集思录
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你相信别人晒的高收益吗?
集思录· 2025-08-11 13:55
论坛经常有股神们晒高收益,五年十倍之类的,多数集友似乎不相信。 个人也感觉不用杠 杆,挣钱太难,年化10%都很难实现。 北交所打新账户,由于大额资金进出,收益率更是惨 不忍睹。 这个是华泰北交所打新账户,14年开户,年化只有3.31%。券商软件统计结果,显示跑赢 92.31%的华泰股友。 还有一个华泰账户,资金进出不多,收益率要好些。 gukuaijia 在网上晒高收益的目的是吸粉,开群,收费赚钱! 真正在股市赚到A8以上,已经财务自由,不缺钱了!在网上瞎晒自己的生命财产都不安全 了,终有人能顺网线找到你!中国有一句俗话,不怕贼偷就怕贼惦记! 这个逻辑下,网上晒高收益的两种人:傻子和骗子! 天道忌巧 大资金长期高收益(20%以上),我是不信的,但不排除有人做到,我现在追求每年(5至 10)%,没有杠杆。 只为愿相信我的人帮忙,当然会有一定奖励,至今每人都是盈利的,他 们很感谢我,我心里也满足! 到集思录发言,也只是心里傻,有发言欲望而己。 19年底年开户,年化只有7.23%。券商软件统计结果,显示跑赢93.421%的华泰股友。 还 有一个1997年海通开的户。E海通财没有开户以来统计结果。只显示2016年以来 ...
12日投资提示:泰福泵业股东拟合计减持不超1.63%股份
集思录· 2025-08-11 13:55
Group 1 - The frequency of new stock offerings on the Beijing Stock Exchange has increased from once a month to twice a week [1] - The strong redemption of Kaineng Convertible Bonds and Qizheng Convertible Bonds has been announced [1] - Chongqing Bank's shareholder, Chongqing Water Investment Group, plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1.5% [1] Group 2 - The following convertible bonds have been announced for strong redemption: Kaineng Convertible Bonds, Qizheng Convertible Bonds, and Jineng Convertible Bonds [1] - The subscription for new stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange is set for August 13 [1] - The last trading day for Hexion Convertible Bonds and Liancheng Convertible Bonds is August 12 [1] Group 3 - The current prices and redemption prices of various convertible bonds have been listed, with notable examples including Lian De Convertible Bonds at 139.299 and Yong An Convertible Bonds at 152.289 [4] - The remaining scale and market value ratios of several convertible bonds have been detailed, indicating their liquidity and market presence [4][6]
股市赚钱后,你会买更大的房子吗?
集思录· 2025-08-10 17:51
Group 1 - The article discusses the current real estate market, highlighting significant discounts on properties, such as a 140 square meter flat with a parking space selling for 1.4 million and a 180+60 square meter villa for 2.6 million, with rental prices ranging from 1,500 to 4,000 [1] - Opinions vary on whether to rent or buy, with some individuals advocating for renting due to the potential risks associated with property ownership, such as troublesome neighbors [3][4] - There is a belief that the real estate market will rebound, with expectations of rising prices during the next economic upturn, making it a good time to consider purchasing properties [5] Group 2 - Some individuals prefer renting as it minimizes financial risk, suggesting that renting a top-floor flat reduces the likelihood of encountering difficult neighbors [4] - Others argue that owning a home improves quality of life, as it encourages investment in home furnishings and creates a more comfortable living environment [10][15] - The article also mentions that the choice between renting and buying can depend on personal circumstances, such as lifestyle preferences and family needs [19]
11日投资提示:报告领导,100元以下转债已被消灭
集思录· 2025-08-10 17:51
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant reduction in the number of convertible bonds priced below 100 yuan, with only one bond, Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond 2, trading at 99.4 yuan before its adjustment, indicating a shift in the market dynamics of convertible bonds [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments in Convertible Bonds - Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond 2 has undergone a downward adjustment, with its conversion value exceeding 102 yuan, leading to no convertible bonds priced below 100 yuan in the market [1]. - The article lists several convertible bonds with important announcements, including Titan Convertible Bond (not subject to forced redemption) and Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond (adjustment announcement) [2]. Convertible Bond Market Overview - The article provides a table summarizing various convertible bonds, including their current prices, forced redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [4]. - Notable convertible bonds include: - Lian De Convertible Bond priced at 139.299 yuan with a conversion value of 140.93 yuan [4]. - Yong An Convertible Bond priced at 152.289 yuan with a conversion value of 153.66 yuan [4]. - Z Qilu Convertible Bond priced at 122.209 yuan with a conversion value of 122.20 yuan [4]. Shareholder Actions - Shareholders of Liyang Chip and Xingrui Technology plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 3.94% and 1.67% of the company's shares, respectively [3]. Additional Information - The article mentions the renaming of Jidong Cement's securities to "Jinyu Jidong" [3]. - It also includes a list of convertible bonds that are not subject to downward adjustments, such as Hongtu Convertible Bond and Heda Convertible Bond [3].
牛市狂欢中,我选择默默离场!
集思录· 2025-08-08 14:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current bull market and the author's decision to reduce positions, emphasizing the importance of recognizing market peaks and the risks associated with chasing profits at high valuations [1][2][3]. Market Analysis - The current bull market is characterized by a significant increase in margin trading, surpassing 2 trillion, raising concerns about who will buy stocks from new investors [2]. - Historical bull markets show varying durations and returns, with the shortest being a 107% increase from 1664.93 to 3454.02 between November 2008 and July 2009, and the longest being a 513.5% increase from 998 to 6124.04 from June 2005 to October 2007 [2]. - The current market sentiment is compared to the 5.19 market, which also occurred under poor economic conditions, driven by policy, liquidity, and technology narratives [2]. Investment Strategy - The author has adopted a balanced investment strategy, achieving approximately 200% returns in a high-risk account and over 10% in a defensive account, indicating a cautious approach to market fluctuations [3]. - The article emphasizes the importance of realizing profits rather than holding onto paper gains, suggesting that the peak of market greed often coincides with the highest risks [3]. - The author plans to allocate freed-up capital towards new stock subscriptions on the Beijing Stock Exchange, indicating a shift in focus towards new investment opportunities [3]. Market Dynamics - The article posits that bull markets primarily result in wealth transfer, where new entrants often lose money to those who have held positions since market lows [3][5]. - It highlights that the stock market, in the short term, operates as a zero-sum game, where the gains of some come at the expense of others [3]. - Long-term, the stock market is viewed as a positive-sum game, with rising company revenues and profits leading to increased market valuations [4].
房地产观察:居民资产负债表仍需修复
集思录· 2025-08-07 14:47
Group 1 - The overall sentiment in the real estate market is pessimistic, with new homes struggling to sell and many large private developers facing debt defaults [1] - In Weihai, all new projects observed were completed homes, with no pre-sale properties available, indicating a lack of buyer confidence [1] - The second-hand housing market is also weak, with significant price drops and low transaction volumes, leading to frustration among real estate agents [1] Group 2 - Major real estate companies are facing substantial debt burdens, with Evergrande and Country Garden among those with significant outstanding debt [2][3] - The debt levels of various developers are alarming, with Evergrande's total debt reaching approximately 1937.73 billion yuan, and Country Garden's at 971.5 billion yuan [2][3] - The restructuring of debts by companies like Sunac has only temporarily alleviated their financial issues, as they have lost access to future financing [1][6] Group 3 - The government has been actively supporting the securities market to stimulate economic growth, as the real estate sector requires long-term recovery [8] - The decline in consumer confidence is linked to the need for both developers and homeowners to repair their balance sheets after significant losses in property values [9] - The real estate market is expected to return to a more normalized state, with long-term implications for property prices and investment strategies [8][9] Group 4 - The demand for high-end properties in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai remains relatively strong, despite the overall market downturn [7] - The market for luxury apartments continues to attract wealthy buyers, indicating a potential divergence in demand based on property type and location [7] - The trend of declining prices in secondary markets is more pronounced, particularly in lower-tier cities, where transaction volumes have plummeted [12][14]
8日投资提示:力诺药包股东拟减持不超3.61%股份
集思录· 2025-08-07 14:47
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in convertible bonds, including shareholder reduction plans, strong redemptions, and new listings on the North Exchange. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - Lino Pharmaceutical's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3.61% of the company's shares [1]. Group 2: Convertible Bonds - Strong redemptions are noted for Haopeng Convertible Bond and Dongcai Convertible Bond, while Zhongqi Convertible Bond will not undergo strong redemption [1]. - Several convertible bonds, including Yirui, Jiayuan, and Jinggong, will not undergo adjustments [1]. - The last trading day for Hexing Convertible Bond is set for August 12, 2025 [1]. Group 3: New Listings - Hongyuan Co., Ltd. will have its new shares available for subscription on August 11, 2023, on the North Exchange [1]. - Youli Intelligent and two South Data Center REITs have been listed [1]. Group 4: Convertible Bond Data - A detailed table of convertible bonds includes information such as current price, redemption price, last trading day, conversion value, remaining scale, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stock [1][4][6]. - For example, the current price of Hexing Convertible Bond is 111.701, with a redemption price of 110.000 and a last trading day of August 12, 2025 [4].
大家今年都挣了多少了?
集思录· 2025-08-06 14:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various investment returns achieved by different investors, highlighting the significant gains in the market and contrasting them with average market performance. Group 1: Investment Returns - One investor reported a return of over 3000 with a yield of approximately 157% [1] - Average returns for various stocks from January 2 to July 30, 2025, include: - Zhongzhuang: 17.44% - Sanfang: 22.3% - Saili: 163.85% - Weier: 13.88% - Diao: 38.48% - Fangyuan: 25.54% - Hongtu: 21.07% - Bohui: 65.58% - Meijin: 14.31% - Shouhua: 29.00% - Baichang: 20.42% - Haiyou: 29.19% [3] - An average return of 38% was noted for a hypothetical investment strategy where investors bought stocks without any trading [4] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Some investors expressed feelings of anxiety and pressure due to the performance of others in a bull market, indicating a fear of missing out [14] - A low-risk strategy was mentioned, where one investor moved their positions and achieved significant floating profits, leading to a sense of existential crisis due to the continuous market rise [12] Group 3: General Observations - The article reflects a mix of sentiments among investors, with some feeling satisfied with their returns while others express frustration or confusion about market dynamics [11][24] - The community appears to be focused on achieving steady profits rather than outperforming the market index, indicating a shift in investment philosophy [24]
7日投资提示:欧22转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-08-06 14:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the proposed adjustments to convertible bonds, highlighting the strong redemption and non-redemption statuses of various bonds, as well as shareholder reduction plans for specific companies [1][4]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bonds Overview - The article provides a detailed table of convertible bonds, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [2][6]. Strong Redemption and Non-Redemption - Specific convertible bonds such as "白电转债" and "游族转债" are noted for their strong redemption status, while "利扬转债" is mentioned as not being subject to strong redemption [4]. Shareholder Reduction Plans - Several companies are highlighted for their shareholder reduction plans, including: - 皓元医药: Shareholder 苏信基金 plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [4]. - 天能重工: Shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [4]. - 立高食品: Shareholders plan to reduce holdings by no more than 2.47% [4]. - 漱玉平民: Controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 2% [4]. Additional Convertible Bonds Information - The article includes further details on convertible bonds, such as their redemption prices, current prices, conversion values, and remaining scales, providing insights into their market performance [6][8].
6日投资提示:福斯特股东拟减持不超1.25%股份
集思录· 2025-08-05 14:22
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent shareholder actions regarding stock reductions and provides detailed information on various convertible bonds, including their current prices, conversion values, and other relevant metrics. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - Foster's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.25% of the company's shares [1] - Hongqiang's shareholders intend to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% of the company's shares [1] Group 2: Convertible Bonds Overview - The article lists several convertible bonds with their respective details, including current prices, strong redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stock. - For example, the Zlu Convertible Bond (code: 123052) has a current price of 151.350, a strong redemption price of 100.550, and a conversion value of 154.41, with a remaining scale of 0.543 billion and a proportion of 3.75% [1] - The article also highlights that the Fuxin Convertible Bond will not be forcibly redeemed [1] Group 3: Convertible Bonds Pricing and Metrics - A detailed table of convertible bonds is provided, showing various metrics such as current price, conversion value, premium rate, remaining scale, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stock. - For instance, the Liyang Convertible Bond (code: 118048) has a current price of 150.412, a conversion value of 134.31, and a premium rate of 11.99% [5] - The article notes that several convertible bonds are approaching their last trading days, indicating potential investment opportunities or risks [5]