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当升科技
数说新能源· 2025-12-11 06:31
Group 1: Company Lithium Iron Phosphate Business Progress - The company has rapidly developed its lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) business, with significant increases in shipment volume, becoming a major source of revenue. The main products are third and fourth generation, with the fourth generation's share steadily increasing. The company is accelerating the development and introduction of fifth generation products, expected to enter mass production in the second half of 2026 [1] - The company has a total planned capacity of 300,000 tons for its lithium iron phosphate production base in Panzhihua, with the first phase project having an annual output of 120,000 tons already completed. Due to strong demand in the downstream energy storage market, the company is facing capacity shortages and is actively planning capacity expansion in the Southwest region [2] Group 2: Market Development and Customer Base - The global energy storage market is rapidly developing, positively impacting the company's lithium iron phosphate business, which has become a significant revenue source. The company has established itself as a strategic supplier to major domestic lithium iron phosphate battery manufacturers, with a focus on overseas end markets [3] - The company's lithium iron phosphate materials are in high demand, with products being supplied to major domestic energy storage and power battery customers such as CATL, EVE Energy, and others. The acceleration of the Panzhihua new materials industrial base project will meet the urgent needs of downstream customers and support business growth [5] Group 3: Raw Material Prices and Supply Chain Management - The company closely monitors raw material market dynamics and price fluctuations, establishing long-term strategic partnerships with key suppliers and adopting diversified procurement strategies to optimize supply chain management and ensure raw material supply security and cost advantages [4] Group 4: Technological Development and Future Prospects - The introduction of manganese in lithium manganese phosphate materials significantly enhances battery energy density, showing great potential in power batteries and energy storage. The company has developed solutions to address technical challenges, achieving breakthroughs in energy density, low-temperature performance, and fast charging capabilities [6] - The company is actively developing sodium battery cathode materials and solid-state electrolyte materials, with products entering batch verification stages with major customers, indicating strong market potential [7][8] Group 5: International Expansion and Future Capacity Plans - To seize overseas market opportunities, the company is accelerating the construction of a new materials industrial base in Finland, which is expected to be operational in the second half of 2026. This project will enhance the company's international business advantages and support global market share growth [11] - The company has a planned capacity of 500,000 tons for its European new materials industrial base, including 300,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, with phased construction based on market trends and customer demand [12]
大电池增程会是未来主流吗?
数说新能源· 2025-12-11 06:31
Group 1: China's Energy Landscape - China's reliance on imported crude oil has increased, with self-sufficiency dropping to 28% as of 2023, down from 39.4% in 2015 [1] - The primary use of crude oil in China is for transportation, accounting for 53.6% of consumption, followed by chemical products (28.9%) and industrial use (8%) [1] - China has a significant advantage in coal resources and a leading position in the global photovoltaic (PV) industry, with the cost of solar components at 0.7 yuan/W and total installation costs under 1.8 yuan/W [1] Group 2: Photovoltaic Potential - If 10% of China's desertified land (approximately 168,000 square kilometers) were covered with PV panels, it could generate 18.9 trillion kWh annually, exceeding the projected total electricity generation of 10 trillion kWh for 2024 [2] Group 3: Economic Comparison of Energy Sources - The cost of gasoline derived from crude oil is approximately 2.86 yuan per liter, leading to a driving cost of 0.14-0.28 yuan per kilometer for gasoline vehicles [3][4][5] - In contrast, the cost of electricity for electric vehicles (EVs) is between 0.5-1 yuan per kWh, resulting in a driving cost of 0.08-0.16 yuan per kilometer, which is more economically favorable as it supports domestic distribution [6] Group 4: Electric Vehicle Challenges - The current infrastructure for public charging stations is insufficient during winter months, leading to increased wait times for charging [6][9] - To meet the commuting needs in first-tier cities, EV batteries should ideally be designed with a capacity of 80-100 kWh to counteract winter range reduction [7] Group 5: Battery Size Considerations - Increasing battery size to 200 kWh may lead to resource and financial waste, as larger batteries significantly increase vehicle weight and cost [12] - The current trend is towards larger battery packs in range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs), with models like the Li Auto L6 and others increasing battery capacities to meet consumer demands [17][18] Group 6: Market Trends - The market for REEVs is evolving, with manufacturers increasing battery sizes to enhance electric driving capabilities while maintaining the option for range extension [18]
11月汽车批发量分析
数说新能源· 2025-12-10 04:22
期推荐 行业&新能源产批 11月汽车行业产批均同环比增长。11月行业产批分别为310.6w/299.8w,同比分别+3.0%/+2.3%。新能源批发同比+18.7%,批发渗透率58.6%。 出口情况 11月汽车出口同环比稳定增长。11月行业出口60.4w,同比+52.4%,其中比亚迪出口12.8万辆,同比+59.9%,增长显著。 往 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 加入社群 本公众号基于分享的目的转载,转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有,如有涉及侵权请及时告知,我们将予以核实并删除。 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL :储能市场增长高于动力 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货报告和精准人脉。 ...
汽车行业利润率创5年新低,汽车业未来该咋办?
数说新能源· 2025-12-10 04:22
第三,这几年,汽车行业轮番上演的价格战,成为利润率降低的直接推手 。从特斯拉打响第一枪,到比亚迪"电比油低"战略,再到众多新品牌为清库存或抢份额频繁促销,汽车 行业已陷入"不降价就出局"的囚徒困境。价格战的背后,是车企对市场份额的极度渴望。然而,这种短期的市场竞争手段,虽然在一定程度上刺激了销量增长,但却对整个行业 的利润水平造成了严重冲击。持续的价格下降使得车企的盈利空间不断压缩,许多企业面临着成本上升与售价下降的双重压力。一些实力较弱的车企甚至在价格战中陷入亏损困 境,行业整体进入了低利润状态。这是当前市场发展到一定阶段的必然结果,也是市场竞争激烈程度的直观体现。 一、汽车行业利润率创5年新低 据界面新闻的报道,乘联分会秘书长崔东树披露的数据显示,2025年10月份,汽车行业销售 利润率3.9% ,环比9月下降0.5个百分点,达到五年同期最低。2025年1-10月份,汽车 行业销售利润率4.4%,好于2024年,但仍处于五年来的次低位。 崔东树表示,各地大力度推动"两新"政策落地实施,有效释放内需活力,消费品以旧换新政策加力扩围效果明显,但汽车行业效益改善明显落后其它消费品。 从收入、成本等指标来看,1- ...
固态电池最新进展
数说新能源· 2025-12-09 07:42
一、中试线样品测试进展 1. 测试主体与进程 参与工信部 60 亿元 ASSB 补贴项目的企业(硫化物路线:宁德时代、比亚迪、吉利、一汽;聚 合物路线:上汽清陶、卫蓝)已在 11 月 7 日向中汽研提交中试线样品(60Ah 级别,对标 2027 年车载应用),原计划 9-10 月启动测试,因吉利、一汽样品交付延迟,整体推迟至 11 月。 最终测试结果预计 2026 年 2-3 月出炉,暂不对外公开。 2.测试指标与现状 ...
最新电池材料价格
数说新能源· 2025-12-09 07:42
电解液: 磷酸铁锂SMM3.475万/吨,+0.05万/吨,+1.5% 三元动力SMM3.65万/吨,+0.05万/吨,+1.4% 添加剂: SMM电池级FEC7.4万/吨,+0.10万/吨,+1.4% SMM电池级VC18.1万/吨,+0.10万/吨,+0.6% 前驱体: 氧化钴SMM31万/吨,+0.25万/吨,+0.8% 六氟磷酸锂: SMM17.3万/吨,+0.05万/吨,+0.3% 氢氧化锂: 国产SMM8.193万/吨,-0.02万/吨,-0.2% 正极: 磷酸铁锂-动力SMM3.9095万/吨,-0.01万/吨,-0.3% 碳酸锂: 工业级SMM9.035万/吨,-0.04万/吨,-0.5% 电池级SMM9.275万/吨,-0.05万/吨,-0.5% 期推荐 往 加入社群 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL :储能市场增长高于动力 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货报告和精准人脉。 本公众号基于分享的目的转载,转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有,如有涉及侵权请及时告知,我们将予以核实并删除。 ...
LFP材料
数说新能源· 2025-12-08 04:48
2、产能:截至11月末,磷酸铁锂行业整体产能640万吨,同比+31.4%,环比+1.3% 11月铁锂产量41.7万吨、环比+4.2%、稼动率提升至78% 1、产量:2025年11月磷酸铁锂产量41.7万吨,同比+52.8%,环比+4.2%;2025年1-11月磷酸铁锂产量合计348万吨,同比+57.9% 期推荐 3、开工率:11月磷酸铁锂正极材料行业整体产能利用率约78.1%,同比+10.9pcts,环比+2.2pcts;从企业上看,除个别产线质量问题无法提产以外,其余 基本维持满产运行;趋势上,一二梯队产能无法满足需求,三四梯队企业陆续接到外溢订单,重新开启生产 4、价格&加工费:随协会指导的成本指数推出,头部企业陆续筹备调价动作,1-9月份行业平均售价低于统计成本1500-2000元/吨,未来需要进行提价扭 亏;11月份硫磺、磷酸、一铵、亚铁、碳酸锂等几乎所有原料价格均出现明显上涨,磷酸铁、铁锂加工费也陆续报价上调 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 加入社群 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货报告和精准人脉。 往 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL :储能市场增长高 ...
机器人:准入政策严格,避免野蛮生长
数说新能源· 2025-12-08 04:48
1. 行业政策解读与市场现状 国家发改委防范人形机器人重复上市政策的核心原因: 国内人形机器人本体厂商约 150家 不算多 ,但当前市场体量小: 2025年全行业营收仅几十个亿,2026年预计从几十个亿增至大几十个亿到100亿,150家厂 商已造成市场拥堵。 部分交易所为引入人形机器人企业变相放宽上市条件,可能导致劣币驱逐良币。 多数厂商不 "正宗": 原其他行业企业入局,仅推出 demo未量产,依赖宣传炒热市场,滋生乱象。 政策目的是回归理性,避免重蹈共享单车等行业资源浪费的覆辙,非否定赛道。 2. 头部厂商出货量与财务数据 2025年主要厂商出货量: 云深处: 机器狗出货量约 1万多台,均价几万块,2025年营收预计5-6亿。 宇树科技:机器狗出货量 3-4万台,人形机器人(双足+轮式)大几千台,是2025年人形机器人出货量最多的厂商。 智元: 轮式机器人出货量约 1000-2000台(主要面向创新中心、素材工厂等政府项目)。 双足人形机器人( 07XR为主,远程AR量少):光伏领域约1000台,租赁市场为主。 双足 +轮式人形机器人合计出货量2000-3000台,2025年营收目标10亿(能否达成存疑) ...
固态电池企业进展
数说新能源· 2025-12-05 03:28
4. 何俊男(太蓝新能源) 技术路线:聚焦 锂金属负极+氧化物电解质 ,能量密度达 450–550 Wh/kg ,具备航空级安全性。 产业化进展: 2023年建成首条450 Wh/kg中试线,2025年12月初将完成 2GWh产线 投产。 客户认证:已通过头部企业(如"一航")测试,并在无人机、机器人等领域实现批量交付。 应用案例: 低空经济:某型号飞行器续航从23分钟提升至48分钟(未来目标≥1小时)。 机器人:解决能量密度痛点,助力马拉松比赛等场景减少换电频率。 环保优势:锂金属负极易于回收,减少污染。 技术布局:覆盖 液态、固液(半固态)、全固态 三大电解质体系,主打 安全性 与材料创新。 固液电池:结合氧化物电解质+原位聚合技术,提升电性能与安全性。 全固态:布局硫化物/卤化物、氧化物/聚合物复合路线,兼顾离子电导率与成本。 政策与行业预测: 预计2026年固液电池大规模量产,2030年全固态电池小规模量产,长期渗透率或超80%。 公司实力: 专利252项(发明专利196项),B轮融资3.6亿元,产能规划:氧化物电解质2028年达1万吨,硫化物2026年达1000吨。 技术原理:通过 聚合物单体聚合形 ...
长安汽车:新能源汽车快速增长
数说新能源· 2025-12-05 03:28
Q1:11月公司整体批售汽车销量情况如何?同比增长多少?1到11月份累计销量情况怎样?同比增长多少? A2:11月公司整体批售汽车完成了28.4万辆,实现同比增长2.5%。1到11月份的累计销量达到265.8万辆,同比增长9.3%,并稳步向全年目标推进。 Q2:新能源业务11月销量表现如何?1到11月新能源业务累计销量情况如何?同比增长多少? A2:新能源业务在11月销量再创历史新高,达到了12.6万辆,同比增长23.3%。1到11月新能源业务累计销量接近百万辆,同比增长54.7%,成为公司增长的核 心引擎。 Q3:海外市场11月份和1到11月份的销售情况怎样? A3:11月份海外市场销售5.6万辆,同比增长46.7%;1到11月累计销售58.4万辆,同比增长15.7%。 Q4 问:长安引力系列11月份及累计销售情况如何?CS75系列、逸动系列等重点车型的销售表现如何? A4:长安引力系列在11月份实现销售7.7万辆,1到11月份累计销售突破87万辆。CS75系列、逸动系列等重点车型月销维持在细分市场前列水平,同比增长 31%,1到11月份累计销量超过36万辆,增幅超过40%。 Q5:深蓝汽车11月份全球销量 ...