谷歌搜索引擎革新：测试"AI模式搜索"功能，应对生成式AI挑战。 ①美元面临长期结构性转变 机构投资者或引发大规模抛售 全球资金流向追踪公司Exante Data创始人Jens Nordvig警告称，美元熊市才刚刚开始，未来几个月机构 投资者重新调整投资组合或引发大规模美元抛售。Nordvig认为，特朗普政府混乱的贸易政策已不可逆 转地动摇市场对美元的信心，美元正面临长期结构性转变。尽管美元指数一度因中美关税谈判反弹，但 今年迄今已贬值超5%。Nordvig指出，与投机者不同，过去十年购买数万亿美元股票和债券的机构投资 者仍在调整投资组合，减持头寸或累积做空美元对冲可能需数月时间，但痛苦即将来临。他建议投资者 为欧元和黄金上涨做好准备。 评论员徐广语：本轮美元指数下跌反映市场对美国经济治理能力与政策连续性的信任危机，并叠加全球 去美元化的趋势。短期美元趋稳：1）90天窗口期美股抢反弹；2）中美经贸缓和但欧洲风险未接触。中 期若政策不确定性持续（如关税、政治对抗），美元长期信用或进一步受损，将加速国际货币体系多元 化重构。 国都证券投资顾问陈兆凌：美元指数走弱缓解人民币汇率压力，或为进一步释放流动性创造出空间。 ...

Group 1: SoftBank Group Performance - SoftBank Group reported a net profit of 517.18 billion yen for Q4, driven by strong demand in the artificial intelligence sector [8] - For the full year 2024, SoftBank's net profit reached 1.15 trillion yen, a significant recovery from a loss of 227.65 billion yen in the previous year [8] - The strong quarterly profit was attributed to increased valuations of startups and sales from its chip subsidiary, bolstered by robust data center investment plans [8] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.3% year-on-year in April, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, reversing the previous month's decline [2] - Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, increased by 2.8% year-on-year, indicating a lower inflation rate than market expectations [2] - Analysts suggest that the data reflects ongoing inventory digestion by businesses and uncertainty in consumer economic expectations [3] Group 3: Automotive Market Trends - The average price of new cars in the U.S. reached $48,699 in April, marking a 2.5% month-on-month increase, the second-largest monthly rise in nearly a decade [4] - The increase in new car prices is linked to the effects of tariffs, with consumer panic buying driven by expectations of future price hikes [4] - Decreasing dealer inventories suggest that car prices may continue to rise in the coming months, posing challenges for both consumers and manufacturers [4] Group 4: Google Antitrust Issues - Google faces claims from dozens of comparison shopping websites in the EU, amounting to at least €12 billion, alleging that it misappropriated their customers [5] - These lawsuits stem from a 2017 EU ruling that fined Google €2.4 billion for abusing its market dominance, leading to ongoing legal challenges [5] - If the plaintiffs succeed, it could significantly impact Google's financial burden and provoke further legal actions from other companies [5][6] Group 5: Oil Market Outlook - Recent reports indicate that global oil demand has been weaker than expected, with inventories continuing to accumulate, raising concerns about a potential supply surplus by 2025-2026 [7] - Major investment firms have downgraded their oil price forecasts due to the ongoing supply-demand imbalance, despite some recovery in global economic activity [7] - The future trajectory of oil prices will depend on global economic conditions and OPEC+ production decisions [7][8]

智通财经APP获悉，科技巨头谷歌(GOOGL.US)一贯稳固且长期无重大变动的浏览器搜索引擎按钮如今有了新伙 伴：AI Mode search(即AI模式搜索)。谷歌正在搜索引擎领域积极测试这一最新的人工智能功能，这项新功能目 前尚未面向全球广泛开放，某些用户可在Google首页的谷歌搜索栏正下方、紧邻"Google Search"搜索引擎按钮的 位置找到，取代了原先的"手气不错"(I'm Feeling Lucky)功能小部件。 这项新AI功能虽然尚未广泛提供，但正在谷歌极少改动的重要领域，同时也是其核心创收领域之一——搜索引 擎领域进行广泛的新功能测试，凸显出随着ChatGPT以及聚焦"AI搜索"的Perplexity AI等生成式AI领军者持续吸 引谷歌搜索引擎用户，谷歌力争用自身的AI搜索功能留住这些用户并且力争在生成式AI风靡全球的时代吸引更 大规模的用户。 据了解，谷歌发言人证实，该功能上周已开始向部分用户推送。发言人表示，该公司通过试验性的测试平 台Labs为选择加入的用户测试了许多新功能，并补充表示被测试的产品并不一定最终全面上线。 在经典的"Google Search"搜索引擎按钮旁，AI模 ...

Core Viewpoint - Perplexity, an AI search engine company, is nearing the completion of a $500 million funding round, with a valuation reaching approximately $14 billion, reflecting significant growth since its inception [1][3]. Group 1: Funding and Valuation - The upcoming funding round is led by Accel, with Accel partner Sameer Gandhi joining Perplexity's board [3]. - Perplexity's annual recurring revenue has increased to $120 million, up from $100 million in March [3]. - The company's valuation has skyrocketed from $520 million in January 2022 to $14 billion, showcasing rapid growth [15]. Group 2: Product Development and Competition - Perplexity plans to develop a new AI browser named Comet to compete with established browsers like Chrome [19]. - The company aims to provide a more precise and user-centric search experience compared to existing AI-integrated browsers [20]. - Perplexity has gained recognition for its innovative search engine product, which has garnered significant user engagement and positive feedback [9][11]. Group 3: Market Position and Challenges - Perplexity has positioned itself as an alternative to traditional search engines, openly challenging Google since its early days [5][6]. - The competitive landscape includes established players like Google and Apple, which are enhancing their offerings to retain market share [24][25]. - The latest funding will be utilized for technology development and market expansion, aiming to strengthen Perplexity's competitive edge in the AI sector [29].

风险提示： 贸易局势不确定性，国内稳增长政策不及预期 。 >>以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已经发布的研究报告 ： 消费和基建有韧性 ，具体分析内容（包括风险提示等） 请详见完 整版报告。 【 海外科技 】谷歌发布Gemini 2.5 Pro I/O，特朗普政府拟取消AI扩散框架 投资建议： 维持行业增持评级，推荐 AI 算力方向、云厂商方向、 AI 应用方向、 AI 社交方向以及 AI 注 入周期下的中概巨头。 谷歌发布 Gemini2.5 Pro （ I/O 版）， AI 助力前端开发与复杂编程。 为预热 I/O 全球开发者大会，谷 歌发布" I/O Edition "特别预览版 Gemini 2.5 Pro 模型，专门面向开发者群体，主要优化了日常编程任 务，支持创建基于智能体的工作流程。谷歌此次更新的一大亮点在于，只需通过一条提示即可构建完整、 可交互的网页应用或模拟程序。谷歌表示，用户可以输入视觉模式或主题性提示，直接转化为可运行的代 码，这显著降低了设计导向型开发者或创新团队的入门门槛。在 WebDev Arena 基准测试中， Gemini 2.5 Pro 凭借出色的前端开发能力位居榜首。模型在视频 ...

白银：震荡回落 商 品 研 究 2025 年 5 月 9 日 黄金：美英贸易达成一致 贵金属基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金2506 | 789.14 | -1.49% | 786.42 | -1.81% | | | 黄金T+D | 787.53 | -1.42% | 783.00 | -1.78% | | | Comex黄金2506 | 3374.94 | -0.75% | - | | | | 伦敦金现货 | 3210.00 | -4.80% | - | - | | | 沪银2506 | 8094 | -1.92% | 8154.00 | -0.12% | | 期货及现货电 | 白银T+D | 8100 | -1.57% | 8142 | -0.16% | | 子 盘 | Comex白银2506 | 32.605 | -0.02% | - | - | | | 伦敦银现货 | 32.446 | -2.13% | - | - | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | ...

2025年05月09日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属 观点与策略 | 黄金：美英贸易达成一致 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 白银：震荡回落 | 2 | | 铜：现货偏强，支撑价格 | 4 | | 铝：区间震荡 | 6 | | 氧化铝：大幅反弹 | 6 | | 锌：承压运行 | 8 | | 铅：短期震荡 | 9 | | 锡：窄幅震荡 | 10 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 【基本面跟踪】 贵金属基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金2506 | 789.14 | -1.49% | 786.42 | -1.81% | | | 黄金T+D | 787.53 | -1.42% | 783.00 | -1.78% | | | Comex黄金2506 | 3374.94 | -0.75% | - | | | | 伦敦金现货 | 3210.00 | -4.80% | - | - | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market closed higher, driven by multiple factors including AI chip policies and trade negotiations, with Nvidia's strong performance highlighting the impact of AI technology on market dynamics [2][3]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones index rose by 0.70% to close at 41,113.97 points, the S&P 500 increased by 0.43% to 5,631.28 points, and the Nasdaq index saw a slight increase of 0.27% to 17,738.16 points [3]. - The market's upward movement was influenced by positive news regarding U.S.-China trade talks, a temporary pullback following the Federal Reserve's statement on rising unemployment and inflation risks, and a late surge due to news of potential AI chip export restrictions being lifted [3]. Technology Sector Dynamics - Nvidia's stock surged over 3%, with its market capitalization surpassing $3 trillion, reflecting its leading position in the AI chip sector and the anticipated policy changes [3]. - In contrast, Alphabet, Google's parent company, experienced a significant drop of over 7%, losing more than $137.4 billion in market value due to concerns over Apple's plans to launch an AI search engine and potentially end its default search partnership with Google [3]. Chinese Concept Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 2.34%, with major Chinese companies like Alibaba and JD.com facing declines, attributed to uncertainties in trade policies despite positive signals from U.S.-China talks [4]. - However, companies like Li Auto and Zeekr showed resilience, with Li Auto's stock rising over 2% and Zeekr's stock increasing by 11.5%, indicating market recognition of the global expansion of Chinese new energy brands [4]. Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in the range of 4.25%-4.5%, marking the third consecutive meeting without changes, while emphasizing the increased risks of rising unemployment and inflation [5]. - The Fed's statement was interpreted as a balanced assessment of the current economic situation, suggesting that any policy adjustments would require careful consideration of growth and inflation targets [5]. Conclusion - The recent market movements reflect a complex interplay of technological advancements, trade policy uncertainties, and monetary policy stability, with AI technology reshaping valuation logic in the tech sector and presenting new investment opportunities [6].

Group 1 - The US and UK have reached an agreement on tariff trade deal terms, with details pending finalization [1] - Trump indicated that the UK deal is not a template for other countries, suggesting that tariffs could be higher than 10% for some nations [1] - The EU plans to file a complaint with the WTO regarding US tariffs and is preparing countermeasures against €95 billion worth of imports from the US, targeting products like cars, planes, and whiskey [1] Group 2 - The US stock market has seen two consecutive days of gains, with Alcoa rising over 5% [1] - Bitcoin has surpassed the $100,000 mark, indicating strong market interest [1] - US oil prices rebounded by over 3%, while gold futures experienced a drop of more than 2% [1] Group 3 - The Bank of England has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in response to tariff impacts, although there was a split in decision-making among policymakers [1] - Kazakhstan has stated it does not plan to reduce oil production in May, challenging OPEC+ leadership [1] Group 4 - Google has responded to a decline in search traffic on Apple devices, stating that overall search query volume continues to grow [1] - Morgan Stanley claims that the threat of AI to search has been exaggerated, suggesting it is a good time to buy Google stock [1] Group 5 - OpenAI has undergone significant leadership changes, appointing a new CEO for applications and Altman relinquishing some responsibilities [1] - OpenAI is launching a global version of "Star Gate," with the first ten countries involved [1]

Group 1: Communication Industry Overview - The AI-driven computing network construction, along with 5G/6G and computing infrastructure going global, is expected to provide growth opportunities for equipment manufacturers, with a rapid recovery in performance anticipated [3] - The global aviation communication market is projected to reach $28 billion in 2024 and exceed $45 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.2% [4] - Investment in technology-leading companies, particularly in the 5G ATG and satellite communication sectors, such as Huawei, ZTE, and Galaxy Aerospace, is expected to yield significant returns [4] - Equipment manufacturers with strong technical capabilities and domestic advantages, like CETC Aviation Electronics, and leaders in operational services, such as China Civil Aviation Communication Network Company, will benefit from market demand growth [4] - By 2028, the commercialization of satellite and 5G hybrid networking is expected to greatly enhance the speed and stability of aviation communication, driving market development [4] Group 2: Rocket Lab and SpaceX Comparison - Rocket Lab has gained significant attention in the investment community, with its stock price soaring up to 7 times in six months, but faced a decline after being targeted by short-sellers in February 2025 [3] - Rocket Lab focuses on the small and medium rocket market, catering to the needs of large-scale satellite constellations like Starlink, in contrast to SpaceX [3] - The company is gradually vertically integrating its business model from rocket launches to satellite platform applications, aiming to become an end-to-end space service provider like SpaceX [5] - Despite Rocket Lab's strong performance in the small rocket sector, delays in research and launch site construction may postpone the "Neutron" launch, putting pressure on capital markets [5] - SpaceX relies on its Starlink and rocket launch services, with Starlink expected to be a key growth driver, particularly in the development of supersonic aircraft that may replace private jets [5] - Relativity Space, utilizing 3D printing technology to simplify rocket manufacturing processes and compress supply chains, could emerge as a significant competitor in the future [5] Group 3: Tesla's Vision-Based Approach - Elon Musk emphasizes that Tesla can simulate human visual processing capabilities through extensive real-world data training, deeming LiDAR as an "expensive crutch" that is unnecessary [4] - Tesla's technology approach provides a clear advantage in hardware costs, particularly in reducing onboard hardware expenses, enhancing its competitive pricing in the global market [4] - LiDAR can detect potential obstacles without relying on object recognition, offering greater visibility and safety in low-light or complex scenarios compared to pure vision solutions [4] - Companies like Ideal Auto and Huawei argue that LiDAR is better suited for complex road conditions in regions like China, especially under low visibility conditions, providing more reliable automatic emergency braking (AEB) functionality [4] - Tesla bets on an "algorithm-driven" model, addressing all perception and decision-making issues in autonomous driving through AI and data training, focusing on lowering hardware costs and simplifying system structures [4] - Domestic automakers, such as Ideal and Huawei, prefer a "hardware-driven" model, opting for a multi-sensor fusion approach that includes LiDAR, cameras, and millimeter-wave radar to ensure safety redundancy in various complex and extreme scenarios [4] Group 4: Apple's AI Search Initiative - Apple plans to introduce AI-driven search capabilities for its Safari browser, which could pose a serious challenge to Google's dominance, particularly regarding Google's reliance on search ad revenue from iPhone users [7] - Apple executives have hinted at reassessing their partnership with Google, especially concerning the default search engine arrangement, in light of ongoing antitrust litigation [7] - Despite Google's claims of increasing search volume, analysts suggest that losing exclusive access to Apple devices could significantly impact Google's revenue, as advertisers may shift to alternative search engines [7] - In 2023, Google launched an "AI mode" on its search page and expanded its "AI overview" feature to boost ad sales and maintain its leadership in the search engine market [7] - Research indicates that traffic for generative search engines like ChatGPT has surged, with weekly search volumes exceeding 1 billion in April, highlighting their market potential [7] - Google pays approximately $20 billion annually to Apple to be the default search engine on Safari, accounting for 36% of its search ad revenue generated through Safari [7] - The U.S. Department of Justice's antitrust case against Google may accelerate competition and transformation in the market [7]