记者丨赵云帆 编辑丨朱益民 在2025年下半年"化工反内卷"声浪之中，"化工茅"万华化学（600309.SH）的涨价显得有些姗姗来迟，但在影响范围上却有横扫全球之势头。 自2025年12月以来，万华化学接连发布多份调价函，涉及（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯）和TDI（甲苯二异氰酸酯）等公司核心产品。在全球范围内、巴斯 夫、陶氏、亨斯迈等也频频同步上调MDI/TDI价格，聚氨酯价格迎来了近三年来难得一见的强势表现。 这也是继2025年年中科思创TDI装置遭遇火灾不可抗力停产之后，聚氨酯行业在一年内再度迎来一轮涨价契机。 "聚氨酯的行业集中度很高，除万华化学之外的企业均是全球性化工巨头。因此国内的反内卷对聚氨酯行业其实并没有太多直接的影响"，有聚氨酯行业人 士告诉21世纪经济报道记者。"（本次调价）这个事还是属于一个正常的市场调整行为。" 二级市场上，近期万华化学股价呈上涨趋势，近20日累计涨超12%，2025年12月31日股价微跌0.42%，市值为2400亿元。 万华化学(600309) 闭市 12-31 15:00:04 通 融 额 12.6亿 股本31.30亿 市盈™ 21.63 万得 盘口 换 0.52% 市值 ...

记者丨 赵云帆 编辑丨朱益民 在2025年下半年"化工反内卷"声浪之中，"化工茅"万华化学（600309.SH）的涨价显得有些姗 姗来迟，但在影响范围上却有横扫全球之势头。 自2025年12月以来，万华化学接连发布多份调价函，涉及（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯）和TDI （甲苯二异氰酸酯）等公司核心产品。在全球范围内、巴斯夫、陶氏、亨斯迈等也频频同步上 调MDI/TDI价格，聚氨酯价格迎来了近三年来难得一见的强势表现。 这也是继2025年年中科思创TDI装置遭遇火灾不可抗力停产之后，聚氨酯行业在一年内再度迎 来一轮涨价契机。 "聚氨酯的行业集中度很高，除万华化学之外的企业均是全球性化工巨头。因此国内的反内卷 对聚氨酯行业其实并没有太多直接的影响"，有聚氨酯行业人士告诉21世纪经济报道记 者。"（本次调价）这个事还是属于一个正常的市场调整行为。" 二级市场上，近期万华化学股价呈上涨趋势，近20日累计涨超12%，2025年12月31日股价微 跌0.42%，市值为2400亿元。 意外检修涨价潮 21世纪经济报道记者获悉，此轮MDI/TDI涨价首先由巴斯夫发起，包括万华化学在内的其它厂 商开始跟进。 其中，巴斯夫于去年11月 ...

化工ETF紧密跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，中证细分产业主题指数系列由细分有色、细分机械等7 条指数组成，分别从相关细分产业中选取规模较大、流动性较好的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映 相关细分产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年11月28日，中证细分化工产业主题指数(000813)前十大权重股分别为万华化学 (600309)、盐湖股份(000792)、天赐材料(002709)、藏格矿业(000408)、巨化股份(600160)、华鲁恒升 (600426)、多氟多(002407)、恒力石化(600346)、宝丰能源(600989)、云天化(600096)，前十大权重股合 计占比45.41%。 化工ETF(159870)，场外联接(A：014942；C：014943；I：022792)。 消息面上，进入12月，化工原材料市场再度掀起涨价波澜，此次聚焦的核心品种是被誉为"化工黄金原 料"的MDI（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯）。巴斯夫、亨斯迈、万华化学、陶氏化学四大全球巨头密集发布 涨价函，调价范围覆盖欧亚非三大洲，最高涨幅达350欧元/吨。 申万化工观点认为，化工资本开支高峰已过，国内外需求见底，化工 ...

化工板块今日（12月18日）冲高回落。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘后迅速拉升， 盘中场内价格涨幅一度达到1.74%，随后持续走弱，截至收盘，跌0.37%。 成份股方面，锂电、氟化工、钾肥等板块部分个股跌幅居前。截至收盘，多氟多、恩捷股份、天赐材料 跌超4%，亚钾国际、彤程新材、新宙邦等跌超2%，拖累板块走势。 | | | 分制 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 · | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 盛加 九转 画线 工具 (2 > | | 4. TETF O | | 516020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.81 | | | | | 516020[化工ETF] 13:50 价 0.804 精颜 0.001(0.12%) 均价 0.807 成交量 4.76万 | | | | 0.800 | | -0.003 -0.37% | | | | | | | | | | | SSE CNY 15:00:18 IZPD | | H / 8 H | | 0.810 | ...

中信证券研报表示，亨斯迈海外MDI装置意外停车，叠加国内主要企业MDI（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯） 和TDI（甲苯二异氰酸酯）计划检修，MDI与TDI行业短期供给明显收紧。叠加行业库存处于历史低 位，产品价格已呈现上涨态势，且后续仍有上行空间。龙头企业凭借领先的成本控制能力、自主技术及 持续扩张的规模优势，有望充分受益于价格上涨，获得显著的业绩弹性。长期来看，行业需求平稳、集 中度高，头部企业优势稳固。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

Group 1 - The report compiles 16 representative cases of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) by companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, showcasing how these companies leverage global resources to drive industrial upgrades [1][7][9] - M&A strategies exhibit innovative characteristics, including cash acquisitions, cash and stock privatizations, cross-border share swaps, and private equity fund acquisitions, with a focus on both mature and emerging industries [1][2][9] - Key cases highlight strategic orientation and synergy effects, such as Wanhua Chemical's acquisition of BC Company, which resulted in a 145.19% overachievement of performance commitments [2][12][56] Group 2 - The report indicates a clear trend of policy support for cross-border M&A, with initiatives like the "M&A Six Guidelines" simplifying processes and lowering barriers for companies [3][9] - Challenges include complex cross-border regulatory approvals, cultural integration difficulties, and geopolitical risks, which companies are addressing through compliance reviews and risk hedging mechanisms [3][9] - Successful cross-border M&A requires a clear strategic direction aligned with industrial upgrade needs, innovative transaction structures, and deep integration of technology, market, and management post-acquisition [3][9][56] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of a clear internationalization strategy, as seen in Wanhua's proactive approach to overseas expansion and M&A during the 2008 financial crisis [57] - The acquisition of BC Company not only enhanced Wanhua's global footprint but also established a benchmark for Chinese enterprises in cross-border M&A and state-owned enterprise reform [56][57] - The successful integration of BC Company into Wanhua Chemical's operations led to significant profitability improvements, with net profits exceeding commitments by 53.35 million [56][55]

Core Viewpoint - The local manufacturing industry in Yantai is showcasing its strength through significant sponsorship of local sports events, particularly the Shandong Qilu Football Super League matches, highlighting the community's support for sports and the economy [1][3][9]. Sponsorship and Support - Over 40 local enterprises have contributed nearly 10 million yuan in sponsorship funds and materials, setting a new record for football event sponsorship in Yantai [3][5]. - The sponsorship structure includes 10 senior sponsors, 11 intermediate sponsors, 10 junior sponsors, and 11 ordinary sponsors, reflecting strong local business support for sports [3][5]. - Notable sponsors include Yantai Bank as the main sponsor, along with leading companies such as Nanshan Holdings, Penglai Pavilion Scenic Area, and Wanhua Chemical [3][5][6]. Industry Representation - The sponsors represent a wide array of industries, including chemical materials, intelligent manufacturing, and emerging commercial aerospace, showcasing the diversity and strength of Yantai's manufacturing sector [5][6]. - Yantai Bank's strategic partnership with the local sports bureau aims to leverage financial innovation to address challenges in sports development, indicating a commitment to community engagement [5][6]. Economic Impact - Yantai has cultivated a robust manufacturing ecosystem, with 136 national specialized small giants and 24 single champions, ranking among the top three in the province [8]. - The city's advanced manufacturing sector is projected to grow, with significant projects like Yulong Island Refining and Weichai Fudi New Energy contributing to a complete industrial chain from basic materials to high-end equipment [9]. - The local economy's resilience is demonstrated by a 12.6% year-on-year growth in six major industries, which account for 83.2% of the industrial output [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the high barriers to entry in the MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate) industry, highlighting a significant shift in market dynamics with a Chinese company emerging as a leader, surpassing traditional international giants like BASF and Covestro [3][4]. Industry Analysis - MDI is recognized as one of the most complex products in the chemical industry, with its industrial production limited to the liquid-phase phosgene method, which is complicated and poses environmental challenges [3]. - The production process of MDI involves significant technical barriers, including high toxicity and substantial hydrochloric acid byproduct, deterring many potential entrants [3]. - According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, new MDI facilities must have a minimum capacity of 300,000 tons per year, requiring investments exceeding 6 billion yuan, which is a substantial hurdle for small and medium-sized enterprises [3]. Market Dynamics - Currently, there are only about eight companies globally capable of MDI industrial production, indicating a highly concentrated market with little new competition entering [4]. - A notable shift is occurring in this concentrated market, with a Chinese company rapidly gaining market share and positioning itself as the global leader in MDI production, outpacing established players like BASF and Covestro [4].

Core Viewpoint - The fund's top ten holdings are concentrated in four industries: chips, aviation, chemicals, and liquor, with over 70% of the portfolio in these holdings, which is not considered overly concentrated compared to historical levels [3][4] Group 1: Industry Concentration and Analysis - The perception of concentration in only four industries is a misunderstanding, as the classification of certain stocks by market software may not accurately reflect their business relevance [3] - The chemical sector is broad, and the top holdings within this sector have low correlation in terms of revenue and profit drivers, indicating that the portfolio's concentration is not as significant as it appears [4] Group 2: Economic Cycle and Investment Strategy - The fund has historically not held "non-cyclical" stocks, as the investment strategy is based on a long-term optimistic view of the Chinese economy [5][6] - The need for strong macroeconomic analysis depends on the investment approach; the fund's strategy is based on bottom-up assessments of company value rather than macroeconomic cycles [6] Group 3: Correlation and Stock Selection - The fund aims to avoid business-level correlations rather than macroeconomic correlations, as most industries are inherently linked to macroeconomic cycles [7] - Statistical correlation is unavoidable, and the focus is on avoiding causal relationships that directly impact stock performance [8] Group 4: Competitive Landscape in Specific Industries - In the high-end liquor industry, it is rare for three companies to possess strong competitive advantages simultaneously, as competition is often based on brand differentiation rather than market share [10][12] - High-end liquor companies maintain their competitive edge by controlling supply and pricing, which is crucial for preserving brand value [12][27] Group 5: Current Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The current low ticket prices in the aviation sector are attributed to aggressive competition and a decline in consumer purchasing power, which is expected to be a cyclical issue rather than a long-term trend [20][19] - The outlook for the high-end liquor market remains cautious, with expectations of potential declines in sales during peak seasons due to reduced consumer spending [26]

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but is expected to benefit from a significant tightening in global TDI supply, leading to improved market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Wanhua Chemical achieved operating revenue of 90.901 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.123 billion yuan, both showing a decrease compared to the same period in 2024 [1]. - The company is anticipated to see a marginal improvement in performance due to rising TDI prices driven by supply constraints [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global polyurethane industry experienced stable demand in the first half of the year, particularly in the new energy and high-end manufacturing sectors, with increased demand for polyurethane composite materials driven by lightweight requirements in the electric vehicle sector [2]. - TDI prices rebounded significantly after hitting a low in April, with prices reaching 16,500 yuan per ton by August 8, an increase of 6,100 yuan per ton from the lowest point [2]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that over 1.42 million tons per year of TDI capacity may be temporarily offline or under maintenance, representing over 40% of global capacity, which could further enhance TDI market conditions [3]. - The upcoming peak season ("Golden September and Silver October") is expected to catalyze further improvements in TDI market sentiment [3]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - Wanhua Chemical is diversifying its product offerings beyond polyurethane to reduce reliance on a single product line, with ongoing investments in POE and high-energy-density lithium iron phosphate capacities [4]. - The company aims to transition from extensive growth to intensive, high-quality growth by 2025, enhancing its global competitiveness [4]. - Recent breakthroughs in fine chemicals and new materials, including successful production of high-end optical-grade MS resin and advancements in battery materials, are indicative of the company's strategic focus [4]. Group 5: Long-term Vision - Wanhua Chemical is committed to enriching its downstream product portfolio through independent research and development, focusing on high-value-added products in the fragrance and nutrition sectors [5]. - The company has established a complete industrial chain from LPG to fragrance and nutrition products, which is expected to provide a long-term cost advantage [5].