Core Insights - The report highlights the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, which has led to significant concerns over regional stability and potential disruptions in oil supply, causing oil prices to surge. Bloomberg's industry research predicts WTI crude oil could rise to $125 per barrel due to this conflict [8][11]. Market Performance - A-shares opened lower with major indices declining: the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.75% to 3377 points, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 1.1%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.13%. The mining and precious metals sectors showed the most gains [1][5]. - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed down 0.59% at 23892.56 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.72% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.85%. The oil, gas, precious metals, and coal sectors experienced significant increases, while the technology sector remained weak [1][5]. Economic Indicators - In China, government bond issuance has driven credit growth in May, although household loan demand remains weak. The People's Bank of China reported a net financing of nearly 1.5 trillion yuan ($204 billion) from government bonds, marking a nearly 20% increase year-on-year [11]. - The report anticipates that industrial production and fixed asset investment will remain stable, while retail growth may drop below 5% due to worsening real estate investment [8][11]. Company-Specific Developments - Tesla supplier Sanhua Intelligent Control plans to raise approximately HKD 7.7 billion through an IPO, with 30% of the proceeds allocated for global R&D and innovation, and another 30% for expanding production capacity in China [10]. - Baize Medical is also conducting an IPO, expecting to raise around HKD 620 million, with a significant portion of the funds aimed at enhancing its oncology services [10]. - The report notes that Wuxi Biologics Holdings Ltd is planning to sell 82.9 million shares at a discount, raising approximately HKD 2.2 billion [13]. Geopolitical Impacts - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has raised fears of a broader regional conflict, with potential implications for global energy prices and market stability. The situation has prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold [11]. - The report indicates that if Iran were to block the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transport route, oil prices could spike significantly, further impacting inflation and economic policies in the U.S. [11]. Regulatory Changes - Taiwan has implemented technology export controls on Huawei and SMIC, which may hinder their access to critical semiconductor manufacturing technologies [11]. Summary of Key Data - The report includes various financial metrics and forecasts, such as the anticipated rise in oil prices and the performance of specific sectors within the stock market, reflecting the broader economic implications of geopolitical tensions [1][11].

Economic Indicators - The US core inflation rate for May has been below expectations for the fourth consecutive month, indicating that businesses are largely absorbing higher tariff costs without passing them on to consumers[8] - The US May tariff revenue reached a record high of $23 billion, a year-on-year increase of $17 billion, representing a 270% growth[13] - The US budget deficit for May was $316 billion, a 17% decrease compared to the previous year[13] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.52% to 3402.32 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.83% and the ChiNext Index gained 1.21%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.84% at 24366.94 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 1.09% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.12%[1] Trade Relations - President Trump announced that China will "take the lead" in supplying rare earths and magnets as part of a framework agreement reached during US-China negotiations[8] - The framework agreement includes maintaining current tariff levels, which are lower than before Trump's presidency, and allowing Chinese students to enroll in US universities[8] Monetary Policy - Following the inflation data, the market is pricing in an over 80% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September[8] - Trump has called for a 100 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, arguing it would significantly reduce interest payments on maturing debt[8]

新永安期货市场快讯 XIN YONGAN Futures Express 2025年6月10日星期二 www.yafco.com.hk 六月假期交易休市时间安排： | 交易所 | 品种 | 6.19 | 交易所 | 品种 | 6.2 | 6.27 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CME | 农产品 | 休市 | BMD | 所有产品 指数产品 | 休市 正常 | 休市 正常 | | | 生猪、活牛 | 休市 | | | | | | | 利率及债券 | 于20日凌晨01点提前收盘 | | | | | | | 外汇 | 正常 | HKEX | 金属产品 | 正常 | 正常 | | | 指数 | 于20日凌晨01点提前收盘 | | MSCI指数 | 正常 | 正常 | | | 金属 | 于20日凌晨02 点30分提前收盘 | | 货币产品 | 正常 | 正常 | | | | | | 橡胶TSR20 | 正常 | 正常 | | | 能源 | 于20日凌晨02 点30分提前收盘 | | 日经指数 | 正常 | 正常 正常 | | | 可可、咖啡、11号糖 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.43% to 3399.77 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.65% and the ChiNext Index gained 1.07%[1] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index jumped 1.63% to 24181.43 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up 2.78% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rising 1.74%[1] - The total trading volume in Hong Kong reached 245.83 billion HKD[1] US-China Negotiations - US-China trade talks in London are ongoing, with the US indicating a willingness to relax some export controls in exchange for China easing rare earth supply restrictions[7] - The US is reportedly preparing to lift recent restrictions on chip design software, aircraft engine parts, chemicals, and nuclear materials[7] Economic Indicators - In May, Taiwan's exports surged by 39% year-on-year, reaching a record high of 51.74 billion USD, driven by demand for emerging technologies[14] - China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $3285.26 billion in May, showing a slight increase from the previous month[19] Corporate Actions - Tencent Holdings announced a share buyback of 5 billion HKD for 968,000 shares, representing approximately 0.17% of its equity[16] - Midea Group recalled 1.7 million air conditioning units in North America, with minimal impact on profits due to low complaint rates[16]

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.04% at 3385.36 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.19% and 0.45% respectively[1] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index decreased by 0.48% to 23792.54 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index both down 0.63%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was HKD 235.62 billion[1] Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, exceeding economists' expectations, while the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%[20] - The U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 2-year Treasury yield increasing by 11.64 basis points to 4.0365% following the positive employment data[14] Trade Relations - U.S. and China officials are set to hold a new round of trade talks focusing on rare earth issues, following a recent phone call between the leaders of both countries[14] - President Trump has called for a 1% interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, citing that Europe has already cut rates multiple times[14] Market Sentiment - The strong U.S. employment data has led traders to reduce their expectations for interest rate cuts this year, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in September now estimated at around 70%[14] - The market is reacting cautiously to the ongoing trade tensions and economic uncertainties, with employers reportedly "stockpiling labor" amid concerns over tariffs and economic slowdown[14]

Economic Data and Market Trends - US economic activity showed signs of slowing down, with the ISM services index falling to 49.9, indicating contraction for the first time in a year[8] - The Dow Jones decreased by 0.22%, while the S&P 500 rose slightly by 0.01% to 5970.81 points, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.32%[1] - A-shares strengthened post-holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.42% to 3376.2 points[1] Sector Performance - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose by 0.6% to 23654.03 points, led by gains in the consumer sector and active trading in precious metals[1] - Jewelry stocks maintained strong performance, while brokerage stocks were active, and beer-related stocks received a boost[1] US-China Relations and Technology - US Commerce Secretary stated that China currently lacks the capacity for large-scale production of advanced chips, estimating only about 200,000 units can be produced, which is minimal compared to demand[8] - The US Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicated a broad economic impact from tariff policies and rising uncertainty, with labor demand weakening across all regions[12] Investment and Corporate Actions - Shiu Fook Jewelry plans to raise funds through an IPO to expand its sales network, with a valuation potentially exceeding 10 billion RMB[10] - Nidec Corporation announced a share buyback plan of up to 8 billion RMB, having repurchased approximately 664,000 A-shares for about 1.55 billion RMB[13]

| 23258.31 | -0.53 | 15.94 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8443.87 | -0.31 | 15.83 | | 5174.64 | -0.15 | 15.81 | | 132.41 | 0.02 | -7.41 | | 3339.93 | -0.02 | -0.35 | | 10003.26 | -0.26 | -3.95 | | 3836.24 | -0.08 | -2.51 | | 42098.70 | -0.58 | -1.05 | | 19100.94 | -0.51 | -1.09 | | 5888.55 | -0.56 | 0.12 | | 24038.19 | -0.78 | 20.74 | | 7788.10 | -0.49 | 5.52 | | 8726.01 | -0.59 | 6.77 | 2025年5月29日星期四 ➢ 美国收紧对华芯片限制；英伟达业 绩强劲。A股主要股指走低。上证指 数跌0.02%报3339.93点，深证成指跌 0.26%，创业板指跌0.31%。珠宝首饰 连续第二日领涨行业，采掘产业走 强。港股开盘小幅冲高后全日走弱。 恒 ...

2025年5月28日星期三 ➢ 欧盟拟加快与美谈判；美消费信心 大增。A股主要股指大面积走低，北 证50微微收涨。上证指数跌0.18%报 3340.69点，深证成指跌0.61%，创业 板指跌0.68%。消费股拉升，农药、 化肥等行业涨幅亦居前，机器人、 算力产业链领跌。港股转涨，午后 强势。恒生指数涨0.43%报23381.99 点，恒生科技指数涨0.48%，恒生中 国企业指数涨0.38%。医疗保健个股 活跃。大市成交2032.683亿港元。外 盘方面，周一欧洲主要股指收盘多 数走高。美国三大股指全线收涨， 道指涨1.78%，标普500指数涨2.05% 报5921.54点，纳指涨2.47%。美国5 月消费者信心创四年来最大增幅。 欧盟拟加快与美方贸易谈判。 頁1 ➢ 欧盟寻求加快与美国的贸易谈判，据 悉重点放在关键行业以及关税和非关 税壁垒上。特朗普对欧盟的主动态度 表示赞赏。 ➢ 美国5月份消费者信心指数意外创四 年来最大增幅，中美贸易休战令受访 者对经济和就业的展望改善。 资料来源：彭博 ➢ 中国加大海外魅力攻势，总理李强呼 吁东南亚和海湾国家深化合作，共同 发展大市场。他还强调将加大政策支 持力度以扩大 ...

2025年5月27日星期二 | 23282.33 | -1.35 | 16.06 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8437.64 | -1.70 | 15.74 | | 5157.65 | -1.70 | 15.43 | | 132.93 | 0.80 | -7.04 | | 3346.84 | -0.05 | -0.15 | | 10091.16 | -0.41 | -3.11 | | 3860.11 | -0.57 | -1.90 | | 41603.07 | -0.61 | -2.21 | | 18737.21 | -1.00 | -2.97 | | 5802.82 | -0.67 | -1.34 | | 24027.65 | 1.68 | 20.69 | | 7828.13 | 1.21 | 6.06 | | 8717.97 | -0.24 | 6.67 | 资料来源：彭博 ➢ 拉加德呼吁提升欧元全球地位；美团 警告竞争将削弱盈利。A股午后走弱。 上证指数跌0.05%报3346.84点，深证 成指跌0.41%，创业板指跌0.8%。游戏 行业拉升。港股转跌。香港恒生指数 跌1.35%报2 ...

2025年5月26日星期一 ➢ 特朗普升级关税威胁；俄乌完成换囚。 A股午后大挫。上证指数收盘跌0.94% 报3348.37点，深证成指跌0.85%，创 业板指跌1.18%。创新药等医药板块拉 涨，贵金属涨幅亦居前。港股冲高回 落，尾盘再度走强。恒生指数收盘涨 0.24%报23601.26点，恒生科技指数跌 0.09%，恒生国企指数涨0.31%。黄金 维持涨势，电讯板块活跃。大市成交 2036.71亿港元。外盘方面，欧洲三大 股指悉数收跌。美国三大股指全线收 跌，道指跌0.61%，标普500指数跌 0.67%报5802.82点，纳指跌1%。特朗 普对欧盟和智能手机发出新关税威胁。 俄乌换囚期间乌克兰再遭俄军猛烈袭 击，欧盟考虑新一轮对俄制裁。 资料来源：彭博 | 23601.26 | 0.24 | 17.65 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8583.86 | 0.31 | 17.75 | | 5246.87 | -0.09 | 17.43 | | 131.88 | -0.98 | -7.78 | | 3348.37 | -0.94 | -0.10 | | 10132.41 | -0.85 | ...