【导读】MSCI发布最新调整结果 中国基金报记者 忆山 当地时间11月5日，国际指数编制公司MSCI发布11月指数调整结果，所有调整将于2025年11月24日收盘 后实施。 紫金黄金国际、广发证券被纳入MSCI新兴市场指数 具体来看，MSCI全球标准指数系列中，MSCI全球指数将新增69只证券，并剔除64只证券。 按总市值计算，MSCI全球指数新增的最大3只证券为美国CoreWeave A、荷兰Nebius Group A、美国 Insmed。MSCI新兴市场指数新增的最大3只证券为印度尼西亚Barito Renewables Energy、中国紫金黄金 国际、中国广发证券H股。 MSCI全球小盘股指数将新增207只证券，剔除224只证券；MSCI全球可投资市场指数将新增199只证 券，剔除211只证券；MSCI全球全市场指数将新增175只证券，剔除71只证券。 MSCI中国A股指数系列方面，将新增千里科技、东阳光、长川科技、华虹公司等17只证券，剔除东阿 阿胶、海澜之家、南京证券等16只证券。 MSCI前沿市场指数将新增8只证券，剔除2只证券。按公司总市值计算，该指数新增的最大3只证券为越 南航空股份公司、 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - MSCI reported organic revenue growth of 9%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 10%, and adjusted earnings per share growth of over 15% in Q3 2025 [6] - The company repurchased $1.25 billion worth of shares in Q3, bringing year-to-date repurchases to over $1.5 billion, with an additional $3 billion authorized for future repurchases [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Index franchise achieved recurrent net new subscription sales growth of 27%, with 43% growth in the Americas [7] - Total AUM in investment products linked to MSCI indices reached $6.4 trillion, including $2.2 trillion in ETFs and $4.2 trillion in non-ETFs [7] - Analytics saw recurrent net new sales growth of 16%, driven by strong adoption of risk tools and equity models by hedge funds [8] - Subscription run rate growth was 9% for asset owners, 11% for wealth managers, and 9% for banks and broker dealers [10][12][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - MSCI's ETF run rate hit a record high of nearly $800 million, driven by record AUM levels in both ETF and non-ETF products linked to MSCI indices [6][7] - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured $46 billion of inflows during Q3 [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - MSCI is focusing on expanding its presence in newer client segments while deepening penetration in established segments [9] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance existing products and develop new capabilities, aiming to unlock significant value for clients and shareholders [9][41] - MSCI is committed to becoming a leading provider of transparency tools in the private credit space, with a focus on innovation and product development [25][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term opportunities and growth potential from recent innovations and investments [16] - The company is optimistic about the recovery of the active asset management industry and aims to help clients develop new products [31][60] - Management acknowledged challenges in the sustainability and climate segment but emphasized ongoing efforts to monetize climate-related indices [53][55] Other Important Information - MSCI launched a Private Credit Factor Model and a new global taxonomy for private assets, enhancing transparency and standardization in private markets [8][9] - The retention rate for sustainability and climate solutions was nearly 94%, reflecting the essential nature of MSCI's tools [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategy around private credit - Management is bullish on private credit, emphasizing the need for transparency tools and credit assessments to attract institutional capital [24][25][28] Question: New products and marketing efforts - The strategy includes helping the active asset management industry create new products, particularly in the active ETF space [31][60] Question: AI opportunities and cost savings - AI is expected to dramatically increase margins by enabling faster product development and reducing operational costs [63][64] Question: Pipeline and sales cycle for Q4 - The overall environment is stable, with a healthy product pipeline supporting strong client engagement [46][48] Question: Non-ETF and fixed income business performance - Non-ETF revenue growth can be affected by lumpiness, while fixed income AUM is around $90 billion, with ongoing focus on innovation [52][55] Question: Active ETFs economics and competitive advantages - Active ETFs are seen as a new revenue opportunity, with significant growth potential without cannibalizing existing business [58][60] Question: Competitive moat against new entrants - MSCI's proprietary data and trusted reputation create significant barriers to entry for potential competitors [72][75] Question: Performance of net new sales in EMEA - There was a decline in net new sales in EMEA, with ongoing product innovation aimed at addressing client needs [78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - MSCI reported organic revenue growth of 9%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 10%, and adjusted earnings per share growth of over 15% in Q3 2025 [4] - The company repurchased $1.25 billion worth of shares in Q3, bringing year-to-date repurchases to over $1.5 billion, with an additional $3 billion authorized for future buybacks [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The index franchise achieved recurrent net new subscription sales growth of 27%, with 43% growth in the Americas, and total AUM in investment products linked to MSCI indices reached $6.4 trillion [5] - Analytics delivered recurrent net new sales growth of 16%, driven by strong adoption of risk tools and equity models by multi-strategy hedge funds [6] - Subscription run rate growth for wealth managers was nearly 11%, while asset owners posted 9% growth, and banks and broker dealers achieved 9% growth [11][12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indices captured $46 billion of inflows during Q3, with strong demand for MSCI Developed Markets ex U.S. and MSCI Emerging Markets Indexes [16] - The retention rate for sustainability and climate solutions was almost 94%, reflecting the essential nature of these tools [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - MSCI is focusing on expanding its presence in private credit and enhancing its client segmentation strategy to deepen penetration in existing segments while targeting new client segments [9][10] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance product offerings and operational efficiency, with a goal to significantly increase the scale of datasets and improve margins [39][61] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about long-term opportunities and the ability to drive growth from recent innovations and investments, particularly in private assets and wealth management [15][34] - The company noted a stable market environment with consistent dynamics, particularly in the Americas, and highlighted a healthy product pipeline supporting strong client engagement [45][46] Other Important Information - MSCI launched a private credit factor model and a new global taxonomy for private assets, aiming to provide consistent standards and improve transparency in private markets [7][8] - The company is seeing strong momentum in new product development, particularly in AI-driven solutions, which are expected to enhance revenue growth and operational efficiency [40][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategy around private credit - Management is bullish on private credit, emphasizing the need for tools to demonstrate creditworthiness and market risk, and highlighted innovations in credit assessments and private credit indices [22][23][24][26] Question: New products and marketing efforts - The strategy includes helping the active asset management industry create new products, particularly in active ETFs, and expanding into new client segments [28][29][30][32][34] Question: AI opportunities and cost savings - AI is expected to dramatically increase margins by enabling faster product creation and reducing operational costs, with significant investments in AI projects [37][61] Question: Pipeline and sales cycle for Q4 - The overall environment is stable, with a healthy product pipeline and strong client engagement, particularly in index and analytics [44][45] Question: Non-ETF and fixed income business performance - Non-ETF revenue growth can be affected by lumpiness, while fixed income AUM is around $90 billion, with ongoing focus on driving adoption and innovation [49][51] Question: Active ETFs economics and competitive advantages - Active ETFs are seen as a growing category, providing new revenue opportunities without cannibalizing existing business [56][58] Question: Competitive moat against new entrants - MSCI's proprietary data, trusted models, and established client relationships create significant barriers to entry for potential competitors [70][74][76] Question: Performance in EMEA region - There has been sluggishness in EMEA, but product development efforts are global, and innovations are expected to drive growth in the region [78]

Core Viewpoint - The recent rise of A-shares above 3800 points presents an opportunity for investors to reassess their portfolios, emphasizing the importance of a diversified asset allocation strategy to navigate market volatility and potential downturns [4][6]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Fund Performance - Despite the current bullish market sentiment and many funds reaching historical highs, a significant number of investors redeemed their holdings before the market's upswing, leading to missed opportunities [6]. - Data indicates that from 2022 to 2024, the net subscription scale of equity funds has continuously shrunk, with net redemptions peaking in the first quarter and fourth quarter of 2024 [6]. Group 2: Volatility and Historical Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has a compound annual growth rate of 11.6% since its inception in 1990, but it also has an annualized volatility of 43.71%, which is significantly higher than many global indices [10][11]. - Since 2014, the annual maximum drawdown for the CSI 300 and equity fund indices has exceeded 15% in about 60% of the years, highlighting the challenges of long-term holding for domestic investors [12]. Group 3: Timing Strategies and Their Challenges - The desire to time the market is common among investors, but the reality often leads to missed opportunities, as evidenced by the significant drop in annualized returns when missing the best-performing days [16][18]. - From 2014 to the present, maintaining a position in equity funds yields an average annual return of around 15%, but missing the top-performing days drastically reduces this return [16][18]. Group 4: Asset Allocation Strategies - Given the high volatility of the A-share market, a diversified asset allocation strategy is recommended to mitigate risks and enhance returns [22]. - Different asset classes exhibit varying risk-return characteristics, and combining low or negatively correlated assets can help reduce overall portfolio volatility [22][24]. Group 5: Simulation of Asset Allocation - Simulations show that adjusting the asset allocation to include dividend stocks and global indices can lead to smoother net value curves and reduced drawdowns during market downturns [30][32]. - Incorporating bonds into the asset mix further stabilizes the portfolio, increasing the likelihood of maintaining positions during market fluctuations [35][37]. Group 6: Importance of Diversification - Diversification in asset allocation is emphasized as a crucial strategy for investors, with notable figures in finance advocating for a mix of uncorrelated return streams to enhance portfolio performance [38].

Core Viewpoint - MSCI index quarterly rebalancing can lead to significant stock price movements, particularly in less liquid markets like B-shares, creating potential investment opportunities [1]. Group 1: MSCI Index Impact - MSCI announced the removal of Baoxin B-share from its index on August 7, effective August 27, leading to a significant price drop [1]. - Baoxin B-share experienced a cumulative decline of 27% from August 7 to August 21, while Baoxin A-share saw a 2.54% increase during the same period, indicating that the drop in B-share price was not fundamentally driven [1]. - On August 26, the day Baoxin B-share hit the daily limit down, it was noted that the B-share price was only 28% of the A-share price [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Following the price drop, a decision was made to purchase Baoxin B-shares, resulting in a 9.78% increase in price the next day, demonstrating a successful short-term investment strategy [1]. - The article provides a simplified method for accessing MSCI index information, which can aid in future investment decisions [1][2][3].

Core Viewpoint - MSCI announced significant adjustments to its flagship index system, which will take effect after the market closes on August 26, 2023, including the addition of 42 new stocks and the removal of 56 existing constituents [2][15]. Group 1: MSCI Index Adjustments - The MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) will see major changes, with a total of 42 new stocks being added and 56 stocks being removed [2]. - The MSCI China Index will include 14 new A-shares and 9 new Hong Kong stocks, indicating a notable increase in Hong Kong stock representation [3][5]. Group 2: New A-Share Constituents - New A-share stocks added to the MSCI China Index include: - Zhinan Zhen (指南针) with a market cap of 53.03 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 40.45% [7]. - CITIC Bank (中信银行) with a market cap of 443.77 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 21.94% [7]. - Giant Network (巨人网络) with a market cap of 57.68 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 126.86% [7]. - Others include Ailis (艾力斯), Jingwang Electronics (景旺电子) [4][7]. Group 3: New Hong Kong Stock Constituents - New Hong Kong stocks added to the MSCI China Index include: - Sanofi (三生制药) with a market cap of 74.18 billion HKD and a year-to-date increase of 405.68% [9]. - CITIC Financial Assets (中信金融资产) with a market cap of 93.09 billion HKD and a year-to-date increase of 78.46% [9]. - Horizon Robotics (地平线机器人-W) with a market cap of 100.78 billion HKD and a year-to-date increase of 101.67% [9]. - Others include Meitu (美图公司), NetEase Cloud Music (网易云音乐) [5][9]. Group 4: Market Impact and Performance - Following the announcement of index adjustments, stocks included in the MSCI indices typically experience increased trading volume and volatility, with historical data indicating excess returns in the 10 days following the announcement [10]. - Recent adjustments have led to positive performance for newly added stocks, with some showing significant gains post-inclusion [10][13]. Group 5: International Attention on Chinese Assets - International institutions are increasingly focused on Chinese assets, with S&P maintaining China's sovereign credit rating at "A+" and a stable outlook, reflecting confidence in China's economic resilience [16]. - Several foreign institutions have raised their ratings for the Chinese stock market, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [16].

Group 1 - MSCI announced a significant adjustment to its flagship index system, adding 42 stocks and removing 56 existing constituents, effective after the market close on August 26 [1] - The adjustment will impact both developed and emerging market indices, with a focus on optimizing the MSCI Emerging Markets Index [1][4] - The changes are expected to trigger rapid capital flows from passive funds, potentially affecting stock price performance in the short term [1] Group 2 - The MSCI China Index will include 14 new stocks, comprising 5 A-shares and 9 Hong Kong stocks, with notable additions like CITIC Bank and several technology and pharmaceutical companies [3] - CITIC Bank, with a market capitalization exceeding 460 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 20%, is expected to gain international visibility and passive fund allocation due to its inclusion [3] - The MSCI China Index will also remove 17 Chinese stocks, including 14 A-shares and 2 Hong Kong stocks [3] Group 3 - The adjustment reflects MSCI's strategy to balance coverage between developed and emerging markets, emphasizing innovation-driven economies and stable, profitable industry leaders in emerging markets [5] - Over 70% of the new constituents are from technology innovation and pharmaceutical research sectors, aligning with recent strong performances in these areas [5] Group 4 - The global asset management landscape is shifting, with approximately $17 trillion in assets benchmarked to MSCI indices, including $2 trillion in passive funds, indicating that index adjustments can lead to significant capital reallocation [5] - The upcoming adjustment is expected to increase trading volumes and stock price volatility for newly added constituents [5] Group 5 - International interest in Chinese assets is rising, exemplified by the launch of a new ETF focused on China's AI sector by a prominent South Korean investment management firm [7] - Several foreign institutions have upgraded their ratings on the Chinese stock market, indicating a positive outlook for the MSCI China Index [7] Group 6 - Standard & Poor's maintained China's sovereign credit rating at "A+" with a stable outlook, reflecting confidence in the resilience of China's economic growth and debt management [8]

Group 1 - MSCI announced the results of its index review for August 2025, including the addition of 14 stocks to the MSCI China Index and the removal of 17 stocks, effective after the market close on August 26 [1] - The adjustment reflects a significant increase in the inclusion of Hong Kong stocks, indicating strong recent performance in sectors such as technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption [1] - Following the index changes, related stocks are expected to attract more incremental capital [1] Group 2 - Standard & Poor's maintained China's sovereign credit rating at "A+" with a stable outlook as of August 7 [1] - Several foreign institutions, including Deutsche Bank, Swiss Pictet Asset Management, Lobo Investment, and Legg Mason, have expressed positive views or overweight positions on Chinese assets recently [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the introduction of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect has significantly facilitated foreign investment in A-shares, which has increased from 500 billion RMB in the early 2000s to 3 trillion RMB currently, with a peak of 4 trillion RMB previously [1][2] - The launch of the Stock Connect programs was crucial for A-shares to be included in the MSCI index, which in turn attracted international funds to invest in A-shares [2] - From 2018 to 2021, the foreign investment in A-shares surged, reaching a market value of 4 trillion RMB by 2021, demonstrating the positive impact of the Stock Connect programs on both A-shares and Hong Kong's IPO market [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company achieved organic revenue growth of almost 10%, adjusted earnings per share growth of 12.4%, and free cash flow growth of 21% [8] - The company repurchased $810 million worth of shares for the full year, with over $425 million repurchased in Q4 alone [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The organic subscription run rate growth was 8% in Q4, with asset-based fee run rate growth of 15% and a retention rate of 93% [9] - In the Index Products segment, the company saw significant milestones, including a new ETF linked to an MSCI Climate Index with a record-breaking investment of $2.4 billion [10] - The Wealth segment achieved 12% subscription run rate growth, with direct indexing AUM based on MSCI indices increasing by 31% to nearly $130 billion [11] - Fixed income products experienced a run rate growth of 15%, totaling $104 million [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global cash inflows into equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes reached $48 billion in Q4, with nearly $12 billion inflows into ESG and Climate ETFs, the highest since Q1 2022 [23][24] - The retention rate for asset managers was nearly 95% for ESG and climate product lines, with significant recurring sales growth in various segments [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its footprint among established and newer client segments, leveraging its data, models, and technology to drive compounding growth [13] - The strategic roadmap includes enhancing custom index capabilities and integrating new platforms to meet evolving client needs [11][12] - The company is optimistic about the long-term growth potential in ESG and climate-related investments, particularly in Europe and Asia [35] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of results and the momentum across product areas, despite some lingering pressures on active managers, particularly in Europe [41] - The company anticipates a constructive environment for sales and budgets, with rising market levels supporting client confidence [39] - Management highlighted the importance of evolving product lines to meet the growing demand for sustainability and compliance with regulatory requirements [34] Other Important Information - The company expects adjusted EBITDA expenses to increase by about $35 million sequentially in Q1 2025, primarily due to elevated compensation benefits [28] - Free cash flow guidance reflects higher cash tax payments in Q1 2025, with a strong capital position indicated by a gross leverage of 2.6 times 2024 EBITDA [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on ESG growth potential - Management noted strong commitment from European financial institutions to sustainability, despite a pause in launching new products due to regulatory adjustments [34] Question: Current environment for cancels and budgets - Management observed that rising markets are supportive for clients, with encouraging signs of improved budgets and reduced cancels compared to the previous year [41] Question: Pricing dynamics and competitive environment - Management indicated that price increases contributed slightly less to sales in 2024, but emphasized the importance of linking price increases to the value provided to clients [46] Question: Trends in the Analytics segment - Management acknowledged some lumpiness in revenue growth due to timing of implementation-related revenues but remained optimistic about the overall momentum in analytics [70] Question: Dynamics in Private Capital Solutions - Management reported steady growth in subscription run rate for Private Capital Solutions, with ongoing efforts to drive awareness and adoption of new benchmarks and indexes [75]