11月CPI同比上涨0.7%，为2024年3月份以来最高。 随着扩内需政策持续落地见效，居民消费持续恢复，11月居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比上涨0.7%，为2024年3月份以来最高，核心CPI同比涨幅连续3个月 保持在1%以上。受国内部分行业供需结构优化、国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响，工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比继续增长，同比降幅略有扩大。 （图表来源：国家统计局） 国家统计局12月10日发布的数据显示，11月CPI同比上涨0.7%，涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点；CPI环比由增长0.2%转为下降0.1%。PPI环比上涨0.1%，连续 两个月上涨；PPI同比下降2.2%，降幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点。 CPI同比连续三个月回升释放出内需回暖的积极信号。国际货币基金组织（IMF）12月10日在北京表示，中国经济仍展现出显著韧性。IMF预计2025年中国 经济增速将达5%，较10月发布的《世界经济展望报告》上调0.2个百分点。此外，亚洲开发银行、经济合作与发展组织（OECD）等多家国际机构近期也纷 纷上调今年中国经济增速。 菜价、金价大幅上涨 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟分析，11月CPI同比涨幅扩 ...

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.7% year-on-year in November, the highest since March 2024, with a month-on-month decline of 0.1% [3][4] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, maintaining a growth rate above 1% for three consecutive months [5][6] - The rise in CPI is attributed to a turnaround in food prices, particularly fresh vegetables, which saw a significant increase of 14.5% year-on-year after nine months of decline [4][5] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month for two consecutive months, but year-on-year it decreased by 2.2%, with the decline slightly widening [3][8] - Seasonal demand increases in certain industries, such as coal and gas, contributed to the month-on-month rise in PPI [7][8] - The overall PPI trend reflects a positive change in pricing due to ongoing macroeconomic policies and a reduction in "involution" competition in key industries [8][10] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Policy Measures - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects China's economic growth rate to reach 5% in 2025, an upward revision from previous forecasts [3] - The Chinese government is intensifying policies to boost domestic demand, with a focus on optimizing the supply structure of consumer goods by 2027 [11][12] - Various local governments are implementing plans to enhance domestic demand, emphasizing the importance of consumer-driven economic growth [12]

11月份，受国内部分行业供需结构优化、国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响，工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比上涨0.1%，连续两个月上涨。 央视网消息（新闻联播）：国家统计局12月10日发布的数据显示，11月份，我国居民消费价格指数CPI同比上涨0.7%，涨幅比上个月扩大0.5个百分点； 扣除食品和能源的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上。 随着综合整治"内卷式"竞争成效显现，煤炭开采和洗选业、光伏设备及元器件制造、锂离子电池制造价格同比降幅连续多个月收窄。 ...

证券研究报告 | 固定收益点评 gszqdatemark 2025 12 10 年 月 日 固定收益点评 菜价推升 CPI 11 月通胀数据显示，CPI 涨幅扩大，PPI 降幅小幅走阔。11 月 CPI 同比 涨幅扩大 0.5 个百分点至 0.7%，连续两个月上涨且为 2024 年 3 月份以 来最高，CPI 环比季节性也明显高于前两年。PPI 同比降幅小幅扩大 0.1 个 百分点至-2.2%，环比保持 0.1%的增长。 菜价是本月 CPI 回升的主要原因。11 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.7%，上月为上 涨 0.2%，环比下跌 0.1%。其中，食品价格由上月下降 2.9%转为上涨 0.2%，对 CPI 同比的影响由上月下拉 0.54 个百分点转为上拉 0.04 个百 分点。食品中菜价上涨最为明显，受天气因素等影响，鲜菜价格由上月下 降 7.3%转为上涨 14.5%，对 CPI 同比的上拉影响比上月增加约 0.49 个 百分点。由于蔬菜生长周期短，因而难以持续涨价，短期快速上涨之后往 往会由于供给增加而回落。 核心 CPI 平稳，金价影响依然显著。核心 CPI 同比上涨 1.2%，与上月持 平，涨幅连续 3 个 ...

2025 年 11 月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降 2.2% ，工业生产者购进价格同比 下降 2.5% ；工业生产者出厂价格和购进价格环比均上涨 0.1% ，涨幅均与上月相同。 1 — 11 月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比上年同期下降 2.7% ，工业生产者购进价格下降 3.1% 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 11 月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降 2.4% ，影响工业生产者出厂价格 总水平下降约 1.79 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降 6.1% ，原材料工业价格下降 2.9% ，加工工业价格下降 1.9% 。生活资料价格下降 1.5% ，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下 降约 0.38 个百分点。其中，食品价格下降 1.5% ，衣着价格下降 0.3% ，一般日用品价格 上涨 1.1% ，耐用消费品价格下降 3.6% 。 。 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降 6.9% ，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降 5.8% ，化工原料类价格下降 5.0% ，农副产品类价格下降 4.9% ，黑色金属材料类价格下 降 3.0% ，纺织原料类价格下降 1.9% ；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨 8.1% ...

新华社北京12月10日电 题：CPI同比涨幅扩大 核心CPI继续上涨——透视11月物价数据 新华社记者王雨萧 国家统计局最新发布数据显示，11月份，全国居民消费价格指数（CPI）环比略降0.1%，同比上涨 0.7%，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上。 董莉娟分析，国内部分行业需求季节性增加带动价格上涨。各地"迎峰度冬"开始，煤炭、燃气需求季节 性增加，煤炭开采和洗选业价格环比上涨4.1%，煤炭加工价格上涨3.4%，燃气生产和供应业价格上涨 0.7%。入冬以来，防寒保暖产品进入消费旺季，毛织造加工价格上涨0.6%，羽绒制品加工价格上涨 0.2%。 "PPI同比下降2.2%，降幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点，主要受上年同期对比基数走高影响。"董莉娟说，随 着我国各项宏观政策不断显效，价格呈现积极变化。 综合整治"内卷式"竞争成效显现—— 重点行业产能治理持续推进，市场竞争秩序不断优化，煤炭开采和洗选业、光伏设备及元器件制造、锂 离子电池制造价格同比降幅均已连续多个月收窄；新能源车整车制造价格降幅比上月收窄0.6个百分 点。 新兴产业快速发展，带动相关行业价格同比上涨—— " ...

Group 1 - In November, China's CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year, matching expectations, and up from 0.2% in the previous month [1][19] - The PPI decreased by 2.2% year-on-year, slightly worse than the expected decline of 2.0% and a previous decline of 2.1% [1][19] - The rise in CPI was driven by a significant rebound in food prices, while PPI's decline was influenced by high base comparisons from the previous year and ongoing supply-demand structural optimization in certain industries [20][21] Group 2 - The overall improvement in domestic supply-demand relationships is expected to lead to a gradual narrowing of PPI declines, supported by ongoing capacity governance in key industries [20][21] - International commodity prices have generally risen, while domestic demand remains weak, but some industries are experiencing price increases due to improved supply-demand fundamentals [20][21] - The core CPI maintained a high year-on-year growth rate of 1.2%, with non-food prices rising by 0.8%, indicating effective consumer demand policies [20][21] Group 3 - Food prices shifted from a decline of 2.9% last month to an increase of 0.2%, significantly impacting the CPI [20][21] - Energy prices fell by 3.4% year-on-year, contributing to the overall inflationary pressure [20][21] - The service sector saw price increases, with notable rises in household appliances and clothing prices, reflecting the effectiveness of domestic demand expansion policies [20][21]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In November 2025, the CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year, up from 0.2% in the previous month, aligning with market expectations[2] - The main driver for the CPI increase was the turnaround in food prices, particularly fresh vegetable prices, which rose by 14.5% year-on-year, compared to a decline of 7.3% in the previous month[4][5] - Core CPI remained stable at 1.2% year-on-year, with gold prices contributing significantly to this stability, while service prices showed a slowdown due to seasonal demand[6] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 2.2% year-on-year in November, slightly worse than the previous month's decline of 2.1%, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year[8] - PPI showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the second consecutive month of growth, driven by rising prices in the coal and non-ferrous metal sectors[8][9] - The "anti-involution" effect is evident as downstream consumer goods prices stabilize, while upstream coal and metal prices continue to rise[11] Group 3: Future Outlook - The CPI is expected to maintain its upward trend in December, supported by low base effects and rising food prices, with a projected average CPI growth rate of 0.7% for the coming year[10] - The PPI's year-on-year decline is anticipated to narrow, influenced by global manufacturing recovery and domestic supply-demand adjustments, although the timing for a return to positive growth remains uncertain[11] - The recovery of domestic demand and the potential for a rebound in pork prices are critical factors that could influence CPI trends in the upcoming months[10]

Group 1 - In November, China's Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month, marking the second consecutive month of growth [1] - Seasonal demand in certain domestic industries, particularly coal and gas, contributed to the price increase, with coal mining and washing prices rising by 4.1% and gas production and supply prices increasing by 0.7% [1] - The PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.2%, with the decline rate widening by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, influenced by a high comparison base from the previous year [1] Group 2 - The reduction in year-on-year price declines for certain industries indicates the effectiveness of measures against "involution" competition, with coal mining and washing, photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, and lithium-ion battery manufacturing seeing narrowed declines [2] - Emerging industries are driving price increases, with external storage devices and components prices rising by 13.9% year-on-year, graphite and carbon product manufacturing prices increasing by 3.8%, and integrated circuit manufacturing prices up by 1.7% [2]

11月份，居民消费持续恢复，居民消费价格指数（CPI）环比略降0.1%，同比上涨0.7%，扣除食品和能 源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%。受国内部分行业供需结构优化、国际大宗商品价格传导等因素影响， 工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比上涨0.1%，同比下降2.2%。 一、CPI同比涨幅扩大，核心CPI上涨1.2% CPI环比下降0.1%，主要受服务价格季节性下降影响。服务价格下降0.4%，影响CPI环比下降约0.16个 百分点。其中，节后出行需求季节性回落，宾馆住宿、飞机票、旅行社收费和交通工具租赁费价格分别 下降10.4%、10.2%、6.2%和3.6%，合计影响CPI环比下降约0.13个百分点；房屋租赁进入淡季，房租价 格下降0.2%。受国际油价变动影响，国内汽油价格下降2.2%，影响CPI环比下降约0.07个百分点。扣除 能源的工业消费品价格上涨0.3%，其中受国际金价变动影响国内金饰品价格上涨7.3%，受冬装换季上 新影响服装价格上涨0.8%。食品价格上涨0.5%，高于季节性水平0.9个百分点，主要是鲜菜价格上涨影 响。部分地区降雨降温影响鲜菜生产储运，鲜菜价格上涨7.2%，远高于平均下降3.2% ...