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2日投资提示:海顺新材子公司拟9435万收购正一包装100%股权
集思录· 2025-12-01 13:51
Core Viewpoint - The article provides detailed information on various convertible bonds, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and their proportion to the underlying stocks, indicating potential investment opportunities in the convertible bond market [1][4][6]. Group 1: Convertible Bonds Overview - The article lists several convertible bonds with their respective details, such as: - Tian Ci Convertible Bond (Code: 127073) has a current price of 141.600, a strong redemption price of 100.290, and a conversion value of 142.60 [1]. - Qi Bin Convertible Bond (Code: 113047) has a current price of 109.529 and a conversion value of 109.95 [1]. - Hong Fa Convertible Bond (Code: 110082) has a current price of 125.088 and a conversion value of 125.57 [1]. Group 2: Redemption and Trading Information - The article provides information on the redemption and trading aspects of various convertible bonds: - Fenghuo Convertible Bond (Code: 110062) has a current price of 105.968 and a redemption price of 106.000, with a last trading date of 2025-12-01 [4]. - Eagle 19 Convertible Bond (Code: 110063) has a current price of 114.801 and a redemption price of 111.000 [4]. - Hongda Retired Bond (Code: 404003) has a current price of 16.764 and a redemption price of 118.000, indicating a significant premium [4]. Group 3: Premium and Conversion Value Analysis - The article highlights the premium rates and conversion values of certain convertible bonds: - Nenghui Convertible Bond (Code: 123185) has a current price of 131.900, a conversion value of 132.64, and a premium rate of -0.56% [6]. - Yong 02 Convertible Bond (Code: 113654) has a current price of 139.838, a conversion value of 139.63, with a premium rate of 0.15% [6]. - Xiangfeng Convertible Bond (Code: 123225) has a current price of 134.460, a conversion value of 116.29, and a premium rate of 15.62% [6].
1日投资提示:芳源股份股东拟减持不超1%股份
集思录· 2025-11-30 15:40
凯众股份:公司拟购买安徽拓盛60%股份,12月1日复牌 芳源股份:股东拟减持不超1%公司股份 中旗转债:强赎 蓝帆转债:提议下修 | 转债代码 | 转债名称 | 现价 | 强赎价 | 最后交易日 | 最后转股日 | 转股价值 | 剩余规模 | 转债占正股 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | (亿元) | 流通市值比 | | 127073 | 天赐转债 | 141.600 | 100.290 | 2025-11-27 | 2025-12-02 | 142.60 | 0.397 | 0.06% | | 113047 | 旗滨转债 | 109.529 | 101.174 | 2025-11-27 | 2025-12-02 | 109.95 | 0.057 | 0.03% | | 110082 | 宏发转债 | 128.041 | 100.222 | 2025-12-08 | 2025-12-11 | 128.13 | 9.300 | 2.12% | | 127019 | 国城转债 | 202.501 | ...
万科还有救吗,20亿竟然都没有了!
集思录· 2025-11-30 15:40
重仓万科,一步一步加仓到60%,感觉要爆雷了。连个20亿都拿不出来了。 flushz "我就不信XXXX政府会不管XXXX" "我就不相信深圳国资委会不管万科" 过去很多年,尤其是下跌的初期和中期,这种桥段是不是时常会看到?当然,今年被套的股 民少一些,网络上应该少见一点。 每当我听到或者看到股民发出这样的声音,都会有很强烈的不适感。我找不到合适的词来形 容,只能用不适感这个笼统的表达。觉得有点可怜?可悲?可笑?不一而足。 小飞鹰 举个例子,你只有5000元本金,一直加杠杆炒股,20年赚了5000万。然后继续上杠杆,最 后投资错误一把归零。还欠券商2000万。房地产公司其实也是一个模式。 红缨枪 房地产持续火了20多年,攒了20多年的家当,最后一算总账,原来这么大的家当,还不够用 来还债的。这还不光是万科,一个个的都这么个德性,开发商们统统都欠了很多很多钱。 我知道因为之前的房产调控政策,最后一波房子肯定是砸开发商手里了,东西卖不掉肯定会 让开发商亏钱,但之前这么多年卖掉的房子难道不是远远大于现在砸手上的房子吗?既然这 波房子卖不掉,就亏这么多钱,那之前卖掉那么多的房子,难道不是挣了更多钱才对? 亏的是公司的 ...
为什么美国不卷,中国这么卷?
集思录· 2025-11-28 15:15
Group 1: Industry Overview - High-tech industries in China face overcapacity issues, particularly in solar energy, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles, due to intense competition among numerous players [1][13][19] - Local government incentives drive the rapid establishment of large projects to boost GDP, leading to a proliferation of companies in these sectors [1][22] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the solar industry, leading companies like Longi and Tongwei face competition from many second-tier players, indicating a crowded market [1] - In the lithium battery sector, CATL is a leader, but other companies like Zhongchuang and Guoxuan are also emerging, raising questions about the effectiveness of patent barriers [1][17] - The new energy vehicle market includes a mix of new entrants and established brands, with BYD investing heavily in R&D, yet still facing fierce competition [1][19] Group 3: Government and Economic Factors - Local governments prioritize GDP growth, leading to aggressive competition and support for large projects, which can result in overcapacity and financial strain on municipalities [1][22][24] - The structure of local government incentives encourages the establishment of numerous companies, which may not align with overall economic efficiency [22][24] Group 4: Technology and Innovation - The rapid diffusion of technology in China is attributed to a highly competitive environment where companies quickly replicate successful innovations [3][14][19] - The concept of "barriers" in technology is more about cost, efficiency, and scale rather than unique innovations that cannot be replicated [17][19] Group 5: Market Dynamics - The Chinese market's size allows multiple giants to coexist, unlike in smaller markets where monopolies can form [10] - The competitive nature of the Chinese market leads to a "super competitive ecosystem," where companies continuously strive to improve cost and efficiency [19][21]
本周热点:万科债暴跌,清空转债
集思录· 2025-11-28 15:15
Group 1 - The article discusses the phenomenon of "seven losses, two breakevens, and one profit" in investment strategies, highlighting the challenges investors face in achieving consistent returns [1] - It mentions the recent offer price of 11.85 yuan for the acquisition of Chuan Yin Gao Ke, indicating market interest and potential investment opportunities [1] - The article raises a question about the differences in work culture and investment attitudes between the United States and China, suggesting that the latter is more competitive and driven [1] Group 2 - It notes the significant drop in Vanke's bond prices, prompting discussions about the implications for convertible bonds and the overall market sentiment [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of data-driven investment strategies, as highlighted by the community's focus on new stocks, convertible bonds, and other financial instruments [1]
28日投资提示:金23转债不下修
集思录· 2025-11-27 14:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the approval of a product by a subsidiary of Jianyou Co., Ltd. from the FDA, which is a significant milestone for the company [1][2]. - The article mentions that the Jin 23 convertible bond will not undergo any adjustments, indicating stability in its terms [2]. - The article provides a detailed table of various convertible bonds, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values, which are essential for investors to assess their investment options [4][6]. Group 2 - Jianyou Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary has received FDA approval for its injectable product, Daba Wanxing, which could enhance the company's market position and growth potential [1]. - The article lists several convertible bonds with their respective financial metrics, such as the current price of 110.499 for Hengbang Convertible Bond and a conversion value of 110.63, which reflects the bond's performance [4]. - The convertible bond market is highlighted with various bonds showing different metrics, such as the Z Qibin Convertible Bond with a current price of 109.529 and a conversion value of 109.95, indicating the diverse investment opportunities available [4][6].
“七赔二平一赚”的迷思
集思录· 2025-11-27 14:47
Group 1 - The article discusses the prevalent belief in the investment community that the odds of losing money are high, often summarized as "seven losses, two breakeven, one profit" [1][2] - It argues that this statistic is misleading due to the inclusion of inexperienced investors who lack proper research and commitment [1] - The author suggests that serious investors who dedicate significant time to research could potentially see better outcomes, possibly "seven profits, two breakeven, one loss" [1] Group 2 - The A-share market has experienced a significant outflow of capital, with an annual loss of 1.3 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2023, attributed to factors like IPOs, share reductions, and fees [2] - The article proposes that if measures are taken to limit IPOs and encourage dividends, the market could shift towards a zero-sum game, improving the profit-loss ratio [2] - It also suggests learning from international markets to enhance short-selling mechanisms and protect investor rights, which could lead to a more favorable investment environment [2] Group 3 - The article highlights that a large portion of dividends is distributed among government and institutional investors, leaving retail investors with minimal returns [3] - It points out that most retail investors are not satisfied with small gains and often engage in frequent trading, which leads to additional costs and losses [3][4] - The overall sentiment is that the majority of retail investors are unlikely to achieve long-term profitability due to emotional trading and lack of discipline [4] Group 4 - The article presents anecdotal evidence from discussions with individuals in leadership positions, indicating that even educated and experienced investors often face losses in the stock market [7] - It emphasizes that the perception of profitability among a small group of successful investors does not reflect the broader reality of the market [7] - The narrative suggests that the majority of investors, regardless of their background, struggle to achieve consistent gains [7] Group 5 - The article concludes that the investment landscape is inherently challenging, with many strategies failing to yield positive results [10][11] - It argues that relying solely on time and effort without a sound strategy is unlikely to lead to success in the market [10][11] - The discussion implies that the market is structured in a way that favors larger players, making it difficult for individual investors to succeed [15][16]
红利低波的投资姿势
集思录· 2025-11-26 14:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the advantages of a dividend low-volatility strategy compared to traditional stock picking, highlighting its ability to reduce drawdowns and facilitate buying low and selling high [1][11] - It emphasizes the importance of asset allocation, suggesting a balanced approach between dividend low-volatility stocks and bonds to mitigate risks during market downturns [3][11] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - A 55:45 allocation between dividend low-volatility stocks and bonds can yield an annualized return of approximately 7%, although a 4% loss may still occur in extreme market conditions like those in 2018 [1] - The strategy of using Bollinger Bands for managing positions is suggested, where selling occurs at the upper band and buying at the lower band, which can enhance returns compared to a static holding approach [1][5] Risk Management - The article notes that a 16% drop in the dividend low-volatility index in 2018 should be viewed as a historical buying opportunity, advocating for a reallocation strategy to enhance returns during recovery phases [3] - It discusses the potential of using put options for additional protection against extreme market downturns, although this may not be deemed necessary for strategies with low maximum drawdowns [11] Portfolio Construction - Recommendations include building a personalized portfolio based on the top holdings of the dividend low-volatility index, allowing for greater flexibility and responsiveness to market conditions [4][8] - The concept of passive rebalancing is introduced, where adjustments are made based on changes in asset ratios, promoting a disciplined approach to high selling and low buying [5][9]
27日投资提示:天能转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-11-26 14:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in the investment landscape, including significant asset restructuring terminations, new semiconductor company formations, and updates on convertible bonds. Group 1: Company Developments - Jianlong Micro-Nano has terminated its plans for a major asset restructuring [1] - Zhongtian Jingzhuang announced a 199.8 million yuan investment in a semiconductor company, Jiangsu Changjiang Semiconductor, alongside two other partners [1] Group 2: Convertible Bonds Updates - Wei 24 Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [1] - Fuxin Convertible Bond will not undergo strong redemption [1] - Sanfang Convertible Bond will not be adjusted [1] - A table of various convertible bonds is provided, detailing their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values [4][6]
26日投资提示:佩蒂股份拟以5000万-7000万元回购
集思录· 2025-11-25 14:06
Group 1 - The article discusses various convertible bonds, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values, highlighting the potential investment opportunities in these financial instruments [1][4][6]. - Specific convertible bonds such as Zhongjin Convertible Bond and Hengbang Convertible Bond are noted for their strong redemption prices and conversion values, indicating a favorable investment outlook [1][4]. - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring the market conditions and the performance of convertible bonds as they approach their last trading dates, which could present strategic investment opportunities [1][6]. Group 2 - The article reflects on the current market sentiment, suggesting that the recent adjustments in the market are likely due to short-term policy impacts rather than fundamental changes [7][8]. - It mentions that the overall market valuation for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is not overly expensive, indicating potential for future growth [7]. - The commentary suggests a cautious but optimistic approach, encouraging investors to wait for stabilization before gradually increasing their positions in the market [8][9].