具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4629.55美元/盎司，日内走势颇为震荡，先行录得日内高点4632.20美元， 并震荡走低，并录得日内低点4581.25美元，之后又整体震荡回升，最终收于4615.70美元，日振幅50.95 美元，收跌13.85美元，跌幅0.3%。 影响上，日内先行受到周三尾盘的回撤压力，以及特朗普暂缓决定是否对伊朗发动军事打击，打压了黄 金的避险需求，令其震荡回撤，之后因支撑买盘而触底回升，但美盘数据，初请失业金人数意外下降， 这增强了美联储将在数月内按兵不动的预期，再度限制金价多头，使其仍收跌。 展望今日周五(1月16日)：国际黄金开盘再度先行走弱，受到昨日欧美盘的阻力压制，以及数据的整体 利空，短期面临一定的震荡调整走低的预期。但前景仍然看涨不变，留意回撤再度入场做多的机会。 上交易日周四(1月15日)：国际黄金触底回升T型收跌，维持着高位震荡格局，但也令短期金价面临震荡 调整走低预期，但看涨前景依然不变，如回撤走低，下方关注10日均线及中轨线支撑仍可逢低看涨，如 反弹走强打破近日震荡持稳收阳，则可顺势跟进继续看涨攀升。 ...

摘要今日周五(1月16日)亚盘时段，国际黄金最新报价为1030.93元/克，较前一交易日下跌2.77元，跌幅 0.27%，日内呈现震荡下行走势。当日开盘价报1034.07元/克，盘中最高触及1034.98元/克，最低下探至 1029.00元/克。 【最新国际黄金行情解析】 目前，黄金在日线图上呈现出高位区间震荡修复的态势，价格暂时被限制在4580至4640这一区间内波 动。从4小时级别来看，金价在4620附近遇到了一定压力，短周期均线开始逐渐勾头向下，K线也逐步 承压于这些均线，整体走势略显偏弱，这或许意味着短期内金价还有进一步向下调整的可能。 今日周五(1月16日)亚盘时段，国际黄金最新报价为1030.93元/克，较前一交易日下跌2.77元，跌幅 0.27%，日内呈现震荡下行走势。当日开盘价报1034.07元/克，盘中最高触及1034.98元/克，最低下探至 1029.00元/克。 在小时级别上，黄金的价格重心正在逐步下移，并且已经开始慢慢跌破一些短期的联排支撑位。从小级 别周期来看，K线沿着短周期均线呈现出较为明显的弱势下行趋势。因此，日内需要重点关注4580附近 的支撑带是否能够有效抵御住金价的下行压力 ...

Core Insights - Domestic gold price (99.95%) is quoted at 1035.98 CNY per gram, up 0.04% [1] - International gold price is reported at 4613.4 USD per ounce, down 0.22% [2] Group 1: Influencing Factors on Gold Prices - Divergence in Fed's interest rate cut expectations is causing short-term volatility. Fed officials expressed mixed views on focusing on employment stability versus maintaining tight policies due to high inflation. This divergence is leading to a short-term rebound in the dollar, pressuring gold prices, while long-term easing expectations continue to support gold [3] - Easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran are reducing safe-haven buying. Trump's postponement of military action against Iran and Israel's urging for delay have cooled market risk sentiment, leading to a slight drop in spot gold prices to 4615 USD per ounce. However, uncertainties in the Middle East may still lead to future price spikes [4] - Positive US employment data is suppressing gold price performance. Initial jobless claims for the week ending January 10 were recorded at 198,000, lower than the expected 215,000, indicating a resilient job market. This has weakened bets on rapid Fed rate cuts, pushing up US Treasury yields and strengthening the dollar, which directly pressures gold prices. Upcoming US retail sales data will be a key variable affecting gold price trends [5]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing a high-level fluctuation, with a short-term expectation of adjustment and decline, but the bullish outlook remains unchanged [1][3]. Price Movement - Gold opened at $4629.55 per ounce, reached a high of $4632.20, and a low of $4581.25, closing at $4615.70, with a daily fluctuation of $50.95 and a decline of $13.85, or 0.3% [3]. - The market was influenced by a pullback pressure from the previous day's trading and reduced safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding Iran [3]. - The unexpected decrease in initial jobless claims strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve would remain inactive for several months, further limiting bullish momentum for gold [3]. Future Outlook - On January 16, gold is expected to face downward pressure due to resistance from previous trading sessions and overall negative data expectations, but the long-term bullish outlook remains intact [3][5]. - Key upcoming data includes the U.S. December industrial production month-on-month rate and the January NAHB housing market index, with mixed market expectations [5][6]. Technical Analysis - Monthly analysis indicates that gold prices are strong, recovering from previous declines and potentially opening a new bull market with a target range of $5500 to $6000 if the upward momentum continues [8]. - Weekly analysis shows that gold has regained previous losses and is expected to continue rising towards the $4700 mark in the coming weeks [8]. - Daily analysis suggests a potential adjustment towards the 10-day moving average around $4545 and the middle band at $4475, with bullish entry opportunities if these support levels are reached [10]. Support and Resistance Levels - For gold, key support levels are at $4580 or $4555, while resistance levels are at $4635 or $4650 [10]. - For silver, support levels are at $89.15 or $87.30, with resistance at $93.00 or $94.10 [11].

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices rebounded and reached a new historical high, indicating a bullish outlook for the market, with support levels at the 5-day or 10-day moving averages for buying on dips [1]. Price Movement - Gold opened slightly higher at $4588.21 per ounce, marking the day's low, and subsequently strengthened, facing resistance around $4640. The price fluctuated during the U.S. trading session, peaking at $4642.63 before closing at $4626.26, up $39.83 or 0.87% from the previous close of $4586.43, with a daily range of $56.2 [3]. Influencing Factors - The rise in gold prices was driven by geopolitical tensions and criticism of the Federal Reserve by the Trump administration. However, strong U.S. retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data limited further gains for gold, causing it to encounter resistance [3]. Outlook - On January 15, gold prices initially declined due to technical adjustments, despite the previous day's strong retail sales and PPI data. Political uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve's independence and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to provide support for gold. Traders maintain expectations for two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the year, suggesting that bullish factors remain, and any temporary pullbacks could present further buying opportunities [3].

影响上，日内因观望情绪而先行震荡波动，到晚间时段，美国12月CPI意外降温，通胀数据不及预期， 交易员加码押注美联储4月降息，推动金价再创历史新高，但交易员获利了结导致黄金回吐日内全部涨 幅，不过，由于逢低买盘，以及持续的地缘政治和经济不确定性推动了避险需求，有所止跌。 展望今日周三(1月14日)：国际黄金开盘，延续隔夜尾盘回升之力，先行走强，虽然美元指数近期偏强 表现，但也难以对金价产生持续压力，金价将继续受到降息周期，以及地缘局势避险需求而维持看涨前 景，操作保持低多不变。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4603.39美元/盎司，日内先行震荡盘整运行，延续到美盘时段，多头再度 发力，连续反弹走强，录得日内高点4634.43美元，但最终震荡回撤，并至盘尾触及日内低点4569.74美 元，最终有所止跌回升，收于4586.43美元，日振幅64.69美元，收跌16.96美元，跌幅0.37%。 上交易日周二(1月13日)：国际黄金微幅刷新高点后，多头动力减弱，震荡收跌，但仍运行在短期均线 上方，技术看涨前景良好，基本面也无较大且持续的看空预期，故此，操作上，依然保持低多看涨不 变。 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the current trends in the international gold market, highlighting fluctuations in prices and demand [1] - It mentions that recent geopolitical tensions have led to increased investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - The report indicates that gold prices have seen a significant rise, with a percentage increase noted over the past month [1] Group 2 - The analysis includes data on gold production and supply chain dynamics, emphasizing the impact of mining operations on market stability [1] - It outlines the role of central banks in gold purchases, noting a trend of increased reserves among several countries [1] - The article also touches on the technological advancements in gold mining and processing, which may influence future production costs [1]

上交易日周一(1月12日)：国际黄金受到周末地缘局势加剧，以及特朗普政府对美联储主席鲍威尔展开 刑事调查的不确定性加深，引发了市场对美联储独立性和美元长期前景的担忧。推动金价高开高走，并 刷新历史高点突破4600美元关口，虽最终由于部分获利了结和芝商所继续调整保证金的影响，而有所回 撤。但其收线上，仍使得多头动力进一步加强，后市则有望继续上行攀升。操作依然保持逢低做多不 变。 展望今日周二(1月13日)：国际黄金开盘延续隔夜尾盘回撤动力，早盘有所走弱，加上美元指数延续昨 日的触底回升，早盘有所偏强，也限制了金价多头。但金价也仍具进一步上涨动力。 同时，日内还将受到美国12月未季调核心CPI年率的预期走高，而多头反弹受限，不过CPI的升高也会 带动金价的商品属性，使其反弹，故此，如晚间公布的CPI整体下降，将会提升降息前景，金价直接再 度走强，如果高于前值或者是预期，金价则是先跌后涨，整体上，无论什么结果，操作都是逢低做多为 主。 具体走势上，金价自亚市高开至4516.02美元/盎司，先行录得日内低点4512.88美元，之后反弹攀升，虽 至8点半时段触及4600美元关口，有所遇阻回撤近40美金，但整体依然保持震 ...

来源：张尧浠 具体走势上，金价自亚市高开至4516.02美元/盎司，先行录得日内低点4512.88美元，之后反弹攀升，虽至8点半时段触及4600美元关口，有所遇阻回撤近 40美金，但整体依然保持震荡上行，并延续到美盘时段，突破关口，进一步录得日内高点4629.86美元，最终遇阻回撤，收于4597.28美元，相对于上周五 收盘价4509.95美元，日振幅119.91美元，收涨87.33美元，涨幅1.94% 展望今日周二(1月13日)：国际黄金开盘延续隔夜尾盘回撤动力，早盘有所走弱，加上美元指数延续昨日的触底回升，早盘有所偏强，也限制了金价多 头。但金价也仍具进一步上涨动力。 同时，日内还将受到美国12月未季调核心CPI年率的预期走高，而多头反弹受限，不过CPI的升高也会带动金价的商品属性，使其反弹，故此，如晚间公 布的CPI整体下降，将会提升降息前景，金价直接再度走强，如果高于前值或者是预期，金价则是先跌后涨，整体上，无论什么结果，操作都是逢低做多 为主。 张尧浠：金价再刷历史高点、后市前景仍具上涨空间 上交易日周一(1月12日)：国际黄金受到周末地缘局势加剧，以及特朗普政府对美联储主席鲍威尔展开刑事调查的不确 ...

摘要今日周一(1月12日)亚盘时段，国际黄金目前交投于1030元/克附近，截至发稿，国际黄金最新报 1027.22元/克，涨幅1.56%，最高上探至1031.66元/克，最低触及1011.08元/克。目前来看，国际黄金短 线偏向看涨走势。 从技术面来看，黄金正处于单边上涨阶段。前期经过修正后突破关键压力区域，尤其是上周五对4480- 85美元的成功突破，在非农数据公布后及时跟进多单，有效捕捉了这波上涨行情。今日早间冲高后出现 回踩，但回调幅度不宜过大，关键的大阳线多空分界点仍具备支撑作用。 美国总统特朗普于11日表示，伊朗方面已主动与美国官员取得联系，并提出进行谈判的建议，目前相关 会议正在安排之中。他同时警告称，鉴于伊朗国内死亡人数持续上升，伊朗政府似乎"正在开始"跨越美 方设定的红线，因此美国政府"可能需要在会议召开之前采取行动"。 特朗普的言论凸显出当前美伊关系的紧张与复杂性。一方面，伊朗主动寻求谈判，可能意在缓解国内外 压力，争取外交空间;另一方面，美国对伊朗国内局势的发展保持高度警觉，尤其是人员伤亡的增加， 被美方视作局势升级的信号。特朗普并未明确说明可能采取的具体行动，但强调在会议安排完成前，不 ...