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突发“风险提示“,会管用吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:52
新闻解读评级说明:五星重磅,四星重要,三星级以下大家选择听。 1、大宗商品涨停潮,交易所风险提示会管用吗? 本篇评级为★★★,主要围绕以下内容展开: 如有疑问请以音频内容为准,添加妙妙子微信huxiuvip302,入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。 须知,期货这一金融工具,本质是为实体经济服务,帮助工厂、企业锁定原材料价格、规避大幅波动风 险。然而,眼下期货独自急涨急跌,反而给实体套保带来巨大风险——原本用来避险的工具,如今成 了"挖坑"制造风险。时间一久,必然引起监管注意。 本文为妙投付费内容,上述仅为摘要,购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读 体验机会,在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入"妙投888"即可领取。 今天的 A 股市场依旧红通通,我们一起梳理盘面,看看继续向上的潜力有多大,以及可能遇到的风 险。 1、大宗商品涨停潮,交易所风险提示会管用吗? 2、券商板块透支了吗?从资金层面看两条线索 3、芯片稍稍启动,背后的推动力有多大? 到目前为止,市场的主线之一仍在横向扩展,这条主线便是去产能赛道。前几日,煤炭、钢铁涨幅巨 大,这两天出现收缩;而横向扩展的结果是又有新主角登场——今天,热点 ...
冯仑:关于非洲房地产考察的几点思考
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:14
Group 1: Real Estate Insights - The trip to Africa provided a new perspective on the real estate industry, emphasizing the importance of understanding different economic stages rather than applying a uniform standard across markets [3][4] - There is a notable opportunity in developing limited high-quality residential properties tailored to local market needs, especially during the early stages of urbanization [4][5] - The effectiveness of real estate ventures in Africa is heavily influenced by land tenure systems, with issues such as unclear property rights and complex approval processes posing significant challenges [5][6] - Successful real estate development requires patience and a long-term investment approach, as demonstrated by historical examples of property appreciation over decades [7][9] - The current economic environment in Africa presents opportunities for high-quality projects, but developers must avoid overexpansion and the pitfalls of replicating models from other markets [4][9] Group 2: Entrepreneurship in Africa - Entrepreneurship in Africa is characterized by a grassroots spirit, where success is often achieved through perseverance and local adaptation rather than reliance on external resources [10][11] - Many successful African entrepreneurs have backgrounds in state-owned enterprises, which provided them with essential skills and local connections before transitioning to private ventures [12] - A solid professional background is crucial for entrepreneurs, as demonstrated by those in the construction sector who possess relevant technical expertise [12][13] Group 3: Economic and Institutional Context - The economic development of Africa is significantly influenced by historical and ongoing institutional choices, with many countries oscillating between socialist and market-oriented policies [15][16] - Despite some improvements in urban development, Africa's economic growth remains slow compared to regions like China and Southeast Asia, with many countries still in the early stages of industrialization [17][18] - Current industrial activities in Africa often mirror those from 30 years ago in China, indicating a phase of economic development that is more about catching up than innovating [18][19] - The potential for traditional industries to find new growth opportunities in Africa is significant, although the continent is unlikely to become the fastest-growing region in the global economy in the near future [20][21]
中产阶级该如何保卫“现代生活”?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 10:14
"中产阶级"一直是个不那么明晰的概念,尤其在当前社会,这个词的面目愈发模糊。不过就算再怎么从阶级划 分或者社会建构论出发论证中产阶级本身"不存在",是个伪概念,也没法否认,当前社会有一整套属于"中产专 供"的生活方式和消费观。比如最近流行的东方明珠塔制裁蜜雪冰城的调侃,以及山姆超市好丽友事件。 或者可以说,中产阶级在当前就是这一系列生活方式与消费观的总和。当然,流行的生活方式总是变动不休, 在当下更是以天为周期迭代,不过总的规律是有的,中产阶级的生活方式,一定是要追求体面,品味和区隔, 追求和基层大众不一样。或者用某些人比较喜欢的说法,追求现代生活。 随着生产力的发展,尤其是在中国,中产越来越难以在物质追求上和普通人拉开实质差距,这让中产阶级越来 越难以像以前一样获得幸福感,也让中产所追求的那个在那个物质和时尚表象之下的真实内核更加清晰的展现 在大众视野中。 比如山姆超市这事,我在虎嗅一篇调侃文章下面看到的评论就很有代表性。该高赞评论认为买山姆是为了品控 和优质选品,说作者贬低中产买山姆,也是为了找优越感。 | 广东 7月13日 | 2448 | | --- | --- | | 买山姆不是为了优越感,是为了山 ...
聊聊雅鲁藏布江水电站
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 09:47
有两个工程在各种军事历史类的论坛里聊得热火朝天,一个就是雅鲁藏布江水电站,另一个是红旗河 (引西藏水到新疆)。 单从工程技术角度讲,在西藏地理那么复杂的地方,难度当然很大。对世界其他国家来说,或者是不可 能完成的工程,但对干过墨脱公路,青藏铁路的中国工程人来说,根本不是问题。 其实雅鲁藏布江水电站跟红旗河是两位一体的,就是充分利用西藏充沛的水力。有些东西我们用了,别 人就用得少了些,有些水,流入到我们国土内部,就没那么多灌溉印度平原了。印度人对此不满,当然 了,换我是三哥家的,也会不满,毕竟人家卡下游孟加拉和巴基斯坦的水源,那可是各种往死里下黑 手。 所以为什么雅鲁藏布江水电站为什么到现在才宣布开工? 之前有人说,这是想刺激内需,毕竟大工程带动GDP,可以熨平经济周期。这么说也有几分道理,但问 题是,雅鲁藏布江水电站投资总量有1.2万亿,体量是不少,可建设周期10年起,这1.2万亿除以10,平 摊下来每年也就1200亿。讲真放在西藏一地,算有点体量,能拉一把当地的经济,但放在全国看,真还 不够看的。 至于说要靠一个水电站直接托底全国钢铁水泥企业,那更是开玩笑了。是,可以消化一部分产能,但朋 友,你在这么说之前 ...
破壁者陈科:数字化不止“基建”,更要造“样板间”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 09:00
作者 | 于向南 头图 | AI生成 走进安踏的门店,你可能不会立刻察觉科技的痕迹,但一次次线上下单门店自提的秒级响应,一件件通过数据算法精准匹配的新品推送,以及导购员手机里 随调随用的各地库存......这些悄悄运行的细节,正是安踏集团以数字化重构零售的印证——将"科技感"融入到了日常运营当中。 "纯基建类的IT活动是信息化,数字化的核心是产生业务价值。" 作为这个团队的管理者,陈科用修建房子来解释这一点:信息化体系的建设犹如打地基,但仅有地基是无法产生直接的经济效益,必须有样板间、预售、交 付甚至带软装的,这样才能让终端消费者买单。 今天的安踏集团,体量庞大,且能兼顾质量与规模增长。其2024年全年营业收入约708亿元人民币,同比增长13.6%;截至2024年底,安踏集团旗下品牌门 店总数超过一万家。 陈科很清楚,真正的增长并非单纯来自门店数量扩张,而是在于深挖"店效",在于不同品牌与消费者的匹配,更在于用数字化让每个业务单元都得到进化, 并通过应用AI技术进一步放大数字化的价值。 所以,安踏的数字化战略,没有炫技式的口号,而是紧扣"人、货、场"这一零售本质。陈科表示,未来品牌的边界将被打破,每个人都将是 ...
一座动物园,如何带火一座城?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 08:53
Group 1 - The core story revolves around a mother seeking a refund for a zoo annual pass due to her child's serious illness, which led to a significant act of kindness from the zoo [2][3][68] - The South Tong Forest Wild Animal Park not only refunded the annual pass fee of 588 yuan but also donated 50,000 yuan in cash and over 12,000 yuan from a wishing well, while allowing the family to keep their annual pass permanently [3][68] - This act of goodwill garnered widespread attention and praise on social media, significantly increasing the zoo's popularity and boosting tourism in the surrounding area [4][5][66] Group 2 - The phenomenon of the "Snow Cake Monkey" at the Changchun Animal and Botanical Park illustrates a different approach to engaging visitors through humor and relatable content [7][10] - The character, portrayed by actor Wang Tiezhu, gained immense popularity on social media, leading to a surge in visitors to the park and creating a new form of interactive experience for guests [14][16][17] - The success of the "Snow Cake Monkey" reflects a broader trend where emotional engagement and relatable content drive tourism and visitor participation in urban cultural experiences [25][72] Group 3 - The Red Mountain Forest Zoo in Nanjing transformed its financial situation by leveraging social media and creating relatable animal characters, leading to a significant increase in visitor engagement and merchandise sales [31][62] - The zoo's innovative marketing strategies, including the creation of animal IPs and relatable content, have resulted in a substantial increase in revenue from younger demographics [56][59] - The combination of emotional storytelling and interactive experiences has redefined the role of zoos in urban tourism, making them vital components of city culture and economy [70][75]
遍地摩托的东南亚,正刮起“油改电”风潮
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 08:24
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of motorcycles in Southeast Asia, highlighting their prevalence as a primary mode of transportation in urban areas [5][6][26] - It emphasizes the competitive landscape of the motorcycle market, particularly the dominance of Japanese brands like Honda and Yamaha, and the challenges faced by Chinese brands in the region [10][11][18] Market Overview - In Southeast Asia, motorcycle registration reached 236 million units in 2020, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.1% from 2008 to 2020 [6] - Motorcycles account for over 70% of total vehicle registrations in countries like Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, and Myanmar [7] - The household penetration rate of motorcycles is extremely high, with Vietnam at 90%, Laos at 89%, and Indonesia at 85% [9] Competitive Landscape - Japanese motorcycle manufacturers have established a stronghold in the market due to their effective supply chain management and brand building strategies [12][22] - Chinese motorcycle brands initially captured 80% of the Vietnamese market in 1999 but later struggled due to price wars and lack of brand recognition [17][18][20] Transition to Electric Motorcycles - Traditional fuel motorcycles still dominate the market with a 96.8% share, but there is a growing trend towards electric motorcycles driven by climate policies [27][41] - Countries like Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam are implementing various strategies to promote electric vehicles, including tax incentives and infrastructure development [29][33][38] Opportunities for Chinese Companies - The transition to electric motorcycles presents a significant opportunity for Chinese manufacturers, who have established supply chains and competitive pricing [43] - The RCEP agreement facilitates the export of electric motorcycles from China to Indonesia and Vietnam, with reduced tariffs [45] - The article suggests that the current market conditions represent a unique opportunity for Chinese electric motorcycle companies to expand in Southeast Asia [47][48]
给手机充个电为啥有时快有时慢?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 07:27
本文来自微信公众号:孔夫子百科,作者:newtonian6,题图来自:视觉中国 现在的手机功能是多了,但用起来的幺蛾子也多。就说充电吧,插在办公室充电嗖嗖快,半小时就能充七八成,但在车里用点 烟头充电器充电就慢得要死,都绕高峰期的四环半圈了电量才增加了20%。还有更诡异的,哪天忘记带充电线了找办公室同事 借了一条还插在平时用的充电头上,结果比在车里充得还慢。这些莫名其妙的问题都是怎么回事呢? 最早的手机其实没这些问题,当时手机电池容量也很小,都按照统一的USB规范去充电。iPhone4的年代,USB规范还是2.0, 标准模式下只能提供5V 500mA的充电电流,经过协商后可以提供高功率模式900mA。最早的智能手机电池也就是一千多毫安 时(例如iphone4是1400mAh,黑莓6210是1100mAh),这个电流一个多小时充满也还算可以了。 但是随着智能手机的处理性能日益变态,电池也越来越大,现在电池容量超过5000mAh的手机已经不稀罕了,例如粗粮Redmi Note 12 Pro 5G容量为5000mAh,菊花荣耀X50是5800mAh,而三丧Galaxy M62更是高达7000mAh。如果这些手机还是 ...
美国药价,为何是全球最高的?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and challenges of drug pricing in the United States, highlighting the significant price disparities compared to Europe and the underlying factors contributing to these differences. Group 1: Trump's Executive Order and Its Implications - Trump's executive order aimed to reduce drug prices by 30%-80%, but lacked a clear implementation plan, leading to confusion and a rise in pharmaceutical stock prices instead of a decline [2][4][5]. - The historical context reveals that U.S. law prohibits the government from negotiating drug prices directly with pharmaceutical companies, rooted in the philosophy of maintaining a separation between government and business [6][10][13]. Group 2: Drug Pricing Mechanisms - Drug prices in the U.S. are significantly higher than in other developed countries, with some medications costing 5-10 times more [15][52]. - The pricing mechanism involves multiple channels, including government insurance and commercial insurance, each with different pricing strategies and negotiation dynamics [29][30]. Group 3: Global Drug Price Comparisons - In Europe, drug prices are generally lower, with examples showing that the same medication can cost around $500 in Europe compared to $1000 in the U.S. [52][53]. - The article notes that while some rare disease medications are still expensive, the overall trend shows that U.S. drug prices are often higher due to various market dynamics and negotiation practices [56][58]. Group 4: Industry Dynamics and Future Considerations - The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by a complex interplay of innovation, pricing strategies, and regulatory frameworks, which influence the development and pricing of new drugs [47][68]. - The introduction of negotiation mechanisms in the U.S. under the IRA Act reflects a shift towards more competitive pricing, similar to practices seen in other countries [67][68].
我在广东打工30年,没发财,拍了150万张照片
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-24 06:29
我叫占有兵,52岁,在广东打工30年,喜欢摄影,拍了150多万张记录我和工友们打工生活的照片。 从小学到初中,我都很喜欢读书,成绩也很好。1989年,我第一次去县城,因为我考上了谷城一中——县里最好的高中。 读书时,我最期望的是吃饱饭。每天上午,到了最后一堂课,我总是在和饥饿做斗争,不停地用手揉肚子,但"咕咕、咕咕"的叫声不断地分散我的注意 力。 每个月10元生活费,每天1斤粮食,穿着姑父给的解放鞋,吃着姑姑腌制的咸菜,我每天都梦想着跳出农门。 三年后,千军万马过独木桥,我高考失利,没能实现鲤鱼跳龙门的梦想。 1973年,我出生在鄂西北的庙滩小镇,我的祖祖辈辈都生活在农村。 20世纪七八十年代,鄂西北还比较落后。那时,我们家住着茅草屋,墙是玉米秆糊泥巴砌的,床上垫着稻草当"席梦思",屋顶上用篾席子挡着,每天晚 上,老鼠在篾席子上进行跑步比赛。 △2013年春运,广东东莞,长安汽车站出发厅内挤得动弹不得,每当有车靠站时,人群都会发生一阵骚动。 1992年年底,我参军到武警四川总队,成了一名驻守在康巴高原的武警战士。我每天起早摸黑,练功、读书、执勤,希望能考上警校,可阴差阳错再次失 利。 打好背包、摘除警衔和警徽 ...