此外，在市场配置方面，高盛维持对A股和港股的超配建议，预计沪深300目标点位为4600点，MSCI中 国指数的目标点位为84点，对应约10%的上行空间。行业方面，付思表示，高盛持续看好消费、银行、 房地产等对政策宽松敏感的行业。其中包括，消费相关的互联网消费服务，以及受益于政府消费的医疗 器械领域等。 她还观察到，本轮港股IPO热潮的基石投资者中，海外主权基金、养老金等长线投资者的参与度有所提 高。"它们的参与比例比之前要高，因为这轮赴港上市企业质地不错，吸引了一些长线资金参与。"付思 说。 整体而言，高盛认为，全球主流资金对中国资产的关注度显著升温。"我们明显感觉到，海外投资者对 中国市场的兴趣有所回暖，这从过去两个月我们的电话会、客户需求反馈等可以看出。"付思说。 在此背景下，高盛在近期提出了中国上市民企"十强新贵"概念，组成包括腾讯、阿里巴巴、小米、比亚 迪、美团、网易、美的、恒瑞医药、携程和安踏。 整体来看，这10家企业均为港股上市企业，多家是科技、消费、医药龙头。数据显示，目前，这10家公 司总市值达1.6万亿美元，在MSCI中国指数中的权重占42%。高盛预计，未来两年，这些企业盈利年均 复合增速将 ...

Group 1 - The global construction market is witnessing a green revolution, with an estimated market opportunity of $1.8 trillion by 2030 according to a report by the World Economic Forum and Boston Consulting Group [3] - The partnership between French companies, Yachti Group and Chabanne Architecture, aims to address challenges in urbanization and ecological transformation in China, leveraging local practices and French engineering experience [1][3] - Yachti Group has committed to ensuring that all projects meet green building standards by 2032, showcasing their focus on sustainability [3] Group 2 - The collaboration between Yachti Group and Chabanne Architecture is seen as a complementary partnership, combining strengths in urban design, zero-carbon buildings, and ecological resilience [3][4] - The concept of "accessibility" is emphasized as a key factor in urban vitality, replacing traditional transportation concepts, which aligns with Shanghai's "15-minute community life circle" initiative [4] - Shanghai's urban development must balance modernity and preservation of historical context, ensuring that both aspects progress simultaneously [5]

Group 1 - The transformation of China's economy towards a "technology-industry-finance" model has made industrial parks a core driver for regional economic upgrades, leading to increased competition among financial institutions for park financing [1][2] - Guangzhou and Shenzhen are key economic engines in Guangdong Province, with industrial parks playing a crucial role in local industrial restructuring and high-quality development [2] - The "20+20" industrial space layout plan aims to establish 20 advanced manufacturing parks and 20 technology innovation clusters by 2035 in Shenzhen [2] Group 2 - Industrial parks provide comprehensive support for the entire lifecycle of enterprises, facilitating the integration of financial resources as a core competitive advantage [2][3] - Companies like Dingjia Technology and Aosong Electronics have benefited from financial support facilitated by the Guangzhou Development Zone's state-owned asset supervision authority, overcoming early-stage financing challenges [3][4] - Aosong Electronics has achieved nearly 100% market share in domestic capacitive temperature and humidity sensors, showcasing the success of financial backing in fostering local innovation [3][4] Group 3 - Financial institutions are evolving from mere "fund providers" to "industry enablers," offering tailored financial services that integrate industry, technology, and finance [5] - The establishment of specialized financial service platforms and products, such as the "1+3+N" and "1+4+N" service systems, aims to meet the diverse needs of enterprises within industrial parks [5] - The "Park Loan" initiative, launched by Shenzhen's financial regulatory bodies, provides high-amount, low-interest, and unsecured loans to small and micro enterprises in parks, enhancing collaboration among banks, park management, and guarantee institutions [6]

①美国消费者信心意外下降 鲍威尔重申不急于降息 关注关税政策影响 美国6月消费者信心意外下降5.4点至93，低于经济学家预期。消费者对进口关税上调的经济影响持续焦 虑，支出更谨慎。调查截止于6月18日，地缘政治提及略有增加，预计未来一年利率上升的消费者比例 升至57%，为2023年10月以来最高。美联储主席鲍威尔周二出席美国众议院金融服务委员会听证会并提 交货币政策报告，他表示，目前美联储暂不急于降息，需静观特朗普关税政策对经济影响。他也透露降 息会有两个条件，一是通胀下行，二是劳动力市场疲软。上周美联储按兵不动。当下白宫施压要求降 息，美联储内部也有降息声音，但市场认为7月降息概率小，多数成员谨慎，降息或在9月。本周至少15 位美联储官员将讲话。 评论员许戈：鲍威尔表示，目前美联储不急于降息，因关税不确定性影响经济需观察，美国经济韧性、 低失业率、通胀回落但仍超目标，是其"有利位置"。7月降息可能性小，降息需通胀下行、劳动力市场 疲软。降息不考虑政治因素，特朗普关税威胁无效。美股面临六月美债到期、七月谈判延期到期威胁， 但或是"倒车接人"机会。 申万宏源证券研究所执行总经理钱启敏：鲍威尔对于是否快速降息，仍 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Molong's stock price has surged over 95% since June 13, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and speculative trading, despite the company's underlying financial struggles [1][2][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - Shandong Molong's stock has recorded seven consecutive trading days of gains, with a closing price of 7.72 CNY per share on June 23 [1][2] - The stock's price increased from 3.95 CNY to 7.72 CNY, representing a cumulative increase of 95.44% [3] - The company's A/H share premium fluctuated between 130% and 245% before settling at 49.57% as of June 23 [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Shandong Molong reported total revenue of 1.356 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 2.95%, but still recorded a net loss of 43.7 million CNY [4][6] - The reduction in losses was primarily due to the sale of subsidiaries, which contributed approximately 260 million CNY to non-recurring profits, yet the adjusted net profit still showed a loss of 311 million CNY [4][6] - The company's main product line, oil casing, generated revenue of 1.231 billion CNY in 2024, accounting for over 90% of total revenue, but faced a decline in gross margin to 13.42% [5][6] Group 3: Shareholder Actions - The second-largest shareholder, Zhihong Holdings, significantly reduced its stake by 17% during the stock price surge, raising concerns about the company's future [1][4][6] - Zhihong Holdings and its concerted parties sold approximately 107 million shares, reducing their ownership from 19% to 2.01% [3][6] - The reduction in shareholding was described as a strategic investment decision by Zhihong Holdings, which is linked to the RuLi Group [6]

Group 1: Government Subsidies and Consumer Goods - The central government will allocate 138 billion yuan in subsidies for the "old for new" consumer goods program in the second half of the year, with funds distributed in July and October [1] - Local governments are expected to provide additional matching funds, totaling approximately 150 billion yuan for the program [1] - The subsidy is anticipated to support the "old for new" initiative until the end of the year, with an estimated 300 billion yuan allocated specifically for home appliances [1] Group 2: E-commerce and Hospitality - JD.com has officially entered the hotel and travel industry, aiming to optimize supply chain costs for hotels through its established supply chain management system [2] - The company is offering hotel merchants a "JD Hotel PLUS Membership Plan" with up to three years of zero commission [2] - Analysts note that JD.com’s entry may trigger a new round of price competition in the local lifestyle sector [2] Group 3: E-commerce Performance Metrics - Alibaba's Tmall reported a 10% year-on-year growth in GMV after excluding refunds during the 618 shopping festival, with a double-digit increase in purchasing users [3] - This marks the first time Tmall has disclosed GMV excluding refunds as a promotional metric, reflecting changes in promotional strategies [3] Group 4: Technology and Software Development - Huawei announced that the number of developers for its HarmonyOS has surpassed 8 million, with over 40 terminal products and more than 30,000 applications in development [4] - The success of HarmonyOS will depend on the continued participation of developers and partners, which is crucial for establishing a sustainable ecosystem [4] Group 5: Corporate Investments and Partnerships - BOE Technology Group plans to acquire a 30% stake in Rainbow Optoelectronics, which may enhance BOE's capacity in the LCD panel production sector [5] - This acquisition is seen as a strategic move for resource integration and redistribution within the industry [5] Group 6: Space Exploration and Safety - SpaceX's Starship experienced an explosion during a static fire test, but the company confirmed that there were no injuries and no harm to surrounding communities [7] - The incident highlights the high-risk nature of hard technology exploration, with previous test flights also facing failures [7] Group 7: AI in Agriculture - Fengnong Holdings has upgraded to a smart agricultural service platform, integrating generative AI models to enhance its product offerings [11] - The agricultural sector has been slow to adopt AI due to various challenges, but this development indicates a potential shift towards more advanced agricultural practices [11] Group 8: Consumer Health Products - Dongfang Zhenxuan has launched its self-operated sanitary napkin line, with sales expected to exceed 10 million yuan shortly after its release [13] - The increasing consumer awareness of health and quality in sanitary products is driving demand for higher quality offerings in the market [13] Group 9: AI in Welding Technology - Sanqiao Welding has introduced an AI system called Arc Genius, which simplifies the welding process by providing optimized parameters based on user input [14] - This innovation aims to lower the learning curve for operators and improve welding precision, reflecting a trend of integrating AI into traditional manufacturing processes [14]

*三大股指分化，科技股低迷纳指跌0.5%； *中长期美债收益率回落，2年期美债逼近3.90%； *受欧盟反垄断调查判决影响，谷歌跌超3%。 美股周五收盘涨跌互现，市场权衡以伊冲突的持续发展和美联储官员的表态。截至收盘，道指涨35.16 点，涨幅0.08%，报42206.82点，纳指跌0.51%，报19447.41点，标普500指数跌0.22%，报5967.84点。本 周，标准普尔500指数下跌0.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.2%，道琼斯指数变化不大。 克罗格涨9.8%，该连锁超市报告第一季度业绩同比增长后，上调了2025财年营收指引。 纳斯达克金龙中国指数跌0.9%。 京东跌3.3%， 百度、腾讯、拼多多跌超1%。 经济数据方面，受消费者悲观情绪、制成品新订单疲软、失业救济申请人数增加和建筑许可申请人数下 降的影响，咨商会美国经济领先指标在5月份继续呈下降趋势，回落0.1个百分点至99.0。在截至2025年5 月的六个月内，累计下跌2.7%。 费城联储6月份制造业指数报-4.0，继续处于萎缩状态，其中就业指标达到了2020年5月以来的最低水 平。 美联储理事沃勒当天表示，由于关税不太可能显著增加通货膨胀，美联储 ...

Core Insights - The rise of digital trade, offshore currencies, and cross-border financing is reshaping the global financial landscape, necessitating a unified and robust framework for international financial law [1] - The Shanghai Financial Court is enhancing international rule alignment and providing judicial support for global financial market connectivity, particularly in handling complex cross-border disputes [2] - The current global financial governance structure faces challenges from U.S. tariff policies, technological advancements, and climate change, highlighting the need for a universally accepted international rule system [3] Group 1: Financial Market Developments - In 2024, Shanghai's financial market transaction volume is projected to exceed 35 trillion yuan, with cross-border RMB settlement surpassing 2.5 trillion yuan, and licensed financial institutions increasing to 1,782, of which foreign institutions account for 35% [1] - Over the past five years, Shanghai courts have handled 3,418 cases related to foreign financial disputes, with an annual growth rate of over 10% [1] Group 2: Judicial Mechanisms and Innovations - The Shanghai Financial Court has established a foreign law verification mechanism to address the judicial needs of foreign entities, successfully adjudicating cases involving Singaporean and Cayman laws [2] - New dispute resolution mechanisms, such as the rise of international commercial courts, are emerging to facilitate smoother resolution processes, integrating litigation, mediation, and arbitration [3] Group 3: Challenges and Future Directions - The digital transformation poses significant challenges to financial international law, necessitating a legal framework that is fair, transparent, and adaptable to modern financial complexities [4] - The United Nations Commission on International Trade Law (UNCITRAL) emphasizes the need for a transparent and harmonious rule system in the financial international law sector, despite existing frameworks like the New York Convention [4] - China is actively engaging in regional trade agreements, such as RCEP, to establish judicial safeguards, focusing on the effectiveness of cross-border commercial documents and the quality assurance of digital representations [5]

6月20日，财政部公布2025年1—5月财政收支情况，总体看财政收入平稳，财政支出保持一定扩张力 度，以落实积极财政政策，扩大总需求，推动经济平稳运行。 再次，贸易战等复杂外贸形势，也对财政收入产生负面影响。比如前5个月进口货物增值税、消费税、 关税收入均出现明显下滑。 最后，物价低迷拉低了以现价计算的财政收入。 国家统计局数据显示，2025年5月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降3.3%，环比下降0.4%。PPI持 续下行压缩名义工业增加值，使得以名义增加值为税基的第一大税种增值税等税收增长承压。财政部数 据显示，今年前5个月，国内增值税（30850亿元）同比增长2.4%。 不过得益于国内增值税、国内消费税、个人所得税三大税种收入保持增长，使得整体上税收收入稳定。 从财政收入端来看，财政部数据显示，1—5月，全国一般公共预算收入96623亿元，同比下降0.3%。这 一降幅较前4个月（-0.4%）略微缩窄。全国政府性基金预算收入15483亿元，同比下降6.9%。这一降幅 较前4个月（-6.7%）略微扩大。 全国一般公共预算收入由税收收入和非税收入组成，且以前者为主。税收收入又被称之为经济"晴雨 表"。 财政部 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "1+6" policy for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board aims to enhance the inclusivity and adaptability of the capital market, particularly through the trial implementation of a professional institutional investor system for companies meeting the fifth listing standard [1][4]. Group 1: Policy and Implementation - The first measure of the "1+6" policy is to pilot the introduction of professional institutional investors for companies under the fifth listing standard, which is expected to help assess the technological attributes and commercial prospects of these firms [1][4]. - The system is designed to be a reference factor during the review process rather than a new listing threshold, ensuring it does not alter existing listing standards [6]. Group 2: Market Impact and Investor Role - Professional institutional investors are expected to reduce information asymmetry and provide valuation support, which can stabilize the secondary market and enhance review efficiency [5][6]. - The involvement of seasoned investors can lead to a more favorable investment environment for "hard tech" companies, encouraging early and small investments in innovative sectors [5]. Group 3: Historical Context and Comparisons - The article draws parallels with international practices, noting that private equity and venture capital have played crucial roles in the commercialization of advanced technologies in the past [2]. - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has previously implemented a similar system for biotech and specialized technology companies, which serves as a reference for the current reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2]. Group 4: Current Market Landscape - As of the end of 2024, there are 67 companies listed under the 18A rule, with an average of three professional investors per company, collectively holding about 21% of shares, indicating strong institutional backing [3]. - The private equity investment fund market in China has reached approximately 10.96 trillion yuan, providing substantial financial support to technology companies at various stages of development [3].