Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [4] Core Views - The cement price is experiencing an upward trend, with a notable increase in the Yangtze River Delta region where the price of cement clinker rose by 30 yuan/ton. The cement sector has seen two rounds of price increases this year, with the first round starting in late February and peaking in mid-March with a rise of approximately 9.2%. The second round began at the end of June, peaking in mid-July with a rise of about 28%. The report suggests that the bottom of the cement market may have been reached, with expectations for gradual improvement in the second half of the year due to supply-side production cuts and demand-side infrastructure support [2][12][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of August 11-15, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 2.37%, while the construction materials sector (CITIC) increased by 2.13%. Notable individual stock performances included Honghe Technology (+33.1%), International Composite Materials (+28.9%), and Zhongcai Technology (+19.9%) [1][12]. Cement Sector Insights - The report indicates that the cement market has maintained low prices for an extended period, but with rising coal costs, companies are showing a stronger willingness to increase prices. The report anticipates a gradual improvement in the cement sector, driven by infrastructure projects and a recovery in real estate demand [2][16]. Recommended Stocks - The report highlights a focus on the following stocks: Honghe Technology, Zhongcai Technology, Qingsong Jianhua, Xizang Tianlu, and Huaxin Cement. It emphasizes that the traditional construction materials industry is nearing a cyclical bottom, with potential growth in new materials related to high-demand sectors [3][18].

Group 1 - The new materials industry is experiencing a simultaneous increase in both volume and price, indicating a potential turning point, with a positive outlook on the investment chain [1] - In the fiberglass market, demand for high-end electronic yarn remains stable, and some products are in short supply [1] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from key projects like the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway, with discussions on staggered production in regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Hubei, which could lead to a recovery in cement prices [1] Group 2 - Demand for photovoltaic glass is strong, with slight price increases and a continuous decline in inventory [1] - The New Materials 50 ETF (159761) tracks the New Materials Index (H30597), focusing on listed companies involved in advanced basic materials, key strategic materials, and cutting-edge new materials [1] - The index is characterized by high growth potential and technological innovation, primarily focusing on sectors closely related to new materials research and application, such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and electronics [1]

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 建筑材料 证券研究报告 关注传统板块回调机会，继续推荐高端电子布品种 行情回顾 本周沪深 300 跌 1.75%，建材(中信)跌 3.32%。个股中，宏和科技（+22.1%） 涨幅居前。上周我们重点推荐组合的表现：宏和科技（+22.1%）、中材科技 （-2.5%）、西部水泥（-1.44%）、华新水泥（-6.9%）、科达制造（与机械组联 合覆盖）（-1.8%）、高争民爆（-13.8%）、三棵树（-1.7%）。 关注传统板块回调机会，继续推荐高端电子布品种 本周中共中央政治局召开会议，在稳增长方面，会议强调要"着力稳就业、 稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"、"有效释放内需潜力"，继续强调稳增长基调； 在反内卷方面，会议指出要"依法依规治理企业无序竞争，推进重点行业产 能治理"，进一步明确对"反内卷"的定调，结合前期加快推进《价格法》 的修订，我们认为后续反内卷的治理将形成"市场+行政+法律"的组合拳， 短期来看，从市场化角度考虑，我们认为具备较好协同基础且需求有支撑的 行业复价效果或更明显（如水泥），中长期来看，部分行业的产能治理将依 靠行政化手段，而违规产能或低效产能相对较多的行业产能出清或 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The low dielectric electronic cloth industry is projected to have a very optimistic market outlook, with the CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) market expected to reach USD 20.2 billion by 2029, growing at an annual rate of 8.3% from 2025 to 2029. The high-end CCL segment is anticipated to grow even faster, with a growth rate of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [2][3]. Key Companies and Their Performance Zhongcai Technology (中材科技) - Zhongcai Technology is expected to achieve approximately RMB 1.5-1.6 billion in revenue for 2025, with a market capitalization exceeding RMB 20 billion. The Low DK and Q products are projected to generate revenues of RMB 290 million in 2025 and RMB 770 million in 2026, corresponding to a market cap potential of RMB 23 billion [4][15]. - By 2027, the net profit is expected to reach RMB 1.1 billion, leading to a market cap of RMB 56 billion. The company has over 50% growth potential due to its comprehensive product system and large production capacity [4][15]. Honghe Technology (宏和科技) - Honghe Technology is expected to generate a net profit of approximately RMB 110 million in 2025, increasing to RMB 310 million in 2026. The overall net profit is projected to rise from RMB 430 million in 2025 to at least RMB 860 million in 2026, indicating significant market space [5][16]. - The estimated market cap for 2026 is around RMB 17.3 billion, with potential growth to RMB 25.7 billion by 2027 [5]. International Composite Materials (国际复材) - International Composite Materials is expected to double its supply of low DK2 products by 2026, reaching 500,000 to 600,000 meters. The profit from low DK2 products could reach RMB 250 million [6][12]. - The company anticipates a total profit of RMB 300 million in 2026, with a market cap estimated between RMB 18 billion and RMB 25 billion, indicating a 60% growth potential [12][18]. Feilihua (菲利华) - Feilihua relies heavily on military logic, with its K fabric business expected to match Zhongcai's scale. The production capacity for 2026 and 2027 is projected at 2 million and 4 million meters, respectively, with corresponding profits of RMB 170 million and RMB 370 million [8][17]. Honghe Technology (红河科技) - Honghe Technology's business is purely focused on electronic cloth, with an expected profit of RMB 200 million in 2025. The company is noted for its high business elasticity, with potential growth exceeding that of Zhongcai and International Composite Materials [10][11]. Market Trends and Pricing - There is a market trend towards price increases, which could enhance net profits by approximately 8-9%. For instance, a leading Japanese manufacturer plans to raise prices, reflecting a tight supply-demand situation in the industry [18]. - If price increases are considered, the market cap for Zhongcai Technology could rise from RMB 45 billion to over RMB 50 billion, while Honghe Technology could increase from RMB 20 billion to over RMB 22 billion, and Feilihua could reach around RMB 30 billion [18]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Zhongcai Technology, Honghe Technology, and International Composite Materials, all of which have significant growth potential in the low dielectric electronic cloth business. Zhongcai Technology is particularly highlighted due to its comprehensive product range and largest production capacity [9]. Conclusion - The low dielectric electronic cloth industry is poised for substantial growth driven by demand from high-end GPUs and AI hardware. Key players like Zhongcai Technology, Honghe Technology, and International Composite Materials are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, making them attractive investment opportunities.

Summary of the Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry**: Construction and Building Materials - **Key Trends**: The construction industry is experiencing a downward trend in revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, with accounts receivable turnover impacting ROE significantly. The gross profit margin remains stable. The second half of the year will focus on the impact of debt resolution on cash flow, with potential for improvement in fundamentals if positive changes occur [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Performance**: The construction and building materials sectors are in a state of adjustment, with the building decoration and renovation sectors performing slightly better. Cement and fiberglass prices have rebounded since hitting a low in Q1 of the previous year, leading to better performance compared to the broader market [2][4]. - **Debt Resolution**: The construction sector's debt resolution is crucial, especially for state-owned enterprises, which account for approximately 90% of the revenue and profit of listed construction companies. Significant improvements in cash flow have been observed, particularly among small and medium-sized construction firms [8]. - **Demand and Supply Dynamics**: The building materials sector is facing challenges with domestic orders and output under pressure, but design orders have shown good growth. Local government investments are increasingly focused on industrial investments, affecting project progress [9][10]. Investment Recommendations - **Construction Sector**: Recommended areas include stock renovation, urban renewal, emerging industry services (e.g., semiconductor clean rooms, nuclear power projects), and overseas business. Specific companies to watch include China National Materials, China Chemical, China Nuclear Power, and China State Construction International [5][6]. - **Building Materials Sector**: Focus on overseas business, high-end electronic fabrics, consumer building materials, and companies with clean de-real estate operations like China Liansu. High-dividend companies such as Conch Venture are also worth considering due to their promising waste-to-energy business [7][6]. Additional Important Insights - **Challenges**: The construction industry faces significant demand pressure, with a notable clearing phenomenon. Private enterprises are actively seeking cross-industry transformations, especially following supportive policies for mergers and acquisitions [11][12]. - **Emerging Opportunities**: The overseas market remains robust, with significant growth in direct investment and engineering contracts in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [14]. - **Future Trends**: The nuclear power sector is expected to see significant investment growth, with approvals for new units accelerating. The construction sector is also expected to benefit from increased investment in infrastructure and energy projects [18][19]. Conclusion The construction and building materials sectors are navigating a complex landscape characterized by both challenges and opportunities. Key areas for investment include urban renewal, overseas expansion, and high-demand materials, with a focus on companies that can adapt to changing market conditions and leverage emerging trends in technology and sustainability.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is accelerating, leading to a new round of competition among fiberglass companies. The shortage of low thermal expansion coefficient (Low CTE) glass fabric raw materials and the surge in order demand have resulted in significantly extended delivery times for BT materials, confirming the ongoing supply-demand imbalance in high-end electronic fabrics. The rapid development of the AI industry is driving hardware upgrades, increasing the demand for high-speed, high-frequency PCB boards, which in turn raises the performance requirements for upstream electronic fabrics [4] - The report suggests focusing on companies with existing or potential layouts in high-end electronic fabrics, such as Honghe Technology, Zhongcai Technology, and China Jushi [4] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index (Shenwan) rose by 0.2%, while the cement, glass fiber, and renovation materials indices fell by 0.2%, 0.2%, and rose by 0.6% respectively. The top five gainers included Zhongqi New Materials (+20.5%) and Honghe Technology (+17.1%) [9] 2. Industry Dynamics - In May, the average price of new homes in 100 major cities in China rose by 0.30% month-on-month to 16,815 RMB per square meter, while the average price of second-hand homes fell by 0.71% year-on-year [14] - The sales revenue of the top 100 real estate companies in the first five months of 2025 was 1,443.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.8% [14] - The balance of real estate loans in RMB at the end of the first quarter of 2025 was 53.54 trillion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 0.04% [14] 3. Data Tracking 3.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide was 367.8 RMB per ton, down 3.0 RMB per ton month-on-month and down 6.3% year-on-year [15] - The cement inventory ratio was 65.7%, up 0.4 percentage points month-on-month [15] 3.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass was 1,370.3 RMB per ton, down 24.6 RMB per ton month-on-month and down 409.5 RMB per ton year-on-year [32] 3.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass was 13.6 RMB per square meter, down 0.1 RMB per square meter month-on-month [37] 3.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn was 4,705.0 RMB per ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 40.0 RMB per ton year-on-year [43] 3.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber was 72.5 RMB per kilogram, unchanged month-on-month and down 5.0 RMB per kilogram year-on-year [46]