买房收租"是否划算? 租金回报率不断回升 近日,国家统计局发布的《2025年10月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况》数据显示,四大一线城市的新房市场只有上海保持同比增长,涨幅为0.3%,北 京、广州和深圳分别下降0.1%、0.8%和0.7%。二手房市场方面,全国70个大中城市无一城环比、同比出现价格上涨。 与房价的表现不同,麟评居住大数据研究院监测数据显示,2025年上半年重点50城租金回报率已经达到2.08%。中指研究院提供的数据显示,截至今年10月北上广 深四个一线城市的租金回报率分别为1.52%、1.73%、1.68%、1.52%。而在今年4月,上述数据分别为1.49%、1.68%、1.63%、1.49%。 由此可见,目前一线城市和其他重点城市的租金回报率已经超过大型银行1年期甚至3年期的定期存款利率。此外,记者在深圳市场走访时发现,不仅是传统的商务 公寓,越来越 ...
香港楼市复苏买家回归,连续9个月新房成交破千套
第一财经· 2025-11-19 10:23
2025.11. 19 本文字数:4045,阅读时长大约7分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郑娜 "之前做代理,每天都需要释放些好消息来刺激客户,但是现在不用了,客户变多,反而盘源比较紧 张。"李巍现任香港中原地产首席营业董事,在香港从事房地产工作已有近30年时间。 在历经了过去4年的调整后,香港楼市如今又重现热闹景象——众多新盘销售火爆,客户大手笔横扫 整层房源,租金回报率达到4厘,外国客户重回市场…… 成交数据表现亦十分亮眼。据中原地产数据,10月份一手成交突破1700宗,已连续第九个月企稳千 宗以上,追平2019年3月至11月的最长纪录;同时,全月录得至少64宗成交金额逾5000万元的大额 交易,创一年新高,涉及总金额逾68亿元。 买家重返香港楼市的背后,一方面是"撤辣"及一系列政策组合拳使得香港购房税负减弱,刺激需求释 放,另一方面是美联储降息周期下,带动香港房贷利率跟随下行,居民购房负担亦持续降低,同时租 金收益率的稳定回升也使得资产配置方向 再 发生变化。 业内认为,历经多轮周期的香港楼市,当前已经出现止跌回稳势头。摩根士丹利、花旗等国际大行均 认为,香港地产市场在2025年走出低谷后,将进一步复苏,进入 ...
香港楼市复苏买家回归,连续9个月新房成交破千套
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 07:44
Core Insights - The Hong Kong real estate market is experiencing a resurgence after a four-year adjustment period, with significant sales activity and a return of foreign buyers [1][2][3] - Recent government policies, including tax reductions and mortgage rate adjustments, have stimulated demand and improved buyer confidence [5][6][7] - The rental market is also showing strong performance, with rising rental yields attracting investors [10][11] Market Performance - In October, over 1,700 new property transactions were recorded, marking the ninth consecutive month of sales exceeding 1,000 units, matching the longest streak since 2019 [1] - High-value transactions have surged, with at least 64 sales exceeding 50 million HKD in October alone, totaling over 6.8 billion HKD [1] - The new property market has seen a total of 15,900 transactions by the end of October, surpassing the total for the entire previous year [3] Buyer Behavior - There is a notable trend of large buyers purchasing entire floors or multiple units, indicating strong demand from professional buyers [2][3] - The influx of mainland buyers is significant, with projections suggesting over 12,000 transactions from this group for the year, setting a new record [3] Government Policies - The Hong Kong government has implemented measures to reduce property transaction taxes, significantly lowering costs for local and mainland buyers [5][7] - Recent policy changes have also included adjustments to mortgage limits and investment immigration policies, further stimulating the market [6] Rental Market Dynamics - The rental yield in Hong Kong has stabilized around 4%, making property investment more attractive compared to traditional savings [10][11] - The rental market is experiencing increased demand due to a rise in non-local students and skilled professionals, pushing rental prices higher [9][10] Future Outlook - Analysts from major financial institutions predict a continued recovery in the Hong Kong real estate market, with expectations of a sustained upward trend in property prices post-2025 [1][11] - The combination of suppressed demand being released, favorable mortgage conditions, and rising rents is expected to support the market's recovery [11]
特写:香港租金上涨背后的“深港通勤族”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-18 16:28
香港楼市正在逐步复苏。 清晨,罗湖口岸的过关人流已开始涌动。"我每天早上7点出门,从罗湖口岸过关去香港上班,全程算下来接近一个小时左右,即便是麻烦了点,但可以省 下不少钱。"在香港工作的陈胜(化名)之前租住在香港大学附近。现在,尽管每天需要花费两个小时在通勤上,但他并不后悔这一选择。 越来越多的数据显示,香港楼市正稳步复苏,租金也跟着水涨船高。美联"租金走势图"显示,今年10月以实用面积计算的私人住宅平均呎租报约38.71港 元,环比微跌约0.18%,连升8个月后稍作调整。不过,美联物业分析师岑颂谦认为,传统的租赁旺季结束,租金也仅仅轻微回落,今年前10个月香港租 金仍累计上涨2.76%,高于2019年7月的纪录高位38.33港元。"随着香港本地住屋需求增加,加上政府积极吸纳人才,私人住宅平均呎租短期内会高位震 荡,明年有望继续上升。" 陈胜告诉记者,自己之前在香港大学附近租住的房源,月租金较去年同期上涨近1000港元,相当于不到深圳40平方米的户型,租金要1.5万港元到1.6万港 元左右,而且那边租住的客源很多来自于通过香港高才通、优才计划赴港的人士。 (香港出租房源吴家明/摄) 现在,陈胜搬回了罗湖口岸旁 ...
关于房价波动、转型探底这两个问题,国家统计局给出回应
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-16 15:41
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China is showing signs of stabilization due to various supportive policies implemented by local governments, although challenges remain during the transition from old to new market models [1][2]. Group 1: Real Estate Market Performance - The decline in new residential property sales has narrowed, with sales area and sales revenue down by 6.8% and 9.6% year-on-year respectively from January to October, showing improvement compared to the previous year [1]. - The inventory of unsold properties is decreasing, with the total unsold area at 75,606 million square meters by the end of October, a reduction of 3.22 million square meters from September, marking eight consecutive months of decline [1]. - The financial situation of real estate companies has improved, with the year-on-year decline in funds received by developers narrowing by 9.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Land Market and Sales Data - In October, the land transaction volume decreased significantly, with the area and value of land transactions down by 13% and 20% month-on-month, and by 25% and 33% year-on-year, respectively, marking the highest year-on-year decline this year [2][3]. - The top 100 real estate companies experienced a substantial sales decline of 41.9% in October, with total sales for the first ten months amounting to 28,967.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3% [3]. Group 3: Rental Market and Policy Recommendations - The national rental yield is at 2.37%, with expectations to stabilize between 2.4% and 2.8% by the second quarter of 2026, while first-tier cities show lower yields of 1.8% to 2.2% [3]. - Recommendations for policy adjustments include lowering mortgage rates and enhancing tax incentives for personal housing to stimulate the market [5].