基础化工 | 橡胶 北交所|公司点评报告 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 27 日 证券分析师 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | | 月 | 年 | 25 | 08 | | 2025 | 日 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | 27.30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 一 年 高 低 | 最 | | | | | | | | | | | 33.01/7.01 | | 内 | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,464.89 | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | ...

Core Insights - Fujian Naxin Silicon Industry Co., Ltd. has invested 510 million yuan and is set to commence production in October 2024, focusing on products such as fumed silica and silicone rubber, with an annual output of over 40,000 tons of organic silicone rubber [1] - The company achieved an order volume exceeding 6,000 tons and a production value of nearly 120 million yuan in the first quarter [1] - Naxin Silicon has become a leading enterprise in the silicone industry in Ninghua County, generating an annual output value of 600 million yuan and serving over 1,000 downstream customers nationwide [1] Company Overview - Naxin Silicon is the first silicone rubber enterprise in Ninghua County, providing raw materials for local companies such as Ninghua Shidai and Sanpu [1] - The company is part of a broader industrial chain, which includes 12 other enterprises attracted to the region, with 9 already in operation [1] - The main industrial chain for silicone-based new materials has been established, with an expected output value of 358 million yuan in 2024 and over 500 million yuan once all 12 projects are operational [1] Industry Development - Ninghua County has adopted a "one area, multiple parks" model to develop a provincial-level overseas Chinese economic development zone, creating specialized parks for various industries including new materials [2] - The region aims to provide a high-quality platform for projects related to silicone oil, silicone rubber, and silicone resin [2]

Group 1: Investor Relations Activities - The company conducted a specific investor survey and an analyst meeting on May 9, 2025, attended by multiple securities firms and investment management companies [3][4]. Group 2: Technical Barriers and Core Technologies - The company has developed over 200 mature mixing rubber formulas, enabling customized development for high-end applications in military and coal industries [5][6]. - Key technologies include mixing rubber formula technology, flexible production line for sealing components, and manufacturing processes for high-pressure hoses [6]. Group 3: R&D Investment and Competitive Advantage - The company holds 18 effective patents, including 4 invention patents, and has 16 ongoing projects, 6 of which are related to military applications [7]. - Successful development of high-pressure hoses and sealing components for coal mining machinery has solidified the company's leading position in the market [7]. Group 4: Military Business Growth - In 2024, the military business saw a 30.88% increase in revenue, with 12 new clients added, driven by the company's technology transfer from civilian to military applications [8][9]. Group 5: Profitability and Market Trends - The company maintains a high gross margin due to the increasing sales proportion of high-value products, including hydraulic seals and hoses [10]. - The coal mining auxiliary transport equipment market is expected to grow at a rate of 10%-15%, with the company reporting a 15.62% revenue increase in this segment for 2024 [11]. Group 6: Future Revenue Sustainability - Despite the decline in coal demand due to renewable energy, the company anticipates sustained order growth due to the essential nature of its products in coal mining operations [12]. - The company has diversified its product offerings and services to ensure revenue growth in various segments [12]. Group 7: Financial Stability - The company reported a debt-to-asset ratio of 18.59% in 2024, below the industry average, indicating strong financial health and risk resilience [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - The commercialization of humanoid robots is accelerating, with a focus on four major investment themes related to the chemical sector. In Q1 2025, over 35 companies launched new humanoid robot products, with more than 21 from China. The market for humanoid robots is expected to reach 8.239 billion yuan, accounting for about 50% of the global market by 2025 [5][28]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index increased by 2.7% from April 18 to April 25, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.1 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 1.0 percentage points. Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has risen by 1.7%, surpassing the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.4 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 10.8 percentage points [3][16]. Investment Themes 1. **Equity Investment Strategy**: The humanoid robot industry is projected to produce over 10,000 units by 2025, with significant market potential. Chemical companies can enhance their technological attributes through early-stage equity investments [5][28]. 2. **Polymer Materials**: Humanoid robots require various polymer materials, with modified plastics being a key solution for lightweight components. The demand for PEEK is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 16.8% from 2022 to 2027 [5][29]. 3. **Tendon Materials**: Tendon systems are crucial for humanoid robots, with UHMWPE and carbon fiber being ideal materials due to their superior properties. Companies like Tongyi Zhong and Nanshan Zhishang are leading in UHMWPE production [5][6]. 4. **Electronic Skin Materials**: The electronic skin market is expected to grow from 6.3 billion USD in 2024 to 30 billion USD by 2034, with companies like Fulei New Materials and Hanwei Technology actively developing flexible sensor materials [5][6]. Product Price Changes - The report lists significant price changes for chemical products, with the top gainers including glyphosate (+16.3%) and liquid nitrogen (+13.7%). Conversely, coal tar saw a decline of 11.8% [5]. Investment Recommendations - Core assets in the chemical sector are entering a long-term value zone, with companies like Baofeng Energy and Wanhua Chemical recommended for investment. Additionally, sectors facing supply constraints, such as vitamins and refrigerants, are highlighted for their potential price elasticity [5][14][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - The commercialization of humanoid robots is accelerating, with a focus on four major investment themes related to the chemical sector. In Q1 2025, over 35 companies launched new humanoid robot products, with more than 21 from China. The market for humanoid robots is expected to reach 8.239 billion yuan, accounting for about 50% of the global market by 2025 [5][28]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index increased by 2.7% from April 18 to April 25, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.1 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 1.0 percentage points. Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has risen by 1.7%, surpassing the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.4 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 10.8 percentage points [3][16]. Investment Themes 1. **Equity Investment Strategy**: The humanoid robot industry is projected to produce over 10,000 units by 2025, with significant market potential. Chemical companies can enhance their technological attributes through early-stage equity investments [5][28]. 2. **Polymer Materials**: Humanoid robots require various polymer materials, with modified plastics being a key solution for lightweight components. The demand for PEEK is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 16.8% from 2022 to 2027 [5][29]. 3. **Tendon Materials**: Tendon systems are crucial for humanoid robots, with UHMWPE and carbon fiber being ideal materials due to their superior properties. Companies like Tongyi Zhong and Nanshan Zhishang are leading in UHMWPE production [6][29]. 4. **Electronic Skin Materials**: The electronic skin market is expected to grow from 6.3 billion USD in 2024 to 30 billion USD by 2034, with companies like Fulei New Materials and Hanwei Technology actively developing flexible sensor materials [5][29]. Product Price Changes - The report lists significant price changes for chemical products, with the top gainers including glyphosate (+16.3%) and liquid nitrogen (+13.7%). Conversely, coal tar saw a decline of 11.8% [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - Core assets in the chemical sector are entering a long-term value zone, with companies like Baofeng Energy and Wanhua Chemical recommended for investment. Additionally, sectors facing supply constraints, such as vitamins and refrigerants, are highlighted for their potential price elasticity [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the organic silicon industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The peak production period for organic silicon has passed, and companies are collaborating to reduce output, leading to a potential price recovery from the bottom [1]. - Domestic organic silicon DMC capacity increased from 1.515 million tons/year in 2019 to 3.44 million tons/year by 2024, with limited new capacity expected in the future [1]. - As of March 19, 2025, the average market price for organic silicon was 14,500 CNY/ton, reflecting an 11.5% increase since the beginning of the year, although profit margins remain negative [1]. - The demand for organic silicon is steadily growing, with a CAGR of approximately 10.7% from 2020 to 2024, driven primarily by the construction and electronics sectors [3]. - The report suggests that the limited new supply and increasing demand will likely stabilize and improve the pricing and profitability of organic silicon products [1][3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The organic silicon industry is experiencing a supply reduction due to increased maintenance and repairs among producers, with 182,000 tons of capacity under maintenance as of February 19, 2025 [2]. - The inventory levels of organic silicon DMC are stable, with a slight increase since September 2024, but still within the median range of the past three years [2]. Section 2: Demand and Applications - The apparent consumption of organic silicon DMC in China rose from 1.21 million tons in 2020 to 1.82 million tons in 2024, with significant growth in exports at a CAGR of 22.5% during the same period [3]. - Key application areas for organic silicon include construction and electronics, which account for 25% and 23% of consumption, respectively [3]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in high-end construction sealants and materials for photovoltaic and electric vehicle sectors, driven by policy support and technological advancements [3]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the organic silicon production sector such as Hoshine Silicon Industry, Xingfa Group, and New安股份, as well as application companies like Ruifeng New Materials and Silica宝科技 [3].