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8月我国经济“成绩单” 将公布 有哪些看点?
Core Viewpoint - The National Bureau of Statistics will release key economic data for August, focusing on various sectors including agriculture, industry, and services, as well as important indicators like consumption, investment, and employment [3][4]. Economic Data Release - The press conference will provide a report card on China's economic performance for August, including growth figures for agriculture, industry, and services [3]. - Industrial data will highlight the performance of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing, which are crucial for reflecting industrial optimization and new productivity [3]. Consumption and Investment Focus - Expanding domestic demand is a key focus for this year, making consumption data, such as retail sales and service consumption, particularly noteworthy [3]. - The National Bureau of Statistics will also discuss fixed asset investment, manufacturing investment, and private investment growth [3]. Employment and Price Indicators - Indicators like consumer price levels and employment conditions are critical as they relate to economic trends and the financial well-being of citizens [3]. - The current global economic environment presents challenges, including geopolitical risks and domestic constraints on expanding domestic demand [3]. Economic Outlook - Based on data from the first eight months, the National Bureau of Statistics will provide forecasts for the economic trends in the second half of the year [4].
2025年上半年各省经济成绩单:中西部地区快速增长东部地区韧性仍存
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-08-14 05:45
Economic Growth - In the first half of 2025, the GDP growth rate in the eastern region averaged 5.3%, lagging behind the central (5.5%) and western (5.6%) regions, continuing the "east low, west high" trend[6][12] - The top five provinces accounted for 40% of the national GDP, with the top ten provinces making up 61.6%, indicating stable contributions from major economic provinces[13] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value in the central and western regions grew by 7.9% and 8.2% respectively, surpassing the national average of 6.4%, while eastern regions showed stable growth at 7.1%[27][31] - Eastern regions experienced a profit growth of over 10% in industrial enterprises, contrasting with the central and western regions where profits declined or showed minimal growth[31][30] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the central region grew by 6.6%, exceeding the national level by 3.8 percentage points, while the eastern region's investment growth was only 1.7%[40][44] - Real estate investment in the eastern region decreased by 9.7%, contributing to the overall sluggish investment performance[44] Consumption Patterns - The central region led the nation in retail sales growth at 6.2%, while the eastern region lagged with a growth rate of only 4%[49][52] - The northeastern region saw a retail sales growth of 5.4%, benefiting from tourism and cultural events[52] Export Dynamics - The central and western regions achieved export growth rates of 15.5% and 17.5%, significantly higher than the national average of 7.2%, while the eastern region's export growth was only 1.4%[60] - Guangdong's exports grew by just 1.1%, heavily impacted by U.S. tariff policies and declining demand in the consumer electronics sector[60] Import Trends - In the first half of 2025, 21 provinces experienced negative import growth, particularly in the eastern and northeastern regions, with the eastern region's imports declining by 5.3%[66] - Some provinces in the central and western regions saw positive import growth, driven by resource products, with Anhui and Gansu achieving import growth rates of 13.4% and 30.3% respectively[66]
宏观经济数据前瞻:2025年5月宏观经济指标预期一览
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-03 14:23
Economic Indicators - May 2025 domestic CPI is expected to decrease by 0.4% month-on-month and year-on-year[3] - May 2025 PPI is projected to decline by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.2% year-on-year[3] - Industrial added value is anticipated to slightly drop to 5.5% year-on-year in May 2025[3] - Retail sales of consumer goods are expected to decrease to 5.0% year-on-year in May 2025[3] - Fixed asset investment is forecasted to remain stable at 4.0% year-on-year[3] Trade and Financing - Exports in May 2025 are expected to rise by approximately 8.5% year-on-year[3] - Imports are projected to increase by 4.5% year-on-year[4] - Trade surplus is estimated at $971 million in May 2025[4] - Monthly increase in credit is expected to be 11,000 million yuan[4] - Total social financing is projected to increase by 22,000 million yuan in May 2025[4]
中国经济年度“成绩单”来了!国家统计局权威解读
水皮More· 2025-01-17 09:15
1月17日,2024年中国经济年度"成绩单"公布。 数据显示,2024年国内生产总值(GDP)134.9万亿元,经济规模迈上新台阶,按不变价格计算,比上年增长5.0%。在同日国新办举行的新闻发布会上,国家统计局 局长康义用五个"很不容易"来评价过去一年的经济总体表现。 在展望2025年经济发展前景时,康义表示,外部环境变化带来的不利影响可能会加深,但是我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大,长期向好的支撑条件和基 本趋势没有变,经济高质量发展大势也没有变,有利条件强于不利因素,发展的"时"和"势"依然占优,对中国2025年的经济发展充满信心。 会上,国家统计局还就房地产市场、收入、就业、物价等社会关心的问题作出回应分析。 经济总量再上新台阶 数据显示,初步核算,2024年全年国内生产总值134.9万亿元,按不变价格计算,比上年增长5.0%。分季度看,一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.3%,二季度增长 4.7%,三季度增长4.6%,四季度增长5.4%。 "(2024年)在外部压力增大、内部困难增多的条件下,我国经济总量再上新台阶,很不容易。"康义说,2024年国际环境错综复杂,世界经济增长的动能偏弱,地 缘政治冲突 ...