Group 1 - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to continue its strong recovery, reaching a scale of $125 billion by 2025, with mainland China becoming the largest market [1] - Domestic semiconductor equipment companies are anticipated to see growth in performance against the backdrop of domestic substitution, with testing machine manufacturers being the core players [1] - The market for testing equipment is rapidly growing due to the penetration of AI, with testing machines expected to account for over 60% of the domestic back-end testing equipment market by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The global testing machine market is dominated by foreign giants, making the adoption of domestic testing equipment an inevitable choice [1] - Changchuan Technology and Huafeng Measurement Control are the main large testing machine manufacturers in China, with Changchuan Technology showing significant advantages in SOC chip testing and expected to see a substantial increase in non-recurring profit in the first half of 2025 [1] - Huafeng Measurement Control has strengths in analog and power chip fields, but its SOC testing machine is still in the validation stage, and its R&D investment is inferior to that of Changchuan Technology [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of the year, 52 A-share companies reported their performance forecasts, with over 60% showing positive results, particularly in the electronics sector where companies like TaiLing Micro, XinDong LianKe, XinPeng Wei, and ChangChuan Technology saw median net profit growth exceeding 80%, with the highest reaching 267% [1] Group 1: TaiLing Micro (688591) - TaiLing Micro's performance surge is attributed to its innovative applications in AIoT, such as low-power Bluetooth chips for smart glasses, enhancing battery life from one charge per day to three [2] - The company secured significant orders from major retail chains by integrating multi-mode chips into electronic price tags, enabling seamless Bluetooth and Wi-Fi switching [2] - With local foundries prioritizing its production, TaiLing Micro's cost has decreased, and its gross margin has soared to 60% [2] Group 2: XinDong LianKe (688582) - XinDong LianKe has successfully penetrated the MEMS sensor market, traditionally dominated by foreign giants, by focusing on high-end applications like attitude sensors for commercial satellites and dynamic measurement for autonomous vehicles [4] - The company has received over 400 million yuan in orders for commercial aerospace and smart driving sectors in the first half of 2025, surpassing its total revenue for the previous year [4] - XinDong LianKe manages the entire process from chip design to packaging, ensuring production stability despite supply chain disruptions, achieving a gross margin of 85% [4] Group 3: XinPeng Wei (688508) - XinPeng Wei excels in the analog chip market, with its products integrated into various applications, including electric vehicle chargers and photovoltaic inverters [5][6] - The company reported a 70% revenue increase in industrial automation and automotive electronics sectors for the first half of 2025, driven by its versatile product strategy [6] - XinPeng Wei benefits from domestic chip policies, leading to a surge in orders for imported alternatives [6] Group 4: ChangChuan Technology (300604) - ChangChuan Technology has capitalized on the booming semiconductor testing equipment market, driven by the global demand for AI chips and HBM storage chips [8] - The company offers competitive pricing, with its testing machines being 30% cheaper than international counterparts while maintaining similar performance [8] - Following a successful fundraising of 3.1 billion yuan, ChangChuan Technology plans to double its production capacity for high-end testing machines, positioning itself strongly in the AI chip testing market [8] Group 5: Industry Insights - The success of these companies stems from their focus on niche markets like AIoT chips and MEMS sensors, allowing them to excel without directly competing with industry giants [9] - Many domestic firms are achieving performance levels comparable to international leaders while offering more attractive pricing [9] - Emerging sectors such as low-altitude economy, AI terminals, and electric vehicles are creating new growth opportunities in the semiconductor industry, benefiting early movers [9]

投资者关系活动 类别 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □其他 参与单位名称及 人员姓名 申万宏源证券、华源证券、上海常青藤资产管理有限公司、 厦门坤易投资管理有限公司、太平养老保险、福建千寻私募 基金管理有限公司、上海兆明资产管理合伙企业（有限合伙）、 上海泉上私募基金有限公司、永赢基金、奇盛基金 时间 2025 年 7 月 2 日 地点 公司会议室 上市公司接待人 员姓名 副总经理兼董事会秘书葛明、子公司业务负责人 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 1、请简要介绍下公司主营业务以及产品的基本情况？ 公司主营业务为全自动平衡机及自动化设备的研发、设 计、生产和销售。公司核心产品全自动平衡机在电机、电动 工具、家用电器、泵、风机、汽车、化工、高铁、电力、船 舶和航空航天等行业领域得到使用。由于平衡机的市场应用 广泛，近年来公司积累了上千家客户，本身也具备工程研发 能力，公司利用客户群体优势围绕平衡主业进行了由点到面 的外延式拓展，自主开发了电机的自动化生产线以及校直机 证券代码：300553 证券简称：集智股份 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-005 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a focus on the technology sector for investment opportunities, particularly in growth stocks, as the market index has shown upward momentum [2][6]. - The report outlines a selection of ten key stocks, highlighting their respective industries, market capitalizations, earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2026 and 2027 [2][68]. Group 1: Key Stock Recommendations - **Neway Valve (603699.SH)**: A leading global industrial valve manufacturer, benefiting from a surge in LNG and marine engineering sectors, with expected overseas order growth of over 50% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [11][12]. - **Yongxing Environmental (601033.SH)**: The sole operator of waste incineration in Guangzhou, with a projected capacity utilization rate of 79% and a commitment to high dividends, expecting a 174% increase in free cash flow in 2024 [17][18]. - **Aerospace Electronics (600879.SH)**: Focused on aerospace electronics and unmanned systems, with anticipated high growth driven by the commercial space industry and demand for satellite communication technologies [26][27]. - **Miaokelando (600882.SH)**: Positioned for long-term growth in the dairy sector, with a focus on product innovation and cost management, expecting significant revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [31][32]. - **Laopu Gold (6181.HK)**: A high-end gold jewelry brand with strong revenue growth, projected to achieve 8.51 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, benefiting from the expanding market for traditional gold products [36][38]. - **Jingzhida (688627.SH)**: Engaged in the semiconductor testing equipment sector, with significant market potential and expected strong performance due to key customer orders [42][43]. - **Shensanda A (000032.SZ)**: Positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI infrastructure and applications, with a strong foothold in public data services [47][48]. - **Sanqi Interactive (002555.SZ)**: Anticipating strong performance from new game releases, particularly the upcoming "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World," with high player interest [53][56]. - **CATL (300750.SZ)**: Expected to maintain strong profit growth, with projected net profits of 66.1 billion yuan in 2025, driven by increasing demand for electric vehicle batteries [59][60]. - **Borui Pharmaceutical (688166.SH)**: Forecasted to achieve net profits of 2.6 billion yuan in 2025, with significant potential in the Amylin pipeline, which has attracted substantial investment interest [63][64]. Group 2: Financial Data Overview - The report provides detailed financial forecasts for the ten key stocks, including projected revenues and net profits for 2025 to 2027, highlighting the growth potential across various sectors [68]. - For instance, Neway Valve is expected to generate 74.53 billion yuan in revenue in 2025, with a net profit of 14.49 billion yuan, reflecting strong operational performance [68]. - CATL's projected revenue for 2025 is 472.43 billion yuan, with a net profit forecast of 66.13 billion yuan, indicating robust growth in the electric vehicle battery market [68].

| 华安研究 2025年7月金股组合 | 归母净利润 | （百万 | ） | 归母净利润增速 | 营业收入 | （百万） | 营业收入增速 | eps | pe(pb有说明 | ) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业 | 金股代码 | 金股 | 核心推荐逻辑 | 风险提示 | 研究员 | 报告依据 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Changchuan Technology, is experiencing explosive growth in its performance, with a projected profit of 360 million to 420 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.54% to 95.46% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.642 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 105.15% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 458 million yuan, showing a staggering year-on-year growth of 915.14% [5] - In the first quarter of this year, net profit surged by 2623.82% to 111 million yuan, attributed to strong market demand and effective cost control [6] Group 2: Industry Position and Challenges - Changchuan Technology is a leading enterprise in China's integrated circuit testing equipment sector, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of specialized equipment [4] - The company aims to promote technological upgrades and import substitution in the domestic semiconductor equipment industry [4] - Despite strong performance, the company faces challenges such as project delays, regulatory warnings, and a low domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate of only 13.6% [2][7] Group 3: R&D Investment and Future Plans - The company plans to invest 3.84 billion yuan in a semiconductor equipment R&D project focusing on the iteration of testing machines and AOI equipment, with a long implementation period of five years [7] - R&D investment has significantly increased from 25 million yuan in 2016 to 967 million yuan in 2024, with R&D accounting for 28.14% of revenue [10] - The company has over 1,000 authorized patents, including more than 350 invention patents, and its products are integrated into the supply chains of major domestic and international companies [10] Group 4: Previous Project Delays and Regulatory Issues - The company has faced delays in previous fundraising projects, particularly a 260 million yuan project for probe station R&D, which has been postponed twice [9][11] - The Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a warning letter to the company for issues related to premature revenue recognition, improper management of raised funds, and inadequate sales internal controls [11]

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co., Ltd. has announced its largest refinancing plan since its listing, aiming to raise no more than 3.132 billion yuan, with significant investments directed towards semiconductor equipment R&D and working capital [1][10]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a profit of 360 million to 420 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 67.54% to 95.46% [2]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.642 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 105.15%, and a net profit of 458 million yuan, up 915.14% [7]. - In Q1 of this year, net profit surged by 2623.82% to 111 million yuan, attributed to strong market demand and effective cost control [9]. Group 2: R&D and Market Position - Changchuan Technology is a leading player in China's integrated circuit testing equipment sector, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of specialized equipment [6]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment from 25 million yuan in 2016 to 967 million yuan in 2024, a nearly 40-fold increase, with R&D accounting for 28.14% of revenue in 2024 [13]. - The company holds over 1,000 authorized patents, including more than 350 invention patents, and its products are integrated into the supply chains of major domestic and international companies [13]. Group 3: Challenges and Regulatory Issues - Despite impressive financial results, the company faces challenges, including delays in previous fundraising projects and a low domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate of 13.6% [3][10]. - The company has encountered regulatory warnings due to issues such as premature revenue recognition and mismanagement of raised funds, leading to warnings issued to top executives [14].

Core Viewpoint - Changchuan Technology (300604.SZ) is expected to see significant growth in its net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 360 million to 420 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 67.54% to 95.46% [3][4]. Financial Performance - The projected net profit for the first half of 2025 is close to the total net profit for the entire year of 2024, suggesting that Changchuan Technology is on track to achieve a historical high in net profit for 2025 [6]. - The company's first-quarter growth rate exceeded 2,500%, although this was influenced by a low base from the previous year [5]. Industry Context - The semiconductor testing equipment industry has shown sustained growth since 2024, with Changchuan Technology being a key player in the domestic market [7][9]. - The company has successfully supplied its products to major integrated circuit firms, contributing to the import substitution of testing machines and sorting machines [15]. Product and Market Position - Changchuan Technology's core business focuses on sample and finished product testing, with approximately 90% of its revenue in 2024 coming from testing machines and sorting machines [13]. - The company is also attempting to make breakthroughs in the probe station sector, although progress has been slow, with project timelines extended to the end of 2025 [16]. Competitive Landscape - The high-end testing machine market is still dominated by foreign companies, with major players holding over 66% market share in 2024 [15]. - Other domestic competitors in the testing machine sector include Huafeng Measurement Control and Liandong Technology, both of which have also reported significant growth in net profit [19][20]. Future Outlook - The overall outlook for domestic semiconductor testing equipment companies remains positive, with many expected to achieve record highs in performance within the year [28].

但令人遗憾的是，上次定增项目中的探针台研发及产业化项目在推进过程中并不顺利，已两次延期。先 是在 2024 年 4 月，公司发布公告称将该项目预计达到可使用状态时间延长至 2024年12 月31日，同时调 减该项目拟使用募集资金金额，并将剩余部分资金变更用于其他项目。到了 2024 年 12 月，公司再度发 布公告，将该项目预计达到可使用状态时间进一步延长至2025年12 月31日。项目的一再延期，不仅反 映出公司在项目管理与执行方面可能存在问题，也让投资者对公司募集资金的使用效率产生了较大质 疑。 在资本市场的舞台上，每一次融资举动都如同投入湖面的巨石，激起层层涟漪，引发投资者与市场的密 切关注。近日，长川科技（维权）（抛出的一项规模高达31.32亿元的定增计划，创下公司上市以来最 大融资纪录。然而，诸多问题也随之浮出水面，有待解答。 长川科技于6月24日晚间发布的定增预案显示，此次拟定增募集资金总额不超过31.32亿元。其中，21.92 亿元将用于半导体设备研发项目，占比约七成；剩余 9.4亿元则用于补充流动资金。从发行对象来看， 不超过35名投资者。定价基准日为发行期首日，发行价格不低于定价基准日前20 ...

证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 6 月 26 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、产业综合组： 长川科技，主要从事半导体测试机业务，公布了 2025 年半年度业绩预告，今年 上半年，实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润盈利 3.6-4.2 亿元，比上年同期增长 67.5%至 95.5%。实现扣除非经常性损益后的净利润盈利 2.9 至 3.5 亿元，比上 年同期增长 39.1%至 67.9%。按公告的盈利预测中值计算，二季度单季度公司净 利润 2.8 亿元，环比增长 160%，同比增长 32.3%。从公告看，公司业绩增长的主 要原因在于集成电路行业增长迅速，客户需求旺盛， 同时公司高端测试设备产 品获得行业认可，客户开拓进展顺利。目前国内半导体国产替代进展顺利，但国 产设备相对于进口设备还有较大升级空间，因此我们对于能够持续升级测试设备 性能的公司，长期前景持续看好。 风险提示： 对上述事件发展趋势的点评，存在由于经济增长、行业竞争、外部经济环境和政 策等变化，而不如预期的可能。 第一创业证券研究所 分析师：李怀军 证书编号：S1080510120001 电话：010-63197789 ...