金融工程研究 量化研究 证券研究报告 2026 年 1 月 3 日 湘财证券研究所 基金市场跟踪与 ETF 策略配置月报 1. 《北向资金视角下的ETF轮动》 2022.03.30 行业ETF轮动》 2022.06.28 策略——ETF系列研究》 2024.03.27 研究——ETF系列研究》 2024.12.01 证书编号：S0500522090001 Tel：(8621) 50295307 Email：lizw@xcsc.com 中国人寿金融中心10楼 相关研究： 核心要点： 基金市场跟踪 2. 《基于北向资金与主力资金的 3. 《PB-ROE框架下的ETF轮动 根据 Wind 数据，截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，全市场共存续基金 13617 只， 相较于上月底，数量上升 142 只；基金总资产净值为 36.32 万亿元，上升 3151.15 亿元，基金市场规模持续上升。2025 年 12 月，价值基金指数、平 衡基金指数及成长基金指数收益率分别为 1.14%、2.71%和 3.69%，成长型 基金表现超价值型基金。 ETF 市场跟踪 4. 《资金流在ETF轮动中的应用 根据 Wind 数据，截 ...

1.单日涨幅榜 | 证券代码 | 证券间称 | 单日净值增长率(%) | 近1周回报(%) | 今年以来回报(%) | 基金经理(现任) | 基金规模(亿元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 019143.OF | 东财景气驱动A | 7.97 | 2.12 | 18.3 | 方一航 | 0.15 | | 015789.OF | 永赢高端装备智选A | 7.16 | 6.25 | 64.41 | 张璐 | 11.35 | | 004321.OF | 前海开源户港深强国产业 | 6.24 | 7.98 | 23.71 | 魏淳 | 1.22 | | 018815.OF | 方正富邦核心优势A | 5.55 | 7.21 | 11.77 | 吴 | 0.4 | | 000690.OF | 前海开源大海洋 | 5.31 | 9.18 | 28.81 | 刘宏 | 2.12 | | 018375.OF | 金信景气优选A | 5.08 | 4.36 | 12.48 | 杨超 | 0.07 | | 004666.OF | 长城久嘉创新成长A | 5.04 ...

Core Insights - The expectation for a year-end rally is increasing, but public funds have different strategies for their year-end positioning, with some aiming to preserve gains while others seek to boost returns in the limited time left [2][4] Fund Performance - As of December 5, 22 actively managed equity funds have achieved over 100% returns this year, with 永赢科技智选A leading at 202.13%, followed by 中航机遇领航A at 144.12% [3] - Other high-performing funds include 恒越优选精选A, 中欧数字经济A, and 信澳业绩驱动A, all exceeding 120% returns [3] - Funds focusing on sectors like the Beijing Stock Exchange, Hong Kong stocks, and pharmaceuticals also performed well, with 中信建投北交所精选两年定开A at 101.96% and 中银港股通医药A at 104.47% [3] Year-End Strategies - The top-performing fund, 永赢科技智选A, outperformed the second by over 50 percentage points, but the competition among other high-return funds remains tight [4] - Fund managers are looking to improve rankings in the final trading days, with a focus on achieving significant year-end returns to satisfy both external and internal performance evaluations [5][6] Market Conditions - The difficulty of achieving additional year-end gains is acknowledged due to various market and liquidity factors, with a noted shift from growth to value investing [6][7] - Recent market activity has shown a decline in trading volume, indicating a transition to stock selection rather than broad market movements [6][7] Structural Changes - The market environment is more complex this year, influenced by external factors and a potential shift in risk appetite [7] - Key policy meetings in December may impact market behavior, with historical data suggesting price fluctuations around such events [7][8] - The focus for 2025 is expected to shift towards sectors like technology innovation, consumption upgrades, and high-end manufacturing, while traditional sectors lag behind [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the mixed strategies of public funds as they approach year-end, with some aiming to preserve gains while others seek to boost performance in the limited time remaining [1][3][5] - As of December 5, 22 actively managed equity funds have achieved over 100% annual returns, with the top performer, Yongying Technology Smart A, boasting a return of 202.13% [2][3] - The performance gap between the top funds is significant, with Yongying Technology Smart A outperforming the second-place fund by over 50 percentage points, indicating a competitive landscape for year-end rankings [3][4] Group 2 - The difficulty of achieving additional gains as year-end approaches is emphasized, with market volatility and liquidity concerns being key factors [5][6] - Recent market trends show a shift from high-growth stocks to a focus on valuation and profit quality, influenced by institutional investment patterns [6][7] - The upcoming policy meetings in December are expected to be critical for market movements, with historical data suggesting price fluctuations around these events [7][8] Group 3 - The market is experiencing structural differentiation, with sectors like artificial intelligence, semiconductor equipment, and lithium resources performing well, while traditional real estate and consumer sectors lag [8] - Analysts suggest that the growth trend has room for expansion, but structural shifts and increased volatility are anticipated, with a potential focus on new investment opportunities in the energy and chemical sectors [8]

Group 1 - The article discusses the rising expectations for the year-end market rally, with significant divergence among public funds regarding their strategies for year-end positioning [1][2] - As of December 5, 22 actively managed equity funds have achieved returns exceeding 100% this year, with the highest return being 202.13% from Yongying Technology Smart A [3][4] - The performance ranking shows a significant gap between the top fund and others, indicating a competitive environment among fund managers to improve their rankings before year-end [4][6] Group 2 - There is a notable split in strategies among funds, with some aiming to preserve gains while others seek to capitalize on the year-end rally, reflecting differing performance levels throughout the year [5][6] - The market environment is described as complex, influenced by factors such as year-end liquidity, style rotation, and external disturbances, which may affect the potential for a year-end rally [6][7] - Historical data indicates that the timing of the year-end rally can vary, with the current year being particularly complicated due to external factors and market sentiment [7][8] Group 3 - Key sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductor equipment, and high-end manufacturing are highlighted as areas of focus for future investment, while traditional sectors like real estate and consumer goods are recovering more slowly [8] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring structural shifts in the market, with potential opportunities arising from changes in investment focus and market dynamics [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transformative potential of "hardcore technology" across various sectors, including low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, and deep-sea technology, presenting significant investment opportunities for investors who can understand trends and utilize the right tools [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, with eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft) entering large-scale production [4][5]. - The satellite internet sector is expected to see a market space of 831.3 billion yuan from 2023 to 2027, driven by the urgent need for satellite communication infrastructure [5]. - The humanoid robot market in China could reach 1.6 trillion yuan in industrial manufacturing and 1.9 trillion yuan in service sectors by 2035, indicating a significant growth trajectory [5]. - Deep-sea technology is gaining attention, with government support aimed at high-quality development of the marine economy, marking it as a key area for investment [6]. Group 2: Investment Products - The "空天地海" (Air, Space, Land, Sea) product matrix includes various investment tools such as the General Aviation ETF and Satellite ETF, which are the first and largest in their categories [3][8]. - Active management products like 永赢低碳环保智选A and 永赢高端装备智选A focus on specific sectors within hardcore technology, allowing for targeted investment strategies [3][8]. - The investment strategy emphasizes a combination of passive index funds and actively managed funds to cater to different investor needs and risk profiles [10][12]. Group 3: Market Trends - The military industry has seen a significant increase, with the military index rising over 20% from June to August, indicating a shift towards technology-driven growth rather than speculative trading [4]. - The article highlights the importance of understanding the intersection of "new combat power" and "new productive forces," where military technology converges with civilian markets, creating new investment avenues [4][5]. Group 4: Strategic Insights - The investment approach is based on a forward-looking perspective, focusing on structural opportunities in emerging industries, rather than chasing short-term trends [11][12]. - The investment team combines industry experts and fund managers to ensure informed decision-making based on deep industry insights and market responsiveness [12]. - The commitment to long-term investment and risk management is emphasized as a core principle guiding the investment strategy in hardcore technology [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the investment opportunities in the new era driven by hard-core technology will belong to investors who can understand trends and utilize the right tools [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities in Hard-Core Technology - The article highlights the ongoing technological revolution across "air, space, land, and sea," driven by advancements in low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, and deep-sea technology [1]. - Historical trends indicate that investors who align with national policy directions and industrial transformations can reap significant rewards, similar to past investments in the internet and semiconductor sectors [1]. - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, with eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft) entering large-scale production [6]. - The satellite internet sector is expected to see a market space of 831.3 billion yuan from 2023 to 2027, driven by the need for satellite communication as a foundation for 6G technology [6]. - The humanoid robot market in China is anticipated to reach 1.6 trillion yuan in industrial manufacturing and 1.9 trillion yuan in service sectors by 2035 [6]. - Deep-sea technology is gaining attention, with government support aimed at high-quality development of the marine economy [7]. Group 2: Investment Tools and Strategies - The article discusses the creation of an "air, space, land, and sea" investment matrix by Yongying Fund, which includes six distinct products designed to facilitate investment in these emerging sectors [8][9]. - The matrix consists of both passive index funds and actively managed funds, allowing investors to efficiently target core value segments within the industry [9]. - The index products, such as the General Aviation ETF and Satellite ETF, are the first of their kind in the market, focusing on low-altitude economy and satellite communication respectively [9]. - Active products like Yongying Low Carbon Environmental Selection A and Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Selection A are tailored to capture growth in specific hard-core technology fields [9]. - The investment strategy emphasizes a forward-looking approach, focusing on structural opportunities in emerging industries rather than merely chasing market trends [14][15]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The article concludes with a vision of a future where advancements in eVTOL, humanoid robots, satellite networks, and deep-sea resources significantly transform daily life and economic structures [16]. - Public funds are positioned as key players in supporting national technological independence and industrial upgrades, connecting ordinary investors with capital markets [16].

Core Insights - The transformation of Gao Nan signifies a breakthrough in his career and indicates that "fixed income +" will evolve from a "quasi-financial" tool to a more adaptable mainstream asset class in the market, entering a new phase driven by professional capabilities and differentiated strategies [1][21]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The competitive landscape of the public fund industry is changing, with several funds, including Yongying Fund, experiencing significant growth in active equity fund management scale, with Yongying Fund leading with an increase of 16.433 billion yuan [1][2]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, Yongying Fund's public fund management scale reached 502.651 billion yuan, ranking 23rd in the industry, with mixed funds showing a remarkable increase of 86.54% compared to the end of Q4 2024 [2]. Group 2: Yongying Fund's Performance - Yongying Fund's strategic foresight in product layout has been evident, particularly with the launch of the Yongying Smart Selection series, which focuses on core areas of new productivity, gaining significant market attention [2][3]. - The Yongying Smart Selection series saw substantial growth in Q1 2025, with the Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Smart Selection A fund increasing by 97.56 billion yuan in scale [2][3]. Group 3: Gao Nan's Role and Strategy - Gao Nan, the Chief Investment Officer of Yongying Fund, has adopted a balanced investment style focused on absolute returns, successfully managing both equity and bond funds, with his managed products returning to a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan [5][19]. - Gao Nan's investment strategy emphasizes the ability to continuously generate alpha returns across both equity and bond markets, which may become a core competitive advantage for "fixed income +" funds in the future [21].