以下文章来源于i黑马 ，作者江南春 i黑马 . 日本"失落 30年的秘密" ， 就在这八个行业里面 。 低欲望社会 ， 不等于没机会。 消费分级 ， 需求迁移 ， 才是最大的商业机遇 。 当人们不买房子，不追奢侈品的时候，钱都流向了哪里？ 第一，二 手经济 日本二手奢侈品市场，以 大黑屋 为代表，收入暴涨。 让创业者不再孤独@i黑马 江南春 分众传媒董事长 黑马导师 整个社会都在喊没钱了，为什么这些公司反而年赚百亿？ 在中国， 红布林 、 胖虎， 同样业务大涨。 买不起爱马仕、 LV ， 但 抢着买二手。 但在日常消费品领域， 闲鱼 日活破亿， 转转 的 GMV 也大幅飙升。 闲置不是垃圾，是流动的黄金。 第二 ， 宠物经济 年轻人不太生孩子，但可以给猫买高级的罐头。 日本 Inaba 靠猫粮上市，中国乖宝 （ 中宠 ） 股价强劲 。 诚实一口、凯锐思、 疯狂小狗、 伯纳天纯、比瑞吉、 网易严选、 卫仕 等宠物品牌，销量持续攀升。 宠物不仅是主粮零食营养品，以 新瑞鹏 为代表的宠物医院，以 泰 淘气 为 代表 的宠物益生菌 、 保健品 ， 都大幅飙升 。 宠物开支逆势增长， " 毛孩子 " 才是真刚需。 第三 ...

Core Viewpoint - The second-hand recycling industry in China is facing significant issues, including fraud, data security concerns, and lack of regulatory standards, leading to consumer exploitation and health risks [1][2][3][4][5] Group 1: Mobile Phone Recycling - The mobile phone recycling market is projected to reach a scale of "hundreds of billions" by 2025, with an annual growth rate of approximately 20% [1] - Platforms often lure consumers with offers of "20% higher than competitors," but then significantly reduce the price post-evaluation, with markdowns of 30%-40% based on vague reasons [1] - Complaints against major platforms like "Aihui" and "Zhuanzhuan" are rampant, with "Aihui" receiving nearly 24,000 complaints regarding malicious price reductions [4] Group 2: Clothing Recycling - The second-hand clothing recycling sector is plagued by issues such as the sale of uncleaned and unsanitized garments disguised as "brand surplus" [2] - There is a lack of unified hygiene standards and traceability mechanisms, leading to health risks for consumers [2] - Some businesses exploit charitable intentions by collecting clothes under the guise of "charity recycling" and then reselling them at inflated prices [2] Group 3: Luxury Goods Recycling - The luxury goods recycling market has seen severe issues, including unauthorized transactions where minors sell high-value items without proper identity verification [2] - Some luxury items are being sold for less than 10% of their original price, raising concerns about the legitimacy of transactions [2] Group 4: Gold and Diamond Recycling - Gold recycling often involves inflated initial quotes followed by deductions for weight and purity, resulting in consumers receiving far less than expected [3] - The diamond recycling market is affected by international price fluctuations, with significant declines in recovery prices [3] Group 5: Regulatory and Consumer Awareness - The second-hand circulation industry in China reached a transaction volume of over 1.3 trillion yuan in 2023, with expectations to exceed 3 trillion yuan by 2025, yet it remains in its early development stages [4] - There is an urgent need for standardized regulations and consumer protection laws to address the rampant issues in the recycling industry [5] - Consumers are advised to choose reputable platforms and retain evidence during transactions to safeguard their interests [5]

Core Insights - The second-hand recycling industry is facing significant issues, including fraud, lack of standards, and data security risks, as highlighted by recent media reports [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Issues - The second-hand mobile phone recycling sector is plagued by "hidden rules," where platforms attract users with high price offers but later reduce the price by 30%-40% using vague reasons like minor scratches [2][6] - In the second-hand clothing recycling market, unsanitized clothes are falsely marketed as "brand surplus" or "unique samples," posing health risks to consumers [1][3] - The second-hand luxury goods market has seen cases where minors sell high-value items without proper identity verification, leading to significant financial losses [3][4] Group 2: Consumer Complaints - Consumer complaints regarding mobile phone recycling platforms are on the rise, with platforms like "Aihui" receiving nearly 24,000 complaints related to malicious price reductions [6][7] - The "Zhuanzhuan" platform has accumulated around 120,000 complaints, with many consumers reporting quality issues with second-hand products and price manipulation during the recycling process [7][8] - The lack of transparency in the evaluation process of second-hand products makes it difficult for consumers to verify the authenticity of the assessments, leading to disputes [8][9] Group 3: Recommendations for Improvement - Experts suggest that the industry needs to establish unified standards and regulations to enhance oversight and protect consumer rights [1][9] - The implementation of technology, such as blockchain, is recommended to improve transaction transparency and establish a product traceability system [9] - Consumers are encouraged to choose reputable platforms and retain evidence during transactions to safeguard their interests [9]

Core Insights - The article discusses how certain industries are thriving despite a general perception of economic downturn, highlighting eight key sectors that present significant business opportunities in a low-desire society [3][4]. Group 1: Key Industries - **Second-Hand Economy**: The second-hand luxury market in Japan, represented by companies like Daikokuya, has seen a surge in revenue. In China, platforms like Hongbulin and Panghu are experiencing similar growth, indicating a shift in consumer spending towards second-hand goods [6][7][8][9]. - **Pet Economy**: With a decline in birth rates, young consumers are increasingly spending on pets, leading to significant growth in pet food and healthcare products. Companies like Inaba in Japan and Guobao in China are capitalizing on this trend [12][13][15][16]. - **Adult Care Products**: The adult diaper market in Japan has surpassed $10 billion, showcasing the potential of the aging population as a lucrative market segment [17][18][19]. - **Health Food and Beverages**: Changing demographics and rising health awareness have led to the growth of sugar-free beverages and functional foods in both Japan and China, with brands like Suntory and Dongpeng gaining traction [21][22]. - **Beauty and Aesthetic Products**: The demand for beauty products, including collagen supplements and at-home beauty devices, remains strong, indicating that consumers prioritize personal care even in economic downturns [23][24][26]. - **Outdoor Recreation**: Companies in the outdoor equipment sector, such as Snow Peak in Japan and various Chinese brands, are benefiting from increased interest in outdoor activities as a form of stress relief [29][31][32]. - **Convenience Economy**: The rise of frozen foods and smart home appliances reflects a shift towards convenience, with brands like Anjijia and Kewell seeing steady growth as consumers seek time-saving solutions [39][40][42]. - **Lazy Economy**: The trend of reduced cooking time among younger generations has led to a preference for ready-to-eat meals and smart appliances that automate household tasks, indicating a shift in consumer priorities [39][40][42]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The article emphasizes that even in a low-desire economy, there are significant opportunities for those willing to invest in counter-cyclical sectors. Companies that can identify and act on these opportunities are likely to emerge as winners [44].

一、循环经济浪潮下的消费新格局 在全球ESG（环境、社会、治理）理念深入人心的今天，循环经济已从概念走向主流。波士顿咨询集团研究报告显示，2025年，全球循环经济市场规模达到 4.5万亿美元。在中国，"双循环"战略与绿色消费政策的双重推动下，高端消费品市场正在经历一场深刻的范式转变。 贝恩咨询最新数据令人瞩目：中国二手奢侈品市场在过去三年保持年均30%以上的复合增长率，而其中租赁板块增速高达45%，成为增长最快的细分领域。 更值得关注的是消费群体变化——30岁以下消费者在租赁市场的占比已从2019年的28%跃升至2023年的52%，年轻一代对"拥有权"与"使用权"的认知正在重 塑。 对于传统二手奢侈品及高端数码行业的经营者而言，这一趋势既是挑战更是机遇。行业分析认为，单纯依赖"买进卖出"的传统模式，正在面临增长天花板。 拓展租赁业务，已从"可选项"转变为应对市场变革的"战略必选项"。 二、传统经营模式的四大痛点审视 4. 专业门槛持续升高 鉴定真伪、养护修复、市场定价等专业能力要求不断提升，但人才培养体系滞后。行业调研显示，超过60%的新从业者表示"缺乏系统学习渠道"。 即便是转型线上，也面临新的挑战：流量获 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that despite the prevailing narrative of economic hardship, certain industries are thriving and generating substantial profits, particularly in the context of Japan's "lost 30 years" and the evolving consumer behavior in China [3][4]. Group 1: Economic Shifts and Opportunities - The concept of a "low-desire society" does not equate to a lack of opportunities, as consumer demand is shifting towards different sectors [4]. - The article identifies eight key industries that are capitalizing on changing consumer preferences, highlighting that demand migration presents significant business opportunities [5]. Group 2: Key Industries - **Second-Hand Economy**: The second-hand luxury market in Japan, exemplified by companies like Daikokuya, has seen a dramatic revenue increase. In China, platforms like Hongbulin and Panghu are experiencing similar growth [6][7][8]. - **Pet Economy**: With declining birth rates, spending on pets is rising. Companies like Inaba in Japan and Guobao in China are benefiting from this trend, with various pet brands seeing continuous sales growth [12][13][14][15][16]. - **Adult Care**: The adult diaper market in Japan has surpassed $10 billion, indicating that aging populations can create substantial economic opportunities rather than being a burden [17][18][19]. - **Health Food and Beverages**: Changes in population structure and rising health awareness have led to the growth of sugar-free beverages and functional foods in both Japan and China [21][22]. - **Beauty Economy**: The demand for beauty products, such as collagen supplements and at-home beauty devices, remains strong, indicating that consumers prioritize personal care even in economic downturns [23][24][25][26]. - **Outdoor Recreation**: Companies in the outdoor equipment sector, like Snow Peak in Japan, are thriving as consumers seek leisure activities despite economic constraints [29][30][31]. - **Convenience Economy**: The rise of frozen foods and smart home appliances reflects a shift towards convenience, with brands like Anjijia and Kewotai seeing steady growth [39][40][42]. - **Lazy Economy**: The trend of reduced cooking time among younger generations has led to increased demand for time-saving products, suggesting that time-saving solutions may hold more commercial value than cost-saving ones in a low-desire economy [39][42]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The article argues against the notion that the current market is in a "cold winter," suggesting that the true winners in a low-desire era are those who can identify and invest in counter-cyclical opportunities [44].

Core Insights - The article discusses how certain industries are thriving despite a general perception of economic downturn, highlighting eight key sectors that present significant business opportunities in a low-desire society [3][4]. Group 1: Key Industries - **Second-Hand Economy**: The second-hand luxury market in Japan, represented by companies like Daikokuya, has seen a surge in revenue. In China, platforms like Hongbulin and Panghu are experiencing similar growth, indicating a shift in consumer spending towards second-hand goods [6][7][8][9]. - **Pet Economy**: With declining birth rates, young people are spending more on pets, leading to significant growth in pet food and healthcare products. Companies like Inaba in Japan and Guobao in China are capitalizing on this trend [11][12][14][15]. - **Adult Care Products**: The adult diaper market in Japan has surpassed $10 billion, indicating a growing demand for adult care products in China, with companies like Kexin showing potential for growth [16][17][18]. - **Health Food and Beverages**: The rise in health consciousness has led to increased demand for sugar-free beverages and functional drinks. Brands like Dongfang Shuye and Jianchun are gaining traction in this sector [21][22]. - **Beauty Economy**: The demand for beauty products, including collagen supplements and at-home beauty devices, is on the rise. Companies like Jinbo Biological are seeing significant market value growth [23][25]. - **Outdoor and Leisure Products**: The outdoor equipment market is thriving, with brands like Kailas and Camel experiencing rapid sales growth, as consumers seek leisure activities despite economic constraints [25][26][27]. - **Emotional Economy**: Brands like Labubu and Rio are tapping into the emotional needs of consumers, providing products that offer comfort and joy, even in a tight economic climate [28][29][30]. - **Convenience Economy**: The demand for convenience products, such as frozen foods and smart home appliances, is increasing as younger generations spend less time cooking. Companies like Anjijia and Kewot are benefiting from this trend [33][35][36]. Group 2: Market Trends - The article emphasizes that the current economic climate, often viewed as a "winter," presents opportunities for those willing to invest in counter-cyclical sectors. The key to success lies in recognizing and seizing these opportunities [39].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that despite the prevailing narrative of economic hardship, certain industries are thriving and generating substantial profits, particularly in Japan and China [3][4]. - It identifies eight key sectors that are capitalizing on changing consumer behaviors and preferences, presenting significant business opportunities [5]. Group 1: Key Industries - **Second-Hand Economy**: The second-hand luxury market in Japan, exemplified by companies like Daikokuya, has seen explosive revenue growth. In China, platforms like Hongbulin and Panghu are experiencing similar success, indicating a shift in consumer spending from new luxury goods to second-hand items [6][7][8]. - **Pet Economy**: With declining birth rates, young consumers are increasingly spending on pet products. Companies like Inaba in Japan and Guobao in China are witnessing strong stock performance due to rising demand for pet food and healthcare products [12][13][15]. - **Adult Care**: The adult diaper market in Japan has surpassed $10 billion, highlighting the economic potential of the aging population. This sector is viewed as a significant opportunity rather than a burden [17][18][19]. Group 2: Health and Wellness - **Health Food and Beverages**: The rise in health consciousness and demographic changes have led to increased demand for sugar-free beverages and functional foods. Brands like Suntory and various Chinese counterparts are experiencing significant growth in this area [21][22]. - **Beauty and Aesthetics**: The demand for beauty products, including collagen supplements and at-home beauty devices, remains strong. Companies like Jinbo Biological and U like are achieving substantial sales, indicating that consumers prioritize beauty even in economic downturns [23][24][26]. Group 3: Outdoor and Leisure - **Outdoor Recreation**: Companies in the outdoor equipment sector, such as Snow Peak in Japan and various Chinese brands, are benefiting from a growing interest in outdoor activities and camping, with significant sales increases reported [29][31]. - **Convenience Economy**: The trend towards convenience is driving growth in frozen food and smart home appliances. Brands like Anjijia and various AI-driven home devices are gaining traction as consumers seek to save time [39][40][42]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The article posits that the current low-desire economic environment presents unique opportunities for businesses that can identify and invest in counter-cyclical trends. Companies that adapt to changing consumer needs and preferences are likely to emerge as winners in this landscape [44].

Group 1 - The report indicates a significant decline in the enthusiasm of high-net-worth individuals for luxury brands, dropping by 12 percentage points [1] - There is a notable increase in the interest for practical clothing, which emphasizes comfort over brand, rising by 14 percentage points [1] - The interest in custom-made clothing remains stable compared to last year, while the enthusiasm for trendy brands has slightly decreased by 5 percentage points [1] Group 2 - The overall interest in the second-hand luxury goods market has significantly decreased, with 41% of high-net-worth individuals indicating they would purchase second-hand luxury items, a drop of 24 percentage points from last year [1] - Among those willing to buy second-hand luxury items, handbags and accessories are the preferred choices, followed by jewelry [1] Group 3 - There is a marked decline in the enthusiasm for high-end watches, with the planned purchases dropping from an average of 2.8 watches last year to just 1 this year [1] - Additionally, 59% of respondents do not plan to purchase any watches in the coming year [1]

新京报贝壳财经讯（记者陈维城）1月29日，贝恩公司发布的《2025年中国个人奢侈品报告》显示， 2025年中国内地个人奢侈品市场收缩了3%至5%，相比2024年的大幅下降有明显缓和。贝恩估计，2025 年中国奢侈品消费中有65%发生在中国内地，35%在境外，反映出消费回流的程度有所增加。 贝恩公司全球合伙人杨玥表示："二手市场正在逐渐成为中国奢侈品生态系统中不可或缺的一环，它的 持续增长不仅说明了消费者观念的转变，也标志着整个市场的日益成熟。"她指出，直播平台兼具实时 互动和产品验证两大功能，增强了消费者对二手奢侈品的信心。" 报告还强调了本土中国奢侈品品牌的持续崛起，特别是在美妆护肤和部分个人奢侈品类别中。这些品牌 通过文化相关的产品设计、数字化和互动导向的消费者策略以及由本地投入和供应链支持的竞争性价格 定位获得市场份额。 展望未来，尽管波动和不确定性仍将持续，贝恩预计中国个人奢侈品市场将在2026年实现适度增长，但 仍将保持全球奢侈品市场增长的基石地位。随着中等收入群体的不断壮大、消费者信心的提升以及有利 政策的出台，预计将有更多奢侈品消费回流至中国内地市场。然而，增长的程度仍将高度依赖于具体的 产品类 ...