12月15日至17日，华安基金举办以"实力为鞍，乘势笃行"为主题的2026马年投资嘉年华。在这场被誉为"路演PLUS"的策略盛会上，华安 基金实力投研"军团"集体亮相，把脉2026年A股、港股、债券、指数及全球市场的投资机遇。 "实力为鞍，乘势笃行" 解码2026投资图谱 华安基金此次策略会以"实力为鞍 乘势笃行"为主题，深度阐释了公司的品牌核心和专业态度。 "实力为鞍"指华安基金将全方位的专业能力化为基石，为投资者"驾驭"市场、行稳致远提供保障。其中"鞍"字谐音"安"，传递华安基金与 投资者智诚相伴的品牌承诺。"乘势笃行"彰显华安基金把握投资机遇，锐意进取的态度。"乘势"在于敏锐洞察周期，把握投资先机；"笃 行"则在于以稳健踏实的态度，将专业洞察转化为长期回报。 此次策略会，华安基金主动权益投资团队、固收团队、指数团队集体亮相，把脉2026年A股、港股、债券、指数以及全球投资机会。 华安基金副总经理、首席投资官翁启森 表示，2026年市场有望从流动性驱动逐步迈向盈利驱动。全A（非金融）盈利增长有望进一步改 善，预计TMT/制造业保持高增长、周期/消费利润逐步恢复。2026年产业机会有望扩散，可关注大制造、A ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the A-share market is in a slow bull phase, currently experiencing a typical consolidation period, with the index expected to fluctuate around 3900 points within a range of 100 points [9] - There is a notable shift in capital flow from mid-risk technology growth stocks to high-dividend and micro-cap stocks, suggesting a return to a "barbell strategy" [9] - The macroeconomic backdrop shows a temporary truce in trade disputes, leading to a transitional and rebalancing phase in the market, where trading factors are gaining importance [9] Market Strategy - Emphasis is placed on trading factors and capturing the rhythm of market fluctuations, particularly in the context of the current consolidation phase [3] - The report suggests that cyclical and consumer sectors are expected to outperform in the short term, driven by supply-side optimization and cost reductions [9] Industry Strategy - The banking sector shows positive fundamental signals, with improvements in net interest margins and asset quality, indicating a favorable environment for investment [5] - The report highlights the resilience of state-owned banks and the potential of high-quality, high-elasticity small and medium-sized banks as investment targets [9] Thematic Strategy - The upcoming COP30 climate conference is expected to act as a catalyst for the clean energy sector, with significant opportunities in energy transition areas such as photovoltaics, energy storage, and carbon trading [6][9] - The report identifies specific investment opportunities in companies related to clean energy and environmental protection, anticipating that these sectors will benefit from the outcomes of the climate summit [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of dividend low-volatility strategies for investors seeking stable returns without the need for market timing, highlighting the growing demand for investment products that provide a sense of certainty and lower risk exposure [4][6]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Investors are increasingly looking for dividend funds that offer a high sense of gain, which can outperform cash management tools while minimizing the volatility associated with equity assets [4]. - Among various dividend investment strategies, the dividend low-volatility index has shown to have lower drawdowns and better meet the needs of clients seeking certainty [5][6]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The article presents a comparison of different dividend indices, showing that the dividend low-volatility index has an annualized return of 18.4% since its inception, with a maximum drawdown of -13.5% and a dividend yield of 4.9% [5]. - The analysis of rolling returns from 2019 onwards indicates that the percentage of positive returns increases with the holding period, reaching 100% for periods of 2 years or more [13][14]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Value - The average return also improves with longer holding periods, with a mean return of 24.65% for 2 years and 38.40% for 3 years, indicating that longer investments yield better outcomes [13]. - The distribution of returns becomes more concentrated in the positive range as the holding period extends, suggesting a more stable long-term investment experience [14]. Group 4: Investor Considerations - Investors are encouraged to set personal "gain thresholds" to determine acceptable levels of positive returns over specific holding periods, which can help in selecting suitable products aligned with their investment goals [17]. - The article suggests that the importance of holding the dividend low-volatility index outweighs the need for market timing, advocating for a long-term investment approach [16].

Group 1 - The article discusses the "dumbbell investment strategy," which balances high-risk and low-risk assets to hedge risks while pursuing opportunities [2] - The report from Bank of China highlights that the Chinese equity market has shown strong performance in the first half of the year, with deep value and technology indices performing well, indicating the prevalence of the dumbbell strategy [2] - The report notes significant gains in various indices, such as the banking sector rising by 15.75% and the STAR 50 Index increasing by 13.49%, while the Hang Seng Mainland Bank Index surged by 25.94% [2] Group 2 - The Bank of China investment strategy white paper for 2025 emphasizes an increased equity allocation, utilizing a "value + technology" dumbbell strategy with specific indices for stable returns and growth [3] - The investment strategy aims to capture annual hotspots through sectors like consumer electronics and securities insurance for high returns [3] Group 3 - The article mentions that nearly 90% of public fund products achieved positive returns in the first half of the year, with various indices showing significant increases, indicating improved investment experiences for Chinese residents [5] - The average trading volume in the A-share market increased by 31% year-on-year, reflecting enhanced market vitality and investor sentiment [5] Group 4 - Hong Kong's stock market performed well in the first half of the year, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index rising by 20.00% and 18.68%, respectively, driven by technology stocks [6] - The article highlights that the Hang Seng Index's new consumption and innovative pharmaceutical companies are entering an upward cycle, with certain indices showing gains of over 50% [6] Group 5 - The article attributes the resilience and vitality of the Chinese stock market to government support and policies aimed at enhancing market stability [7][8] - The introduction of supportive monetary policy tools and the emphasis on stabilizing both the real estate and stock markets in government reports have contributed to this positive outlook [8] Group 6 - The article notes a structural shift in China's consumption market from "material" to "service," indicating potential growth in consumer spending in the second half of the year [9] - The rise of digital economy and high-end manufacturing is expected to drive investment in these sectors, with significant growth in related industries [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing interest of investors in dividend strategies as a response to market volatility and low interest rates, highlighting the importance of companies that generate consistent cash flow and share it with shareholders [2][26]. Group 1: Dividend Strategy - Dividend is a method for companies to return earnings to shareholders, typically in cash or stock, with a focus on high dividend yield as a core selection strategy [4][6]. - The appeal of dividend strategies lies in their dual nature: providing stable cash flow akin to bonds and potential capital appreciation through market undervaluation [6][30]. - The high dividend strategy, represented by the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index, has outperformed the Wind All A Index 77% of the time from 2013 to the present [6][7]. Group 2: Mainstream Dividend Indices - There are three main types of dividend indices: traditional dividend strategies focusing on high dividend yield, enhanced dividend strategies incorporating additional factors, and Hong Kong dividend strategies benefiting from unique market conditions [8][10][12]. - Traditional dividend strategies emphasize high dividend yield from mature industries, while enhanced strategies aim for richer return characteristics by adding factors like low volatility and high ROE [10][11]. - Hong Kong dividend strategies leverage lower valuations and higher yields, presenting unique investment opportunities despite potential currency risks and dividend taxes [12][15]. Group 3: Configuration Logic - Dividend assets are increasingly seen as advantageous in the current market environment, providing a stable investment option amid economic transitions [20][26]. - The article discusses the "barbell strategy," where dividend funds can complement small-cap growth investments, balancing high-risk and low-volatility assets [22][23]. - As the risk-free interest rate declines, traditional fixed-income assets lose appeal, making high-dividend blue-chip stocks more attractive for long-term investors [29][30].