图虫创意/供图 证券时报记者 吴琦 公募基金多元资产配置趋势显著，新发产品投资边界持续拓宽，不再局限于A股和国内债券，港 股、商品期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷成为配置新选项。 此前几年基金中的基金（FOF）因业绩不佳陷入发展停滞，而今年不少公募机构纷纷发力多元资产 配置，助力FOF扭转颓势，迎来发行热。 今年新发成立的82只FOF产品中，超四成纳入黄金指数作业绩基准，还有12只FOF以海外主流指数 为基准。FOF资产中，另类投资基金规模占比甚至创下历史新高。 FOF投资边界不断拓宽 过去，公募基金的资产配置多集中在A股和国内债券，选择相对单一。如今，这一格局正在改变， 港股、商品期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷加入配置清单。 Wind数据显示，今年另类投资基金规模占比攀升至2.75%，创下历史新高，进一步佐证了公募多元 资产配置的趋势。 从具体产品来看，今年新募集成立的82只FOF基金中，有34只将黄金指数纳入业绩比较基准，占比 超过四成。值得关注的是，全市场541只FOF产品里，仅有47只把黄金指数纳入基准，其中今年这类基 金就有34只，这意味着今年新增FOF将黄金作为业绩比较基准的比例 ...

公募基金多元资产配置趋势显著，新发产品投资边界持续拓宽，不再局限于A股和国内债券，港股、商 品期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷成为配置新选项。 此前几年基金中的基金（FOF）因业绩不佳陷入发展停滞，而今年不少公募机构纷纷发力多元资产配 置，助力FOF扭转颓势，迎来发行热。 今年新发成立的82只FOF产品中，超四成纳入黄金指数作业绩基准，还有12只FOF以海外主流指数为基 准。FOF资产中，另类投资基金规模占比甚至创下历史新高。 FOF投资边界不断拓宽 过去，公募基金的资产配置多集中在A股和国内债券，选择相对单一。如今，这一格局正在改变，港 股、商品期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷加入配置清单。 数据显示，今年另类投资基金规模占比攀升至2.75%，创下历史新高，进一步佐证了公募多元资产配置 的趋势。 从具体产品来看，今年新募集成立的82只FOF基金中，有34只将黄金指数纳入业绩比较基准，占比超过 四成。值得关注的是，全市场541只FOF产品里，仅有47只把黄金指数纳入基准，其中今年这类基金就 有34只，这意味着今年新增FOF将黄金作为业绩比较基准的比例高达七成，黄金在多元配置中的热度可 见一斑。 ...

FOF规模有望刷新历史纪录。 公募基金多元资产配置趋势显著，新发产品投资边界持续拓宽，不再局限于A股和债券，港股、商品期 货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷成为配置新选项。今年新发成立的82只FOF（专门投资其他基金 的基金）产品中，超四成纳入黄金指数作业绩基准，还有12只FOF以海外主流指数为基准。FOF资产 中，另类投资基金规模占比甚至创下历史新高。 此前FOF因业绩不佳陷入发展停滞，而今年不少公募机构纷纷发力多元资产配置，助力FOF扭转颓势， 迎来发行热。四季度以来，多达13只FOF产品募集规模超过了10亿元，其中易方达如意盈安6个月持有5 天募集58.48亿元，华泰柏瑞盈泰稳健3个月持有一天募集55.77亿元，平安盈享多元配置6个月持有4天募 集28.08亿元。 FOF投资边界不断拓宽 过去，公募基金的资产配置多集中在A股和国内债券，选择相对单一。如今，这一格局正在改变，港 股、商品期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷加入配置清单，成为公募多元资产配置的新选项。 Wind数据显示，今年另类投资基金规模占比攀升至2.75%，创下历史新高，进一步佐证了公募多元资产 配置的趋势。 从具体产品来看，今 ...

FOF投资边界不断拓宽 过去，公募基金的资产配置多集中在A股和国内债券，选择相对单一。如今，这一格局正在改变，港股、商品 期货、公募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷加入配置清单，成为公募多元资产配置的新选项。 Wind数据显示，今年另类投资基金规模占比攀升至2.75%，创下历史新高，进一步佐证了公募多元资产配置的 趋势。 FOF规模有望刷新历史纪录。 公募基金多元资产配置趋势显著，新发产品投资边界持续拓宽，不再局限于A股和债券，港股、商品期货、公 募REITs、海外市场产品等纷纷成为配置新选项。今年新发成立的82只FOF（专门投资其他基金的基金）产品 中，超四成纳入黄金指数作业绩基准，还有12只FOF以海外主流指数为基准。FOF资产中，另类投资基金规模 占比甚至创下历史新高。 此前FOF因业绩不佳陷入发展停滞，而今年不少公募机构纷纷发力多元资产配置，助力FOF扭转颓势，迎来发 行热。四季度以来，多达13只FOF产品募集规模超过了10亿元，其中易方达如意盈安6个月持有5天募集58.48 亿元，华泰柏瑞盈泰稳健3个月持有一天募集55.77亿元，平安盈享多元配置6个月持有4天募集28.08亿元。 历经三年低迷后，如今 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of December 1, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 118.338 billion yuan, showing a slight increase from the previous trading day [1] Summary by Category ETF Margin Balance - The ETF financing balance was 110.216 billion yuan, which decreased by 0.434 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The ETF margin trading balance was 8.122 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 0.456 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Net Buy Activity - On December 1, 214 ETFs experienced net financing purchases, with the Pengyang Zhongzhai - 30-Year Treasury Bond ETF leading with a net purchase amount of 71.1955 million yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net financing purchases included the GF Nasdaq-100 ETF, Yongying CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock ETF, Huatai-PB Hang Seng Technology ETF, Guotai Nasdaq-100 ETF, Guotai Gold ETF, and Haifutong Shanghai Stock City Investment Bond ETF [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities indicates that the external geopolitical situation has become complex, leading to a temporary pullback in the A-share market. It suggests that future fund allocations should maintain a balanced style while slightly favoring growth, with a focus on technology sector funds and consideration of cyclical and financial assets [1][2]. Equity Mixed Funds - In November, the manufacturing PMI rose to 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, supported by improved foreign trade conditions due to recent US-China economic negotiations [2]. - The Chinese stock market experienced a rapid decline in the penultimate week of November, followed by a recovery in the last week, indicating potential for stabilization and upward movement as a good opportunity for increasing holdings [2]. - The report emphasizes a focus on technology growth and low-position investment opportunities in large financial and consumer sectors, suggesting a structural investment opportunity in both value and growth styles for 2024 [2]. Bond Funds - Following a significant drop, the bond market may enter a phase of corrective rebound, although the extent of recovery may not exceed that of October. The macro environment provides support for bond pricing, allowing for participation in the rebound of certain underpriced bonds [3]. - The report recommends maintaining a "quick in and out" strategy to capitalize on structural opportunities, with a focus on flexible duration interest rate bonds and high liquidity credit bonds [3]. QDII and Commodity Funds - The report highlights that global sovereign credit differentiation and the weakening of the US dollar are prompting central banks to diversify reserves, enhancing the position of gold relative to the dollar and US Treasuries. It suggests a suitable allocation to gold ETFs for long-term and hedging investments [4]. - With the anticipated expansion of capital expenditure in the AI industry and technology companies, the report expects upward revisions in earnings forecasts for US stocks by 2026, recommending an overweight position while being cautious of short-term volatility risks [4]. Fund Recommendations - Recommended equity mixed funds include: Southern Quality Preferred, E Fund Environmental Protection Theme, Boda Huatai Preferred, GF Multi-Factor, Guotai Consumption Preferred, Huatai Baoxing Growth Preferred, and others [5]. - Recommended open-end bond funds include: Bank of China Pure Bond, Fortune Tianli Growth Bond, and China Europe Prosperity [6]. - Recommended QDII and commodity funds include: E Fund Gold ETF, Huaan Yifu Gold ETF, GF Nasdaq 100 ETF, and Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology ETF [6].

Core Insights - As of November 26, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 118.441 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.239 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - The financing balance for ETFs is 111.01 billion yuan, down by 1.472 billion yuan, while the margin short balance increased to 7.431 billion yuan, up by 0.233 billion yuan [2] ETF Financing Activity - On November 26, 199 ETFs experienced net financing inflows, with the top net inflow being the Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF, which saw a net inflow of 49 million yuan [2] - Other ETFs with significant net financing inflows include the GF National Index New Energy Vehicle Battery ETF, E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF, GF NASDAQ 100 ETF, Huabao CSI Bank ETF, and Invesco Great Wall NASDAQ Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - As of November 26, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 118.441 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 1.239 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 1: ETF Financing and Margin Data - The ETF financing balance stands at 111.01 billion yuan, down by 1.472 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The ETF margin short balance is 7.431 billion yuan, which has increased by 0.233 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 2: Net Buy Data - On November 26, 199 ETFs experienced net financing purchases, with the Guotai CSI All Share Securities Company ETF leading with a net purchase amount of 49 million yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net purchase amounts include the GF National Certificate New Energy Vehicle Battery ETF, E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF, GF Nasdaq 100 ETF, Huabao CSI Bank ETF, and Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF [1]

Core Insights - The recent surge in cross-border ETFs has led to significant premium risks, with 33 products issuing over 500 premium risk alerts since the fourth quarter began, particularly in US and Japan-themed products [2][4] - The Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF has seen its IOPV premium rate exceed 10% for 25 consecutive trading days, indicating a persistent high premium status [2][5] - The overall scale of cross-border ETFs has increased by nearly 117% year-to-date, significantly outpacing the growth of A-share ETFs, which grew by approximately 28% in the same period [6][7] Premium Risk Alerts - As of November 18, 20 cross-border ETFs issued premium alerts, with the previous trading day seeing 22 alerts, highlighting a trend of frequent premium warnings [3][4] - The frequency of premium alerts has become normalized, with 11 products issuing over 20 alerts each since the start of the fourth quarter [4][5] - The premium situation is not isolated, as multiple products tracking popular indices like Nasdaq 100 and Nikkei 225 are experiencing similar high premium rates [3][4] Market Dynamics - The premium phenomenon reflects a mismatch between QDII quotas and investor demand, alongside factors like index scarcity and foreign exchange volatility, contributing to supply-demand imbalances [6][7] - The cross-border ETF market has seen explosive growth, with the total scale reaching approximately 920.29 billion yuan as of November 17, compared to 424.22 billion yuan at the end of the previous year [6][7] - The number of products exceeding 10 billion yuan in scale has doubled, indicating a strong demand for cross-border investment options [7] Institutional Innovations - Recent regulatory changes have expanded the cross-border investment channels, with six new ETF products included in the "Southbound ETF Connect" list, marking a significant development in the market [8][9] AI Market Sentiment - The discussion around whether the AI sector is experiencing a bubble or genuine growth has intensified, with market volatility increasing due to geopolitical tensions and economic factors [10][11] - Despite short-term fluctuations, many institutions maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook on the US stock market, suggesting that the underlying trends in technology and AI remain strong [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in cross-border ETFs has raised concerns about potential price bubbles, particularly in the context of AI investments, as evidenced by frequent premium warnings and market volatility [1][7]. Group 1: Cross-Border ETF Premiums - A total of 33 cross-border ETF products have issued over 500 premium risk warnings since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with 11 products issuing more than 20 warnings each [2][3]. - The Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Weighted ETF has maintained an IOPV premium rate above 10% for 25 consecutive trading days, with a premium of 14.82% reported recently [2][3]. - The phenomenon of high premiums is not isolated, as 20 cross-border ETFs issued premium warnings on November 18, indicating a trend of "high-frequency warnings" across the market [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Growth - The total scale of cross-border ETFs reached 920.29 billion yuan, reflecting a nearly 117% increase from the previous year, significantly outpacing the 28% growth of A-share ETFs during the same period [5][6]. - The number of products with over 10 billion yuan in assets has doubled from 11 to 22, indicating a strong demand for cross-border investment products [5][6]. - The market has seen a diversification of investment targets, with new ETFs tracking indices from various global markets, including Brazil and Europe, being launched [6]. Group 3: AI Investment Debate - The discussion around whether AI represents a bubble or a genuine growth opportunity has intensified, with some analysts suggesting that the current tech rally is concentrated in high-quality large-cap stocks [7][8]. - Concerns about market volatility have been exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, yet many institutions remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term prospects of the tech sector [9]. - Analysts emphasize the need for AI to demonstrate broader and deeper practical value to avoid a potential bubble, with a critical verification period expected in the next 2 to 3 years [8][9].