集思录
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13日投资提示:巴西ETF上市
集思录· 2025-11-12 13:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the status of various convertible bonds, highlighting that certain bonds will not undergo adjustments, which may impact investor strategies and market dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Convertible Bonds Status - Xingrui Convertible Bond (127090) and Meinuo Convertible Bond (113618) will not be adjusted, with announcements made on November 13, 2025 [1]. - The current prices and redemption values of several convertible bonds are provided, indicating their market performance and potential for investors [3][5]. Group 2: Market Data Overview - The current price of Tongcheng Convertible Bond (113621) is 125.708, with a redemption price of 101.440 and a conversion value of 126.17 [3]. - The remaining scale of various convertible bonds is detailed, with notable figures such as Hengbang Convertible Bond (127086) having a remaining scale of 8.029 billion [3]. - The flow market ratio for several bonds is presented, indicating their relative size in the market, such as the flow market ratio for Fenghuo Convertible Bond (110062) being 8.33% [5].
12日投资提示:航天宏图逾期未支付商业承兑汇票4630万元
集思录· 2025-11-11 13:31
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the status of various convertible bonds, including strong redemptions and upcoming subscription dates, as well as the overdue commercial acceptance bills of a specific company. Group 1: Company Financials - As of October 31, the company has overdue commercial acceptance bills amounting to 46.3 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Convertible Bonds Status - Tian Ci Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [2]. - Wei Ce Convertible Bond and Sai Li Convertible Bond are not subject to strong redemption [2]. - Rui Ke Convertible Bond will be available for subscription on November 14 [1]. Group 3: Convertible Bonds Details - Various convertible bonds are listed with their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [4][6]. - For example, the current price of Tong Cheng Convertible Bond is 125.708, with a conversion value of 126.17 and a remaining scale of 0.022 billion yuan [4].
4000点了,为什么没有以前牛市亢奋了?
集思录· 2025-11-11 13:31
Core Viewpoint - The current market sentiment is subdued compared to previous bull markets, with many investors feeling less excitement and engagement due to past experiences and current market conditions [1][2][11]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - Many investors, especially seasoned ones, are cautious and less enthusiastic about the market reaching 4000 points, as they have experienced significant losses in the past [1][2][11]. - The current market feels stagnant, with stocks showing little vitality, similar to previous low points like 2600 [3][12]. - Investors express frustration over not making substantial profits, with some indicating they are still at a loss despite the market's rise [4][15]. Group 2: Investment Behavior - There is a noticeable shift in investment behavior, with some investors turning to alternative assets like gold, which has become more popular this year [10][18]. - The market is characterized by a lack of widespread participation from retail investors, leading to a perception that the current bull market is not as robust as in the past [19][20]. - The current market dynamics suggest a slow and steady growth pattern rather than rapid increases, which some investors find more manageable [16][17].
11日投资提示:卫宁转债不下修
集思录· 2025-11-10 13:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various convertible bonds, their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and their proportion to the underlying stocks, highlighting the investment landscape for these financial instruments [1][3][5]. Group 1: Convertible Bonds Overview - Wei Ning Convertible Bond (卫宁转债) will not undergo adjustments, with the last trading day set for December 9, 2025 [1]. - The Z Tong Cheng Convertible Bond (Z彤程转) has a current price of 125.708, with a redemption price of 101.440 and a conversion value of 126.17 [3]. - The Z Sheng 24 Convertible Bond (Z升24转) is priced at 113.184, with a redemption price of 100.168 and a conversion value of 113.67 [3]. - The Luo Kai Convertible Bond (洛凯转债) is currently at 126.615, with a redemption price of 100.038 and a conversion value of 125.05 [3]. - The Chen Feng Convertible Bond (晨丰转债) has a current price of 161.169, with a redemption price of 100.616 and a conversion value of 161.39 [3]. - The Zhong Jin Convertible Bond (中金转债) is priced at 126.333, with a redemption price of 100.700 and a conversion value of 126.81 [3]. - The Heng Bang Convertible Bond (恒邦转债) is currently at 122.680, with a redemption price of 100.280 and a conversion value of 122.79 [3]. - The Qi Bin Convertible Bond (旗滨转债) has a current price of 125.607, with the last trading day yet to be announced and a conversion value of 126.15 [3]. Group 2: Additional Convertible Bonds Information - The Feng Huo Convertible Bond (烽火转债) is priced at 110.722, with a redemption price of 106.000 and a conversion value of 111.15 [5]. - The Eagle 19 Convertible Bond (鹰19转债) has a current price of 116.589, with a redemption price of 111.000 and a conversion value of 103.41 [5]. - The Hong Da Convertible Bond (鸿达退债) is priced at 12.556, with a redemption price of 118.000 and a conversion value of 3.07 [5].
期权永远不要做卖方?
集思录· 2025-11-10 13:26
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the risks associated with being an options seller, arguing that the rules favor the buyer and that selling options can lead to significant losses over time [2][5][11]. Group 1: Options Trading Insights - The author believes that options are more favorable to buyers due to limited losses and unlimited potential gains, contrasting this with the risks faced by sellers [2][5]. - The article discusses the misconception that out-of-the-money options have no value, asserting that they can still hold significant worth and should not be dismissed [3][4]. - It highlights the limitations of the Black-Scholes (BS) pricing model, suggesting that relying solely on this model may lead to missed opportunities for undervalued options [4][7]. Group 2: Human Behavior in Trading - The article explores the psychological aspects of trading, noting that both buyers and sellers can fall into traps due to their inherent risk-seeking behaviors [5][6]. - It suggests that the allure of quick profits can lead traders to make irrational decisions, often resulting in losses [5][10]. Group 3: Options as a Risk Management Tool - The article posits that options should primarily be viewed as tools for hedging and enhancing portfolio resilience rather than mere speculative instruments [8][10]. - It emphasizes the versatility of options in constructing various risk-return profiles, making them valuable in investment strategies [8].
1200万如何投资,想退休了
集思录· 2025-11-09 13:57
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment strategies and considerations for individuals looking to retire with a certain amount of savings, specifically focusing on a case where an individual has saved 12 million and is contemplating retirement while managing family expenses of 250,000 to 300,000 annually [1]. Investment Strategy - Defensive Layer: 40% allocation suggested, including 6% in money market funds, 20% in large time deposits, and 14% in bond funds [4]. - Core Layer: 35% allocation suggested, including 13% in CSI 300, 10% in dividend stocks, and 12% in S&P 500 [4]. - Satellite Layer: 25% allocation suggested, including 8% in CSI 500, 9% in NASDAQ 100, and 8% in gold [4]. Personal Experiences and Recommendations - One individual shared their experience of achieving a 30% annual return from 2007 to 2018, but cautioned against investing for those who are not experienced, suggesting that simply saving in a bank might be a safer option [3]. - Another individual emphasized the importance of adapting investment strategies to changing market conditions and maintaining a balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds [6]. - A different perspective suggested that with 12 million in savings, one could potentially live off the returns without needing to invest aggressively, as a 2.5% return would cover annual expenses [9]. Alternative Investment Ideas - A suggestion was made to invest in a strategy involving futures trading, where the individual could manage risk while generating income through premium collection [8]. - Another proposed a diversified portfolio focusing on high-dividend stocks and a mix of U.S. and satellite investments, with an emphasis on annual rebalancing [10].
10日投资提示:银信科技实控拟减持1%股份
集思录· 2025-11-09 13:57
Group 1 - The controlling shareholder's concerted action party of Yinxin Technology plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1% [1] - The conversion price of Lanfang Convertible Bond has been lowered by 0.5 yuan [1] - The Spring 23 Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [1] Group 2 - Taiping Convertible Bond, Honglu Convertible Bond, and Xinhai Convertible Bond will not undergo price adjustments [1][2] - The announcement details for various convertible bonds include their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values [4][6] - The remaining scale and market value ratios of several convertible bonds are provided, indicating their liquidity and market presence [4][6]
从套利党到激进派:两次暴跌教会我的事
集思录· 2025-11-07 13:01
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution of investment strategies from a conservative arbitrage approach to a more aggressive equity holding strategy, emphasizing the importance of resilience during market downturns [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategy Evolution - Initially, the focus was on stable arbitrage, but exposure to market volatility led to a shift towards holding high equity positions [1][2]. - The experience of significant market drops taught the importance of managing risk and the psychological aspect of enduring losses [2][3]. Group 2: Market Resilience - The author highlights that true investment strength comes from the ability to withstand market fluctuations, with a clear understanding that no investment is entirely safe [3]. - The confidence in holding positions in 50ETF and convertible bonds stems from the belief in the long-term recovery of fundamentally strong assets [3]. Group 3: Market Behavior and Risk Management - The article emphasizes that market volatility is a natural occurrence, and investors must be prepared to handle substantial drawdowns to achieve greater returns [3]. - The narrative suggests that maintaining composure during downturns and strategically adding to positions can lead to eventual recovery and profit [2][3].
本周热点:炒股后,才懂亲戚胆子有多大
集思录· 2025-11-07 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various perspectives on investment strategies and experiences shared by individuals in the investment community, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in different investment avenues [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - The concept of becoming a "full-time investor" and exploring self-media as a potential avenue for sharing investment insights is presented [1]. - The experience of investing in the 华夏合肥高新 REIT is shared, where an expectation of a stable 5% return resulted in a loss exceeding 20% [1]. - The narrative of "young people running counters" reflects on the historical context of LOF discount arbitrage, indicating the complexities and risks involved in such strategies [1]. Group 2: Personal Investment Experiences - A personal anecdote illustrates the varying risk appetites among relatives when it comes to stock trading, emphasizing the psychological aspects of investing [1].
11月7日投资提示:翻车
集思录· 2025-11-06 14:37
Group 1 - A new IPO subscription rule has led to wealthy individuals waking up early to compete for shares, indicating a highly competitive environment [1] - Several brokerage firms attempted to subscribe before 9:15 AM but faced challenges, highlighting the intense competition in the market [1] Group 2 - New Hope plans to establish a new rural development company in collaboration with two national-level funds [3] - Recent announcements regarding convertible bonds include the non-strong redemption of Fenggong Convertible Bond [4] - The North Exchange has new IPO listings, and several companies are in the process of subscription [3] Group 3 - Key data on convertible bonds includes various bonds with their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values [6][8] - Specific convertible bonds such as Chunqiu Convertible Bond and Sheng24 Convertible Bond have been detailed with their respective financial metrics [6][8]