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三季度宏观数据下周发布,政策适时加力必要性上升
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-17 01:15
中国经济上半年GDP同比增长5.3%超出预期,三季度走势如何备受市场关注。 国家统计局10月20日将发布三季度及9月份宏观经济数据。参与第一财经首席调研的经济学家们对第三 季度GDP同比增速的预测均值为4.8%,并认为四季度经济将延续温和增长态势,对全年GDP同比增速 的预测均值为4.8%。 三季度以来,受出口下行压力显现等因素影响,中国经济出现短期波动,政策加码的预期上升。四季度 是全年经济收官的冲刺阶段,也是政策发力的重要窗口期。基建投资方面一个有趣的数据是,被视为国 民经济"晴雨表"的挖掘机销量9月井喷,各类挖掘机销量达到19858台,同比增长25.4%。 国务院总理李强10月14日主持召开经济形势专家和企业家座谈会强调,要加力提效实施逆周期调节,总 量政策持续发力,用足用好政策资源,以改革办法打通堵点卡点,增强发展动能。并从持续用力扩大内 需、综合治理行业无序非理性竞争、大力支持稳外贸稳外资等多个方面对下阶段经济工作作出部署。 出口对工业增加值形成一定拉动 国际货币基金组织(IMF)14日发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》,小幅上调今年世界经济增长预 期。IMF指出,关税冲击正进一步削弱全球经济增长前景 ...
商务部回应稀土出口管制措施;俄美总统电话会谈结束,特朗普称将与普京在布达佩斯会面
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-17 01:15
编辑 | 格蕾丝 美股三大指数收跌 美国股市周四高开低走,地区性银行曝出信贷损失,加剧市场对潜在金融风险的担忧。 截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌301.07点,收于45952.24点,跌幅0.65%;标准普尔500指数下跌 41.99点,报6629.07点,跌幅0.63%;纳斯达克综合指数下跌107.54点,报22562.54点,跌幅0.47%。 标普500指数11个板块中10个收低,金融板块领跌2.75%,能源板块次之。 科技股方面,特斯拉下跌1.47%,Meta跌0.76%,苹果跌0.76%,亚马逊和微软至多跌0.51%,谷歌A微 涨0.17%,英伟达涨1.10%。Salesforce上涨4%,因公司预计2030年收入将突破600亿美元,超出市场预 期。 当地时间10月16日,美国总统特朗普在其社交平台"真实社交"上发文称,他刚刚结束了与俄罗斯总统普 京的电话交谈,此次通话非常富有成效。特朗普表示,他仍然致力于帮助解决乌克兰冲突,双方花费大 量时间讨论乌克兰冲突结束后俄美之间的贸易问题。特朗普宣布,美国国务卿鲁比奥将代表美国出席即 将举行的与俄罗斯的会晤。会晤地点和代表团成员尚未确定。特朗普表示,他将在 ...
上海黄金交易所紧急提示
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-17 00:42
2025.10.17 本文字数:410,阅读时长大约1分钟 这几天国际金价涨势延续,近日,国际金价屡创历史新高,今年以来国际金价的涨幅已达60%左右。 面对金价的持续大幅波动,上海黄金交易所、工商银行等多家银行日前接连发布风险提示。 16日,上海黄金交易所在网站发布提示,近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多,国际贵金属价格波动剧烈。 请各会员提高风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行。同时,提示投资者做好风险 防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。 来源:央视新闻 更多最新消息: 微信编辑| 七三 第一财经持续追踪财经热点。若您掌握公司动态、行业趋势、金融事件等有价值的线索,欢迎提供。专 用邮箱:bianjibu@yicai.com (注:我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。) 与此同时,工商银行、建设银行等多家银行发布提示,近期国内外贵金属价格波动加剧,市场风险提 升,建议投资者基于财务状况及风险承受能力理性投资,合理安排贵金属资产规模。 ...
美国地区银行“暴雷”?银行股市值蒸发逾1000亿美元
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-17 00:08
Core Insights - The regional banking sector in the U.S. faced significant declines on October 16, driven by rising market risk aversion due to loan fraud incidents at several mid-sized banks, raising concerns about credit quality and asset transparency [2][3] Group 1: Loan Fraud Incidents - Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp reported loan fraud related to bad commercial real estate (CRE) loans, with potential losses amounting to tens of millions of dollars [2] - Zions experienced a stock price drop of 15% during trading, with a reported impairment of approximately $50 million on two revolving credit lines totaling over $60 million [2] - Western Alliance confirmed it had provided credit to the involved borrowers and has initiated fraud lawsuits [3] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the news, the KBW regional bank index fell by 3.6%, marking the largest single-day decline since May, with the market capitalization of the 74 largest U.S. banks dropping by over $100 billion in a single day [3] - Analysts noted that while the reported bad debts were limited, investors should remain highly sensitive to changes in asset quality amid tightening credit conditions [5] Group 3: Credit Risk Concerns - The incidents at Zions coincided with growing concerns about credit quality, especially after the bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor, prompting discussions about bank credit review processes and regulatory gaps [4] - Analysts from Raymond James expressed concerns about Zions' risk management policies and underwriting standards, indicating potential blind spots in internal review mechanisms [4] Group 4: Transparency Issues - Analysts linked Zions' disclosures to broader issues of regulatory gaps and insufficient information disclosure within the U.S. credit chain [6] - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, highlighted the need for banks to be more cautious regarding the rapid expansion of private credit markets and the associated review blind spots [6] Group 5: Investor Sentiment - The Zions incident occurred during the earnings season, shifting market focus from profit growth to asset quality and credit provisions [7] - Analysts expect bank management to disclose more information regarding loan portfolios and potential risks in upcoming earnings calls, as investor sentiment remains sensitive [7] - The Zions event may serve as a "stress test" for credit transparency, influencing the performance of regional bank stocks in the coming weeks [7]
美股齐跌,热门中概股下挫,黄金突破4300美元
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 23:45
2025.10.17 分析人士称,在利率长期维持高位、经济增长放缓的背景下,区域银行的资产质量压力正逐步显现。 LNW首席投资官罗恩·阿尔巴哈里(Ron Albahary)表示,信贷市场正处于"高度紧张"状态,任何潜在 风险信号都可能被放大。 本文字数:1109,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 胡弋杰 美国股市周四高开低走,地区性银行曝出信贷损失,加剧市场对潜在金融风险的担忧。 截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌301.07点,收于45952.24点,跌幅0.65%;标准普尔500指数下跌 41.99点,报6629.07点,跌幅0.63%;纳斯达克综合指数下跌107.54点,报22562.54点,跌幅0.47%。 标普500指数11个板块中10个收低,金融板块领跌2.75%,能源板块次之。 科技股方面,特斯拉下跌1.47%,Meta跌0.76%,苹果跌0.76%,亚马逊和微软至多跌0.51%,谷歌A微 涨0.17%,英伟达涨1.10%。Salesforce上涨4%,因公司预计2030年收入将突破600亿美元,超出市场预 期。 热门中概股多数下挫,纳斯达克中国金龙指数下跌0.91%,世纪互联跌超5%,京东、 ...
金科股份新董事会名单出炉,招行前行长马蔚华加盟
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 23:45
Core Insights - The largest judicial restructuring case in China's real estate industry has been completed, leading to a new board for Jinke Property Group Co., Ltd. (formerly known as "Jinke Shares") [1] - The restructuring process, which began in July 2023, involved over 8,400 creditors and a debt scale of 147 billion yuan [1] - Jinke has successfully unloaded over 100 billion yuan of debt and experienced a change in control, marking the end of the 27-year "Huang Hongyun era" [1] Company Leadership Changes - On October 16, Jinke announced the successful election of nine board candidates during its third extraordinary shareholders' meeting of 2025, with Guo Wei appointed as Chairman and President [1] - Wang Xiaoqing has been appointed as Vice Chairman, while former Chairman Zhou Da has been designated as Co-President [2] - Ma Weihua has taken on the role of Party Secretary and Honorary Chairman, while Feng Lun has been appointed as the Chairman of the Expert Advisory Committee [2] Key Personnel Backgrounds - Guo Wei, the new Chairman, has prior experience leading Xinda Real Estate and has been involved in multiple real estate relief projects [1][2] - Wang Xiaoqing previously served as Chairman of Hainan Yedao, and Li Gen, the new Executive Vice President, has held positions in various equity fund companies [2] - Ma Weihua, known for his role as the former President and CEO of China Merchants Bank, is also involved in several other companies and social organizations [2] Financial Support and Shareholder Structure - Jinke has secured over 3.3 billion yuan in funding support through a restructuring investment agreement with Shanghai Pinqi, a subsidiary of the restructuring investment party [2] - In September, 3 billion shares were transferred to designated accounts of the restructuring investors, representing 28.21% of the total share capital, with the new largest shareholder controlling 9.34% of the total shares [2]
遭新加坡主权基金起诉,蔚来回应
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The lawsuit initiated by the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) against NIO has drawn market attention, stemming from allegations made in a short-seller report by Hindenburg Research in June 2022, which NIO claims are unfounded [2][3]. Group 1: Background of the Lawsuit - NIO's response to the allegations from the short-seller report indicated that the claims were baseless and included numerous errors and misleading conclusions [3]. - An independent internal investigation was conducted by NIO's board with the assistance of third-party legal and forensic accounting firms, which found no evidence supporting the allegations [3][4]. - GIC purchased approximately 54.45 million shares of NIO ADS between August 2020 and July 2022, during which NIO's stock price fluctuated between $13 and $21, peaking at $66.99 [2]. Group 2: Implications of the Lawsuit - GIC's lawsuit accuses NIO of inflating revenue and profits through its partnership in Wuhan Weinan Battery Asset Co., misleading investors and causing financial losses to GIC [6]. - The lawsuit poses a significant challenge to NIO's Battery as a Service (BaaS) model, which has already faced scrutiny from the market [6][7]. - The ongoing legal proceedings may take time, and the outcome will depend on the progress of the court's review [7]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the news of the lawsuit, NIO's stock price dropped over 13% at one point on October 16, 2023, before closing down 8.99% in Hong Kong, while its U.S. shares fell over 6% [2]. - The lawsuit adds uncertainty to NIO's financial outlook, especially as the company aims for profitability after significant losses [7].
巨头宣布,将裁员1.6万人
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 13:47
与此同时,雀巢上调成本节约目标,计划到2027年年底前节约30亿瑞士法郎(约合37.7亿美元),高于 此前设定的25亿瑞士法郎(31.4亿美元)目标。 此次公告发布正值该公司第三季度销售额超出预期。雀巢说,此次裁员波及1.2万个"白领岗位"以及 4000个制造和供应链领域岗位。 美国彭博新闻社报道,上述裁员措施表明,雀巢新任首席执行官菲利普·纳夫拉蒂尔寻求加快企业转 型。"世界在变,雀巢必须更快改变,"纳夫拉蒂尔在当天发布的声明中说,"这包括做出艰难但必要的 决定,即在今后两年内裁员。" 雀巢上月任命内部人士纳夫拉蒂尔接任首席执行官,取代洛朗·弗雷克斯。因涉嫌隐瞒与下属恋情,弗 雷克斯在任职仅一年后被罢免。受此影响,雀巢董事长保罗·比尔克提前卸任。 据新华社,瑞士雀巢公司16日说,计划在今后两年内削减约1.6万个工作岗位,相当于其员工总数的 6%。 微信编辑丨瑜见 ...
遭新加坡主权基金起诉,蔚来回应:源于不实指控,三年前已完成独立调查
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The lawsuit filed by the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) against NIO has drawn significant market attention, stemming from allegations related to a short-selling report by Hindenburg Research in June 2022, which NIO claims are unfounded [1][2]. Group 1: Background of the Lawsuit - The lawsuit is not a new event but is linked to previous allegations made by Hindenburg Research, which NIO has consistently denied, asserting that an independent internal investigation found no basis for the claims [1][2]. - GIC had accumulated approximately 54.45 million shares of NIO ADS between August 2020 and July 2022, during which NIO's stock price fluctuated between $13 and $21, peaking at $66.99 [1]. Group 2: Details of the Allegations - GIC accuses NIO of inflating revenue and profits through a partnership with Wuhan Weinan Battery Asset Co., misleading investors and causing financial losses to GIC [4]. - NIO's previous responses to the allegations included independent reviews by third-party legal and accounting firms, which found no wrongdoing [2][4]. Group 3: Market Reaction and Implications - Following the news of the lawsuit, NIO's stock price fell over 13% at one point on October 16, 2023, closing down 8.99% in Hong Kong and over 6% in the U.S. [1]. - The lawsuit poses a significant challenge to NIO's Battery as a Service (BaaS) model, which has been a key innovation for the company [4][5]. Group 4: Broader Context and Strategic Considerations - GIC's legal actions are seen as part of a broader risk management strategy, as the sovereign wealth fund has a history of suing companies for investment losses [4][5]. - The outcome of the lawsuit will depend on the progression of court proceedings in the U.S., which may take time to resolve [5].
“存款搬家”进程暂缓?
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-16 12:41
2025.10.16 本文字数:2393,阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 |第一财经 杜川 "存款搬家"进程出现暂缓迹象。 最新发布的9月金融数据显示,存款结构呈现显著分化,住户存款与非银金融机构存款(下称"非银存 款")呈现"一增一减"。其中,住户存款新增2.96万亿元,同比多增7600亿元;非银存款减少1.06万亿 元,同比少增1.97万亿元。 这与此前居民存款少增、非银存款大幅多增形成鲜明对比。近几个月以来,随着资本市场回暖,不少观 点将居民存款和非银存款之间的相对变化视同居民存款"搬家"到了股市。 市场分析指出,9月"存款搬家"节奏放缓或与股指高位震荡引发的"赚钱效应"回落有关。这一变化也令 M1(狭义货币)与M2(广义货币)同比增速此消彼长。一方面,M1同比增速提升,反映企业生产经 营活跃度提升、个人投资消费需求回暖;另一方面,非银存款同比大幅多减,使得M2增速出现回落, M1-M2剪刀差明显收敛。 非银存款大幅缩水 9月,我国金融市场存款结构呈现显著分化,居民存款与非银存款呈现"一增一减"。 数据显示,9月居民存款新增2.96万亿元,同比多增7600亿元,创下下半年以来单月居民存款首次超2万 亿元的增长 ...