Core Viewpoint - The innovation drug sector is a prominent investment theme this year, showing strong performance driven by policy support, global competitiveness, and commercial profitability [1][3][31]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) increased by 60% this year, while the STAR Pharmaceutical ETF (588130) rose by 10.9% in the last ten trading days [3][27]. - Despite a recent pullback, the innovation drug sector continues to dominate the ETF performance rankings [2][3]. Group 2: Driving Factors - Two main reasons for the strong performance of innovation drugs: improvement in the macroeconomic environment and favorable policy developments [4][5]. - The U.S. CPI in May was lower than expected, leading to increased market expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which would benefit the valuation of innovation drug stocks [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The innovation drug sector is experiencing a turning point characterized by macroeconomic recovery, industry fundamentals, and valuation adjustments [9][10]. - The latest PE ratio of the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index is 27.64, indicating room for further valuation recovery as it remains below the historical range of the past decade [11]. Group 4: Industry Developments - Recent approvals of 11 innovative drugs by the National Medical Products Administration signify a growing pipeline for domestic innovation drug companies [11][12]. - Successful international collaborations and participation in global events like the ASCO conference highlight the competitive strength of Chinese innovation drug firms [11][12]. Group 5: Liquidity and Investment Trends - The influx of foreign capital into the Hong Kong market is evident, with 27 companies listed this year, 15 of which attracted foreign cornerstone investors [19][20]. - The average daily trading volume in Hong Kong has significantly increased, reflecting heightened liquidity that benefits the innovation drug sector [25][27]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The innovation drug sector is expected to continue benefiting from a favorable macroeconomic environment, policy support, and increasing global competitiveness [31][34]. - The current growth cycle for innovation drugs is distinct due to the backdrop of macroeconomic recovery and industry value reassessment [33][34].

Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector is a significant investment theme this year, showing strong performance and potential for continued growth driven by macroeconomic improvements, supportive policies, and the realization of commercial profits [1][3][33]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) has risen by approximately 60% this year, indicating a strong recovery in the pharmaceutical sector after four years of downturn [3]. - Despite a recent pullback, the innovative drug sector continues to dominate the ETF performance rankings, with the Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF increasing by 4.18% and the Sci-Tech Pharmaceutical ETF (588130) by 2.21% [2][3]. Group 2: Drivers of Strength - Two main reasons for the strength of innovative drugs are the improving macroeconomic environment and favorable policy developments [4][5]. - The U.S. CPI in May was lower than expected, leading to increased market expectations for a potential 100 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which would benefit the valuation of innovative drug stocks [4]. - Recent policy initiatives, such as the improvement of basic medical insurance drug lists and the establishment of bio-manufacturing platforms, further support the innovative drug sector [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The innovative drug sector has outperformed many other popular sectors over the past six months, indicating a shift in market sentiment [6]. - The concept of "turning points" is crucial, encompassing macroeconomic, industry, and company fundamentals, as well as valuation aspects [9][10]. - The current PE ratio of the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index is 27.64, suggesting that there is still room for valuation recovery as it remains below 90% of the historical range over the past decade [11]. Group 4: Growth Opportunities - The approval of multiple innovative drugs by the National Medical Products Administration, including 11 new drugs on May 29, highlights the growing pipeline and market potential for innovative drug companies [11][12]. - Successful international collaborations and the recognition of domestic innovative drugs at global events like the ASCO conference demonstrate the competitive strength of Chinese pharmaceutical companies [11][12]. Group 5: Liquidity and Investment Trends - The influx of foreign capital into the Hong Kong market, with 27 IPOs and 15 involving foreign cornerstone investors this year, indicates a reversal in sentiment towards Hong Kong stocks [19][20]. - The average daily trading volume in Hong Kong has significantly increased, reflecting heightened liquidity that benefits the innovative drug sector [25][27]. - Morgan Stanley projects continued high trading activity in Hong Kong, driven by increased A+H listings and potential capital inflows due to favorable monetary conditions [28]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The innovative drug sector is positioned for sustained growth, supported by a combination of policy, profitability, and internationalization [33]. - The current growth cycle is distinct due to the macroeconomic recovery, industry revaluation, and increased liquidity, leading to stronger-than-expected performance [35][36]. - However, not all companies will benefit equally, and only those with clinical value and commercialization capabilities are likely to thrive in the long term [37].

作者 | 哥吉拉 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 5月29日，A股主要指数高开高走，截至收盘，沪指涨0.7%报3363点，深证成指涨1.24%，创业板指涨1.37%。全市场近4500股上涨，逾百 股涨停。 板块方面，金融科技、创新药、互联网、半导体等热门板块表现强势，市场情绪相比近日明显提振。 其中，创新药是涨幅最明显的板块之一，睿智医药、舒泰神、益方生物强势斩获20CM涨停，另有十多家医药股涨幅均超过10%，堪称又一轮 暴涨潮。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 1 9 mm a lond a rither more an a many 143 1994 (310 1 涨跌幅▼ | 年初至今涨跌幅 | 总市值1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300149 | 睿智医药 | 8.56 c | 20.06% | 33.33% | 43亿 | | 300204 | 舒泰神 | 23.04 c | 20.00% | 210.93% | 110亿 | | 688382 | 益元生物-U | 29.10 c | 20.00% | 11 ...