Market Overview - The US dollar index stabilized and rose by 0.15%, closing at 98.29 [2] - Spot gold ended a seven-day winning streak, dropping 0.38% to close at $3545.78 per ounce after reaching nearly $3510 per ounce during the day [2] - Spot silver fell below $41 per ounce, closing down 1.32% at $40.67 per ounce [2] Economic Indicators - The US ADP employment growth for August slowed significantly to 54,000, below the market expectation of 65,000, with July revised to 104,000 [3] - Initial jobless claims in the US increased by 8,000 to 237,000, the highest since June, exceeding the expected 230,000 [3] - The US trade deficit surged by 32.5% in July to $78.3 billion, higher than the expected $75.7 billion, marking a four-month high [4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's third-ranking official indicated that gradual rate cuts would be appropriate if economic conditions align with expectations [5] - A 2026 voting member reiterated opposition to a rate cut in September, citing persistent high inflation [5] Trade Relations - The US and Japan reached an agreement on tariff trade terms, with Japan committing to increase US rice purchases by 75% [3] - The US government criticized Norway's sovereign wealth fund for withdrawing investments from Caterpillar, indicating concerns over the fund's actions [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, domestic liquidity is expected to remain loose, and it is in a policy window period. More incremental policies may be introduced in the second half of the year to boost the real economy. External risks are gradually easing, and the increasing probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September further enhances the attractiveness of RMB assets [2]. - The current market is in a resonance period of "policy bottom + capital bottom + valuation bottom", but investors need to adapt to the accelerating sector rotation and structural differentiation. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which have more technology - growth components, are more offensive, with larger fluctuations but potentially higher returns. The SSE 50 and CSI 300 indices, which have more dividend - blue - chip components, are more defensive, with smaller fluctuations but relatively weaker price elasticity [2]. - Since July, the stock index has been rising continuously with a large increase. There are signs of short - term adjustment, but the probability of the medium - and long - term market continuation is high [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IF contracts (including current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) decreased compared to the day before. The price declines were - 83.40, - 84.80, - 81.20, and - 79.40 respectively, with corresponding decline rates of - 1.88%, - 1.92%, - 1.84%, and - 1.81%. The trading volumes were 133914.00, 8218.00, 57395.00, and 15256.00 respectively, and the open interests increased by 6959.00, 915.00, 3261.00, and 1301.00 respectively [1]. - **IH Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IH contracts decreased. The price declines were - 44.40, - 43.80, - 44.80, and - 45.00 respectively, with decline rates of - 1.51%, - 1.49%, - 1.52%, and - 1.53%. The trading volumes were 65727.00, 5056.00, 24358.00, and 6289.00 respectively, and the open interests increased by 4043.00, 826.00, 2463.00, and 1652.00 respectively [1]. - **IC Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IC contracts declined. The price declines were - 165.00, - 164.60, - 167.00, and - 169.20 respectively, with decline rates of - 2.42%, - 2.44%, - 2.51%, and - 2.60%. The trading volumes were 113276.00, 8055.00, 55486.00, and 17262.00 respectively, and the open interests increased by 9697.00, 1664.00, 2409.00, and 2562.00 respectively [1]. - **IM Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IM contracts decreased. The price declines were - 158.40, - 151.60, - 154.20, and - 147.40 respectively, with decline rates of - 2.21%, - 2.14%, - 2.22%, and - 2.17%. The trading volumes were 239398.00, 15491.00, 98940.00, and 29410.00 respectively. The open interest of the current - month contract decreased by 1649.00, while those of the next - month, next - quarter, and far - quarter contracts increased by 1824.00, 3861.00, and 1460.00 respectively [1]. 3.2 Stock Index Spot Market - **Index Performance**: The previous day's values of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices decreased compared to the day before, with decline rates of - 2.12%, - 1.71%, - 2.48%, and - 2.30% respectively. The trading volumes and total trading amounts of these indices also changed [1]. - **Industry Performance**: Different industries in the CSI 300 index showed various trends. The energy, raw materials, industry, optional consumption, major consumption, medical and health, real - estate finance, information technology, telecommunications, and public utilities industries had different decline or increase rates, with the telecommunications industry having a significant decline rate of - 9.13% and the public utilities industry having a slight increase rate of 0.40% [1]. 3.3 Futures - Spot Basis - For the CSI 300, the basis differences between IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, far - quarter) and the CSI 300 index changed compared to the day before [1]. - For the SSE 50, the basis differences between IH contracts and the SSE 50 index also changed [1]. - For the CSI 500, the basis differences between IC contracts and the CSI 500 index changed [1]. - For the CSI 1000, the basis differences between IM contracts and the CSI 1000 index changed [1]. 3.4 Other Domestic and Overseas Indices - Domestic indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - sized Board Index, and ChiNext Index decreased compared to the day before, with decline rates of - 1.25%, - 2.83%, - 2.37%, and - 4.25% respectively [1]. - Overseas indices such as the Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P 500, and DAX Index had different performance, with the Hang Seng Index declining by - 1.12% and the Nikkei 225, S&P 500, and DAX Index increasing by 1.53%, 0.83%, and 0.74% respectively [1]. 3.5 Macro Information - The Ministry of Commerce announced China's first anti - circumvention investigation ruling, deciding to implement anti - circumvention measures on US exporters from September 4 [2]. - President Xi Jinping held talks with North Korean leader Kim Jong - un, emphasizing China's support for North Korea's development path and its objective and fair stance on the Korean Peninsula issue [2]. - The General Office of the State Council issued an opinion on releasing sports consumption potential and promoting the high - quality development of the sports industry, aiming to cultivate world - influential sports enterprises and events and achieve a total industry scale of over 7 trillion yuan by 2030 [2]. - Two departments issued an action plan for stabilizing the growth of the electronic information manufacturing industry, with the expected average growth rate of the added value of scale - above computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries at about 7% from 2025 - 2026, and the average annual revenue growth rate of the electronic information manufacturing industry exceeding 5% including related fields [2]. - Shanghai launched the "Keyan" Return Plan (pilot), providing 50,000 yuan in subsidies to eligible female scientific and technological talents after childbirth [2]. 3.6 Industry Information - From January to July, China's renewable energy added 283 million kilowatts of installed capacity, with a total installed capacity of 2.171 billion kilowatts, accounting for nearly 60% of the country's total installed capacity. Efforts will be made to promote the development of new models and formats of renewable energy [2]. - In September, the housing supply in 28 cities increased by 10% month - on - month due to the traditional marketing peak season. The supply in first - tier cities rebounded significantly, while that in second - tier cities remained flat month - on - month but halved year - on - year with intensified internal differentiation. The supply in third - and fourth - tier cities increased both month - on - month and year - on - year due to the influence of individual cities such as Wuxi [2]. - The Securities Association of China launched the 2025 single - business quality evaluation work for securities companies' investment banking, bond business, and major asset restructuring financial advisory business, requiring relevant evaluation materials to be submitted by September 15 [2]. 3.7 Stock Index Views - The three major US indices rose, while the stock index continued to correct in the previous trading day, with the communication sector leading the decline. The market turnover was 2.58 trillion yuan. On September 2, the margin trading balance increased by 1.548 billion yuan to 2.273914 trillion yuan [2].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce of China has initiated anti-circumvention measures against imported optical fiber products originating from the United States, marking the first anti-circumvention investigation in China [1][3] - The investigation was launched on March 4, 2025, following a request from domestic companies, focusing on single-mode optical fibers with specific cutoff wavelength displacement [1][3] - Evidence indicated that U.S. exporters were circumventing China's anti-dumping measures on non-dispersive single-mode optical fibers by exporting related products [1][3] Group 2 - The anti-circumvention investigation aligns with Chinese laws and WTO rules, aiming to uphold the authority of existing trade remedy measures and ensure their effectiveness [3] - The Ministry of Commerce has collected public opinions on the draft rules for anti-circumvention investigations and plans to further enrich and improve China's trade remedy investigation system [3] - The Ministry emphasizes a cautious approach to implementing trade remedy measures while firmly protecting the legitimate rights and interests of domestic industries [3]

Industry Overview Upstream - International crude oil prices are fluctuating at a low level, and PTA prices are falling [2] Midstream - PX operating rate is increasing, and coal consumption of power plants is decreasing [3] Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in second - and third - tier cities are picking up, and the number of international flights is declining [4] Zhongguan Event Overview Production Industry - In the first half of 2025, BYD led in terms of revenue and net profit among listed car companies, while GAC Group's data were at the bottom and it turned from profit to loss. Many car companies saw revenue growth, with BYD and Geely hitting record highs, but only BYD maintained profit growth, and its automotive gross margin dropped by two percentage points [1] - The Ministry of Commerce ruled that US optical fiber producers and exporters circumvented anti - dumping measures on non - dispersion - shifted single - mode optical fibers from the US by changing trade patterns [1] Service Industry - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China held a meeting, affirming the achievements since its establishment last year and discussing topics such as financial market operation, government bond issuance management, etc. They believe that the coordinated efforts of fiscal and monetary policies provide support for the economy [1] Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry Name | Indicator Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Value | YoY | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price: Corn | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 2302.9 | 0.00% | | | Spot price: Eggs | Daily | Yuan/kg | 9/3 | | | | | Spot price: Palm oil | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 9492.0 | - 0.77% | | | Spot price: Cotton | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 15460.2 | 0.82% | | | Average wholesale price: Pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 9/3 | 20.0 | 0.60% | | | Spot price: Copper | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 80360.0 | 0.97% | | | Spot price: Zinc | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 22220.0 | - 0.20% | | Non - ferrous metals | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 20743.3 | - 0.22% | | | Spot price: Nickel | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 123333.3 | 1.12% | | | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 16825.0 | - 0.07% | | | Spot price: Rebar | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3154.5 | - 2.67% | | Ferrous metals | Spot price: Iron ore | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 782.3 | - 0.92% | | | Spot price: Wire rod | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3322.5 | - 1.99% | | | Spot price: Glass | Daily | Yuan/square meter | 9/3 | 13.9 | 0.00% | | Non - metals | Spot price: Natural rubber | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 15050.0 | 0.95% | | | China Plastics City price index | Daily | - | 9/3 | 802.4 | - 0.18% | | Energy | Spot price: WTI crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 9/3 | 65.6 | 3.70% | | | Spot price: Brent crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 9/3 | 69.1 | 2.86% | | | Spot price: Liquefied natural gas | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3892.0 | - 1.32% | | | Coal price: Coal | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 782.0 | - 0.13% | | Chemical industry | Spot price: PTA | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 4749.5 | - 3.34% | | | Spot price: Polyethylene | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 7425.0 | - 0.36% | | | Spot price: Urea | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 1712.5 | 0.29% | | | Spot price: Soda ash | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 1262.5 | - 2.13% | | Real estate | Cement price index: National | Daily | - | 9/3 | 129.3 | - 0.55% | | | Building materials composite index | Daily | Points | 9/3 | 113.1 | - 1.53% | | | Concrete price index: National index | Daily | Points | 9/3 | 92.9 | - 0.14% | [38]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce of China has initiated anti-circumvention measures against imports of certain optical fiber products from the United States, specifically related to G.654.C optical fibers, due to evidence of evasion of existing anti-dumping measures [1][3]. Group 1: Investigation and Findings - On March 4, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce launched an anti-circumvention investigation into imports of G.654.C optical fibers from the U.S. following a request from domestic companies, marking China's first anti-circumvention investigation [1]. - The investigation revealed that U.S. exporters were circumventing China's anti-dumping measures on non-dispersion shifted single-mode optical fibers by altering their trade practices, which undermined the effectiveness of existing measures [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - As a result of the investigation, the Ministry of Commerce recommended adjustments to the tax scope to the State Council Tariff Commission, which decided to apply the existing anti-dumping tax rates on non-dispersion shifted single-mode optical fibers to the newly identified G.654.C optical fibers starting September 4, 2025 [3]. - The anti-dumping tax rates for specific companies are as follows: Corning Incorporated at 37.9%, OFS Fitel, LLC at 33.3%, Draka Communications Americas, Inc. at 78.2%, and other U.S. companies at 78.2% [3].

Core Viewpoint - China has implemented anti-circumvention measures on imported optical fiber products originating from the United States, effective from September 4, 2025, following an investigation initiated by domestic companies [1] Group 1: Investigation and Measures - The Ministry of Commerce of China announced the initiation of an anti-circumvention investigation into the import of specific single-mode optical fibers from the U.S. due to potential circumvention of existing anti-dumping measures [1] - This case marks the first anti-circumvention investigation conducted by China [1] - The investigation revealed that U.S. optical fiber manufacturers and exporters altered trade practices to export specific single-mode optical fibers to China, undermining the effectiveness of current anti-dumping measures [1] Group 2: Implementation and Transparency - The Ministry of Commerce stated that the investigation process was conducted in a transparent manner, ensuring the rights of all stakeholders were protected [1] - Based on the investigation results, anti-circumvention measures will be implemented starting September 4, 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce of China has initiated anti-circumvention measures against imported optical fiber products from the United States, marking the first such investigation in China [2][4]. Group 1: Investigation Details - On March 4, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce launched an anti-circumvention investigation into imported single-mode optical fibers with specific cutoff wavelength displacement from the U.S. following a request from domestic companies [2]. - The investigation revealed that U.S. exporters were circumventing existing anti-dumping measures on non-dispersive single-mode optical fibers by altering their trade practices [4]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The Ministry of Commerce has recommended adjustments to the tax scope to the State Council Tariff Commission, which has decided to apply the existing anti-dumping tax rates on non-dispersive single-mode optical fibers to the newly identified optical fibers from the U.S. starting September 4, 2025 [4]. - The anti-dumping tax is calculated based on the customs-determined taxable price of the imported goods [4]. Group 3: Implications and Expert Opinions - The anti-circumvention investigation aims to prevent U.S. manufacturers or exporters from evading trade remedy measures, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of China's trade remedy practices [5]. - This investigation is seen as a significant step in enriching China's trade remedy investigation practices and strengthening the protective effect of trade remedy measures [5].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. fiber optic manufacturers and exporters are found to be circumventing existing anti-dumping measures by altering trade practices, specifically regarding the export of G.654.C single-mode fiber to China [2][3] Group 1: Anti-Dumping Measures - The current anti-dumping measures were first implemented on April 21, 2011, with a five-year duration, and were renewed on April 21, 2017, for another five years [2] - The anti-dumping tax rates for U.S. companies were adjusted to a range of 33.3% to 78.2% on July 10, 2018 [2] - The latest announcement on April 21, 2023, confirmed the continuation of anti-dumping duties for another five years starting April 22, 2023 [2] Group 2: New Regulations - Based on investigation results, the Ministry of Commerce proposed adjustments to the tax scope, which were accepted by the State Council Tariff Commission [3] - Starting September 4, 2025, the existing anti-dumping tax rates for non-dispersive single-mode fiber will also apply to G.654.C single-mode fiber imported from the U.S. [3] - Specific anti-dumping tax rates for companies are as follows: Corning Inc. at 37.9%, OFS-Fitel LLC at 3.3%, and Draka Communications USA at 78.2%, with other U.S. companies also facing a rate of 78.2% [3] - The implementation period for these anti-circumvention measures will last from September 4, 2025, to April 21, 2028 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce of China has announced the implementation of anti-dumping measures on imported non-dispersion shifted single-mode optical fibers originating from the United States, effective from September 4, 2025, due to circumvention of existing anti-dumping regulations by U.S. exporters [1] Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce conducted an investigation and found that U.S. fiber manufacturers and exporters altered trade practices to export related cutoff wavelength displacement single-mode fibers (G.654.C fibers) to China, undermining the effectiveness of current anti-dumping measures [1] - The Ministry has recommended adjustments to the tax scope to the State Council Tariff Commission, which has agreed to apply the existing anti-dumping tax rate on non-dispersion shifted single-mode optical fibers to the related cutoff wavelength displacement single-mode fibers from the U.S. [1]

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber (601869.SH) saw its stock price rise over 6% to 97 yuan, reaching a historical high due to the Ministry of Commerce's ruling on anti-dumping measures against U.S. imports of specific optical fibers [1] Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The Ministry of Commerce announced a ruling regarding the anti-circumvention investigation of imported wavelength-shifting single-mode optical fibers from the U.S. [1] - The ruling determined that U.S. fiber manufacturers and exporters altered trade practices to export related wavelength-shifting single-mode optical fibers (G.654.C fibers) to China, undermining existing anti-dumping measures [1] - The Ministry proposed adjustments to the tax scope to the State Council Tariff Commission, which decided to apply the current anti-dumping tax rates on non-dispersive wavelength-shifting single-mode optical fibers from the U.S. starting September 4, 2025 [1] Group 2: Anti-Dumping Tax Rates - The anti-dumping tax rates for various companies are as follows: Corning Incorporated at 37.9%, OFS Fitel, LLC at 33.3%, Draka Communications Americas, Inc. at 78.2%, and other U.S. companies at 78.2% [1]