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领先市场太多 也很苦恼
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-26 03:45
Group 1 - The article highlights the performance of Tengjing Technology (688195.SH), which has shown negative contributions in recent evaluations, with a significant drop of -19.59% over a holding period of 6 days and -12.36% over 4 days [1][2]. - There is a sentiment that the market has already priced in the gains for Google and its related chains, indicating that the stock may have reached a saturation point [2]. - The author expresses frustration about being ahead of the market, suggesting that being too early can lead to missed opportunities, as others may not respond to insights until much later [4]. Group 2 - There is optimism regarding a new AI application that is expected to gain traction, although it is anticipated that the market may take time to react to this development [5].
阿里云继续 大幅上涨
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-25 11:54
Core Insights - Alibaba's cloud computing revenue grew by 34% year-on-year, slightly exceeding expectations of 38 billion RMB [1] - The company's overall revenue increased by 4.8% year-on-year, reaching 247.8 billion RMB (34.8 billion USD), compared to 242.65 billion RMB in the same period last year [1] - Alibaba's Chinese e-commerce group revenue grew by 16% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 78% year-on-year to 9.1 billion RMB, attributed to investments in the fast commerce sector [2] - Capital expenditures (capex) amounted to approximately 120 billion RMB, with Q3 capex at 31.5 billion RMB, an increase of 80.1% year-on-year but a decrease of 18.6% quarter-on-quarter [2] - Overall gross margin declined significantly, with the gross margin dropping from 15% to 2% year-on-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 20% to 7% year-on-year [2] Cloud Computing Insights - Alibaba Cloud's EBITDA margin was 9.0%, surpassing Bloomberg's expectation of 8.7% and slightly up from 8.8% in the previous quarter [2] - The company is currently in the ramp-up phase for its self-developed Pingtouge chips, which began production in June [3]
跌的有点…
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-20 23:41
Group 1 - The market experienced a significant decline, with a drop of 486.18 points or 2.15% from the previous close of 22078.05 to 22564.23 [1] - Major tech stocks such as Google, TSMC, Apple, and Microsoft remained stable, while other highly leveraged stocks like SMR, OKLO, HOOD, and SNDK faced substantial losses [3] - The liquidity crisis is spreading, indicating potential challenges for the broader market [4]
nv+
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-20 14:21
Core Insights - Nvidia reported strong financial results for FY26Q3, with revenue of $57.006 billion, a year-over-year increase of 62% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 22%, exceeding market expectations [1] - The company achieved a net profit of $31.910 billion, up 65% year-over-year and 21% quarter-over-quarter, also surpassing market forecasts [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.30, reflecting a 67% increase year-over-year and a 20% increase quarter-over-quarter, exceeding the expected $1.26 [1] Financial Performance - FY26Q4 revenue is projected to be $65 billion, representing a 65% year-over-year increase and a 14% quarter-over-quarter increase, surpassing market expectations of $61.6 billion [3] - Gross margin for FY26Q3 was reported at 73.4%, exceeding the previous guidance of 72.4%, with guidance for FY26Q4 set at 74.8% [4] Business Segments - Data Center revenue reached $43.028 billion, a 56% year-over-year increase and a 57% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding expectations [3] - Gaming revenue for FY26Q3 was $4.265 billion, falling short of the expected $4.425 billion [3] - Automotive revenue was $0.592 billion, also below the expected $0.622 billion [3] Market Outlook - Nvidia's CEO emphasized that AI investments are not in a bubble, citing three major paradigm shifts in the information technology sector that will drive infrastructure growth in the coming years [5] - The company has established strong partnerships across its supply chain, ensuring effective planning and management of resources [5] - The global AI infrastructure market is projected to reach $3-4 trillion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [3]
Gemini3 正式发布
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-19 00:09
Core Insights - Google has officially launched Gemini 3, the most powerful multimodal understanding model to date, enhancing interactive experiences and reasoning capabilities [1][4] - Gemini 3 Pro and Gemini 3 Deep Think are key versions, with the latter showing superior performance in reasoning tasks [4][10] Performance Metrics - Gemini 3 Pro achieved a score of 1501 Elo, ranking first on the LMArena leaderboard, and demonstrated doctoral-level reasoning with a 37.5% score on Humanity's Last Exam [1][3] - In various benchmarks, Gemini 3 Pro outperformed previous models, achieving 91.9% on GPQA Diamond and 23.4% on MathArena Apex [3][4] - Gemini 3 Deep Think further improved performance, scoring 41.0% on Humanity's Last Exam and 93.8% on GPQA Diamond [4] Multimodal Capabilities - Gemini 3 is designed to seamlessly integrate information across text, images, videos, audio, and code, pushing the boundaries of multimodal reasoning [6] - It can generate interactive learning materials and analyze performance in various activities, such as sports [7] Developer Tools and Platforms - Gemini 3 enhances developer efficiency through vibe coding and agentic coding, leading to significant improvements in software development tasks [8][10] - Google Antigravity, a new development platform, allows developers to build in a task-oriented manner, transforming AI into a proactive partner [9][10] User Experience - Google AI Ultra subscribers can access Gemini's advanced capabilities, enabling more effective long-term planning and task execution [11]
gemini3 流出版?
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-18 12:22
Core Insights - Gemini 3 Pro significantly outperforms its predecessor, Gemini 2.5 Pro, across various benchmarks, showcasing enhanced reasoning and multimodal capabilities [2]. Benchmark Performance - In the "Humanity's Last Exam" benchmark, Gemini 3 Pro achieved a score of 37.5%, compared to 21.6% for Gemini 2.5 Pro [2]. - For visual reasoning puzzles in the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark, Gemini 3 Pro scored 31.1%, while Gemini 2.5 Pro only managed 4.9% [2]. - In scientific knowledge assessment (GPQA Diamond), Gemini 3 Pro scored 91.9%, outperforming Gemini 2.5 Pro's 86.4% [2]. - In mathematics (AIME 2025), Gemini 3 Pro achieved 95.0%, while Gemini 2.5 Pro scored 88.0% [2]. - The MathArena Apex benchmark showed Gemini 3 Pro at 23.4%, a significant improvement over Gemini 2.5 Pro's 0.5% [2]. - For multimodal understanding (MMMU-Pro), Gemini 3 Pro scored 81.0%, compared to 68.0% for Gemini 2.5 Pro [2]. - In screen understanding (ScreenSpot-Pro), Gemini 3 Pro achieved 72.7%, while Gemini 2.5 Pro scored only 11.4% [2]. - The performance in OCR (OmniDocBench 1.5) showed Gemini 3 Pro with an edit distance of 0.115, better than Gemini 2.5 Pro's 0.145 [2]. - Knowledge acquisition from videos (Video-MMMU) resulted in 87.6% for Gemini 3 Pro, compared to 83.6% for Gemini 2.5 Pro [2]. - Competitive coding problems (LiveCodeBench Pro) saw Gemini 3 Pro with an Elo Rating of 2,439, significantly higher than Gemini 2.5 Pro's 1,775 [2]. - In agentic terminal coding (Terminal-Bench 2.0), Gemini 3 Pro scored 54.2%, while Gemini 2.5 Pro scored 32.6% [2]. - The agentic coding benchmark (SWE-Bench Verified) showed Gemini 3 Pro at 76.2%, compared to 59.6% for Gemini 2.5 Pro [2]. - For long-horizon agent tasks (Vending-Bench 2), Gemini 3 Pro's net worth was $5,478.16, vastly exceeding Gemini 2.5 Pro's $573.64 [2]. - In multilingual Q&A (MMMLU), Gemini 3 Pro scored 91.8%, slightly ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro's 89.5% [2]. - The commonsense reasoning benchmark (Global PIQA) showed Gemini 3 Pro at 93.4%, compared to 91.5% for Gemini 2.5 Pro [2]. - Long context performance (MRCR v2) indicated Gemini 3 Pro at 77.0% for 128k context, significantly better than Gemini 2.5 Pro's 58.0% [2].
昨晚三杀
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-18 01:32
Group 1 - The direct impact of interest rate cuts on gold prices is highlighted [2] - Interest rate cuts indirectly affect companies like Oracle and CoreWeave, which rely on financing to sustain operations [3] - The current financing cost has reached 8.3%, indicating a pressing need for interest rate cuts to support continued growth [3]
阿里Qwen 屠版,应用大涨
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-17 03:46
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba has officially launched the "Qwen" project, aiming to enter the AI to C market with the Qwen APP, which is based on the open-source model Qwen3, and is positioned to compete directly with ChatGPT [1][10]. Group 1: Product Launch and Market Strategy - The Qwen APP has been released in public beta and is available on major app stores, with plans for an international version to target global users [3][10]. - The strategic goal of the Qwen APP is to become a comprehensive AI assistant that integrates various life scenarios such as maps, food delivery, ticket booking, and shopping [3][10]. - The launch of the Qwen APP has positively impacted the AI application sector, leading to a significant increase in related stock prices [3][8]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Alibaba has invested heavily in AI infrastructure, with plans to invest 380 billion yuan to enhance its capabilities [9]. - The Qwen model has achieved significant breakthroughs in model performance, deep reasoning, and multi-modal capabilities, positioning it among the top AI models globally [11]. - The Qwen3-Max model, with over 1 trillion parameters, has outperformed competitors like GPT-5 and Claude Opus 4, ranking in the top three of authoritative AI model lists [11]. Group 3: Future Vision and AI Strategy - Alibaba's CEO has articulated a vision for the future of AI, suggesting that large language models (LLMs) will serve as the next generation of operating systems [10]. - The company aims to establish an open-source ecosystem with Qwen, aspiring to create an "AI era Android" and a super AI cloud for global intelligent computing [10][12]. - The continuous investment and development in AI are expected to lead to a revaluation of Alibaba's market value, with its stock price having increased by over 87% since the beginning of the year [9].
长话短说
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-16 15:17
Core Insights - The article suggests that AI is expected to rebound, with recent developments indicating positive trends in the sector [1] - Notable investment shifts include Buffett's fund selling Apple shares and acquiring Google [1] - The article highlights the investment return rates of major tech companies, indicating Google's strong performance compared to others like Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle [3] Financial Performance - Google's capital expenditure to cash flow ratio is the best among peers, indicating strong financial health [5] - Google reported a significant earnings surprise with a gross margin increase, outperforming expectations by 34% and achieving a 14% growth in search revenue [6] Strategic Trends - The integration of large models, cloud computing, and ASIC technology is identified as a major trend in the industry [8] - The article emphasizes the importance of integration within companies, as discussed internally by Google earlier this year [7] Upcoming Earnings - NVIDIA's upcoming earnings report is anticipated to slightly exceed expectations, with projected revenues of $55.5 to $56 billion, compared to guidance of $54 billion [10]
中国资产也出海
小熊跑的快· 2025-11-14 04:11
Group 1: Tencent Financial Performance - Tencent's Q3 2025 operating revenue reached 192.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, exceeding expectations by 2% [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 70.6 billion yuan, up 18.0% year-on-year, surpassing expectations by 7% [1] - The company's gross margin improved to 56.41% from 53.13% in the same period last year, while net profit margin rose to 33.67% [1] Group 2: Capital Expenditure Insights - Tencent's capital expenditure (capex) for the first three quarters of 2025 was 59.566 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.24% [1] - In Q3 2025, capex was 12.983 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 24.05% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 32.05% [1] - The decline in capex is attributed to a lack of H20 and limited purchases of other chips, with no revenue from computing power leasing included [1] Group 3: Investment Sentiment and Market Position - Some investors view Tencent as a stable investment, especially in light of deteriorating investment returns for many M7 members [1] - There is a possibility that foreign capital may increasingly allocate to Tencent, similar to investments in Google and Apple, due to its perceived stability [1] - The article suggests that Chinese assets may attract global funds in a different manner, especially as many are traded on NASDAQ [1] Group 4: Emerging Investment Products - New ETFs focused on Chinese technology, such as the Rayliant-ChinaAMC Transformative China Tech ETF (CNQQ), are now available for trading on NASDAQ [2][7] - The CNQQ ETF includes major A/H shares and US-listed companies, allowing for a 24-hour trading cycle [7] - The average P/E ratio of the ETF's constituent stocks is 27, lower than the NASDAQ 100 index at 39, indicating potential value [8] Group 5: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The technology sector within the CNQQ ETF is primarily composed of electronic technology (26.67%) and technology services (21.29%), covering strategic areas like semiconductors and AI [8] - With the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and increasing foreign interest in Chinese technology, the long-term performance of core Chinese tech assets remains promising [8] - The growth of CNQQ's scale may enhance its role in determining the pricing power of international capital in Chinese technology assets [8]