Hansen称："在铜市，我们看到回调时的低位逐渐抬高，这表明有买家在等待入场，他们并不打算等到 跌幅更大时才行动。" 美国股市周三上涨，从最近的大跌中收复一些失地，投资者在备受瞩目的Nvidia季度财报发布前调整仓 位。 铜价仍受助于全球矿场运营干扰引发的供应担忧。 美国自由港麦克默伦铜金矿公司周二表示，计划在2026年7月前恢复印尼格拉斯伯格矿的生产，与此前 预期一致。该矿在9月发生泥石流，导致停产。 LME三个月期铅表现不佳，下跌8.5美元，或0.42%，收报每吨2,015.0美元，盘中稍早触及两周来最低水 平。 11月19日（周三），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜回升，一些投资者认为近期价格回落是一个很好的 买入点，与此同时，股市企稳，且铜市仍担忧供应。 伦敦时间11月19日17:00(北京时间11月20日01:00)，LME三个月期铜上涨33美元，或0.31%，收报每吨 10,752.5美元。 | | 11月19日 LIE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金屋 | 收盘价 | 张跃 张跌幅 | | 三个月期铜 | | 10,752.50 ↑ +33.00 ...

11月18日（周二），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜连续第三个交易日下滑，盘中触及近两周来的最低 点，工业金属在风险资产的大范围抛售中受到冲击，风险资产抛售的导火索是对科技行业估值过高的担 忧和美联储降息希望的消退。 交易商还在等待周四公布的美国9月份就业数据，该数据因政府关门而推迟。 经纪商Marex在一份报告中称："在人工智能的影响和对美联储下一步行动的疑虑下，风险偏好不太可 能有明显改善。" 其他基本金属中，LME三个月期铝下跌33.5美元，或1.19%，收报每吨2,780.0美元，也是连续第三天下 跌，盘中创下10月21日以来的最低点。 由于担心矿山供应，铜价10月29日创下的11,200美元历史最高点，之后回落约4.3%。但一位交易商认 为，最近的下跌是 "修正"，而不是人工智能泡沫破裂。 矿业公司自由港麦克莫兰公司(Freeport-McMoRan)周二表示，计划从2026年第二季度起重启印尼 Grasberg矿区的块状崩落法开采作业，该计划符合此前指引。此前该矿区因一起致命事故于9月停产。 根据分阶段计划，自由港预计2026年旗下自由港印尼公司（PT Freeport Indonesia）的铜金总 ...

11月17日（周一），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜连续第二个交易日下跌，受累于美元略微走强、美 联储再次降息的希望减弱以及一系列宏观担忧。 LME现货铜较三个月期铜每吨贴水29美元，表明短期需求并不迫切。 不过，现货锌较三个月期锌每吨升水100美元，凸显出供应吃紧，LME锌库存不足4万吨。 伦敦时间11月17日17:00(北京时间11月18日01:00)LME三个月期铜下跌73.5美元，或0.68%，收报每吨 10,778.5美元。 LME三个月期铝下跌45美元，或1.57%，收报每吨2,813.5美元，此前触及10月23日以来最低。一位交易 商称："铝价一直在大幅上涨，现在人们可能认为这是做空的好价格。"期铝11月3日触及2,920美元的 2022年5月以来高位。 | | 11月17日 LIE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金屋 | 收盘价 | 张跃 张肤幅 | | 三个月期铜 | | 10,778.50 - - 73.50 -0.68% | | 三个月期铝 | 2.813.50 | -45.00 ↓ -1.57% | | 三个月期锌 | 2,994.00 ...

11月12日（周三），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜上扬，受美国政府停摆预期结束的乐观情绪支撑。 交易商表示，美国经济数据的预期恢复将为本周的价格提供支撑，这些数据应有助于投资者和美联储判 断美国经济状况。 美联储的利率决定将决定美元的走向，美元走软将使以美元计价的金属对其他货币的持有者来说更加便 宜。 其他方面，LME注册仓库的锌库存接近2023年2月以来的最低水平。LME三个月期锌上涨8.5美元，或 0.28%，收报每吨3,075.0美元。 另外，花旗（citi）的铜消费追踪机构公布的最新数据显示，今年9月，全球铜消费同比温和增长1%。 花旗在对截至10月的制造业指标的分析中称，9月数据显示，中国以外地区消费量较去年同期增长了 2%。 数据来源：文华财经 美国众议院将于周三就一项妥协方案进行投票，该方案将恢复对政府机构的拨款，并结束始于10月1日 的停摆。 （文华综合） 伦敦时间11月12日17:00(北京时间11月13日01:00)，LME三个月期铜上涨117美元，或1.08%，收报每吨 10,944.0美元。由于包括印尼事故在内的矿山供应中断造成的供应短缺，铜价在上个月创下了11,200美 元的历史新高 ...

Group 1 - LME copper prices increased by $31, or 0.29%, closing at $10,827.00 per ton on November 11, 2023, influenced by weak employment data and a declining dollar [1][2] - The year-to-date increase in LME copper prices is 23%, with a record high of $11,200 per ton reached on October 29, 2023 [4] - The U.S. Senate approved a compromise plan to restore federal funding, which is expected to end the government shutdown, positively impacting financial markets and industrial metals [4][5] Group 2 - Codelco, Chile's state-owned copper company, reported a 7% decrease in production in September, contributing to upward pressure on copper prices [5] - Deutsche Bank raised its year-end price forecast for copper to $10,500 per ton, aluminum to $2,900 per ton, and zinc to $3,000 per ton, while lowering nickel's forecast to $15,000 per ton [6] - Indonesia's Trade Ministry reported a 53.89% year-on-year decrease in refined tin exports in October, indicating potential supply constraints [7]

Group 1 - LME copper prices reached a 17-month high due to signs of easing global trade tensions and strong economic growth expectations, with three-month copper rising by $66.5 to $11,029.0 per ton [1] - The three-month aluminum price increased by $15.5 to $2,874.5 per ton, while zinc rose by $29.5 to $3,055.0 per ton, indicating a positive trend in base metal prices [2][7] - A recent survey of 30 industry analysts projected an increase in average copper prices, estimating 2025 LME spot copper at $9,752 per ton, up from previous estimates [6] Group 2 - The Chinese economy showed signs of strengthening, with September industrial profit growth being the fastest in nearly two years, which may enhance demand for industrial metals [4] - The weakening of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan made dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for Chinese buyers, although the copper premium in China has decreased, indicating a slower purchasing pace [5] - Zinc inventories in LME registered warehouses have dropped to 37,050 tons, the lowest level since March 2023, reflecting supply concerns [8]

Group 1 - LME copper futures rose by $108, closing at $10,962 per ton [1] - LME aluminum futures fell by $4, closing at $2,859 per ton [1] - LME zinc futures increased by $8, closing at $3,026 per ton [1] - LME lead futures gained $6, closing at $2,016 per ton [1] - LME nickel futures decreased by $2, closing at $15,361 per ton [1] - LME tin futures rose by $30, closing at $35,802 per ton [1] - LME cobalt futures remained unchanged, closing at $48,570 per ton [1]

Group 1: Aluminum Market Insights - LME three-month aluminum prices reached a three-year high due to concerns over potential supply shortages following an incident at an Icelandic smelter [1] - Century Aluminum announced a temporary halt in production at its Grundartangi smelter, reducing output by approximately two-thirds, although one production line remains operational [4] - The International Aluminum Institute reported a 0.9% year-on-year increase in global primary aluminum production in September, totaling 6.08 million tons [4] Group 2: Other Base Metals Performance - LME three-month copper prices increased by $39.5, or 0.37%, closing at $10,663 per ton, driven by speculative buying [2][4] - LME three-month zinc prices rose by $41, or 1.37%, closing at $3,029 per ton, with spot zinc prices reaching a record high premium of $320 per ton over three-month zinc due to an 85% reduction in LME inventories this year [5][6]

Group 1: Oil Market - The recent rise in oil prices is attributed to technical corrections and supportive inventory data, with U.S. crude oil inventories decreasing by approximately 4.2 million barrels, reaching the lowest level since the end of September [3] - Despite the short-term rebound, the overall trend indicates a potential for a third consecutive month of price decline due to ongoing supply surplus concerns [3] - Additional factors influencing the market include potential trade agreements between the U.S. and India, which may reduce Indian imports of Russian oil, and U.S. Treasury Secretary's comments on increasing sanctions against Russia [3] Group 2: Gold Market - The significant drop in gold prices, marking the worst decline in 12 years, is primarily due to technical selling after a period of being overbought since early September [4] - Analysts suggest that the recent volatility should not deter long-term investors, as there is an expectation for gold to regain momentum in the following year [5] - The focus for long-term investors should be on maintaining key support levels rather than reacting to short-term price fluctuations [5] Group 3: Copper Market - Copper prices increased by 0.37% to $10,663 per ton, influenced by trade policy concerns, particularly regarding potential restrictions on software exports by the U.S. government [5] - The market's reaction to policy changes highlights the importance of understanding the broader supply and demand dynamics rather than making decisions based on short-term price movements [5] - Long-term investment strategies should focus on sustainable supply-demand factors rather than temporary market fluctuations [5]

Core Insights - LME copper prices increased by $87, or 0.82%, closing at $10,691.5 per ton, driven by a rebound in the stock market and strong industrial output data from China [1][4] - The industrial value-added in China for September grew by 6.5% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points compared to August, and increased by 0.64% month-on-month [4] - Other base metals also saw price increases, with LME zinc rising by $45, or 1.53%, to $2,978.5 per ton [4] Market Data - LME three-month copper: $10,691.50, up $87.00 (+0.82%) [2] - LME three-month aluminum: $2,776.50, down $1.00 (-0.04%) [2] - LME three-month zinc: $2,978.50, up $45.00 (+1.53%) [2] - LME three-month lead: $1,988.50, up $18.50 (+0.94%) [2] - LME three-month nickel: $15,222.00, up $96.00 (+0.63%) [2] - LME three-month tin: $35,304.00, up $267.00 (+0.76%) [2] Supply Dynamics - LME zinc inventory dropped to 37,325 tons, the lowest level since March 2023 [5] - LME spot zinc premium surged to $230.29 per ton, the highest level since 1997, indicating tight short-term supply [5]