报告导读： 铸造铝合金期货已于 2025 年 6 月 10 日在上海期货交易所挂牌上市，其中 AD2511 和 AD2512 期货合 约对应的期权合约在当天夜盘开始上市交易。首日上市的期权合约共有 144 个，两个月份合约数量相等， 在期权上市后的首周里，由于标的期货价格连续，期权合约加挂多个行权价格，截至周五收盘，期权合约 共计 150 个，其中近月合约 74 个。 铝合金期权上市首周隐含波动率相对沪铝较高，波动率曲线维持在略微负偏状态，交易量占比从首日 的看涨期权成交量接近看跌期权成交量的两倍，切换成看跌期权成交量和持仓量均较大的状态。 2025 年 6 月 18 日 铸造铝合金期权上市一周回顾 张银 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018397 zhangyin2@gtht.com 铝合金期权持仓市值接近沪铝期权持仓市值的十分之一，由于到期时间较远，可考虑少量使用期权备 兑策略参与期现货套保。 1. 铸造铝合金期权上市概览 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 图 1：铸造铝合金期权合约要素 期货研究 （正文） | 合约标的物 | 铸造铝合金期货合约 ...

Group 1: Cross-Border Financial Services - The People's Bank of China, along with other regulatory bodies, has launched an action plan to enhance cross-border financial services, supporting enterprises in their international expansion [1] - A series of reports titled "Financial Escort for Enterprises Going Abroad" has been initiated to showcase successful practices in cross-border financial services [1] Group 2: Financial Innovation and Events - The 2025 China International Financial Expo will take place from June 18 to 20, featuring a new "FinTech Solutions" section to display cutting-edge technologies in finance [3] - The Shanghai branch of the Agricultural Bank has introduced multiple "carbon element" linked loans, contributing to carbon finance initiatives [15] Group 3: Green Finance Initiatives - A joint notification has been issued by nine departments to leverage Shanghai's role as an international green finance hub, proposing 20 specific measures to support green finance projects [4] - The successful transaction of green certificates for a solar power project by China Everbright Leasing marks a significant step in green finance innovation [12] Group 4: Financial Market Developments - The first recycled commodity futures and options for aluminum have been launched, indicating a new market for sustainable materials [6] - The total issuance of technology innovation bonds has exceeded 374.8 billion yuan within the first month of their introduction, reflecting strong market interest [17] Group 5: Insurance and Risk Management - A domestic trade credit insurance co-insurance body has been established to enhance insurance capacity and meet enterprise needs, initially providing 10 billion yuan in coverage [14] - The Shanghai insurance industry is actively promoting the third pillar of the pension system, focusing on personal pension policy education and service [13]

Group 1: Hydrogen Energy Initiatives - The National Energy Administration has launched pilot projects for hydrogen energy, aiming to innovate management models and explore diversified development paths within three years [1] - The pilot projects are expected to provide replicable experiences to support the entire hydrogen energy chain, including production, storage, transportation, and utilization [1] Group 2: Methane Emission Control - China's coal mine methane extraction is projected to reach 13.5 billion cubic meters in 2024, with a utilization rate of 44.4%, exceeding 6 billion cubic meters [2] - The establishment of over 20 low-concentration gas and wind drainage gas oxidation utilization projects demonstrates significant progress in methane emission control [2] Group 3: Recycling and Circular Economy - The launch of aluminum alloy futures and options on June 10 marks the introduction of China's first recycled commodity futures, enhancing the pricing system for recycled metals [3] - This financial tool is expected to promote resource recycling and support the low-carbon transition of the aluminum industry [3] Group 4: ESG Support for SMEs - The "ESG One" platform in Hong Kong has attracted over 1,200 enterprises within six months, with 95% being small and medium-sized enterprises [4] - The platform integrates assessment tools, technical support, and training resources to provide comprehensive sustainable development solutions [4] Group 5: Green Methanol Production - Shanghai Electric's green methanol integrated demonstration project is set to produce its first batch of green methanol in July, marking a significant step in commercializing green hydrogen-derived fuels [5][6] - This project aims to provide a viable pathway for the low-carbon transition in the shipping industry [6] Group 6: Climate Change Adaptation - South Africa has launched its first coastal climate change adaptation plan to address threats such as rising sea levels and extreme weather [7] - This initiative reflects proactive measures by developing countries to tackle climate crises, offering a practical example of balancing pollution reduction and adaptation [7]

铸造铝合金AD2511正式交易首日价格走势。截图自Wind 华夏时报（www.chinatimes.net.cn）记者 梁宝欣 深圳报道 经中国证监会同意，铸造铝合金期货、铸造铝合金期权分别在6月10日9时、21时先后在上海期货交易所挂牌交 易。 6月9日，上期所发布铸造铝合金期货合约上市挂牌基准价，AD2511、AD2512、AD2601、AD2602、AD2603、 AD2604、AD2605合约的挂牌基准价为18365元/吨。 | < W | | | 铸造铝合金2511 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | AD2511.SHF | | | | | | | 19190 | 昨结 | | 18365 | 总手 | | 5.23万 | 万得 | | | | | | | | | | 器图 | | | +825 | +4.49% 升盘 | | 19400 | 现手 | | 4 | | | | 最高价 持 | 19500 | B | | 9723 | 21 월 | | 2.41万 | | | ने क ...

热点报告——商品期权 铸造铝合金期权合约规则要点及上市首 日点评 报告日期： 2025 年 6 月 11 日 ★ 铸造铝合金期权上市首日交易情况： 价格走势超预期、模型风险。 | 吴奇翀 | 产业咨询资深分析师 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格号： | F03103978 | | 投资咨询号： | Z0019617 | | Tel： | 8621-63325888 | | Email： | qichong.wu@orientfutures.com | 首日上市的铸造铝合金期权 AD2511 距离到期时间为 93 个交 易日。当前现货价格 90 交易日波动率为 10.42%，历史一年 最小值、均值和最大值分别为 8.47%、11.25%和 12.48%；沪 铝期货指数 90 交易日波动率为 12.06%，近一年最小值、均 值、最大值分别为 10.08%，12.85%，14.17%。截至今日收盘， 铸造铝合金主力平值期权的隐含波动率为 12.60%，高于现货 及沪铝期货的历史波动率。 2025 年 6 月 10 日夜盘起，铸造铝合金期权正式上市交易， 首批上市交易合约为 AD2511、AD2512 期 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options on the Shanghai Futures Exchange marks a significant development in the aluminum industry, enhancing price discovery and risk management capabilities for industry players [2]. - On June 11, the main contract for casting aluminum alloy futures closed at 19,318 yuan/ton, up 0.78% from the previous day's closing price, with a trading volume of 18,700 contracts and an open interest of 10,600 contracts [1]. - The first day of trading on June 10 saw the main contract close at 19,190 yuan/ton, an increase of 825 yuan/ton or 4.49% from the listing benchmark price of 18,365 yuan/ton, with total trading volume of 57,300 contracts and a transaction value of 11.011 billion yuan [1]. Group 2 - China has established a complete aluminum industry chain from bauxite to aluminum applications, and the introduction of casting aluminum alloy futures and options is expected to create a standardized, transparent, and efficient pricing mechanism [2]. - The new futures and options are anticipated to synergize with existing alumina and electrolytic aluminum futures and options on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, significantly contributing to the risk management capabilities of aluminum industry enterprises and promoting green, low-carbon, and high-quality development [2].

Core Insights - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options on June 10 marks a historic moment for China's futures market, filling a gap in the domestic recycled metal derivatives market and providing new risk management tools for aluminum industry chain enterprises [1][3]. Market Performance - The first trading day of casting aluminum alloy futures saw an overall upward trend, with the main contract AD2511 opening at 19,400 CNY/ton and closing at 19,190 CNY/ton, an increase of 825 CNY/ton or 4.49% from the listing benchmark price of 18,365 CNY/ton [3]. - The trading volume reached 57,300 contracts with a transaction value exceeding 11.011 billion CNY, and the open interest stood at 11,500 contracts, indicating strong market interest [1][3]. - The main contract AD2511 was particularly active, with a single-day transaction of 52,300 contracts and a transaction value of 10.1 billion CNY, reflecting high market engagement [3]. Industry Participation - A total of nine well-known enterprises actively participated in the trading on the first day, including Lichong Sihua Light Alloy Group, Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Alloy Co., and others, demonstrating strong interest from the industry [4]. - The participation of these companies highlights the urgent demand for risk management tools in the aluminum alloy trade sector, as they are sensitive to price fluctuations and have pressing hedging needs [4]. Risk Management Framework - The introduction of casting aluminum alloy futures improves the hedging effectiveness compared to previous aluminum futures, forming a comprehensive risk hedging system alongside alumina futures and Shanghai aluminum futures [4]. - This new tool allows trading companies to stabilize their operations and better serve their upstream and downstream clients by providing diverse pricing and risk management services tailored to various market conditions [4].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options on June 10 marks a significant milestone for China's futures market and the recycling metal industry, enhancing risk management and promoting high-quality development in the aluminum sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Launch Details - The first trading of casting aluminum alloy futures occurred at the Shanghai Futures Exchange, with seven contracts listed at a benchmark price of 18,365 yuan/ton [1]. - On the first trading day, a total of 57,300 contracts were traded, amounting to 11.011 billion yuan, with an open interest of 11,500 contracts [1]. - The main contract, AD2511, closed at 19,190 yuan/ton, reflecting a 4.49% increase [1]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The introduction of casting aluminum alloy futures and options is seen as a key development in integrating finance with the non-ferrous metal industry, enhancing China's international influence in aluminum production [1][2]. - The launch is expected to provide companies with effective risk management tools, addressing previous shortcomings in hedging against price fluctuations in aluminum alloys [2]. - The listing has garnered positive responses from industry players, with several well-known companies actively participating in the trading [2]. Group 3: Role of Intermediaries - Futures companies are positioned to offer comprehensive services, from standardized contracts to customized solutions for risk management in the aluminum industry [3]. - The ability to design personalized products based on standardized contracts will enhance the precision of risk management services for enterprises [3]. - Futures companies can facilitate industry participation in the futures market through simple methods, leveraging their risk management subsidiaries [3].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options on June 10 marks a significant milestone for China's futures market, enhancing price discovery and risk management capabilities within the aluminum industry [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The first trading day saw a total transaction amount exceeding 11 billion yuan, with all seven contracts closing higher, particularly the main contract AD2511, which rose by 825 yuan/ton, a 4.49% increase from the listing price [2]. - The main contract AD2511 had a trading volume of 52,300 lots, accounting for 101 billion yuan of the total transaction amount, with a closing position of 9,723 lots [2]. Group 2: Industry Participation - Several leading companies in the aluminum industry actively participated in the trading of casting aluminum alloy futures, including Lichong Sijun Light Alloy Group, Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Alloy Co., and others [4]. - The participation of these companies is crucial for the futures market to effectively perform its price discovery function, as the application of futures tools in the non-ferrous metal industry has become well-established [4]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options is seen as a key development for the recycling metal industry, contributing to resource security and promoting green and low-carbon transformation [4]. - The introduction of these financial instruments is expected to enhance the international influence of China's aluminum industry and support the establishment of a comprehensive risk management system [4].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options in China aims to establish a transparent and efficient pricing mechanism, enhancing risk management capabilities within the aluminum industry and promoting sustainable development [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The first day of trading for the main contract AD2511 saw an opening price of 19,400 CNY/ton and a closing price of 19,190 CNY/ton, reflecting an increase of 825 CNY/ton or 4.49% from the listing benchmark price of 18,365 CNY/ton [3]. - A total of 57,300 contracts were traded, amounting to 11.011 billion CNY, with an open interest of 11,500 contracts [3]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Price Expectations - Analysts noted that the initial high opening was due to the low benchmark price set by the exchange, leading to a narrow trading range and a back structure in the market, indicating a consensus among investors regarding a bearish outlook for future prices [3]. - The expected price range for the AD2511 contract is projected to be between 18,000 CNY/ton and 19,700 CNY/ton, influenced by supply pressures and cost support [4]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The aluminum alloy production capacity is anticipated to continue increasing, with demand primarily driven by the automotive sector, likely resulting in a supply surplus [3]. - The current spot price for ADC12 is estimated to be between 19,500 CNY/ton and 20,000 CNY/ton, with production costs around 20,086 CNY/ton, suggesting potential buying opportunities at lower prices [4].