策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2026 年 3 月 1 日 3 月金股组合 中银证券研究部 2026 年 3 月金股 3 月金股组合 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 策略观点：A 股短期波动中期聚焦国内主线，资源品行情正当时。美以 军事打击伊朗对于全球市场及资产价格的影响取决于行动的目标及持续 性。金价上行有望得到进一步支撑。无论是当下的中东局势还是特朗普 关税政策的反复都为短期市场增加了较高的不确定性因素。而这种不确 定性下的避险情绪将为短期贵金属价格形成有力支撑。目前来看，对于 A 股的影响更多集中在风险偏好层面，中期来看，A 股市场将会回归国内 基本面及政策预期。国内两会即将开幕，A 股短期冲击幅度或小于海外， 节后复工情况、两会前后宏观政策的释放是国内投资者关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangxin Materials, reported a significant year-on-year decline of 75.65% in its third-quarter performance, yet major global investment banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and others are shareholders, raising questions about the underlying reasons for their investment despite the poor financial results [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's net profit stands at only 8.77 million, which is concerning given the drastic decline in performance [3]. - Despite the net profit drop, the gross profit margin is notably high at 34.71%, indicating that the product's profitability is not the issue [5]. - The net cash flow increased by 183.62% to 47.06 million, surpassing the net profit, suggesting a potential increase in orders [6][7]. Cash Flow Insights - The significant improvement in cash flow may indicate a growing order backlog, which is a positive sign for future revenue [7]. - The company operates in multiple high-demand sectors, including PCB, display, semiconductor, and photovoltaic materials, where breakthroughs could lead to substantial order increases [8]. Inventory Management - The slight increase in inventory by 1.93% may reflect strategic preparations for anticipated order growth, which is common in the light of strict shelf-life requirements for raw materials and finished products in the photoresist industry [10]. Industry Impact - A breakthrough in high-end photoresist technology could have profound implications for the entire semiconductor manufacturing supply chain, potentially lowering costs and supply chain risks [12]. - The domestic production of display photoresist could enhance the competitiveness of local panel manufacturers [12]. - Advancements in photovoltaic adhesives could lead to technological upgrades and cost reductions in solar component production [13]. Investment Perspective - The collective investment by international banks suggests a belief in the company's potential to achieve breakthroughs in critical semiconductor materials, reflecting a broader trend towards domestic substitution in the industry [16]. - The financial report's contradictions highlight the typical growth pattern of tech companies, which often experience initial losses before achieving profitability [17].

Core Viewpoint - Fuyang is actively promoting its industrial development through the "6849" industrial layout, focusing on upgrading traditional industries, developing emerging sectors, and enhancing service industries, aiming to attract significant investment and foster economic growth [8][12][19]. Industrial Development - Fuyang is transforming six traditional industries: coal power, metal smelting, machinery and electronics, green building materials, high-end textiles, and home furnishings [7]. - The city is accelerating the development of eight emerging industries: new energy and energy conservation, high-end green food, new energy vehicles, new materials, electronic information and optoelectronics, life health, high-end equipment manufacturing, and digital creativity [7]. - Fuyang is also laying out four future industries: low-carbon energy, advanced materials, life sciences, and low-altitude economy [7]. Investment and Economic Growth - The 2025 Fuyang Investment and Trade Fair resulted in the signing of 170 cooperation projects with a total investment of 71.5 billion yuan [8]. - The "Key Investment Projects" booklet released during the fair showcased 127 recommended projects with a total investment of 215.6 billion yuan [8]. - Fuyang's economic indicators have shown significant growth, with four major economic indicators ranking first in Anhui province and an overall economic ranking improvement from 181st to 90th nationally over the past decade [12]. Agricultural Innovation - Fuyang is leveraging its agricultural resources to foster cross-industry cooperation, with projects like the Chery New Energy Intelligent Agricultural Machinery set to fill gaps in the region's industry [11]. - The city is focusing on low-altitude economy applications in agriculture, with initiatives like drone-assisted farming achieving significant efficiency improvements [10]. Open Development and Policy Support - Fuyang is positioned as a "dual-way bridgehead" in regional cooperation, benefiting from its strategic location and multiple national development strategies [15][16]. - The city has implemented a comprehensive transportation logistics system with significant investments, enhancing its connectivity and reducing logistics costs [16]. - Fuyang's favorable policies and incentives for talent attraction and business development have led to a substantial increase in the local workforce and entrepreneurial activities [18][19]. Emerging Industries and Technological Advancements - Fuyang is witnessing breakthroughs in new materials and technologies, with companies like Mitou New Materials successfully producing domestic photolithography materials [13][14]. - The city is fostering a cluster effect in emerging industries, with significant investments in sectors like new energy and advanced manufacturing [14]. Service Industry Enhancement - Fuyang is promoting nine high-quality service industries, including modern logistics, finance, e-commerce, and cultural tourism, to support its economic transformation [8].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Fuyang Investment and Trade Fair and the Second RCEP Entrepreneurs Cooperation Conference mark a significant platform for Fuyang's development, showcasing its rising status in regional economic dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Development - Fuyang has achieved notable recognition, being listed among the top 100 cities in terms of GDP, high-quality development, financial competitiveness, digital economy, and consumer capacity in China [7][8]. - The GDP of Fuyang is projected to grow from 280 billion yuan in 2020 to approximately 360.98 billion yuan by 2024, with its national ranking rising to 91 [5][6]. - Industrial investment in Fuyang has increased significantly, with its share rising from 17.6% to 42.1%, indicating a strong industrial foundation [5]. Group 2: Strategic Positioning - Fuyang is positioned as a key city in the Yangtze River Delta integration and the Central China high-quality development strategy, with government support for its development as a Type I city [1][9]. - The city is recognized as a regional center in the Huaihe Ecological Economic Belt and the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration, enhancing its strategic importance [1][9]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Connectivity - Fuyang has improved its transportation infrastructure, with a comprehensive network of railways and highways facilitating access to major cities like Hefei and Shanghai [12]. - The establishment of logistics centers and international trade routes has significantly reduced logistics costs, enhancing Fuyang's attractiveness for investment [12]. Group 4: Industrial Development and Innovation - Fuyang is focusing on high-quality industrial development, with significant advancements in sectors such as new energy, environmental protection, and digital technology [13][14]. - The city is home to leading companies in various industries, including the largest urea and methanol production capacities in the province and significant advancements in battery technology [15]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The upcoming investment fair aims to sign contracts for over 70 billion yuan in projects, indicating strong investor interest and potential for future growth [16]. - Fuyang is targeting an economic total of 500 billion yuan, positioning itself as a leader in the comprehensive revitalization of Northern Anhui [17].

Group 1 - In Q3 2025, a notable change occurred in the shareholder list of a domestic photoresist company, with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, UBS, and Morgan Stanley collectively purchasing nearly 5 million shares despite the company's stock price plummeting from 30 yuan to 4.4 yuan, marking a 1700% drop in net profit in the mid-2025 report [1][3] - The foreign investment strategy reflects a significant bet on domestic substitution, as these institutions entered the top ten shareholders for the first time, with acquisition costs concentrated in the 6-7 yuan range, resulting in over 30% floating profit by early December [3][9] - The company has a total market value of 4.8 billion yuan, with its photoresist business accounting for 62% of revenue and a gross margin of 32%, despite an overall decline in performance [3] Group 2 - Photoresist is a critical consumable in semiconductor manufacturing, with the global market dominated by Japanese and American companies, which hold 87% of the market share, particularly in high-end sectors where domestic production is less than 1% for ArF photoresists and completely reliant on imports for EUV photoresists [5] - The Chinese semiconductor photoresist market is projected to reach 5.63 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 42.25% year-on-year growth, driven by increased demand from wafer fabs like SMIC and Huahong Group adopting domestic materials [5] - Domestic photoresist companies are advancing in production capabilities, with firms like Nanda Optoelectronics and Tongcheng New Materials achieving mass production of ArF/KrF photoresists, while others focus on specific segments like PCB photoresists [7] Group 3 - Foreign investors are betting on photoresist companies based on three clear logics: high certainty of domestic substitution due to Japanese export controls, low historical valuation with a price-to-book ratio of 1.2 compared to the industry average of 3.54, and the potential for significant performance improvement in small-cap stocks upon technological breakthroughs [9] - Similar cases have emerged where companies with traditional chemical businesses, like Xilong Science, have seen foreign investment despite poor performance, indicating a trend of foreign capital seeking opportunities in the photoresist sector [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the launch of the Liu'an Xinyi Hua electronic materials production base and innovation center, focusing on the development and production of display and semiconductor photoresists, with a total investment of 1.2 billion yuan, aiming to meet local supply chain demands in China [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Liu'an project will produce 10,000 tons of display photoresist and 2,000 tons of semiconductor photoresist annually, catering to core sectors such as LCD/OLED display panels and integrated circuit manufacturing [1][2]. - The project aims to transition photoresist technology from laboratory settings to large-scale production, addressing the 8K ultra-high-definition panel production and covering process requirements from 90nm to 14nm [2]. Group 2: Innovation and Research - An innovation center has been established with a research team led by over 20 PhDs, focusing on high-resolution photoresist formulations and precision coating processes, with 15 patents already applied for [2]. - Some product performance metrics have reached international standards, indicating a significant advancement in domestic photoresist technology [2]. Group 3: Future Industry Expo - The 2026 Future Industries New Materials Expo will take place in Shanghai from June 10 to June 12, featuring over 800 exhibitors and expecting more than 100,000 professional visitors [5][6]. - The expo will cover an exhibition area of 50,000 square meters, with over 200 research institutions and 5,000 capital and terminal participants expected to attend [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has established itself as a leading domestic player in the PCB photoresist market and is expanding into the photovoltaic adhesive and broader semiconductor sectors, indicating significant growth potential in the domestic semiconductor materials market [1] Group 1: Market Position and Competition - The current market for traditional photoresists, including PCB, display, and integrated circuit photoresists, is predominantly controlled by Japanese and Korean companies, with over 50% of the PCB photoresist market still held by Japanese firms, highlighting a substantial opportunity for domestic alternatives [1] - The company has achieved steady growth in the PCB photoresist segment and is strategically expanding into photovoltaic adhesives and other semiconductor-related fields [1] Group 2: Production and Development - The company’s Longnan base has begun trial production, and ongoing optimization of production capacity and assets is expected to enhance operational efficiency and market development [1] - Continuous improvements in operational and research capabilities are anticipated to further support the company's business growth in relevant sectors [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7][10]. Core Views - The company reported steady growth in performance, with a revenue of 2.52 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 490 million yuan, up 12.7% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 470 million yuan, an increase of 32.6% year-on-year [5][10]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 870 million yuan, which is a 2.4% increase year-on-year and an 8.8% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 140 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 25.0% [5][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, with a net profit of 490 million yuan and a net profit after deducting non-recurring items of 470 million yuan. The average selling price of electronic chemicals increased by 19.5% year-on-year, indicating a rise in high-value product sales [5][10]. - The company’s electronic chemicals segment saw production of 14,000 tons and sales of 13,000 tons, with year-on-year changes of +11.8% and +8.1%, respectively [10]. Business Segments - The special rubber additives business remained stable, while the electronic chemicals segment continued to grow. The company’s electronic chemicals business includes semiconductor photoresists and related reagents, display photoresists, electronic resins, and CMP polishing pads [10]. - The company holds a 96.3% stake in semiconductor photoresist leader Beijing Kehua, which generated nearly 200 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, marking a growth of over 50% year-on-year [10]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in special rubber additives and photoresists in China, with a strong focus on enhancing core competitiveness in the automotive tire rubber chemicals sector. The sales volume of automotive tire rubber chemicals increased by over 1,000 tons in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.5% [10]. - The company aims to deepen strategic cooperation with leading domestic tire manufacturers and accelerate its global expansion, particularly in high-end markets in Europe and America [10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a "Buy" rating, with projected net profits of 650 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 970 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10].

Core Viewpoint - Guangxin Materials held a performance briefing on November 4, 2025, discussing its business operations, core business progress, and future strategic plans with investors [1] Business Progress - The company has developed environmentally friendly graphene water-based coatings and solvent-free high-solid coatings for the marine anti-corrosion market, which have passed NORSOK M-501 standard testing and some customer site tests. These products are applicable to high-end marine equipment such as offshore oil and gas platforms and wave energy generation equipment. The company expects to achieve bulk sales in strategic core markets between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026 [2] Capacity and Performance - The Longnan base achieved over 150 million in revenue in the first three quarters of 2025. The company reported a net loss of 4.77 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to lower-than-expected revenue from photovoltaic BC battery insulation glue, fixed asset depreciation from the Longnan base, and impairment losses from the sale of a subsidiary. However, excluding credit and asset impairments, the company showed slight operational profitability [3] Strategic Focus - The company has been divesting loss-making assets such as Shenzhen Lejian and Hunan Sunshine to optimize its structure and reduce operational costs. The sale of a subsidiary for 9.8 million is part of this strategy. The company emphasizes that these transactions will not significantly impact production operations. The photolithography and related materials segment is benefiting from PCB market growth driven by AI and robotics, with a focus on providing cost-effective solutions. The company has completed a refinancing process for specific stock issuance in 2024 and currently has no other refinancing plans [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.655 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 351 million yuan, up 12.07% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 799 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 191 million yuan, growing 13.05% year-on-year [2] Business Performance - The electronic materials segment generated revenue of 442 million yuan, accounting for over 26% of total revenue. The semiconductor photoresist segment saw a revenue of nearly 200 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 50% [3] - The display materials photoresist business achieved revenue of 180 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, with a market share of approximately 29%, maintaining the position of the second-largest supplier in China [3] - The CMP polishing pad business has successfully commenced mass production, with an annual production capacity of 250,000 advanced polishing pads for semiconductor chips [4] - The company is making progress in producing resin for photoresists, with stable production of high-end I-line photoresist resin and increasing output and quality of KrF photoresist resin [4] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in the photoresist market due to ongoing capacity investments and rapid growth in advanced processes. The domestic substitution process is accelerating amid international trade frictions [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.592 billion, 4.238 billion, and 5.187 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.85%, 17.98%, and 22.38% respectively. Net profits are projected to be 560 million, 683 million, and 883 million yuan, with growth rates of 8.34%, 21.97%, and 29.37% respectively [5]