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本周热点:一次就谈那么好?该不该信?
集思录· 2025-05-16 13:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of investment proficiency and the importance of having a systematic approach that is logically sound and practically successful over time [1]. Group 1 - The definition of "practice" in investment is finding a logical and practical approach that consistently yields success [1]. - The question of how many years it takes to develop investment skills is deemed useful for beginners to understand their progress and avoid impatience [1]. - The article touches on the issue of overproduction in the current era and the phenomenon of "involution" in various sectors [1].
退休后找点什么小生意做一下?
集思录· 2025-05-16 13:39
刚刚看到群友应聘保安,再想退休后应该找点什么小事情可以兼职做一下,如像做什么小生 意,生意可有可无,最好不需要连续开门做生意,随时可以关门2天,主要是找个地点研究股 票,和老熟人吹吹牛。 大家有没有什么小生意提示? 孔曼子 古人云"伐冰之家,不畜牛羊。"指的是能有实力伐冰的贵族家庭,就不要再去做那些小生 意,与民争利了。 退休了,如果经济上没有压力,就应该安心养老,不要去和年轻人卷生意,他们已经很不容 易了。你的生意可有可无,但他们还要养家糊口呢。 实在想做点事,就做下公益志愿者,或者搞点不挣钱的爱好吧。只要你不图钱,可做的事有 一大把;如果你还愿意出点钱,就更不用说了。 l93868 看到这个帖子忍不住想说两句。 人生说到底挺短的,真想做点啥,别等退休才开始。我是三年前主动从大厂出来的,那时候 整个人都挺抑郁的,每天坐在电脑前刷盘面、研究数据、自我怀疑,也是赚了一些钱,但是 就是觉得活得挺没劲的。最近这1年我想通了,不能这样下去,不如趁这个空档期去做点真正 有意义的事。于是开始搞青少年户外教育,说白了就是带孩子爬山、骑车、露营。 现在越做越觉得我们国家的孩子需要户外需要自然。现在城里的孩子真的都被憋坏了,整 ...
16日投资提示:航新科技原控股股东拟减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-05-15 14:20
航新科技:原控股股东拟减持不超3%公司股份 国投转债:不下修 关注集思录微信 特别提示 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 ...
你的投资功力用了几年练成的?
集思录· 2025-05-15 14:20
Group 1 - The concept of "practice makes perfect" is defined as finding a logical and practical approach that can consistently succeed [1] - Investment is viewed broadly, encompassing all legal means of making money, rather than just stock trading [2] - The journey of investment is continuous, with each stage representing a version of improvement, akin to software updates [1][3] Group 2 - Many investors have experienced a long learning curve, with some taking over a decade to stabilize their investment strategies [4][5] - The importance of risk management and disciplined execution is emphasized, with some investors reporting significant improvements in their returns after adopting these principles [7] - The sentiment that investment strategies are constantly evolving and require ongoing learning is prevalent among investors [15]
贸易战虽然赢了,但还是要发展内需啊!
集思录· 2025-05-14 13:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of China's economy, highlighting the challenges in stimulating domestic demand and the impact of external factors such as tariffs and inflation in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - China's export decline and the unchanged inflation expectations in the U.S. indicate a persistent economic challenge for both countries [1] - Recent policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand, such as interest rate cuts, have been implemented, but their effectiveness is yet to be seen [1] Group 2: Domestic Demand Issues - The traditional methods of boosting domestic demand have proven ineffective, suggesting a need for new strategies [2] - The low proportion of disposable income relative to GDP raises concerns about consumer spending, as previous consumption was driven by real estate price bubbles [4] - The lack of long-term security and insufficient social welfare contribute to a culture of forced savings among the population, limiting consumption [13] Group 3: Structural Economic Challenges - The debate over whether to rely on market mechanisms or planned economy approaches for resource allocation is crucial, as current planning efforts may lead to inefficiencies [8] - The suggestion to cut ineffective infrastructure projects and redirect funds to social security systems raises concerns about potential short-term economic slowdown and increased unemployment [12] Group 4: Housing Market and Consumption - Stimulating the housing market is viewed as a significant way to boost consumption, as home purchases represent a major expenditure for consumers [9] - The financial burden of housing loans on new homeowners indicates a trend of high leverage in consumer spending [10] Group 5: Future Outlook - The need to cultivate a large middle class with high-income jobs is emphasized as essential for sustaining domestic demand [18] - The article questions whether the perceived stagnation in domestic demand is due to a misinterpretation of what constitutes consumption, particularly in light of significant government investment in infrastructure and housing [19]
15日投资提示:高测转债下修
集思录· 2025-05-14 13:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the proposed adjustments to convertible bonds by various companies, highlighting the actions taken by their boards and shareholders [1] Group 2 - Gaoce Convertible Bond: The board has proposed a downward adjustment [1] - Baichuan Convertible Bond 2: The article questions the necessity of the downward adjustment [1] - Huat Gas: Shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2% of the company's shares [1] - Jingyuan Environmental Protection: Directors and senior executives plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.18% of the company's shares [1] - Shanshi Convertible Bond, Fumiao Convertible Bond, Weixin Convertible Bond, and Lvyin Convertible Bond: No downward adjustments are proposed [1]
14日投资提示:金埔园林股东拟减持不超1.91%公司股份
集思录· 2025-05-13 14:14
Group 1 - Shareholders of Jinpu Garden plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.91% of the company's shares [1] - Shareholders of Xinqianglian plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.89% of the company's shares [1] - Hengbang shares received a regulatory letter for failing to disclose information in a timely manner [1] Group 2 - The Snowy Yong convertible bond and the Qianglian convertible bond will not be forcibly redeemed [1]
房子断供的有多少?
集思录· 2025-05-13 14:14
最近关注了下广州的房价。 发现附近小区,从 23 年到现在跌了 40%,也就是 22、23 年买卖最活跃的时间买房的,首 付基本亏完了,算一算大多数房子贷款都会比房产价值高。 再跌是不可避免的,没工作的可 能房子不要了也不还了。 断供不断供不太容易看出来 我提一个指标。 放学的时候到小学 幼儿园门口 可能我的样本取样有偏差 我注意到爷爷奶奶接的比例在下降 父母这一辈中年人接的比例在提高 这个数据可以反映出中年人的就业状况。 YEHUA20 @potti 5000点跌到3000点我们也没说什么啊,房子早买十几年翻几倍的不是大把的,股 民才有多少翻几倍的 其实股票跟房子之间的差异还是可以聊聊的。股票跌30%影响不大,但是房价跌30%,人们 却受不了。这是为什么呢?我感觉有以下几点。 第一点,房子自带杠杆。大部分人买房子都是首付30%。也就是三倍杠杆。你如果买股票也 三倍杠杆,跌30%就是爆仓。账户清零。你也受不了。 第二点,房子的流动性没有股票好。股票基本上能够随时卖掉。最多也就爆仓了。但是房子 卖不掉。比如燕郊的房子跌了50~70%。不光首付跌没了。还欠银行一屁股债。你想卖还卖不 掉。翻译成股票的就相当于你的股 ...
在一个生产力过剩的时代,为什么我们还要内卷
集思录· 2025-05-12 14:24
在一个生产力过剩的时代,为什么我们还要内卷? 资水 这个问题极其深刻,且容我较长篇幅阐述一下。 先说答案, 卷,是因为中国成为了一部"经济机器" 。 人类历史上有好多部战争机器或经济机器,如秦王朝和蒙古王朝就是战争机器,大英帝国和 二战后的美国就是经济机器。 机器的特征,就是一切制度为了战争或经济,整个社会全部被 动员,在战争或商业活动中获利,形成正反馈,这种正反馈进一步加强了社会动员,形成滚 滚洪流。 机器的惯性是巨大的,一直会持续到结构失衡造成瓦解。 中国成为经济机器,是从1980年改革开放开始的。制度层面, "以经济建设为中心"作为总 纲,各级地方政府全部以GDP作为绩效考核指标,于是社会被动员 。这时期主要是国内品牌 与国外品牌的竞争,如家电行业的海尔格力与日立三星等的竞争,汽车行业的比亚迪吉利与 大众丰田通用的竞争、通信行业的华为中兴与诺基亚爱立信阿尔卡特的竞争,工程机械的三 一中联与CAT的竞争,日化行业的上海家化与宝洁联合利华的竞争等等。这是经济机器的第 一阶段,卷的方向是进口替代。 2018年以后,国外品牌基本战败,为什么各级政府仍然以GDP为考核指标,继续卷呢?是因 为美国把中国重新定义为战 ...
13日投资提示:永东股份股东拟减持不超1.26%股份
集思录· 2025-05-12 14:24
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Yongdong Co., Ltd. plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 1.26% of the company's total shares [1] - The article mentions that several convertible bonds, including We22, Baichang, Shuyou, and Jingao, will not undergo adjustments [1] - Tian Gong Co., Ltd. has recently listed new shares on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]