小熊跑的快
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恒生大科技们假期表现
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-09 05:06
Core Insights - The article discusses the recent performance and developments in the tech sector, particularly focusing on AMD and its integration with OpenAI, as well as the advancements in AI models like Sora 2 [1][3][4]. Group 1: AMD and AI Integration - AMD has been included in a closed-loop AI ecosystem, which is seen as a positive development despite uncertainties regarding TSMC's production capabilities for 3nm and 2nm chips [1][3]. - The article highlights that traditional cloud companies may not participate in this closed-loop due to their conservative management styles and focus on stable returns [3]. Group 2: Sora 2 Model - The Sora 2 model, set to launch in February 2024, is compared to a significant advancement in video generation akin to GPT-3.5, capable of complex tasks such as simulating Olympic gymnastics movements [3]. - OpenAI's Sora 2 is noted for its improved controllability and ability to follow intricate instructions across multiple scenes while maintaining continuity in the generated content [3]. Group 3: Market Performance - The Sora app achieved the highest download volume during the National Day holiday, indicating strong market interest [4]. - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180.SH) has shown a year-to-date increase of 43%, with a notable rise of 34.7% since early October [9][13]. - The overall valuation of the Hang Seng Tech Index is significantly lower at 24.9 times earnings compared to the 204 times earnings for the STAR Market, suggesting a potential for catch-up in performance [13].
基金经理提前上班了 黄金
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-08 02:38
Group 1 - The article highlights the recent surge in gold prices, with both London gold and other gold assets breaking the 4000 mark, indicating a strong bullish trend in the gold market [4][5]. - The current price of gold is reported at 4004.248, showing an increase of 19.908 or 0.50% from the previous close [1]. - The Bollinger Bands analysis indicates a mid-point of 3781.44, with upper and lower bands at 4016.74 and 3546.15 respectively, suggesting potential volatility in the gold price [2]. Group 2 - The market capitalization of Shandong Gold is reported at 197.7 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.3, reflecting a strong valuation in the gold mining sector [5]. - The A-share price of Shandong Gold is at 39.33, with a slight increase of 0.33 or 0.85%, indicating positive market sentiment [5]. - The article mentions a significant increase in trading volume for gold-related stocks, suggesting heightened investor interest and activity in the sector [6][8].
黄金早上破了4000
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-07 02:29
Group 1 - The U.S. government shutdown is influencing currency preferences, with clients in Hong Kong prioritizing the use of Renminbi for settlements, followed by the U.S. dollar [1] - There is an expectation that various assets, including gold, will continue to rise in value [2] - The price of gold is anticipated to reach $4000, with significant increases already observed during the holiday period [3]
amd+openai
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-06 13:16
Core Insights - AMD has signed an agreement with OpenAI to deploy hundreds of thousands of AMD AI chips or GPUs starting in the second half of 2026, amounting to 6 gigawatts of power [1] - OpenAI plans to build a 1 gigawatt facility based on the upcoming MI450 series chips, which will start generating revenue next year [1] - The projected production capacity of 6 gigawatts translates to approximately 3 million chips, significantly exceeding Google's forecast of 220,000 TPU units for this year [1] - AMD's annual shipment is estimated to be less than 500,000 chips, with a revenue forecast of around $10 billion for this segment [1] - If AMD can secure the necessary production capacity, the potential revenue from OpenAI could reach $12.5 billion, nearly doubling previous analyst estimates of $15 billion [1] - OpenAI has a significant financial commitment, previously placing a $100 billion order with Oracle, which corresponds to approximately 240,000 units based on NV B200 cards [1] - OpenAI holds the option to purchase up to approximately 10% of AMD's shares [3]
黄金台积电同涨
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-02 02:37
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the dominance of TSMC in the semiconductor industry, particularly in the context of GPU and ASIC production, suggesting that TSMC is the best in this field [3] - There is a mention of a potential shift towards cyclical commodities, with a public fund director indicating that the fourth quarter may enter a cyclical phase, highlighting the importance of capital market trends [9] - The article lists several companies in the cyclical commodities sector that have shown significant price increases, including China Silver Group with a rise of 22.64%, Zijin Mining International at 14.59%, and Tianqi Lithium at 13.26% [10]
美黄金 癫了
小熊跑的快· 2025-10-01 02:04
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in COMEX gold prices, noting a peak near 3900 before a subsequent drop [1][3]. - It highlights the trading volume and price movements, indicating a total trading volume of 16,100 contracts and a closing price of 3893.0 [1]. - The article anticipates continued volatility in gold prices during the upcoming National Day holiday period [4]. Group 2 - The performance of the MicroSectors 3x Long Gold ETF is analyzed, showing a closing price of 199.0300 and a significant increase of 2.94% [5]. - The ETF's trading volume reached 837,000, with a total transaction value of 169 million [5]. - The article compares the volatility of gold stocks in the US market to those in the A-share market, suggesting that US gold stocks exhibit greater volatility [7].
DeepSeek 开源 TileLang 与 CUDA 算子:AI 底层国产替代的关键尝试
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-30 01:11
Core Viewpoint - DeepSeek's release of TileLang and CUDA operator versions represents a significant step towards achieving "independence and control" in AI foundational technology, particularly in the GPU operator development field, addressing issues of technical autonomy, domestic hardware compatibility, ecological collaboration, and innovation efficiency [2][11]. Group 1: Breaking CUDA Monopoly - The dominance of CUDA, a closed-source platform led by NVIDIA, poses risks of technological dependency for domestic developers, limiting their ability to customize operators for new model research [2][3]. - Domestic GPUs, despite improving in computational power, face high migration costs due to the lack of compatible operator libraries and development tools with CUDA [3][5]. Group 2: Lowering Barriers for Domestic Hardware - DeepSeek's open-source solution, TileLang, allows developers to quickly validate operator logic without relying on CUDA, thus reducing dependency on NVIDIA [4][6]. - The dual-version approach provides a precision baseline for domestic platforms, facilitating the verification of operator implementations and lowering debugging costs [4][6]. Group 3: Activating Open Source Community Collaboration - The success of domestic alternatives relies on ecological collaboration, where DeepSeek's open-source initiative encourages community participation in developing new operators [7][8]. - Researchers can quickly develop and share new operator prototypes using TileLang, which can then be adapted by domestic hardware manufacturers [8]. Group 4: Accelerating Domestic Research Pathways - The reliance on CUDA and its tools can hinder innovation in cutting-edge fields like large models and multi-modal research, creating an "optimization black box" [9][10]. - DeepSeek's dual-version operators provide a pathway for domestic teams to innovate without the constraints of CUDA compatibility and licensing issues [10][11]. Group 5: From Single Point Replacement to Ecological Breakthrough - DeepSeek's actions signify a shift from passive following to active construction in the domestic AI foundational technology stack, addressing the challenges of high barriers, long cycles, and adaptation difficulties in GPU operator development [11]. - The approach of using open-source to break monopolies, abstracting complexities, and fostering collaboration may become a crucial paradigm for domestic alternatives in the AI foundational technology sector [11].
以前你干不过工商银行 现在你干不过黄金
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-29 04:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing competition between traditional banking institutions, such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), and alternative investment assets like gold, highlighting a shift in investment preferences among consumers [2] Group 1: Banking Industry - Traditional banks are facing challenges in maintaining their market share as consumers show a growing preference for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - The article suggests that the performance of banks may be negatively impacted by the rising popularity of gold investments [2] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold is being viewed as a more attractive investment option compared to traditional banking products, especially in times of economic uncertainty [2] - The article emphasizes that the demand for gold has surged, indicating a potential long-term trend in consumer investment behavior [2]
英伟达约等于 ai央行
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-28 11:29
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is becoming the central bank of the AI sector by investing $100 billion in OpenAI [1] Group 1 - The large-scale funding from Nvidia is akin to central bank stimulus for the economy [2] - Nvidia recently signed a $6.3 billion deal with CoreWeave, providing substantial backing to the New Jersey-based data center company [2] - The relationship between OpenAI, CoreWeave, and Nvidia is very close, enhancing Nvidia's influence in the industry [2] Group 2 - Nvidia's investments in the UK have garnered significant political support, with the UK Prime Minister publicly endorsing the company [2] - This political backing helps to ease regulatory tensions following Nvidia's failed acquisition of Arm, indicating Nvidia's influence extends beyond business into political realms [2]
ai应用-机器人更新
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-25 02:37
Core Insights - Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot project is entering mass production, with the third generation (Gen3) achieving significant breakthroughs in technology and commercialization [1][2] - Alibaba is actively investing in the embodied intelligence sector, aiming to build a comprehensive humanoid robot ecosystem [3] - The robotics sector has shown lower growth compared to other AI-related sectors, indicating a potential for catch-up [3] Group 1: Tesla's Optimus Robot - The Gen3 model has undergone a revolutionary redesign, reducing weight to 63 kg from 72 kg and enhancing operational time to 8-10 hours with a 10-minute fast charging capability [1] - Tesla has shifted its AI training strategy to a video-driven approach, improving skill transfer capabilities and reducing model iteration time from 2 weeks to 72 hours [1] - Initial production of Gen3 is set to begin in Q4 2025, with a target of 5,000 units, scaling to 100,000 units in 2026 and 500,000 units in 2027 [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Elon Musk highlighted that Optimus could become Tesla's most valuable product, potentially contributing 40% of the company's revenue by 2030 [2] - The recent performance of the robotics ETF indicates a healthy market interest, with the fund's scale growing from 2.3 billion to 2.7 billion [5] - The robotics index has shown lower growth compared to other sectors, suggesting a demand for rebound [3] Group 3: Alibaba's Investment - Alibaba Cloud led a financing round of nearly 1 billion for the variable robot, marking another significant investment in the embodied intelligence field [3] - The company is strategically positioning itself across the humanoid robot landscape, aiming to integrate AI models with physical capabilities [3] Group 4: Industry Trends - The recent activity in the robotics sector suggests that domestic white-label robots are reaching a new threshold, with companies looking to penetrate specific industries [7] - The focus on vertical applications in robotics could present significant opportunities for growth and innovation [7]