证券研究报告·公司点评报告·水泥 冀东水泥（000401） 2025 年中报点评：上半年大幅减亏，核心市 场战略布局进一步强化 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,235 | 25,287 | 25,741 | 26,298 | 26,766 | | 同比（%） | (18.26) | (10.44) | 1.80 | 2.16 | 1.78 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (1,482.26) | (991.02) | 274.54 | 593.49 | 879.23 | | 同比（%） | (209.17) | 33.14 | 127.70 | 116.18 | 48.15 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.56) | (0.37) | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.33 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (8.84) | (13.22) | 47.74 | 22.08 ...

Group 1 - The company conducted a specific investor survey on September 1, 2025, discussing key issues such as the 2025 semi-annual performance and cement price dynamics with ten institutions including CICC and Guotai Junan [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 11.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with cement and clinker revenue at 9.18 billion yuan, aggregates at 750 million yuan, and hazardous waste disposal at 360 million yuan [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was -150 million yuan, but it reduced losses by approximately 650 million yuan, achieving a loss reduction rate of 80.9% [1] Group 2 - The company is steadily advancing capacity replacement and addressing overproduction, with local provincial announcements completed for several plants [2] - Following a price decline due to high temperatures and rainy seasons in July and early August, the company expects a nationwide price increase for cement starting in September, particularly in key regions [2]

证券代码：000401 证券简称：冀东水泥 | | 2025 年上半年，公司实现危固废处置收入 3.65 亿元，毛利率约 28%。废弃物收集量 | | --- | --- | | | 较去年同期提升 55%，废弃物处置量同比提升 38%。 | | | 5.下半年，公司核心区域市场水泥价格如何展望？ | | | 7 月-8 月上旬受高温雨季影响价格下滑，8 月中旬开始，为改善盈利，长 | | | 江流域、东北、冀中南、河南、山东等地率先开始推动价格复苏，预计 9 月份 | | | 开始全国水泥价格将呈现普涨的态势。 | | 附件清单（如 | | | 有） | | | 日期 | 2025 年 9 月 2 日 | 唐山冀东水泥股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-004 | | √特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | 中金公司、国泰海通、长江证券、方正证券、西部证券、申万建材、广发证券、高盛投行、 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but a significant increase in net profit, indicating a potential recovery in profitability despite challenging market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 41.292 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.368 billion yuan, an increase of 31.34% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company generated revenue of 22.240 billion yuan, down 8.24% year-on-year, but net profit rose by 40.26% to 2.557 billion yuan [1]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.20%, an increase of 6.27 percentage points year-on-year, driven by price recovery and lower coal costs [1]. Group 2: Segment Performance - The company's self-produced cement and clinker sales volume was 12.6 million tons in the first half of 2025, a slight decline of 0.35% year-on-year, while the national cement production fell by 4.3% to 815 million tons [1]. - The aggregate and manufactured sand business saw revenue of 2.112 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.63%, with a gross margin of 43.87%, down 3.97 percentage points [1]. - The ready-mixed concrete segment experienced revenue growth of 28.86% to 1.519 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 11.40%, up 2.98 percentage points [1]. Group 3: Cost and Profitability Metrics - The company reported a comprehensive revenue per ton of cement and clinker products at 243 yuan, an increase of 4 yuan year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 174 yuan, a decrease of 14 yuan [1]. - The gross profit per ton was 70 yuan, up 18 yuan year-on-year, and the net profit per ton was 35 yuan, an increase of 8 yuan [1]. - The company's expense ratio for the first half of 2025 was 10.69%, up 1.16 percentage points year-on-year, with specific increases in sales and management expenses [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 9.328 billion, 10.503 billion, and 11.765 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14, 12, and 11 times based on the stock price as of August 29 [2]. - The cement industry has seen a continuous decline in prices since Q2, but there is an expectation for stabilization due to improved collaboration among major companies in the current "anti-involution" environment [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but achieved profitability, indicating a trend towards high-quality growth in its core business segments [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved a main business revenue of 83.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.36 billion yuan, aligning with prior forecasts [1]. - In 2Q25, revenue reached 46.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, with a net profit of 1.88 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 670 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The company’s basic building materials segment reported a revenue of 37.20 billion yuan in 1H25, down 8.8%, but turned a profit with a total profit of 160 million yuan, reflecting a gross margin increase of 7.3 percentage points to 16.1% [1][2]. Group 2: Segment Performance - The basic building materials division saw a significant drop in cement sales volume by 14.1% to 97.78 million tons, but the average price of cement and clinker increased by 3.6% to 249.8 yuan per ton [1][2]. - The new materials division generated revenue of 26.76 billion yuan in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, with a gross margin of 23.3%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points [2]. - The engineering services division reported revenue of 21.31 billion yuan in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, but faced a decline in gross margin by 2.6 percentage points to 16.0% [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects continued improvement in the basic building materials sector due to anticipated infrastructure investment and supply-side measures [2]. - The company maintains a positive outlook for its new materials segment, particularly in specialty fiber cloth, which is expected to drive growth [1][3]. - The profit forecast for the company for 2025-2027 is set at 4.2 billion, 5.1 billion, and 6.1 billion yuan respectively, with an estimated EPS of 0.55, 0.68, and 0.80 yuan [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Views - The company's main business in building materials shows stable profitability, while investments in new economies add growth momentum [3]. - The company reported a significant improvement in Q1 performance, driven by dual engines of core business and new economic investments [3]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the cement industry in East China, with advantages in brand, technology, regional layout, and cost control [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.272 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.02%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 44.53% to 247 million yuan [3]. - The sales volume of cement in H1 2025 was 7.0308 million tons, down 3.10% year-on-year, with an average selling price up 0.34% [3]. - The gross profit margin for cement and clinker improved due to a 23% year-on-year decrease in coal prices, with H2 2025 expected to see a gross margin of 31.80%, up 6.38 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company’s new economic equity investment business generated investment income of 4.02 million yuan in H1 2025, focusing on the semiconductor and new materials industries [3]. - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 476 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.99%, indicating a strong cash flow position [3]. Future Outlook - The company has a five-year development plan (2025-2029) focusing on a business structure of "one main and two wings," which includes cement and building materials as the main business, and extending the industrial chain and new economic equity investments as the two wings [3]. - The company expects steady growth in performance, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 700.65 million, 790.57 million, and 876.95 million yuan respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.72, 0.82, and 0.90 yuan [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Jinyu Group Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, with a total revenue of 45.57 billion yuan and a net loss of 1.5 billion yuan, indicating challenges in both its core and real estate businesses [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 45.57 billion yuan, with main business revenue at 45.22 billion yuan [1] - Total profit was -1.33 billion yuan, and net profit attributable to shareholders was -1.5 billion yuan [1] - The new green building materials segment generated 40.49 billion yuan in main business revenue, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, but reported a loss of 590 million yuan, although this was an improvement of 40.8% year-on-year [1] - Cement and clinker sales reached 37.38 million tons, a decrease of 2.1% year-on-year, with a cement sales volume of 32.46 million tons [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for cement and clinker was 20.71%, an increase of 10.35 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Concrete business saw a new capacity of 9.23 million cubic meters, with sales of 7.27 million cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 35.1%, and a gross margin of 9.24% [1] - The new materials segment achieved revenue of 6.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, with a gross margin of 15%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2: Real Estate and Development - The real estate segment reported revenue of 5.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 51.4%, with a loss of 740 million yuan, worsening by 660 million yuan year-on-year [1] - The company emphasized a strategy of "stabilizing profits, securing cash flow, and adjusting structure" in its development business [2] - Sales area reached 328,200 square meters, a year-on-year increase of 12%, while business revenue was 3.66 billion yuan, down 58.5% year-on-year [2] - The recognized area was 264,000 square meters, a decrease of 32% year-on-year, with a cumulative contract signing amount of 6.82 billion yuan, up 29% [2] - Cash collection amounted to 6.493 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13% [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a land reserve of 5.63 million square meters [2] Group 3: Other Business Segments - The quality of hotel and resort operations continued to improve, and the operational efficiency of the technology and cultural creative park increased [2] - The company won the property service project for the National Trust Innovation Park Phase I, adding a management area of 635,000 square meters [2] - The total area of high-end office buildings, commercial properties, and industrial parks held by the company was 2.654 million square meters, with an average occupancy rate of 77% [2] - In the core area of Beijing, the company held 725,000 square meters of grade B or above high-end investment properties, with an average occupancy rate of 85% and an average rental price of 8.5 yuan per square meter per day [2]

Core Viewpoint - Western Cement (02233) has seen a significant stock price increase of over 4%, reaching HKD 2.73, with a trading volume of HKD 97.76 million following the release of its interim results [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported revenue of RMB 5.418 billion, a year-on-year increase of 46.4% [1] - The profit attributable to the owners of the company was RMB 748 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 93.4% [1] - Cement and clinker sales increased by 23.6% year-on-year to 10.82 million tons [1] Market Dynamics - Sales in the Chinese market decreased by 8.3% to 6.65 million tons, while overseas sales surged by 178% to 4.17 million tons [1] Strategic Expansion - The company is expected to complete the acquisition of the Cimenteriede Lukala (CILU) plant in Kinshasa, Congo, by the second half of 2025, which will extend its market presence in Western Congo [1] - Additionally, the company plans to complete its cement and grinding capacity construction in Uganda by the first half of 2026, enhancing its position as a major cement producer in East Africa south of the Sahara [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's profitability is expected to improve as industry policies are anticipated to strengthen, leading to a continued recovery in the cement sector [3][9] - The company has demonstrated cost leadership during downturns and is expanding its operations, providing new growth momentum [9] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 41.292 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.368 billion yuan, an increase of 31.3% [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.24 yuan per share, accounting for 29% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [8] - The company's cement and clinker sales volume was 126 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.4% year-on-year, indicating a stable market position [8] - The average selling price per ton of cement increased by 4 yuan to 244 yuan, with gross profit per ton rising by 18 yuan to 70 yuan, benefiting from industry self-discipline and improved demand [8] - The company's gross margin for Q2 was 27.2%, reflecting a significant improvement compared to previous quarters [8] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 8.287 billion yuan, an increase of 1.416 billion yuan year-on-year, primarily due to improved profitability and reduced costs [3] - Capital expenditures were reduced by 19% year-on-year to approximately 62.1 billion yuan, indicating a continued contraction in capital spending [3] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the cement industry is likely to continue its recovery due to strengthened self-discipline and favorable policies, with expectations for improved profitability [9] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand and price stability in the second half of the year [9]

Core Insights - The company reported a mid-year revenue of approximately RMB 45.566 billion for 2025, showing a slight year-on-year growth of about 0.01% [1] - The net loss attributable to shareholders was approximately RMB 1.496 billion, representing a significant year-on-year increase of about 85.4% [1] - The basic loss per share, excluding other equity instruments, was approximately RMB 0.19 [1] Segment Summaries New Green Building Materials - The new green building materials segment achieved main business revenue of approximately RMB 40.489 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 14.8% [1] - The segment's gross profit amounted to approximately RMB 3.621 billion, which is a year-on-year increase of about 26.1% [1] Cement Business - The cement business focused on lean operations and initiated a special action to reduce costs and improve efficiency [1] - Cement and clinker sales reached 37.38 million tons (excluding joint ventures), showing a year-on-year decline of 2.1% [1] - The gross profit margin for cement and clinker was 20.7%, an increase of 10.3 percentage points compared to the previous year’s margin of 10.4% [1] Concrete Business - The concrete business implemented a strategy focused on development, sales growth, innovation, risk control, overdue reduction, and cost reduction [2] - The company acquired, leased, and commissioned 10 new sites in Hebei, Shaanxi, Jilin, Tianjin, and Chongqing, adding over 9.23 million cubic meters of capacity [2] - Concrete sales reached 7.27 million cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 35.1%, with a gross profit margin of 9.2%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] New Materials Business - The new materials segment improved its integrated marketing mechanism and expanded its product, solution, and service offerings in high-value sectors such as petrochemicals and new infrastructure [2] - The segment achieved main business revenue of approximately RMB 6.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 6.1% [2] - The gross profit margin for this segment was approximately 15%, showing a year-on-year growth of about 1.3 percentage points [2]