我国未来产业的核心赛道分布在量子科技、生物制造、氢能和核聚变能、脑机接口、具身智能和第六代 移动通信等六大领域，它们具有显著战略性、引领性和颠覆性特征。 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》明确提出"前瞻布局未来产业"，这 一战略之举不仅廓清了我国产业结构的主要方向，也揭示了我国产业基础高级化和产业链现代化纵深推 进的关键牵引力，由此也将构建出我国经济增长的全新重大支柱。 主要经济体的共同战略 全球范围内新一轮科技创新引发的产业创新已呈现出十分密集与异常活跃的状态。人工智能、生物技 术、可控核聚变以及量子科技等颠覆性技术导致的产业化与市场化动力正在加速聚集与释放，可视化产 业与商业成果批量落地，各主要国家竞争力正在重构。 智能技术革命正推动产业发展范式发生划时代的变革，人机协同的智能时代即将来临，人工智能技术已 深入制造业的研发、生产到营销的全流程，并加速与金融、教育、医疗、文创等行业的深度融合，展现 出巨大的发展潜力。脑机接口技术的飞速发展也让人瞩目，随着大模型、传感器以及智能机具等技术的 交叉融合，以人形机器人为代表的具身智能领域也将迎来爆发式增长。 生物技术的群体性突破也推动生物 ...

人民财讯12月10日电，中共海南省委关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议发布，其中 提出，前瞻布局"四新"未来产业。聚焦新领域新赛道，推动生物制造、氢能、脑机接口、具身智能等未 来产业创新发展。探索多元技术路线、典型应用场景、可行商业模式、市场监管规则，建立投入增长和 风险共担机制。完善生物原料多元供给体系，培育建设高能级创新平台，巩固海洋生物制造、生物育种 领域竞争优势，打造具有海南特色和优势的生物制造产业集群。支持海上风电制氢示范，结合多场景应 用，带动氢能"制储输用"全产业链发展。打造脑机接口省级技术创新中心，攻关脑科学和电极、芯片等 核心技术，加速实现科研成果产业化。推动具身智能在多元场景中广泛应用，打造集生产、学习、研 究、应用为一体的产业生态体系。 ...

宏观经济点评 提质增效，科技突围——12 月政治局会议学习 ——宏观经济点评 | | | shenmeichen@kysec.cn hening@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522110002 证书编号：S0790524110002 事件：中共中央政治局 12 月 8 日召开会议，分析研究 2026 年经济工作。 1.形势判断：会议对"十四五"成就满意，综合国力有所提升。短期看，会议指出"（2025 年）经济社会发展主要目标将顺利实现"，指向全年大概率完成 5%的经济发展目标。 中期看，会议对"十四五"成果满意，指出"我国经济、科技、国防等硬实力和文化、 制度、外交等软实力明显提升，'十四五'即将圆满收官，第二个百年奋斗目标新征 程实现良好开局"。 相关研究报告 《推动基础设施 REITs 扩围—宏观周 报》-2025.12.7 《通向供需新均衡—2026 年宏观展 望》-2025.12.2 《工业生产与需求边际走弱—宏观经 济专题》-2025.12.1 2.经济目标：经济工作稳中求进、提质增效，预计 2026 年经济目标可能略低于 5%， 对总量增长有一定容忍度，重点是结构调整和科技突破。会议指出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from internal "14th Five-Year Plan" catalysts and external "fiscal + monetary" easing policies from major economies, particularly the US and Japan, leading to a rebound in valuations and performance by 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market is projected to experience a second round of valuation recovery and performance resurgence by 2026, supported by a complete domestic AI industry chain and an influx of quality A-share companies listing in Hong Kong [1] - The Hang Seng Index is currently seen as a valuation low point among major global markets, with an estimated equity risk premium (ERP) of 5.7% [1] - The expected net profit growth for the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech in 2026 is 8.5% and 29.9%, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for earnings recovery [1][4] Group 2: Strategic Investment Directions - Five long-term investment directions are recommended: 1) Technology sector, including AI and consumer electronics; 2) Healthcare, particularly biotechnology; 3) Resource products benefiting from overseas inflation and de-dollarization; 4) Essential consumer goods expected to recover in valuation; 5) Paper and aviation sectors benefiting from RMB appreciation [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the construction of a modern industrial system and high-level technological self-reliance, which is expected to support strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, and aerospace [2] Group 3: Emerging Industries - The solid-state battery industry is anticipated to reach a market value of 1.2 trillion yuan from 2024 to 2030, marking a new wave of electrification innovation [3] - The brain-computer interface sector is gaining government attention, with new policies expected to address clinical challenges [3] - The bio-manufacturing market is projected to reach a trillion-level scale, driven by continuous application expansion [3] Group 4: Performance Expectations - The market expects the performance growth of Hong Kong stocks to bottom out in 2025, with revenue and profit growth projected to reach 5.5% and 9.2% in 2026, respectively [4] - The earnings sentiment for Hong Kong stocks has begun to warm, with upward adjustments in profit forecasts since July 25 [4][5] Group 5: Capital Flows - Southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks reached 1.26 trillion HKD from the beginning of the year to the end of October, becoming a core driver for the market [6] - The trend of passive management funds increasing their allocation to Hong Kong stocks is evident, with a significant rise in the proportion of passive funds in the Southbound Stock Connect [6] - Retail investors are expected to play a larger role in the market, with ETF inflows into Hong Kong stocks exceeding 270 billion HKD since June [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights the development of the Interconnected Baodi Binjiang Park in Baoshan, which has transformed from a spare parts warehouse into a hub for high-end new materials, housing numerous innovative enterprises and research institutions [1] Group 1: Industry Development - Baoshan has 170 new material enterprises with a total output value of 144.5 billion yuan in 2024, showcasing the area's focus on enhancing innovation and industrial density [1] - The Wu Song Materials Laboratory, led by academic leaders, is a key research institution focusing on new materials applications in various fields, including energy storage and biomedicine [2] - The introduction of high-level platforms is crucial for Baoshan to strengthen its innovation capabilities and produce leading research outcomes [2] Group 2: Company Initiatives - Shan Hai Hydrogen, founded by a professor from Fudan University, specializes in PEM electrolysis hydrogen production catalysts and membrane electrode manufacturing [3] - The establishment of Shanghai Emi Sanjiang New Materials Technology Co., a joint venture with a Beijing incubator, aims to foster new material startups in Baoshan [4] - The "first invest, then equity" policy in Baoshan provides critical funding for high-potential startups, allowing them to convert investment into equity during market financing [4][5] Group 3: Ecosystem and Collaboration - The park offers flexible leasing policies and free event spaces, enhancing support for resident companies [6] - Baoshan is actively promoting collaboration among enterprises and linking them with Baowu's demands, focusing on application scenarios and research partnerships [6] - The development strategy for Baoshan's new materials industry emphasizes advanced metal materials and aims to capture future trends in mesoporous materials and solid-state batteries [6]

Group 1: Economic Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is a critical period for achieving socialist modernization by 2035, with a target GDP growth rate of around 5% during this period[2] - The plan emphasizes high-quality development as the primary task, aiming for significant achievements in this area[2] - By 2035, the goal is to reach a per capita GDP level comparable to that of moderately developed countries, which is projected to be approximately 21,000 USD[25] Group 2: Industrial and Technological Advancement - The plan focuses on building a modern industrial system, highlighting advanced manufacturing as a leading sector[3] - Key areas for technological self-reliance include new energy, quantum technology, and artificial intelligence, aiming for international leadership in these fields[3] - Strengthening the integration of technological innovation with industrial innovation is a priority[3] Group 3: Domestic Market and Consumption - Enhancing domestic demand is crucial, with a strong emphasis on boosting consumer spending as a top priority[3] - The plan outlines strategies for effective investment expansion to stimulate economic growth[3] Group 4: Financial and Open Economy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to accelerate the construction of a financial powerhouse and promote the internationalization of the Renminbi[3] - It emphasizes a cooperative and win-win approach to expand autonomous openness in the economy[3] Group 5: Agricultural and Cultural Development - Accelerating agricultural modernization and leveraging regional strategic advantages are key components of the plan[3] - The plan also stresses the importance of cultural confidence and the value of the cultural industry, aiming to stimulate cultural innovation and creativity[3]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting held by the Beijing Municipal Political Consultative Conference focused on exploring new mechanisms for industrial investment growth, particularly in synthetic biology manufacturing, AI large models, and commercial aerospace, to enhance the high-quality development of the capital's economy [1] Group 1: Synthetic Biology Manufacturing - Beijing is actively developing the synthetic biology manufacturing industry, aiming to cultivate a new trillion-level growth point in the bio-economy [2] - The president of Beijing University of Chemical Technology highlighted that by the end of this century, 70% of manufacturing products could be produced using biological methods, with a projected output exceeding $30 trillion, accounting for over one-third of total manufacturing output [2] - Recommendations include establishing a national-level platform for synthetic biology manufacturing, setting up special funds for public service platform construction, and leveraging the advantages of Zhongguancun Science Park to create a distinctive industrial park for synthetic biology [2] Group 2: AI Large Models - The AI industry in China has experienced exponential growth, particularly in the large model sector, prompting the need for a new investment growth mechanism [3] - Suggestions include enhancing the leverage of government funds, utilizing the Beijing AI Industry Investment Fund to attract more social capital, and establishing a "data trust" or "data sharing zone" to provide high-quality datasets for AI companies [3] - A proposal for a significantly higher "super R&D expense deduction" rate for companies incurring substantial costs in computing power for foundational model training was also made [3] Group 3: Commercial Aerospace - The development of large-scale space projects, such as satellite internet constellations and reusable rocket technology, is essential for the growth of new space industries [4] - Continuous investment is necessary for the success of future industries, which often have long cycles and high returns [5] - Recommendations include creating large-scale technology projects aligned with the capital's high-quality development and supporting commercial aerospace companies during their listing phases on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [5]

Core Viewpoint - The "Light Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" aims to ensure steady growth in key sectors and stable operational efficiency for enterprises, focusing on new growth points such as smart home products, elderly and infant goods, and sports leisure fashion products [1][4][10]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Light industry is a traditional advantage and important livelihood industry in China's economy, contributing 15.4% to the total industrial value added in 2024, and plays a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth [3][10]. - The industry faces challenges such as unstable international economic conditions and weak domestic demand, making the stabilization task difficult [3][10]. Group 2: Main Objectives - The plan sets clear goals for the industry, including maintaining steady growth in key sectors and ensuring stable operational efficiency for enterprises [4][10]. - New growth points are identified, including smart home products, elderly and infant goods, and sports leisure fashion products [4][10]. Group 3: Key Initiatives - The plan emphasizes optimizing supply by accelerating product innovation, enhancing quality assurance, and strengthening brand cultivation [6][10]. - It aims to expand consumption by promoting traditional consumption and cultivating new consumption growth points [6]. - The promotion of new business models and the establishment of supply-demand matching platforms are also highlighted [7]. Group 4: International Competitiveness - The plan focuses on maintaining international competitiveness by optimizing trade structures and supporting leading enterprises in global brand building [11]. - It encourages trade and investment cooperation with regions such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [11]. - The development of new foreign trade models, including support for cross-border e-commerce, is also emphasized [11]. Group 5: Quality and Standards - The plan addresses the need for quality improvement and standard supply, proposing the completion of 300 industry standard revisions annually [12][13]. - It aims to establish standards for elderly products and smart home industries, and actively participate in international standard revisions [13]. - The plan also emphasizes the importance of maintaining a strong foundation for light industry by stabilizing enterprises [13].

Group 1 - The first Global Technology Innovation Competition was launched in Hangzhou on July 22, focusing on attracting top global innovation teams and quality technology projects to Zhejiang, promoting the integration of technological and industrial innovation [1][2] - The competition will last approximately four months and is centered around four thematic tracks: humanoid robots, biomanufacturing, AI + eye health, and aerospace, with different districts in Hangzhou and other cities hosting each track [1][2] - The aerospace track will address key technological challenges in the rapid development of commercial aerospace, selecting innovative technology projects with significant market application potential [1][2] Group 2 - Zhujiajian City, as the host for the aerospace track, will provide support in terms of funding, talent, and project implementation, including a talent science and technology fund of up to 20 million yuan for qualifying projects [2] - Financial support policies for quality projects include the establishment of a future industry fund alliance, dedicated credit limits, and cross-border financing policy support [2] - The expert advisory committee for the competition consists of 188 authoritative experts, including 18 academicians, ensuring the competition's professionalism, foresight, and fairness [2]

Core Points - The emphasis on strengthening the real economy as a foundation for high-quality development, led by technological innovation and tailored development of new productive forces [1][2] - The establishment of a modern industrial system is crucial for the modernization of the economy and the nation, with a focus on traditional industry transformation and the development of emerging industries [2][3] Group 1: Modern Industrial System - Guangzhou has proposed the "12218" modern industrial system to enhance key industry development, aligning with national strategies and local requirements [2][3] - The city aims to develop 15 strategic industrial clusters, including intelligent connected vehicles, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence, while also focusing on future industries such as embodied intelligence and quantum technology [3][4] Group 2: Key Industry Developments - The automotive industry in Guangzhou is set to produce over 3.2 million vehicles by 2027, with a significant focus on new energy vehicles [8] - The biomedicine sector is expected to reach a scale of 400 billion yuan by 2030, with major advancements in innovative drugs and core biomedicine infrastructure [10] - The green petrochemical and new materials industry aims for an output value exceeding 400 billion yuan by 2024, positioning itself as a key pillar for high-quality development [11] Group 3: Modern Service Industries - The financial sector in Guangzhou is projected to achieve an added value of 304.9 billion yuan in 2024, becoming a major pillar of the city's economy [29] - The technology service industry is expected to enhance its capabilities, with significant investments in basic research and talent development [30] - The modern commerce sector is set to undergo transformation, with a focus on integrating traditional and emerging consumption patterns [32] Group 4: Future Industries - The semiconductor and integrated circuit industry is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected increase in output value and production capacity [16] - The renewable energy and new storage sectors are being bolstered by national innovation centers and significant infrastructure developments [17] - The low-altitude economy is expanding, with a target market size of 30 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting the city's strategic positioning in this emerging field [18]