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发现报告:铭科精技机构调研纪要-20260130
发现报告· 2026-01-30 13:14
铭科精技机构调研报告 调研日期: 2026-01-30 铭科精技控股股份有限公司是一家专业从事汽车精密冲压模具和汽车零部件冲压、焊接及组装的企业,其集团拥有先进的模具制造技术和精密冲压技术 ,为客户提供精密冲压模具和汽车零部件的一体化解决方案。集团在国内拥有十多家制造基地,全面覆盖国内六大汽车产业集群。自设立以来,铭科精技一 直将自主研发和技术创新作为发展的持续动力,现已被认定为"国家高新技术企业"、"东莞市市级倍增企业"、"东莞市上市企业",并被中国模具工 业协会评为"中国汽车零部件冲压模具重点骨干企业"、"2017-2020年度模具出口重点企业"等。铭科精技的汽车零部件业务逐步彰显规模,并获得 了多家全球知名汽车零部件一级供应商的认可,服务于宝马、奔驰、奥迪、日产、本田、丰田、通用、小鹏汽车、赛力斯等品牌汽车,为其提供精密汽车 冲压模具及汽车零部件。铭科精技的业务范围分布在美国、西班牙、法国、德国、捷克、英国、墨西哥、日本等国家。 | 2026-01-30 | 副董事长、总经理 杨国强,独立董事 郁京凯,副总经理、董事会秘书 蔡玲莉 ,华林证券保荐代表人 李露,证券事务 代表 张尧 | | --- | - ...
世纪华通:2025 年初步业绩净利超预期;2026 年 SLG + 休闲游戏双引擎驱动
2026-01-30 03:14
Ac t i o n | 29 Jan 2026 15:33:43 ET │ 14 pages Century Huatong (002602.SZ) Profit Beat on FY25 Prelim. Results; SLG+Casual Dual Engine in 2026E CITI'S TAKE Century Huatong's 2025 preliminary results (link) came in solid, with FY25E revenues expected to +68% yoy to Rmb38bn, implying 4Q25E revenues at ~Rmb10.7bn given strong qoq growth of Century Games partly offset by Shengqu decline. We view the implied 4Q25E reported earnings at Rmb1.19- 2.62bn or core earnings of Rmb1.51-2.04bn as a decent beat factoring ...
特斯拉:退出 Model XS,布局机器人业务,目标价 415 美元
2026-01-30 03:14
January 29, 2026 06:04 AM GMT Tesla Inc | North America Exit Model X/S, Enter Robots: PT to $415 | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) | From | To | | Price Target | $425.00 | $415.00 | The wind down of Model X/S is symbolic of TSLA's journey into physical AI. At the same time, it is materially ramping spend, yielding $8bn in cash burn in 2026 (MSe). While this may become an overhang on the stock, the investment is needed to cement TSLA's leadership in AV, robotics and energy. Our ...
金力永磁:稀土上行周期 + 长期需求能见度提升,估值重估;上调金力永磁 - A 至买入
2026-01-30 03:14
Ac t i o n | 29 Jan 2026 12:25:37 ET │ 18 pages JL MAG (300748.SZ/6680.HK) Rerating on Rare Earth Upcycle and Improving Long-term Demand Visibility; Upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy CITI'S TAKE We upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy (from Neutral) and raise our target price to Rmb48/Hkd35 for A/H shares, applying 38.2x P/E for A-sh and 25.9x for H- sh, historical averages since listed. We believe the company is entering a more favorable earnings phase driven by the upcycle in rare-earth prices, stable export operations, and imp ...
生益科技:M9 覆铜板升级 + AI 需求增长支撑业绩;2025 年 Q4 净利因高基数环比下滑;买入
2026-01-30 03:14
Summary of Shengyi Tech (600183.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shengyi Tech - **Ticker**: 600183.SS - **Industry**: Printed Circuit Board (PCB) and Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) Key Financial Highlights - **4Q25 Net Income**: Pre-announced to be between Rmb807 million and Rmb1,007 million, with a midpoint of Rmb907 million, reflecting a **147% YoY increase** but a **11% QoQ decline** [1][5] - **Comparison to Estimates**: The midpoint is **23% lower than Goldman Sachs estimates** and **15% lower than Bloomberg consensus** due to short-term dynamics in the PCB business and a high base from 3Q25 [1][5] - **Shengyi Electronics**: Reported a QoQ decline in net income, expected to be between Rmb316 million and Rmb339 million, indicating a **39% QoQ decline** at the midpoint [1] Industry Outlook - **Positive Long-term Outlook**: Despite short-term fluctuations, the outlook for the PCB/CCL industry remains positive, driven by increasing demand for AI applications and ongoing specification upgrades [1] - **Revenue Growth Projection**: Expected revenue growth of **28% CAGR from 2026 to 2030**, supported by: 1. Ramp-up of AI infrastructure, with projected demand for **11 million, 16 million, and 21 million AI chips in 2025-2027** [1][5] 2. Specification upgrades in CCL, particularly with M9 CCL in GPU AI servers [1][5] 3. Expansion of product offerings and customer base, including both domestic and international clients [1][5] Margin and Cost Management - **Gross Margin Stability**: Concerns about rising raw material prices (copper and glass fabric) impacting margins are being addressed through: 1. Price increases passed on to clients 2. Focus on high-value applications to support margins [1][6] - **Long-term Margin Outlook**: Expected to remain stable with a gradual uptrend due to increased revenue from AI-related products, although mainstream CCLs may face margin pressure if material prices continue to rise [1][6] Earnings Revisions - **2025 Net Income Revision**: Revised down by **6%** based on 4Q25 guidance, while earnings for 2026-2028 remain largely unchanged due to a continued growth outlook [1][7] - **Earnings Estimates**: - **2025E Net Income**: Revised to Rmb3,384 million - **2026E Net Income**: Unchanged at Rmb5,510 million - **2027E Net Income**: Unchanged at Rmb8,696 million [1][8] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price**: Maintained at **Rmb111**, based on a target P/E of **31.0x 2027E EPS** [1][10] - **P/E Multiple Justification**: Derived from the correlation between P/E and EPS growth of peers, reflecting a positive view on Shengyi Tech's product mix upgrade towards AI CCL [1][10] Risks - **Key Risks Identified**: 1. Lower-than-expected AI infrastructure investment 2. Changes in technology direction [1][17] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain a **Buy rating** on Shengyi Tech, with a significant upside potential of **59.9%** based on the current price of Rmb69.40 and the target price of Rmb111.00 [1][19]
天齐锂业:2025 年全年初步业绩低于预期
2026-01-30 03:14
January 29, 2026 05:14 PM GMT Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. | Asia Pacific Lower-than-expected preliminary full-year 2025 results Reaction to earnings Unchanged Modest shortfall Largely unchanged Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Tianqi reported full-year 2025 preliminary net profit of Rmb369-553mn, vs. a Rmb7.9bn loss in full-year 2024, below consensus of Rmb777mn. Implied 4Q25 net profit is Rmb189 ...
江波龙:存储超级周期下的利润率提升
2026-01-30 03:14
January 29, 2026 03:30 PM GMT Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update Margin Gains Amid Memory Supercycle Reaction to earnings Unchanged In-line Meaningful revision higher Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Stay OW. The strong 4Q results are partially in the price, as the stock is up 46% YTD vs. MSCI China IT up 24%. We expect continued margin improvement into 1H26 to drive EPS upward revisions amid severe memory supply constr ...
航天电子20260129
2026-01-30 03:12
航天电子 20260129 摘要 航天电子是航天科技集团旗下唯一拥有全部主业的上市平台,虽军品业 务增长稳定,但民品业务受竞争影响,2018 年和 2023 年出现亏损, 导致归母净利润下滑。 公司航天电子配套业务涵盖测控通信、机电组件、惯性导航、电装和集 成电路五大板块,其中测控通信是核心,惯性导航应用于高精度场景, 集成电路背靠 772 所,具备产业化优势。 无人系统业务由时代飞鸿负责,是航天科技集团内唯一定向精确制导武 器总体单位,产品广泛应用于非洲、中东等地区,短期依赖国内卫星驱 动。 公司在商业航天领域积极布局,是星网公司和原信的重要参与者,受益 于国内卫星互联网建设高峰期,尤其在倾斜轨道卫星领域与五院、微小 及银河航天有合作。 公司在火箭和卫星配套方面价值显著,长征火箭中 2/3 以上电子元器件 来自公司,占火箭总价值量 15%-30%;卫星平台价值量中 30%-40% 来自公司产品。 Q&A 航天电子的业务结构和历史发展情况如何? 航天电子的业务结构主要分为两块:航天电子配套领域和无人化相关业务。公 司在 2009 年前后由火箭股份改名为航天电子,并通过资产置换将航天科技集 团内的电子元器件配套 ...
广东宏大20260129
2026-01-30 03:12
广东宏大 20260129 摘要 广东宏大作为广东省环保集团旗下的地方国企,采用国有控股、民营机 制运作模式,使其在军工、军贸市场具备强劲开拓能力和灵活的业务拓 展能力,有助于抓住市场机遇。 公司业务包括民爆、矿服和防务三大板块,其中矿服业务是核心收入来 源,2024 年收入达 108 亿元。防务装备板块毛利率随新收购资产并表 有所回升,未来有望随智能弹药军贸放量而显著提升。 公司在智能武器领域积极开拓,HD-1 系列超音速巡航导弹技术领先, 飞行速度达 2~3 马赫,射程约 300 公里,与印度布拉莫斯导弹性能接 近,但在轻量化和毁伤威力方面更具优势,国际市场竞争力强。 公司看好短程、中短程及超音速战术武器的未来发展,预计随着对外客 户的拓展和相关合同的落地,整体需求将进一步增加,为公司带来显著 的收入和利润增长。 江苏红光专注于生产黑索金,市场壁垒高,盈利能力强,净利润率至少 在 40%以上。随着全球对军用炸药需求的扩展,江苏红光正在推进产能 扩张,预计未来收入和利润将快速增长。 Q&A 广东宏大在军贸领域的最新进展和未来预期如何? 广东宏大自推出智能弹药产品以来,经过多年的持续试验和市场开拓,预计 20 ...
高能环境20260129
2026-01-30 03:12
高能环境 20260129 摘要 高能环境通过收购湖南三家矿业公司获得金矿探矿权,标志着其业务从 再生资源向原生资源的重要拓展,预示着新的增长点。 2025 年业绩预告显示,高能环境归母净利润预计达 7.5 至 9 亿元,同 比增长显著,主要受益于金属价格上涨、新产能投产(如珠海新宏项 目)以及技改和产品升级。 受益于贵金属价格上涨,高能环境通过再生资源业务的价差收益和存货 增值,显著提升了运营利润,独特的商业模式使其充分受益于市场行情。 高能环境收购的四个金矿项目已探明储量约 4.5 吨黄金,品位为 3-6 克/ 吨,预计每吨净利可达 7 亿元以上,预计 2028 年开始产生实际收益。 未来,高能环境将侧重现有项目的精细化管理,扩展前端初始资源化和 加强中后端深度资源化,形成江西新科、金昌高能等核心企业联动的发 展模式。 公司正推进港股上市,积极拓展海外资源和环保业务,国际化是其长期 发展的重要战略方向,有望通过再融资布局国际市场。 金矿投产后,预计每年利润大致为 1.5 亿至 3 亿元,对应市值空间为 22.5 亿至 45 亿,加之未探明新矿的增长潜力,公司投资价值显著。 Q&A 高能环境在再生资源和矿产 ...