Zheng Quan Shi Bao
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明年财税改革重点明晰 剑指“税收洼地”与地方财力缺口
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 19:01
Core Viewpoint - The reform of the fiscal and tax system, focusing on standardizing tax incentives and building a local tax system, is expected to be fully implemented in the first year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, addressing the dual demands of promoting high-quality development and constructing a unified national market [1]. Group 1: Tax Incentives and Local Tax System - The central economic work conference has set a goal to standardize tax incentives and fiscal subsidy policies by 2026, while also addressing local fiscal difficulties [1][2]. - Experts believe that the series of reforms will form a "break and establish" combination, where standardizing tax incentives can eliminate "tax revenue gaps" and foster a fair market environment, while constructing a local tax system can fill the financial gap left by the standardization of incentives [1][2]. - The National Taxation Administration has initiated special governance on illegal tax-related issues in investment promotion, particularly targeting local governments' practices of creating "policy gaps" and attracting "shell companies" [3]. Group 2: Challenges and Recommendations - The complexity of clarifying numerous tax incentives and fiscal subsidy policies is acknowledged, with experts suggesting a priority on cleaning up regional policy gaps and disguised tax refunds by local governments [4]. - Recommendations include creating a public list of existing incentives, establishing red lines for new incentives, and implementing a dynamic evaluation and exit mechanism [4][5]. - The reform is expected to lead to structural changes in fiscal revenue, with regions relying on "tax revenue gaps" facing income reductions and increased fiscal pressure [4][5]. Group 3: Long-term Implications - In the long term, the reform will reshape the fiscal revenue structure and the behavior of local governments, shifting from reliance on unstable regional incentives to sustainable revenue through a legalized tax system [5][6]. - Local governments are expected to focus on optimizing the business and consumption environment, enhancing industrial ecosystems, and improving public service quality [5][6]. - The 14th Five-Year Plan will also aim to standardize tax policies related to operating income, capital income, and property income, maintaining a reasonable macro tax burden level [6][7].
外贸发展韧性如何延续?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 19:01
Core Viewpoint - China's merchandise trade exports have shown a year-on-year growth rate of 6.2% in the first 11 months of this year, exceeding initial expectations despite high tariffs imposed by certain countries, reflecting the resilience brought by the long-term transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry and diversification of trade partners [1] Group 1: Export Performance - The export structure of China has improved, with intermediate goods and capital goods showing significant growth rates of 9.7% and 6% respectively in the first ten months, contributing 5.6 percentage points to overall export growth [1] - Intermediate goods accounted for 47.4% of total exports in the first three quarters, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the end of last year [1] Group 2: Trade Partner Diversification - Exports to the U.S. have decreased by 18.3%, but exports to non-U.S. markets such as Africa, ASEAN, India, the EU, the UK, Latin America, and Australia have maintained high growth, effectively offsetting the decline in exports to the U.S. [2] - The meeting between the Chinese and U.S. leaders in Busan has yielded positive results, leading to a more optimistic outlook for foreign trade in the coming year [2] Group 3: Future Strategies - Continued promotion of manufacturing transformation and upgrading is essential, with a focus on integrating technological and industrial innovation to enhance the self-controllability of the industrial chain [3] - The service sector's export potential is significant, with service trade exports growing by 14.3% in the first ten months, including a 52.5% increase in travel service exports [3] Group 4: Multilateral Trade System - China has actively supported the multilateral trade system by proposing initiatives at the WTO and committing to not seek new special and differential treatment in current and future negotiations [4] - Plans for steady institutional opening and expanding service sector openness are underway, along with efforts to sign more regional and bilateral trade investment agreements to facilitate the free flow of goods, services, and investments [4]
中美元首会晤 为世界经济注入确定性
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 19:01
Core Viewpoint - The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump in Busan, South Korea, emphasizes the overall stability of China-U.S. relations, which is crucial for both nations and the global economy [1] Group 1 - The meeting aims to provide new guidance and inject new momentum for the stable development of China-U.S. relations [1] - The consensus reached during the meeting is expected to contribute positively to the current turbulent global environment by providing certainty and positive energy [1]
全年GDP预计增5% 总量将达140万亿元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 19:01
7月27日,参观者在上海举行的2025世界人工智能大会展览现场华为展区参观昇腾384超节点。 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。中央财办有关负责人表示,预计全年经济增长5%左 右、继续位居世界主要经济体前列,经济总量有望达到140万亿元左右。就业总体稳定,外贸较快增 长、出口多元化成效明显。展望2026年,活跃的要素流动和创新为发展持续注入新动能,人流、物流、 信息流、资金流保持较快增长态势,投资和消费增速有望恢复,产业转型升级加快,科技和产业创新进 入成果集中爆发阶段,中国经济发展前景十分光明。 ...
加密货币 走出“过山车”行情
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:59
比特币在今年10月创下超12.61万美元的历史新高后,随后仅一个月时间便俯冲至8.46万美元。 2025年加密货币市场上演极致震荡,走出"过山车"行情。比特币作为风向标,在10月创下12.62万美元 的历史新高后,随后仅一个月时间便俯冲至8.46万美元,跌幅近30%。以太坊及主流山寨币同步剧烈波 动。行情起伏背后是美联储政策预期变动、全球贸易摩擦和美国监管法案落地等因素所致。 ...
国产大模型横空出世 资本积极拥抱AI浪潮
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:59
Core Viewpoint - The launch of DeepSeek's AI model R1 in early 2025 has significantly impacted the AI research field, demonstrating comparable performance to leading global AI models with minimal computational resources [1] Group 1: Company Developments - DeepSeek's AI model R1 has caused a major disruption in the AI research sector, showcasing its capabilities with reduced computational power [1] - The success of Doubao mobile assistant in breaking into new markets highlights the advancements in China's AI technology [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The Chinese AI sector is poised to write a new chapter in the global tech competition landscape by 2025, driven by innovations like DeepSeek and Doubao [1] - The capital market is showing unprecedented enthusiasm for the Chinese semiconductor industry, as evidenced by the short-term stock price surge of Cambricon surpassing Kweichow Moutai and the collective IPO rush of domestic GPU unicorns by year-end [1] - The surge in applications for chip ETFs on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board indicates a growing interest from primary market investors, leading to substantial returns [1]
央行推出信用修复政策 明年1月1日起执行
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:59
信用修复是妙招,全国人民都说好。 小额逾期不永记,诚信记录去烦恼。 消费领域添活水,信贷新泉前来浇。 不拒细流久为功,攻克难关一道道。 赵乃育/漫画孙勇/诗 ...
二十届四中全会召开 审议通过“十五五”规划建议
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:57
中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议,于10月20日至23日在北京举行,全会审议通过了《中 共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》。全会指出,实现社会主义现代化是一 个阶梯式递进、不断发展进步的历史过程,需要不懈努力、接续奋斗。"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主 义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期,在基本实现社会主义现代化进程中具有承前启后的重要地 位。 10月24日,中共中央在北京举行新闻发布会,介绍和解读党的二十届四中全会精神。 ...
万达轴承:聚力攻关核心技术
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:53
Core Viewpoint - Wanda Bearing, as the first stock in the "920 segment" of the Beijing Stock Exchange, is committed to deepening its main business and expanding into new areas, focusing on product innovation and customer development [1][2] Group 1: Company Development Strategy - Wanda Bearing is the largest manufacturer of specialized bearings for forklifts in China and has established long-term stable partnerships with top global industrial vehicle manufacturers [1] - The company is actively developing specialized bearings for harmonic reducers and RV reducers, aiming to capture opportunities in the rapidly growing humanoid robotics sector [1] Group 2: Innovation and Market Position - The company emphasizes the importance of innovation as a source of vitality and a core support for high-quality development in the capital market, continuously optimizing production processes and focusing on core technological breakthroughs [2] - Wanda Bearing is committed to a "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" development path, increasing R&D investment to enhance product competitiveness and market share [2]
“股神”巴菲特 辞任伯克希尔CEO
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 18:53
5月,"股神"沃伦.巴菲特在股东大会上宣布将在年底辞任公司CEO一职。自1965年收购伯克希尔公司并 担任董事长和CEO后,巴菲特将其打造成一家投资巨头。从1964年到2024年,伯克希尔的总收益率达到 5502284%,年化复合收益率达19.9%,大幅领先标普500指数。 从1964年到2024年,巴菲特执掌的伯克希尔总收益率达到5502284%。 ...