Core Viewpoint - Global monetary growth is increasing, and a depreciating US dollar indicates continued global financial liquidity easing [1] Group 1: Global Monetary Trends - The US financial deregulation, continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, expansion of stablecoins, adjustments in government bond durations, and fiscal expansions in many countries are likely to further enhance global monetary growth [1] - Global liquidity remains relatively loose, with the US dollar index having further downward potential [1] Group 2: Impact on Financial Markets - The easing of global liquidity suggests a demand for increased asset allocation, particularly flowing into China and the offshore market in Hong Kong [1] - Despite significant rebounds earlier this year, the valuation levels of Chinese assets remain relatively undervalued from a PB ROE perspective, indicating potential value [1] - The Chinese yuan is considered undervalued, with potential for further appreciation, which may enhance the attractiveness of the Hong Kong stock market [1] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Key sectors in the Hong Kong market include: - Technology and Internet: Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) [1] - Consumer Leaders: Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230) [1] - Pharmaceutical Leaders: Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) [1]

Market Overview - As of July 28, Hong Kong's three major indices closed mixed, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.68% at 25,562.13 points, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 0.29% at 9,177.15 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.24% at 5,664.02 points [1] - Large tech stocks showed mixed performance, while the pharmaceutical and financial sectors exhibited strong trends [1] - Notable stocks included Tencent Holdings rising nearly 1%, Kuaishou up nearly 0.5%, and Meituan down over 0.5% [1] Southbound Capital - On July 28, southbound funds net bought HK stocks worth 9.253 billion HKD, bringing the cumulative net purchase amount since 2025 to 829.282 billion HKD, surpassing last year's total net inflow of 807.869 billion HKD [2] U.S. Market Performance - U.S. stock indices closed mixed overnight, with the Dow Jones down 0.14%, the S&P 500 up 0.02%, and the Nasdaq up 0.33%, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching new historical highs [3] - The Hang Seng Index ADR fell, closing at 25,353.70 points, down 208.43 points or 0.82% compared to Hong Kong's close [3] Key Events - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its interest rate decision on July 31, with market expectations leaning towards maintaining rates unchanged and possibly lowering rates twice within the year [4] - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference concluded with over 300 project procurement demands announced, with an expected procurement amount of 16.2 billion CNY, and 31 major projects signed with investments exceeding 15 billion CNY [4] - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target for the MSCI China Index from 85 to 90 points, indicating about an 11% potential upside from last Friday's closing price [4] Short Selling Data - On July 28, a total of 618 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with total short selling amounting to 25.577 billion HKD. The top three stocks by short selling amount were China Ping An at 1.385 billion HKD, Tencent Holdings at 1.274 billion HKD, and Alibaba at 973 million HKD [5] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities remains optimistic about opportunities in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in the technology sector, which is expected to have significant recovery potential [6] - Recommended sectors include internet (e-commerce, local life), coal, cement, cyclical products, social services, textiles, and aviation, with a focus on high-growth and low-valuation industries [6] - The new consumption sector in Hong Kong remains strong, but attention is needed regarding potential pressure from stock unlocks in Q3 [6] Related ETFs - Key ETFs include the Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330), and Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) [7] - Additional ETFs include the Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF (159323) and Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) [8]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward momentum last week, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.27% to close at 25,388.35 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 2.51% to 5,677.90 points, and the National Enterprises Index gaining 1.83% to 9,150.49 points [1] Southbound Capital - On July 25, southbound capital recorded a significant net purchase exceeding 20 billion HKD. Since 2025, the cumulative net purchase amount has surpassed 820 billion HKD, exceeding the total net purchase of 807.87 billion HKD for the entire year of 2024 [2] Hot Topics - The World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) is set to take place in Shanghai on July 26, featuring five major segments including forums, exhibitions, competitions, and innovation incubation, showcasing the latest practices in AI technology and industry trends [3] - During the WAIC, Tencent announced the release and open-sourcing of the industry's first 3D world generation model, the Hongyuan 3D World Model 1.0, by its Vice President of Tencent Cloud [3] Short Selling Data - On July 25, a total of 622 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with a total short-selling amount of 25.60 billion HKD. The top three stocks with short-selling amounts exceeding 1 billion HKD were BYD (13.24 billion HKD), Meituan (12.64 billion HKD), and Tencent Holdings (12.10 billion HKD) [4] Institutional Insights - According to Ping An International, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to exhibit a structural market trend in the short term. As new investment themes have yet to emerge, sector rotation is anticipated to accelerate. With the half-year earnings reporting period approaching, market participants have high expectations for corporate earnings, and even if earnings meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations, it may not satisfy some institutional investors, potentially leading to a market pullback. In such a scenario, funds may rotate from crowded sectors like new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and banking to less crowded sectors with lower valuations and better earnings prospects, such as the technology sector related to the AI industry [5] Related ETFs - Key ETFs mentioned include: - Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892) - Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) - Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) - Hong Kong Automotive ETF (159323) - Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent positive trends in the Chinese stock market, highlighting the stabilization of the Shanghai Composite Index above 3500 points and the potential for it to surpass last year's high of 3674 points, while also noting the healthy increase in market volume and sentiment [1][4]. Group 1: Macro Environment - Investors are still stuck in outdated perceptions of the A-share market, such as the belief that it will remain around 3000 points, failing to recognize the changing macro narrative [4]. - Key factors influencing the macro environment include: - Diminished tariff expectations and reduced geopolitical risks [4]. - Anticipated fiscal policy support due to pressures on growth and declining exports [4]. - Increased policy support for the capital market, including initiatives like the "National Nine Articles" [4]. - A surge in domestic liquidity and a low-interest-rate environment leading to a shift of funds from deposits to equities [4]. - Expectations of easing from the Federal Reserve, benefiting emerging markets and particularly A-shares and H-shares [4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The article identifies critical opportunities that investors may have missed, emphasizing the importance of being present in key moments and sectors [6]. - Notable phases of market uptrends this year include: - The emergence of domestic AI models in February, leading to a revaluation of technology stocks [7]. - The market recovery following a panic sell-off in April due to tariff concerns, supported by long-term funds [7]. - A structural rotation in June, with sectors like stablecoins and healthcare gaining traction [7]. - ETFs are highlighted as advantageous investment vehicles during market surges due to their high liquidity, low fees, and ability to mitigate individual stock volatility [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are cautioned against frequent trading and chasing trends, which can lead to losses [8]. - The article suggests that successful investment requires understanding the nature of industry rotations and focusing on high-potential sectors that have undergone significant corrections [8][10]. - The "Dumbbell Strategy" is recommended, which involves: - Allocating to high-growth sectors like AI and pharmaceuticals while also capturing short-term opportunities in undervalued sectors like finance and infrastructure [15][16]. - Maintaining defensive positions in stable, dividend-paying sectors to hedge against uncertainties [17].

Market Overview - On July 23, Hong Kong's three major indices opened higher and closed with gains: the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.62% to 25,538.07 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2.48% to 5,745.74 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index gained 1.82% to 9,241.2 points [1] - Technology stocks led the gains, with Meituan up nearly 3.5%, JD Group rising close to 3%, and Alibaba increasing by nearly 2.5% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) followed the index's upward trend, closing up 2.65%, with notable increases in NIO (up nearly 9%), Kuaishou (up over 7%), Baidu (up over 6%), and Tencent (up nearly 5%) [1] Southbound Capital - On July 23, southbound capital recorded a net sell of HKD 1.32 billion in Hong Kong stocks; however, the net buying amount for the month reached approximately HKD 64.9 billion, with a cumulative net buying of about HKD 796.1 billion for the year, nearing last year's total of HKD 808 billion [2] U.S. Market Performance - U.S. stock indices closed higher overnight, with the Dow Jones up 1.14%, the S&P 500 rising 0.78%, and the Nasdaq increasing by 0.61% [3] - Notable gainers included Merck (up nearly 3%) and UnitedHealth Group (up over 2%), leading the Dow [3] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new closing highs, while the Hang Seng Index ADR fell, closing at 25,438.94 points [3] Key Messages - The National Development and Reform Commission of China is taking practical measures to enhance cooperation between state-owned and private enterprises, aiming to improve governance and promote technological innovation [4] - Citigroup's recent strategy report indicates that despite macroeconomic fluctuations, Asian markets are outperforming global counterparts, with an upgrade in ratings for Chinese and South Korean markets to "overweight" [4] Short Selling Data - On July 23, a total of 615 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with a total short-selling amount of HKD 29.818 billion; notable short-selling amounts included Tencent (HKD 2.659 billion), BYD (HKD 1.441 billion), and Kuaishou (HKD 1.323 billion) [5] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is entering a new phase of revaluation, with external and internal negative factors improving faster than expected, indicating potential for further market gains [6] - The report highlights that pressures are expected to ease in the third quarter, with the possibility of an earlier start to the third round of market rallies than previously anticipated [6] - Relevant ETFs include the Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330), Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230), and Hong Kong Automotive ETF (159323) [6]

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3534.48 points, marking a new high for the year [1] - The overall performance of ETFs has been active, particularly in the Hong Kong innovative drug sector, which has led the gains [1][2] ETF Performance - Nearly 1100 ETF products saw gains this week, with a median weekly increase of approximately 1.29%, slightly up from the previous week [2] - The top-performing ETFs include several Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs, with weekly gains exceeding 13% [4][6] - Notable ETFs include: - 恒生创新药ETF: 13.686% weekly gain, 89.746% year-to-date gain - 港股通创新药ETF: 13.248% weekly gain, 15.631% year-to-date gain - 港股创新药ETF基金: 13.128% weekly gain, 89.775% year-to-date gain [4] Sector Highlights - The Hong Kong innovative drug sector saw significant individual stock performances, with 康方生物 rising nearly 24% and 三生制药 increasing by 23% [6] - The entrepreneurial board's artificial intelligence ETFs also experienced over 10% gains, driven by strong performances from companies like 新易盛 and 中际旭创 [6] Declining Sectors - The gaming ETF sector faced declines, with several products dropping over 3% this week [7][10] - Other underperforming sectors included financial technology, photovoltaic, and real estate ETFs, with the banking ETF also experiencing a decline after reaching historical highs [10]

Group 1 - The first half of 2025 was marked by significant global market volatility, influenced by Trump's policies, leading to a mixed performance across different stock markets [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index and European stocks led the global market with a 20% increase, while the US stock market lagged behind with nearly 5% growth [1] - The South Korean stock market outperformed others with a 28% increase, highlighting regional disparities in market performance [1] Group 2 - Four major changes in the investment landscape were identified: the revaluation of Chinese assets driven by technological innovation, a reshaping of the consumer sector, the impact of "reciprocal tariffs" on the dollar's credit system, and the unprecedented low-interest-rate environment in China [4][6][9][13] - The Hang Seng Medical ETF saw a remarkable 50.83% increase, leading the market, while gold-related ETFs also performed strongly, with increases of 38.73% and 23.57% [5][9] Group 3 - The influx of capital into the Hong Kong stock market was notable, with net purchases reaching 731.19 billion HKD in the first half of the year, nearly double the previous year's total [14] - The ETF market reached a historical high of 4.3 trillion, with a net inflow of 302.3 billion in the first half, indicating a strong preference for ETFs among investors [14][21] Group 4 - The investment focus shifted towards technology, finance, and new consumer sectors, with significant net purchases in stocks like Alibaba and Meituan [18][19] - The financial technology ETF saw substantial inflows, reflecting the growing interest in digital finance and stablecoin concepts [34][35] Group 5 - The outlook for the second half of 2025 suggests a focus on technology, dividends, and new consumer trends, with institutions recommending a "technology + dividend + consumption" strategy [26][27] - The market is expected to continue favoring ETFs as a primary investment vehicle, particularly in sectors showing strong growth potential [28][30]

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market experienced a net outflow of 7 billion yuan on June 27, with significant changes in fund flows observed across various categories and indices [1][2]. Fund Flow Summary - As of June 27, the total scale of 1,128 stock ETFs reached 3.58 trillion yuan, with a reduction of 3.436 billion units in total shares, leading to a net outflow of approximately 7.014 billion yuan [2]. - The broad-based ETFs saw the largest net outflow, amounting to 6.732 billion yuan, with the ETF tracking the CSI 300 index experiencing the highest single-day net outflow of 3.723 billion yuan [2]. - Despite the overall outflow, certain ETFs, particularly those related to the Hong Kong market and banking sector, saw significant inflows, with the Hong Kong market ETFs attracting 1.851 billion yuan [5]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the market may maintain a volatile consolidation pattern due to internal and external uncertainties, with a focus on upcoming policy validations and corporate earnings during the reporting season [2][3]. - The potential for a rebound in corporate earnings growth remains uncertain, leading to expectations of thematic sector rotations as the primary market characteristic [3]. Top Fund Flows - The top stock ETFs by net outflow on June 27 included: - H 300 ETF: -1.204 billion yuan - CSI A500 ETF (Fuguo): -0.875 billion yuan - CSI 300 ETF (E Fund): -0.823 billion yuan [4]. - Conversely, the top inflows were seen in: - CSI A500 ETF (Huatai): +3.264 billion yuan - Banking ETF: +1.017 billion yuan - A500 ETF (Jia Shi): +0.976 billion yuan [7].

Core Insights - On June 19, 2025, a total of 267 ETFs experienced net inflows, while 337 ETFs saw net outflows, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [1] - 42 ETFs had net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with significant inflows observed in Short-term Bond ETF (12.48 billion yuan), Credit Bond ETF (10.82 billion yuan), Corporate Bond ETF (7.93 billion yuan), Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (7.45 billion yuan), and Government Financial Bond ETF (7.20 billion yuan) [1] - Conversely, 10 ETFs had net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with notable outflows from CSI 300 ETF (4.64 billion yuan), CSI 300 ETF E Fund (3.27 billion yuan), A500 ETF (3.19 billion yuan), and others [1][5] Inflow and Outflow Analysis - The top inflowing ETFs included Short-term Bond ETF (124.83 million yuan), Credit Bond ETF (108.20 million yuan), and Corporate Bond ETF (79.29 million yuan) [3] - The top outflowing ETFs included CSI 300 ETF (463.50 million yuan), CSI 300 ETF E Fund (327.06 million yuan), and A500 ETF (319.30 million yuan) [5] - A total of 140 ETFs have seen continuous net inflows, with the leading ones being Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (8.63 billion yuan) and Credit Bond ETF Dachen (5 billion yuan) [6] Recent Trends - Over the past 5 days, 80 ETFs recorded net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Credit Bond ETF leading at 68.42 billion yuan [6] - In contrast, 53 ETFs experienced net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Silver Hua Daily ETF leading at 21.93 billion yuan [6] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF has accelerated inflows, growing its scale to 2.507 billion yuan [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market has shown strong attractiveness in 2025, driven by policy support and the AI boom, outperforming key markets like the US and Japan year-to-date [1] - The AI narrative initiated by DeepSeek has significantly propelled the revaluation of Chinese assets, with Hong Kong stocks leading globally at the beginning of the year. Although the AI enthusiasm has slightly cooled due to geopolitical factors, future iterations of AI models or breakthroughs in applications could reignite upward catalysts for the sector [1][2] - As of June 12, 2025, southbound capital has net purchased HK stocks amounting to 681.14 billion HKD, reaching 84.3% of the total net purchase for the entire year of 2024 (807.87 billion HKD). This influx is driven by the demand for stable returns from dividends and structural opportunities in new consumption, AI technology, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2 - The attractiveness of Hong Kong stocks is further enhanced by their long-term valuation being relatively low. As of June 16, 2025, the Hang Seng Tech Index's latest PE (TTM) is only 20.18 times, which is at the 9.02% valuation percentile over the past five years, indicating that the current valuation is lower than 90% of the time in the last five years [2] - With the recovery of the domestic economy, expectations for AI performance catalysts, and more quality companies listing in Hong Kong, there is potential for valuation uplift in the second half of the year [2] - Relevant ETFs include the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330), Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892), and Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) [2]