全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓较上日增加2吨，当前持仓量为1079.66吨。 摘要周五(1月23日)亚市盘中，贵金属金银铂钯齐涨，现货白银突破99美元关口，新年首月涨超38%， 100美元近在咫尺，现货黄金站上4950美元/盎司关口，再创历史新高，距5000美元大关不足50美元。A 股黄金概念持续拉升，中国黄金、豫光金铅涨停，白银有色4连板，湖南白银、盛达资源、晓程科技、 四川黄金跟涨。 周五(1月23日)亚市盘中，贵金属金银铂钯齐涨，现货白银突破99美元关口，新年首月涨超38%，100美 元近在咫尺，现货黄金站上4950美元/盎司关口，再创历史新高，距5000美元大关不足50美元。A股黄金 概念持续拉升，中国黄金、豫光金铅涨停，白银有色4连板，湖南白银、盛达资源、晓程科技、四川黄 金跟涨。 国内品牌金饰克价随之大涨，多家品牌金店金饰价格突破1500元/克，今日老庙黄金足金饰品报价1548 元/克，较昨日大涨52元，相比一月初更是涨幅约150元/克；周生生足金饰品报1545元/克，较昨日大涨 53元；周大福足金饰品报1542元/克，较昨日大涨44元；周六福足金饰品报1533元/克，较 ...

摘要今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为1108.47元/克，较前一交易日上涨3.39元，涨幅 0.31%，日内呈现强势反弹走势。当日开盘价报1105.01元/克，盘中最高触及1112.07元/克，最低下探至 1103.95元/克。 今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为1108.47元/克，较前一交易日上涨3.39元，涨幅 0.31%，日内呈现强势反弹走势。当日开盘价报1105.01元/克，盘中最高触及1112.07元/克，最低下探至 1103.95元/克。 【要闻速递】 特朗普周四宣布通过北约协议，美国获格陵兰岛"全面且永久"准入权，北约同时呼吁加强北极安全以应 对俄罗斯威胁。 这一框架协议出台前，特朗普已收回对欧关税威胁并排除武力夺岛可能，缓解了跨大西洋关系数十年来 的最大裂痕。但协议细节未明，丹麦坚称主权不可讨论，欧盟外交高官卡拉斯称欧美关系已"遭受重大 打击"。 格陵兰总理尼尔森对表态表示欢迎，但强调"主权是红线"，对具体内容存疑。匿名消息称，北约秘书长 吕特与特朗普同意就1951年美丹格军事准入协议展开进一步谈判，框架还包括禁止俄罗斯在格陵兰投 资。 特朗普政策转向推动欧 ...

Group 1 - Gold futures are currently trading at approximately 1117.84, with a recent increase of 2.43%, reaching a high of 1117.98 and a low of 1084.80 [1][3] - The short-term outlook for gold futures appears bullish, supported by geopolitical risks and a weakening dollar [1][3] Group 2 - Trump's statement regarding Greenland indicates a strategic shift, asserting that the U.S. aims for "full permanent access" to the territory, with the only cost being the deployment of the "Iron Dome" missile defense system [2] - Danish Prime Minister Frederiksen emphasized that sovereignty issues are non-negotiable, while expressing willingness to cooperate in security matters [2] - Greenland's autonomy government welcomed Trump's comments but stressed that sovereignty is a "red line" and that negotiations should involve Denmark and the EU [2]

摘要今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，黄金价格走高，接近本周的历史高点，由于黄金均保持强劲的技术 面看涨态势，基于技术面的买盘十分活跃。2月黄金盘中上涨47.3美元，报4,884.8美元。 今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，黄金价格走高，接近本周的历史高点，由于黄金均保持强劲的技术面看 涨态势，基于技术面的买盘十分活跃。2月黄金盘中上涨47.3美元，报4,884.8美元。 【要闻速递】 尽管交易员和投资者的风险偏好有所上升，但这两种贵金属今天仍录得涨幅。特朗普总统周三下午表 示，他将不对反对其试图接管格陵兰岛的欧洲国家商品征收关税，理由是双方已就该岛达成"未来协议 的框架"。 然而，如果全球货币政策风险急剧下降，导致对冲头寸平仓，金价可能回调。地缘政治的变数仍是关 键：特朗普的不可预测性令欧盟警惕，跨大西洋关系虽暂缓和，但长期信心受损，可能引发更多波动。 总体而言，投资者应关注美联储会议、经济数据和北极部署进展。黄金在去美元化趋势中的角色日益凸 显，成为对抗不确定性的盾牌。在这个充满地缘风暴的时代，黄金不仅仅是投资品，更是全球稳定的锚 点。2026年的金市，将在多重因素交织下，继续书写超级牛市的传奇。 此外，克里 ...

本月特朗普政府以翻修工程为由传票调查美联储，鲍威尔驳斥为"惩罚其未更快降息"。鲍威尔主席任期 5月结束，但可留任理事至2028年，法律斗争引发其或留任猜测，特朗普称"不担心"。 今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，纸黄金目前交投于1112.54元附近，截至发稿，纸黄金暂报1110.56元/克， 涨幅1.78%，最高触及1112.54元/克，最低下探1090.90元/克。目前来看，纸黄金短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 特朗普周四表示，已完成美联储主席候选人面试，重申心中已有人选，称其"非常受尊敬、知名且会表 现出色"，但未透露具体信息。 其候选名单包括国家经济委员会主任凯文.哈塞特、贝莱德高管里克.里德尔、现任美联储理事克里斯托 弗.沃勒及前理事凯文.沃什。哈塞特曾被视为热门，但特朗普暗示或留其在白宫任职。 特朗普提名人将接替5月任期届满的鲍威尔(特朗普屡批其降息太慢)。财长贝森特称最终名单有四人， 特朗普或本月底宣布人选。周三特朗普曾矛盾表示"候选人或已缩至一人"。 摘要今日周五(1月23日)亚盘时段，纸黄金目前交投于1112.54元附近，截至发稿，纸黄金暂报1110.56元/ 克，涨幅1.78%，最高触及11 ...

截至2026年1月23日，英镑兑美元报1.3496，微跌0.0001(跌幅0.0074%)，当日最高1.3508、最低1.3484， 开收盘价均为1.3495，波幅收窄显多空博弈激烈。本月汇率维持1.34-1.35区间整理，触及1.3516月内高 点后蓄力，英央行谨慎降息与美联储政策不确定性形成核心博弈，短期方向待指引。 政策分歧成核心支撑英美央行路径分化 英央行审慎降息为英镑提供支撑。2025年12月，英央行以5:4多数将利率下调25基点至3.75%(2024年8月 以来第五次降息)，内部分歧凸显政策谨慎。多位委员担忧薪资高增引发通胀，行长贝利称仍有宽松空 间，但利率接近中性、调整有限。市场预期分化，高盛将2026年三次降息推迟至3-9月，毕马威预测年 末利率至3.5%，降息放缓预期强化英镑优势。 美联储政策不确定性限制英镑上行。2025年三次降息后，美联储内部分歧加剧，12月议息会议3张反对 票创2019年新高。美国经济韧性支撑偏鹰立场，施密德表态维持限制性政策，市场将首次降息推迟至6 月。叠加美联储主席任期变数，美元指数反弹至六周高位，压制汇价，英美利差稳定加剧震荡。 日线级别，英镑兑美元震荡上行格局未 ...

截至2026年1月23日，美元兑瑞郎交投于0.7950附近延续窄幅震荡，作为全球避险货币中独树一帜的存 在，瑞郎今年走出了"政策锚定+双向制衡"的独立行情，零利率坚守、常态化外汇干预、基本面的分化 支撑，让其在全球央行政策混战中，既守住避险核心价值，又避免了过度升值的反噬，成为外汇市场 中"稳"字当头的特殊标的。 这种操作让瑞郎兑美元始终维持在0.79-0.81的窄幅区间，利差的影响被央行的主动调控中和，也让瑞郎 走出了与欧元、英镑等非美货币"利差主导汇率"完全不同的行情。即便欧央行降息、日央行加息引发全 球资本流动，瑞郎也能通过外汇干预保持汇率稳定，欧元兑瑞郎全年锚定1.08-1.09区间，波动率远低于 欧美、美日货币对。 短期来看，美元兑瑞郎将维持0.79-0.80区间震荡，欧元兑瑞郎围绕0.93-0.94波动，瑞士央行的外汇干预 将成为汇率的直接边界，一旦美元兑瑞郎跌破0.79，央行大概率会放缓干预，而突破0.80则会加大干预 力度，守住汇率的合理区间。 中长期来看，瑞郎的强势格局不会改变，但升值幅度将被严格限制。全球去美元化、美联储降息的大背 景，让瑞郎的避险配置价值持续提升，而瑞士稳健的宏观账户，也 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Swiss Franc (CHF) is experiencing a strong yet constrained trading pattern against the US Dollar (USD) and Euro, driven by the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) zero interest rate policy and global risk sentiment fluctuations, with expectations that the zero interest rate will persist until the second half of 2027 [1][2]. Group 1: Swiss National Bank Policy - The SNB has maintained a policy interest rate of 0%, with no immediate plans to shift to negative rates, even in the face of potential short-term deflation [1][2]. - The SNB's policy is designed to alleviate pressure on key export sectors such as watchmaking and pharmaceuticals, which are facing challenges, including a 7.3% year-on-year decline in watch exports as of November 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Forecasts - The Swiss economy is projected to see GDP growth slow from 1.2% in 2025 to 1.0% in 2026, with a rise in unemployment from 2.8% to 3.0%, indicating insufficient recovery momentum [2]. - Inflation is expected to remain low, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) nearing 0% at the end of 2025, and the SNB forecasts inflation to rise to 0.3%-0.6% in 2026-2027, within the target range of 0%-2% [1][2]. Group 3: Currency Dynamics and Market Sentiment - The USD/CHF exchange rate is under pressure due to narrowing interest rate differentials, with the market anticipating a 50 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve in 2026, delaying the first cut until June [2]. - The CHF continues to attract safe-haven flows amid global uncertainties, including trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, despite temporary outflows following signals of reduced geopolitical risks from events like the Davos Forum [2]. Group 4: Technical Analysis and Market Outlook - The USD/CHF is expected to trade within a range of 0.79-0.81 throughout 2026, with key resistance levels at 0.8010-0.8020 and support at 0.7970 [3][4]. - The SNB's foreign exchange interventions, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, and global geopolitical risks will be critical factors influencing the CHF's performance [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Euro is experiencing a slight decline against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate at 1.1746, reflecting a cautious market sentiment amid ongoing trade tensions and policy uncertainties between the US and Europe [1][2]. Group 1: European Central Bank (ECB) Policy - The ECB has maintained its deposit facility rate at 2%, signaling stability in monetary policy, with no immediate need for adjustments as inflation is expected to stabilize around the 2% target [1]. - The ECB has revised its GDP growth forecasts for the Eurozone, projecting a growth rate of 1.4% for 2025 and 1.2% for 2026, driven primarily by domestic demand [1]. - Inflation expectations have been adjusted to 2.1% for 2025 and 1.9% for 2026, indicating that while service sector inflation remains sticky, overall inflation is on track [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Euro Strength - The Euro's strength is attributed to the weakening of the US Dollar, driven by concerns over US tariffs and trade relations, leading to reduced demand for dollar-denominated assets [2]. - Investor sentiment has shifted towards the Euro as a safer asset amid geopolitical uncertainties, with institutions viewing it as a "relatively minimal loss" option [2]. - The market is currently in a cautious state, with the Euro benefiting from a stable policy backdrop while the Dollar's appeal diminishes [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The Euro to Dollar exchange rate is currently in a narrow trading range, with key support levels at 1.1669 and 1.1595, while resistance is noted around 1.18 [3]. - The market is expected to remain within the 1.1650-1.1750 range in the short term, influenced by ECB policy stability and ongoing trade tensions [3]. - Key upcoming events to monitor include the ECB meeting on February 5, progress in US-EU trade negotiations, and US economic data releases, which may impact short-term market movements [3].

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