华泰研究 2025 年 10 月 29 日│中国内地 动态点评 日美 5,500 亿美元投融资支持电力基建，西屋 800 亿美元核电投资领衔 10 月 28 日，卡梅科（CCJ）宣布和 Brookfield Asset Management 与美国 政府商务部签署 800 亿美元协议，规定美国政府将为西屋(Westinghouse， 卡梅科旗下子公司)在美国建造的核反应堆安排融资并协助其获得许可和审 批，总投资额至少为 800 亿美元（包括短期融资），西屋反应堆建成后预 计将为美国数据中心供电，我们测算 800 亿美元投资约对应 10GW AP1000 反应堆装机，或对应约 6GW SMR 装机。我们认为对西屋 800 亿美元核电 项目的投融资支持主要来自于日本 5,500 亿美元对美投融资框架，投资将集 中于发电和能源管道等基建领域，其中西屋在美建设 AP1000 核反应堆与 SMR 项目也囊括在意向项目之中，投资额最高可达 1,000 亿美元，我们测 算对应约 12.5GW AP1000 反应堆装机，或对应约 8GW SMR 装机。 证券研究报告 工业/能源 美国 800亿美元核电投资领航 AI基建 10 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vietnam is launching an ambitious infrastructure investment plan with a total investment of 1,280 trillion VND (approximately 50 billion USD) for 250 large-scale projects, marking the beginning of a 10 to 20-year economic development and modernization phase [1][6]. Infrastructure Challenges - Vietnam's road quality ranks 109th globally, with only 60% of national roads being asphalted and many roads remaining in poor condition [2]. - The railway system largely consists of narrow-gauge tracks from the colonial era, limiting capacity and speed, with average speeds around 50 km/h [2]. - Power supply issues have led to nationwide blackouts, causing significant losses for major companies, with a reported loss of 1.4 billion USD for firms like Foxconn and Samsung [3]. Government Initiatives - The Vietnamese government is focusing on infrastructure to address economic challenges, with public investment spending increasing by 40% year-on-year in the first half of the year [6]. - As of June 30, public investment reached 268.1 trillion VND (approximately 10.3 billion USD), accounting for 32.5% of the approved budget for 2025 [6]. Investment Landscape - The government is funding 129 of the 250 projects, with a total investment of approximately 478 trillion VND (about 18 billion USD), while 121 projects are supported by private and foreign capital, totaling around 30.5 billion USD [7]. - Private and foreign investments account for 63% of the total investment in these projects [7]. Market Opportunities for Chinese Enterprises - Chinese companies are increasingly involved in Vietnam's infrastructure projects, with significant contracts awarded for metro and highway construction [10][11]. - The shift towards smaller, more manageable projects is noted as a strategy to mitigate risks associated with large-scale investments [11]. Strategic Considerations - Experts suggest that Chinese enterprises should form strategic alliances to avoid internal competition and price wars in the crowded Vietnamese market [11]. - Identifying new opportunities in sectors like renewable energy, electricity, and telecommunications is recommended, as traditional infrastructure sectors may face protectionist barriers [11].

Group 1 - Vietnam government has announced the launch and completion of 250 large-scale infrastructure projects with a total investment of 1,280 trillion VND (approximately 50 billion USD) [1] - The infrastructure investment is seen as a key driver for Vietnam's economic growth and modernization over the next 10 to 20 years [1][4] - The public investment expenditure in Vietnam surged by 40% year-on-year in the first half of the year, reaching 268.1 trillion VND (approximately 10.3 billion USD) [6] Group 2 - Vietnam's road quality ranks 109th globally, indicating significant infrastructure challenges, particularly in major cities like Ho Chi Minh and Hanoi [2] - The railway system is largely outdated, with most tracks dating back to the French colonial era, limiting capacity and speed [2] - Power supply issues have led to nationwide blackouts, affecting major companies and prompting the government to seek electricity imports [3] Group 3 - Vietnam is focusing on improving infrastructure to address challenges such as increased tariffs from the US and to meet its GDP growth target of 8.3%-8.5% for the year [6] - The government is funding 129 of the 250 projects, while 121 projects are supported by private and foreign capital, highlighting a reliance on external investment [7] - The participation of Chinese companies in Vietnam's infrastructure projects is increasing, with examples including the construction of metro lines and highways [10][11] Group 4 - The Vietnamese government aims to alleviate financial pressure through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP), but attracting private investment remains a challenge [7][8] - Experts suggest that Chinese companies should form strategic alliances to avoid internal competition in the crowded Vietnamese market [11] - There is a shift in Chinese companies' approach to overseas infrastructure projects, focusing on smaller, manageable projects to mitigate risks [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 H1 financial results, showing a steady revenue growth but a decline in net profit margins, indicating mixed performance across different business segments [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025 H1, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 212.1 billion, 2.8 billion, and 2.5 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +9%, +1%, and +8% [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 111.7 billion, 1.2 billion, and 1.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +15%, -9%, and -6% [1]. Group 2: Business Segments Performance - The company experienced strong revenue growth in H1 2025 across various segments, with design consulting, engineering construction, investment operations, and industrial manufacturing showing year-on-year increases of +16%, +10%, +16%, and +11%, reaching 9.1 billion, 182.0 billion, 15.2 billion, and 16.2 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - The engineering construction and investment operations segments, particularly in new energy and integrated smart energy, saw revenue growth of +18% and +49%, outperforming other business areas [2]. - The new contract value signed in H1 2025 was 775.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of +5%, providing a solid revenue assurance [2]. Group 3: Profitability and Debt Management - The company's overall gross margin in H1 2025 decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 11.3%, with Q2 showing a further decline of 2.3 percentage points to 11.4% [3]. - The gross margins for design consulting, engineering construction, investment operations, and industrial manufacturing were 39.3%, 6.5%, 35.1%, and 16.6%, reflecting year-on-year changes of +2.8%, -0.8%, -8.4%, and -0.7 percentage points, respectively [3]. - The company's asset-liability ratio increased by 0.3 percentage points to 77.7% by the end of H1 2025, indicating a slight rise in leverage [3]. - The turnover days for accounts receivable and inventory improved by 26 days to 259 days, while net cash flows from operating and investing activities were -13.4 billion and -25.5 billion yuan, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases of +1.1 billion [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 475.2 billion, 517.0 billion, and 556.9 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of +9%, +9%, and +8% [4]. - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the same period are 9.2 billion, 10.0 billion, and 11.3 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of +10%, +9%, and +12% [4]. - The company is positioned as a "national team" in energy infrastructure, with emerging businesses in hydrogen and energy storage showing promising growth potential [4].