Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) has shown strong recent performance, with a current price of HKD 416, indicating a bullish technical outlook and potential for further gains [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The moving averages MA10 (407.16), MA30 (399.17), and MA60 (370.67) are all in a bullish arrangement, suggesting an upward trend in the short to medium term [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 64, indicating that the stock has not yet entered the overbought territory, suggesting further upside potential [1]. - The overall technical signal is a "buy," with a strength of 13, indicating continued market inflow [1]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 402 and HKD 391, while resistance levels are at HKD 424 and HKD 436, with potential for higher targets if these levels are breached [1]. Market Activity - On June 24, HKEX's stock price increased by 4%, closing around HKD 414, reflecting a vibrant IPO market with many new listings in Hong Kong [3]. - There has been notable activity in related financial instruments, with good performance in call warrants and some profit-taking observed among investors [3]. - The volatility of HKEX is highlighted by a 5-day price fluctuation of 8.1%, indicating opportunities for short-term traders [1]. Product Analysis - Various call warrants related to HKEX are available, with notable products including a call warrant with a strike price of HKD 450.2, which has a leverage of approximately 11 times [4]. - The performance of structured products has been strong, with significant gains observed in certain warrants following the stock's price increase [4]. - The analysis of implied volatility shows that some products are priced more competitively compared to market averages, providing potential advantages for investors [4][7].

Market Overview - The overall market is performing well, with the Hang Seng Index rising to nearly 24,200 points, showing increased trading activity with a total turnover of 230 billion [1][3] - Investor sentiment appears optimistic, with expectations of testing the 24,500 level in the short term [1][3] Investment Products - There is a notable flow of funds in the warrants and structured products market, with some investors taking profits from bullish positions while others are starting to deploy bearish positions near the 24,400-24,500 range [3] - Specific products such as put warrants are gaining attention due to their lack of recall risk and potential for leverage, with examples showing leverage of around 10 times [3][4] Stock Performance - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) shares rose by 4%, closing around 414 HKD, with a strong performance in related warrants [7][8] - Xiaomi's stock increased by approximately 3.74%, closing at 56.9 HKD, driven by anticipation of an upcoming product launch [12][16] - China Hongqiao's stock price has risen from 9 HKD to around 17 HKD, with a 35% increase in mid-term profits reported [16][17] - Meituan's stock has been underperforming, with a recent decline of 1%, but there is a flow of funds into bullish warrants as investors see potential at the 130 HKD level [19] - China Life's stock has risen from 13 HKD to around 19 HKD, with some investors starting to deploy bearish positions [23] - BYD's stock is fluctuating between 120-130 HKD, with recent inflows into bullish positions as it shows signs of potential rebound [27][28] Technical Analysis - Support and resistance levels for the Hang Seng Index are identified at 23,634 and 24,474 points respectively [4] - For individual stocks, technical signals indicate a "buy" for China Hongqiao and China Life, while Meituan shows a "sell" signal [19][23] - The leverage ratios for various warrants are highlighted, with some products offering leverage of 4 to 11 times, depending on the underlying stock and expiration dates [9][12][27]

香港交易所信息显示， 贝莱德在 快手-W的持股比例于06月19日从4.78%升至5.12%。 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has shown remarkable performance in the first half of the year, with 31 listings and a total financing amount of 884 billion HKD, surpassing the total financing of the previous year, making Hong Kong the global leader in IPO financing [1] - Institutional innovations have activated the financing momentum of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with optimized listing rules and improved approval efficiency being key drivers for attracting companies to list [2] - Leading companies in new economy and technology sectors have significantly contributed to Hong Kong's position as the top IPO financing venue globally, with major firms like CATL and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine leading the way [2][3] Group 2 - The trend of A-share listed companies, especially in new economy and biomedicine sectors, seeking international development through Hong Kong listings is increasing, as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange responds to the demand for high-quality economic development [3] - The liquidity of the Hong Kong market has improved significantly, with a notable reduction in the price gap between H-shares and A-shares, enhancing the attractiveness of IPOs [4] - The continuous release of institutional dividends, the accelerated gathering of new economy industries, and the increasing convenience of cross-border capital flows are expected to strengthen Hong Kong's competitive advantage in attracting global new economy enterprises [4]

Group 1 - The global capital flow is shifting, with a focus on regions beyond Asia, Europe, and the US, presenting market opportunities despite a fragmented environment [1] - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) can play a crucial role in facilitating cross-border investments between Chinese and overseas investors [1] - Maintaining liquidity in the market relies on integrity and trust, supported by high regulatory standards and enhanced corporate governance [1] Group 2 - China is experiencing significant investment opportunities, highlighted by the largest IPO globally this year, aiming to raise $5.3 billion, attracting investors from Europe, the Middle East, and the US [2] - The trend of capital flow is shifting towards innovation, particularly in biotechnology, green transformation, and innovative technology sectors [2] - HKEX is actively connecting with global markets to attract companies focused on AI and biotechnology, which are seen as future growth areas [2]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley increased its stake in AIA Group from 7.99% to 8.04% as of June 18 [1] - The average share price for this transaction was HKD 68.2840 [1]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) celebrated its 25th anniversary, evolving from a local exchange to a leading global international exchange [1] - In 2025, HKEX's IPO financing amount is expected to reclaim the global top position after six years, with 31 IPO projects raising a total of 884 billion HKD this year, surpassing last year's total [1][2] - The daily trading volume in the securities market has increased from approximately 130 billion HKD in 2000 to over 2400 billion HKD, representing a more than 17-fold increase [1] - The market capitalization has grown from 86 billion HKD in 2000 to 4960 billion HKD, an increase of over 56 times [1] - The number of listed companies on the Hong Kong stock market has surged from 790 to over 2600 [1] IPO Trends - From 2009 to 2021, HKEX ranked first globally in IPO fundraising seven times, but faced a decline starting in 2022, only returning to the top five in 2023 due to large companies like Midea listing [2] - Between 2014 and 2024, HKEX's cumulative IPO fundraising reached 303 billion USD, surpassing NASDAQ and NYSE, with mainland companies becoming a significant pillar of this market [2] - As of June 8, 2023, there are 165 mainland companies queued to list on HKEX, a significant increase from nearly 80 in mid-January [2] Market Reforms and Innovations - HKEX has implemented various reforms over the past 25 years, adapting to market needs and attracting a diverse range of investors and products [3] - The exchange has shifted its listing rules to accommodate unprofitable companies, particularly in the biotech and internet sectors, which are now seen as valuable listings [3] - HKEX aims to position itself as a leading fundraising hub for new economy and biotech companies, as well as a global offshore RMB business center [3] Cross-Border Financial Cooperation - The launch of the Cross-Border Payment System on June 22 aims to enhance financial cooperation between mainland China and Hong Kong, facilitating cross-border remittances [5] - Since the introduction of various mutual market access programs, the total balance of foreign investment in onshore stocks has increased over five times, with mainland companies now accounting for 81% of the total market capitalization of HKEX [5] - The mutual access mechanisms have expanded from stocks to include bonds, ETFs, and interest rate swaps, with further developments planned [6] Future Outlook - HKEX is focused on enhancing its market resilience and vibrancy, with ongoing improvements to trading systems and infrastructure [6] - The recent policy changes allow companies listed on HKEX in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, potentially increasing the number of "H+A" listed companies [6]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on four main investment lines within the securities sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is set to implement a series of measures to deepen the reform of the science and technology innovation sector, which is expected to enhance the vitality of the capital market and benefit the venture capital industry [2][36]. - The report highlights the anticipated growth in the average daily trading volume (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which reached 2,103 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50% [3]. - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from new regulations on dividend insurance, with the settlement yield cap set at 3.2%, favoring leading companies in the market [4][32]. Summary by Sections Securities Sector - The CSRC's initiatives aim to strengthen the multi-tiered capital market and promote the integration of technological and industrial innovation, which will support science and technology enterprises [2][36]. - The report recommends focusing on specific companies such as Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) and Sichuan Shuangma, which are expected to benefit from policy catalysts in the venture capital sector [3]. Insurance Sector - New regulations on dividend insurance have been introduced, standardizing the settlement yield cap at 3.2%, which is beneficial for leading insurance companies [4][32]. - The report suggests that the insurance sector may experience a value reassessment, with a focus on low valuation and strong performance in the upcoming quarterly reports [4][42]. Market Review - The report notes that the A-share market has shown mixed performance, with the non-bank financial sector underperforming compared to the broader market [10][14]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market was reported at 12,150 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 11.4% week-on-week [13]. Data Tracking - The report provides insights into the brokerage business, noting a significant year-on-year increase in new equity fund issuance and a robust performance in the bond underwriting sector [13][27]. - The asset management sector has seen a steady increase, with public non-monetary funds reaching 19.1 trillion yuan, up 1.2% from the previous month [13]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term capital, including insurance and social security funds, in supporting private equity investments in technology companies [36][37]. - The establishment of foreign-owned insurance asset management companies in Shanghai is highlighted as a significant development in the insurance sector [37].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from policy changes, particularly the marginal easing of IPO regulations on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which will favor brokerage investment banking and direct investment businesses [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory measures that link the dividend levels of insurance products to investment returns and risk ratings, which is expected to enhance the performance of large insurance companies [3] - The brokerage sector is anticipated to see continued growth in performance, supported by low valuations and institutional holdings, with a focus on retail brokers and financial technology companies [3] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The non-bank financial sector is projected to outperform the overall market, with a focus on the positive impact of regulatory reforms and market conditions [1][3] - The average daily trading volume for stock funds was 1.46 trillion, showing a week-on-week decrease of 7.7% [3] Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced new measures to deepen reforms on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which includes the establishment of a growth tier to support technology companies that are not yet profitable [3] - New regulations on the classification of brokerages aim to promote differentiated development and enhance the functional assessment of brokerages [3] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Jinzheng, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and China Pacific Insurance [4] - Beneficiary stocks include Guosen Securities, Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, and China Galaxy Securities [4]

Key Points - The Chinese government is focusing on enhancing international cooperation with Russia to uphold global trade systems and supply chain stability [3] - The State Administration for Market Regulation in China will conduct national quality supervision checks on 164 products, with a total of over 16,000 samples to be tested, emphasizing children's products and emerging industries [3] - The first batch of government-guided pricing public data products has been delivered in Fujian, with a contract value exceeding 1 million yuan, indicating a shift towards market-oriented data utilization [3] - The People's Bank of China reported a steady increase in household term deposits, reaching 119.34 trillion yuan by May [3] - The China Meteorological Administration announced that 220 meteorological projects have been approved for funding from the 1 trillion yuan government bond issued in 2023, aimed at disaster recovery and prevention [3] - The China National Railway Group reported that the full timetable for the China-Europe freight train has surpassed 1,000 trips, with high-value goods being transported [3] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has seen a significant increase in new stock listings, with 33 new companies raising approximately 88 billion HKD this year [4] - Ping An Life has increased its stake in China Merchants Bank H-shares to 15%, triggering regulatory disclosure requirements [4] - Pop Mart, a leading player in the new consumption sector, has experienced a stock price drop of over 12%, attributed to falling resale prices of its key IP products [4]