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原油、碳酸锂等期权:隐含波动率多降,成交量降24.45%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 12:58
Group 1 - The implied volatility of various commodity options has decreased, indicating a cooling market sentiment [1] - As of the latest closing, the implied volatility for crude oil options is 28.91%, down 4.35% from the previous week [1] - Lithium carbonate options implied volatility stands at 42.69%, a decrease of 5.54% week-over-week [1] Group 2 - The trading volume of commodity options has significantly dropped by 24.45% compared to the previous week [1] - Open interest in commodity options has also decreased by 24.29% week-over-week, reflecting a notable decline in market activity [1] - The implied volatility for lithium carbonate and soda ash options has fallen by over 4 percentage points, currently positioned in the historical 60%-70% and 30%-40% percentile levels, respectively [1]
商品期权周报:隐波下降,市场震荡回落-20250825
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:43
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the trading volume of commodity options decreased significantly by 24.45% compared to last week, and the open interest decreased by 24.29%. The market sentiment of commodity options cooled significantly, and the implied volatility of options generally declined [2][4]. - The implied volatility of lithium carbonate and soda ash options decreased by more than 4 percentage points compared to last Friday and are currently at the 60%-70% and 30%-40% historical quantile levels respectively [2][4]. 3. Summary of Relevant Content Volatility - As of Friday's close, the implied volatility of crude oil options was 28.91%, a decrease of 4.35% from a week ago; lithium carbonate options was 42.69%, a decrease of 5.54%; rebar options was 11.35%, a decrease of 0.46%; soda ash options was 18.20%, a decrease of 1.48%; gold options was 15.51%, a decrease of 0.25%; silver options was 18.06%, a decrease of 0.21%; palm oil options was 15.61%, an increase of 0.14%; soybean oil options was 21.60%, an increase of 2.06%; rapeseed oil options was 19.84%, a decrease of 0.35%; rubber options was 12.69%, a decrease of 2.85% [1][4]. Figures - There are multiple figures in the report, including those showing the trading volume and open interest, implied volatility and historical volatility, skewness structure, and term structure of various commodity options such as crude oil, lithium carbonate, rebar, soda ash, gold, silver, palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and rubber [5][13][20].
商品期权数据日报-20250814
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 07:36
Report Title - The report is titled "Commodity Option Data Daily Report" [3] Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report presents historical volatility, daily fluctuations, and other data of various commodities, and recommends option trading strategies based on the relative levels of commodity volatility [2][4][9] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Commodity Volatility Data - **Historical Volatility and Daily Fluctuations**: Data on historical volatility (HV20, HV40, HV60, HV120) and daily price fluctuations of multiple commodities such as Shanghai Aluminum, Shanghai Copper, and Shanghai Zinc are provided For example, Shanghai Aluminum's main price is 20790 with a 0.63% daily increase, and its HV20 is 7.71% [4] Implied Volatility Data - **主力平值IV and Its Quantile**: Implied volatility data, including the main at - the - money implied volatility (IV) and its quantile, are given for various commodities For instance, the main at - the - money IV of butadiene rubber is 74% with a quantile of 49% [5] Strategy Recommendations - **Selling Strangle for Lithium Carbonate**: Due to the relatively high volatility of lithium carbonate, it is recommended to sell a strangle combination (sell LC2509C80000 + sell LC2509P75000) on July 24, 2025, and use dynamic futures hedging, then close the position when volatility decreases [9] - **Buying Strangle for Iron Ore, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: Given the relatively low volatility of iron ore, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, it is recommended to buy strangle combinations for these commodities on June 3, 2025, use dynamic futures hedging, and close the position when volatility increases For example, for iron ore, buy I2509C690 + buy I2509P700 [9]
国泰君安期货商品期权日报-2025-03-10
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-03-10 06:42
Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious approach towards the agricultural commodities sector, recommending selling out-of-the-money call options for glass and considering buying out-of-the-money options for soybean meal and soybean oil as potential hedging strategies [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a downward trend in futures prices for various agricultural commodities, with specific recommendations for trading strategies based on market volatility and price movements [2][3]. - It emphasizes the potential for price increases in soybean meal and soybean oil, suggesting that investors may benefit from buying options to hedge against risks [2]. Agricultural Data Summary - **Futures Market Statistics**: - Corn (c2505) closed at 2308 with no change, while soybean meal (m2505) decreased by 8 to 2885. Palm oil (p2505) saw an increase of 144 to 9106, indicating mixed performance across different commodities [3]. - **Options Market Statistics**: - The trading volume for corn options was 51,926, down by 40,988, with a put-call ratio (PCR) of 0.9533. Soybean meal options showed a significant drop in trading volume, indicating reduced market activity [6]. - **Volatility Indicators**: - The report provides insights into the implied volatility for various commodities, with soybean meal showing a 60-day historical volatility of 22.28% and corn at 10.98%, suggesting varying levels of market uncertainty [8]. Energy and Chemical Data Summary - **Futures Market Statistics**: - PTA (ta2505) closed at 4864, up by 22, while ethylene glycol (eg2505) decreased by 6 to 4538. The report notes significant changes in trading volumes across various chemical commodities [9]. - **Options Market Statistics**: - The trading volume for PTA options was 214,104, down by 111,296, indicating a decline in market engagement [10]. - **Volatility Indicators**: - PTA options showed a 60-day historical volatility of 14.64%, reflecting market expectations of price fluctuations [11]. Metal Data Summary - **Futures Market Statistics**: - Iron ore (i2505) closed at 774.0, with a slight increase of 1.0, while rebar (rb2505) decreased by 30 to 3252, indicating mixed performance in the metal sector [12]. - **Options Market Statistics**: - The trading volume for iron ore options was 124,608, down by 67,787, suggesting reduced trading activity [13]. - **Volatility Indicators**: - Iron ore options displayed a 60-day historical volatility of 15.68%, indicating moderate market uncertainty [14]. Precious Metals Data Summary - **Futures Market Statistics**: - Gold (au2506) closed at 681.24, down by 1.16, while silver (ag2506) decreased by 7 to 8069, reflecting a downward trend in precious metals [16]. - **Options Market Statistics**: - The trading volume for gold options was 70,981, down by 21,215, indicating a decline in market participation [18]. - **Volatility Indicators**: - Gold options showed a PCR of 1.593, suggesting a higher level of put options relative to calls, indicating bearish sentiment in the market [18].