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亚马逊超预期的好
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-30 23:19
Core Viewpoint - Amazon's Q3 financial results exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in its cloud computing business, AWS, which is experiencing its highest growth rate since 2022 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - AWS revenue grew by 20.2% to $33 billion, marking the highest growth rate since 2022, compared to 19% in the previous quarter [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.95, surpassing the expected $1.57 [1] - Total revenue was $180.17 billion, exceeding the forecast of $177.8 billion [1] - Advertising revenue was $17.7 billion, above the expected $17.34 billion [1] Group 2: Cloud Business Insights - Unfulfilled orders at the end of Q3 increased to $200 billion, excluding several undisclosed orders from October [1] - AWS added 3.8 GW of power capacity over the past 12 months, doubling its capacity from 2022, with plans to double it again by 2027 [1] - The Rainier data center project includes 500,000 Trainium 2 chips, with expectations to grow to 1 million chips by year-end [1] - Trainium 2 chips have become a multi-billion dollar business, with a quarterly growth of 150% [1] Group 3: Capital Expenditure and Future Guidance - Capital expenditures for FY25Q3 were $34.2 billion, a year-over-year increase of 61% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 9%, exceeding prior guidance [2] - The company expects Q4 revenue to grow to between $206 billion and $213 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 10%-13% [4] - Projected capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to reach $125 billion, up from a previous estimate of $118 billion [4] Group 4: E-commerce Performance - Online store revenue for FY25Q3 was $67.407 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 10% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 10% [5] - Third-party seller services revenue for FY25Q3 was $42.486 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 24% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13% [5] - Subscription services revenue for FY25Q3 reached $12.574 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7% [5]
大模型+云+asic 必成 大趋势
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-30 01:22
Core Insights - The article discusses the recent earnings reports of major tech companies, highlighting that Microsoft’s stock decline was unexpected due to high expectations for Azure [1] - Google exceeded expectations with a 34% increase in gross margin and a remarkable 14% growth in search revenue [2] Group 1: Google’s Competitive Advantage - Google has achieved significant advantages through integration of large models, cloud services, and ASIC technology, particularly during a surge in demand for inference since Q4 of last year [3] - The integration strategy aims to lower costs and increase market share, which has been a consistent theme in the development of mining chips [4] Group 2: Future Revenue Projections - Google’s API revenue is projected to double to $3 billion, with expectations to reach $6 billion next year, indicating strong growth in enterprise-level AI revenue [6] - The company’s path is being closely studied by competitors, with Alibaba and Microsoft also looking to develop similar integrated models and ASIC technologies [5]
openai 微软云 的“离婚协议”
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-28 23:44
Core Insights - Microsoft supports OpenAI's board in establishing a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) and capital restructuring, resulting in a valuation of approximately $135 billion for Microsoft's investment in OpenAI, representing about 27% of the diluted equity structure [1] - The new agreement retains key elements of their successful collaboration, ensuring OpenAI remains Microsoft's leading model partner, with exclusive intellectual property rights and Azure API operating rights until the emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) [2] Summary by Sections - **Capital Restructuring and Ownership** Microsoft holds a 32.5% stake in the profit-making OpenAI company post-restructuring, excluding the impact of recent funding rounds [1] - **Agreement Details** The agreement can be seen as a renegotiation of their previous "divorce," allowing both companies to maintain their independence while ensuring continued collaboration [2] OpenAI has signed a $250 billion order, with priority purchase rights transferring subsequently [2] Microsoft's exclusive intellectual property rights will be extended until 2032, covering models and systems used in development [2][3] - **Intellectual Property and AGI** Upon the announcement of AGI, an independent expert panel will verify the claim, with Microsoft's research IP remaining valid until AGI verification or 2030, whichever comes first [3] OpenAI can now collaborate with third parties on product development, with API products being exclusive to Azure [3][4] Microsoft can independently pursue AGI, with computational thresholds imposed on models developed using OpenAI's IP prior to AGI announcement [5] - **Revenue Sharing and Future Collaborations** The revenue-sharing agreement remains effective until AGI verification, with payments extending over a longer period [5] OpenAI can now provide API access to U.S. government national security clients, regardless of the cloud provider [3] OpenAI is also able to release open-weight models that meet necessary capability standards [3] - **Future Independence** Both OpenAI and Microsoft are now free to seek new partnerships, potentially with multiple entities [6]
GTC大会 英伟达新高
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-28 23:20
Core Insights - Nvidia is actively collaborating with various companies to enhance its AI and computing capabilities, particularly in the telecommunications and automotive sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Strategic Collaborations - Nvidia is partnering with Nokia to launch a new Aerial RAN computer, supporting 6G telecommunications and AI services, which promises more stable and efficient connections [1] - Nvidia and Oracle are set to create the largest AI supercomputer for the U.S. Department of Energy, utilizing a total of 110,000 Blackwell GPUs to accelerate scientific discoveries [2] - Nvidia is working with Uber to prepare for autonomous taxis, planning to deploy a fleet of 100,000 self-driving taxis starting in 2027 [2] Group 2: Industrial AI Developments - Nvidia is expanding its Omniverse platform to include technologies for designing and simulating digital twins of factories, which is crucial for the industrial AI era [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition for government projects is intensifying, with AMD recently announcing a collaboration with the U.S. Department of Energy, while Nvidia is also making significant moves by deploying 110,000 Blackwell chips [4] - Nvidia is entering the autonomous taxi sector to gather real-world data, which is essential for refining its models despite having the strongest synthetic data capabilities [5]
大厂业绩预期
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-28 10:11
Microsoft - Microsoft is expected to report revenue of $30.17 billion, with a growth rate of 36.68% compared to the previous year, which is slightly lower than the guidance of 37% from the last quarter, indicating a potential for a beat [1] - The adjusted diluted EPS for Microsoft is projected to be $2.99 for Q3 2023, with revenue estimates of $56.52 billion for the same period [1] - The commercial cloud revenue is anticipated to reach $31.90 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 12% [1] Google - Alphabet Inc. is expected to report revenue of $14.7 billion for Google Cloud, up from $11.35 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating a growth rate of 29.5% [3] - The overall revenue for Alphabet is projected to be $76.69 billion for Q3 2023, with a diluted EPS of $1.55 [3] - Google Services revenue is expected to be $67.99 billion, with advertising revenue contributing significantly to this figure [3] Meta - Meta Platforms Inc. is projected to generate revenue of $33.94 billion in Q3 2023, with advertising revenue making up a substantial portion of this [5] - The operating income for Meta is expected to be $17.49 billion, reflecting a strong operating margin of 52% [5] - The Reality Labs segment is anticipated to report a revenue of $210 million, although it continues to operate at a loss [5] Amazon - Amazon is expected to report revenue of $220 billion for the fiscal year 2023, with significant contributions from its online stores and AWS [5] - The operating income for Amazon is projected to be $12.25 billion, with an operating margin of 6.41% [5] - The company is also expected to see growth in its international revenue segment, which is projected to reach $131.20 billion [5]
再跌就要继续看好了
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-28 09:18
Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of the MicroSectors 3x Long Gold ETF, highlighting a significant drop in its price, with a closing price of 141.85 and a pre-market price of 126.91, reflecting a decrease of 10.53% [1] - The trading volume for the ETF was reported at 1.682 million, indicating a high level of activity in the market [1] - The article notes the highest price reached was 151.50, while the lowest was 130.00, showcasing the volatility of the ETF [1] Group 2 - The current price of gold is reported at 3983.25, with a decrease of 2.22% from the previous close of 3981.84 [2] - The highest price for gold during the trading session was 4019.72, while the lowest was 3886.199, indicating fluctuations in the gold market [2] - The article mentions the moving averages for gold, with significant levels at 4481.251 and 4381.484, which may serve as indicators for future price movements [2]
看不起的软件 今晚业绩都很好
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-27 13:13
Core Viewpoint - The market has largely written off the software sector, especially after Morgan Stanley's prediction of "AI killing software," leading to a 7-month decline in software stocks. However, recent earnings reports from several companies have exceeded expectations, indicating a potential turning point in market sentiment [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Kingsoft Office, Dameng, Deepin Technology, and Nankai have all reported better-than-expected earnings, suggesting a recovery in the sector that has been largely ignored by the market for a long time [1]. - The military information technology sector is also showing positive performance, contributing to the overall optimism in the software industry [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment - Public fund holdings in the computer sector are currently below 2%, reflecting a lack of confidence and interest from investors [1]. - The recent positive earnings reports may signal a shift in market expectations, indicating that the sector could be on the verge of a turnaround [1].
量化能不能做个人
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-27 01:31
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and limitations of applying quantitative methods in personal investment strategies, emphasizing that the outcomes often follow predictable patterns that may not yield significant advantages [1] Group 1 - Quantitative strategies are often perceived as complex and are typically associated with institutional investors rather than individual investors [1] - The article highlights that the same script tends to repeat itself in quantitative investing, suggesting a lack of innovation and adaptability in personal investment approaches [1]
数据 有悲有喜
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-26 23:23
Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth of data usage in AI models, particularly highlighting the performance of various models in terms of token usage and their respective developers [1][3]. Group 1: AI Model Performance - Grok Code Fast leads with 1.25 trillion tokens, showing a 16% increase by x-ai [3] - Claude Sonnet 4.5 follows with 527 billion tokens, achieving a 15% increase by anthropic [3] - Gemini 2.5 Flash has 298 billion tokens, with a significant 43% increase by google [3] - DeepSeek V3 0324 has 110 billion tokens, with a notable 44% increase by deepseek [3] - The performance of Gemini 2.5 Pro is also highlighted with 168 billion tokens, showing a 110% increase by google [3] Group 2: Industry Trends - The article indicates that computational power is expected to continue growing, particularly with companies like TSMC and MediaTek [5] - There is an ongoing tracking of major companies' financial reports, indicating a busy period for industry analysis [5]
又来更新
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-24 09:11
Group 1 - The article expresses optimism about Google's new model and TPU7, indicating a positive outlook for ASIC manufacturers like TSMC and Zhongji [2][4] - Microsoft is expected to join the ASIC market soon, which could impact competition in the industry [2] - There is an expectation of over one million ASICs being produced next year, suggesting significant growth in this sector [3] Group 2 - The previous company mentioned, Marvell, is anticipated to be replaced in the market, indicating a shift in industry dynamics [3]